2015 Prospects

Is there a just missed list?

Great list. Any consideration for Austin Meadows for the list?

Why is Kyle Zimmer not on your list?

Over/under on Taylor Guerrieri being top 50 at this time next year?

I love seeing Tapia that high! I'm assuming he will be an omission from the BA list, and MLB.com already left him off as well, so - barring a likely (?) top 100 ranking from Fangraphs - he has become something of an exclusive BP prospect.

Anyway, thanks for another great series.

I was initially surprised that there were 46 unranked players on this list, but I went back and checked the previous years and it's pretty par for the course

2015: 46 unranked
2014: 53 unranked
2013: 48 unranked

What do you think causes a roughly 50% turnover of this list year to year?

Congratulations Marlins on having 0 of the Top 101 prospects!!!

Was Kolek particularly close to getting Miami on the board?

No Touki? Given Faleris' love, I was surprised to see him not make the list.

How close was Max Fried to the list?

Really surprised that Mike Foltynewicz wasn't anywhere in the top 100. He has generally been in the top 50 - 60 of most rankings I have seen. Also, this list seems low on Jose Peraza. He has been in the 24th to 35 range on most national rankings.

Interesting to see that Alexander Reyes and Marco Gonzales are so close together on this, but there's no sign of Rob Kaminsky, who seems to be generally thought of as only a baby step behind them. Is he really that far behind the other two? Or is it just that when you get down to the lower 50 on this list, the differences among candidates are very slight?

I'm surprised to see Sanchez over Norris.

Was Sanchez's successful debut as a reliever a major supporter of his value?

FYI, Taillon was 19th last year, not N/A (at least according to his scouting report)

Hey guys, thanks for putting this together - any chance there will be Prospects and Pizza events held this year?

I'm surprised to see Maikel Franco not make the list. Was he close?

He was in the 96 to 96 range.

Thanks for all the work you guys put in each year on the prospect stuff. Great as always.

Curious about Piscotty's jump from the back of most top 100s all the way up to #32? Don't recall the write up being that glowing. His 2014 season was fairly pedestrian and if anything seemed to confirm the questions regarding his power potential. Seems like a guy who would struggle to maintain his position on most lists, not take a substantial jump forward.

How could you leave off ____________? He's my favorite prospect!

Great list. Shows lots of #want.

Nice work as usual, guys. Being a writer for FutureSox, you'll be shocked to see me asking a White Sox question: What about Spencer Adams? I'd have guessed he'd sneak in at the back end. Was he discussed and/or close?

O's fan here. I am outraged that Jomar Reyes and Chance Sisco didn't make this list. Bwahahahaha!

Great work, as usual, fellas. Thank you for all you do.

How close was Steven Souza to making this list? Was it primarily his age that lowers his stock value in BP eyes?

I can see he wouldn't be top 100 but would Kendall Graveman make a top 150? 200?

Dear lord, if Bryant is the fifth best prospect in baseball, then I can't wait to watch the generational careers of the four players ahead of him ...

Most of the other lists I've seen have Bryant #1 or #2. Is it a coincidence that there are three SS ahead of him? How much does position play in determining the order, overall and specifically in this case?

It seems clear that no other pitching prospect can touch Giolito's upside, but I wonder why Syndergaard's close-to-major-league-readiness and lack of injury history wouldn't make him the top pitching prospect in baseball.

You guys do a great job. Love reading your stuff. Whatever happened to Jason Parks? I've been a subscriber here for about a year now and just realized I haven't seen anything from him in a long time. Did I miss something?

Curious on the Rodon ranking, he seems awfully low, was really surprised to seem him behind Stewart, Heaney, and a few others.

Great job, as always guys. I'm curious to know where Yoan Moncada would fit on this list.

Where would Moncada rank on this list?

I followed a thread between Law and some handles that supposedly called out Noah's maturity level. Law seemed to disagree, so I'm giving zero credibility to the statements, but I've seen makeup play up so much since tracking prospects heavily I am looking for another outlet to confirm.
Does Noah and his XMas pajamas have maturity issues? Did that lead to a down LV '14?
Is Matz first in-line for a rotation spot?

To me, the message from the top 5 is that defense matters.

Any idea when the fantasy version comes out?

With Bell listed as an OF, there are no first baseman on this list. Who would be the closest 1B to the list, and how far off was he? Thanks!

Thank you guys for all your hard work! If you had to guess which of the players 50 and below had the best chance of being in the top 10 next year, who would that be?

Where would Kang slot in, if at all?

Last year dearly departed Jason also provided the list broken down by Position, Organization, Age, and Tools.

Any chance of seeing that?

I think this is the first time I've seen Russell ranked ahead of Correa. I'd be interested to read some of the reasoning behind that.

what's the reasoning behind jp crawford's low ranking? some other places have him top 10. is it worries that the bat will never be plus?

What's the difference between Taillon and Zimmer? My mind sees Taillon undergoing Tommy John surgery in April and not pitching an inning since while Zimmer at least made a couple starts and pitched well in the AFL. Yet Taillon drops 6 spots from 19 to 26 and Zimmer drops off from #34 last year (67 spots?)

How close were Trea Turner and Joe Ross to making the list? If Turner had made it, would you have listed him as a Padre, a National, or (*)?

A fun read, thanks for putting this together!

Dominic Smith. I have seen him continue to be ranked highly on other lists despite the 1 HR in 518 PA's. One list blamed it on the ballpark in Savannah, but what about the other half of the games that he played on the road. 1 HR is 1 HR and there is no sugar coating that. Another Mets' bust?

Little surprised by the Schwarber ranking. Obviously showed an incredibly advanced bat with power. I'm guessing that the low ranking (IMO) is based on his defensive profile? But considering that he has a good chance to play a premium position for at least a moderate amount of time, shouldn't that be a significant bump? I mean, I'll take a guy that can hit .275 and with 25-30 bombs and catch 60+ games any day. To me, his high floor/high ceiling bat, coupled with a premium positional value, puts him in the top 30.

wtfzorz where is Japhet Amador???

How close was Michael Conforto to making the list?

I'll ask again even though it was posed upstream, just because I'm thinking it was a question that got buried: Any plans on a Fantasy Top 101 like you guys did last year? I loved that list and put it to good use. Would love to have access to something like that again this year.

Regardless, the work you do with the organizational top 10's and again with this list is something that feeds me throughout the winter. I have no idea how I survived a long winter before Baseball Prospectus began putting out top-notch material on a daily basis for the entire offseason.

Where would Mancado rank on this list?

I'm curious about the value distribution. Obviously a few of these guys will be huge assets to their teams over the next few years, but many of these guys will flame out. And the best of these will be really good, but there is also uncertainty over are the top of this list really the best or not.

If you were to trade the #1 overall for the bottom X players, what is X? (I.e., if X=3 then a fair trade is Buxton for Burdi, McMahon, and Sisco).

If you were to divide the list into 2 equal value pools, above Y and below Y, what is Y? (I.e., if Y=30 then half the value is in the 30 players from Buxton through Cole, the other half the value is in the 71 players from Alfaro to Sisco).

Are these the rankings that will be in the Prospectus?

Any huge differences if this was a fantasy list? I would assume Schwarber would jump quite a bit if you were only judging on fantasy cats?

Any chance we could get a full profile for Daniel Robertson? He kind of fell through the cracks, thanks to getting traded to the Rays after the Rays list came out, but before the As list came out.

Where would he rank in either system?

Fantastic stuff, as always. I'd love to know your general philosophy regarding the weight that you assign to floor, ceiling, and proximity for both batters and pitchers. It seems like you assign more weight to floor and proximity for pitchers. Chi Chi Gonzalez, for example, is much higher on your list than others. Or perhaps you just see a greater ceiling for Gonzalez than others. Thanks.