TTO Scoresheet Podcast... (03/04)
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March 11, 2016 TTO Scoresheet PodcastEpisode 79: Prospect Talk
This week on the podcast, we talk about prospects. We cover a variety of big picture topics around things like how many and what types of prospects we recommend keeping, how and when to draft prospects, how to value and trade prospects, and of course, we get into specific players who are likely to be available in your league whose stock we expect to rise.
Check out the results of our recent scraping, done after most leagues set keepers but before they started drafting, here click here to download spreadsheet.
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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALCS Gam...
I'm in 2 leagues and one thing I've noticed is your initial draft list values minor leagues and young players MUCH higher than the leagues I'm in.
Greg Bird, for example, is still available in both my leagues into the round 20's and I don't want him at this point. Keeping in mind I'd need to use a protected spot in 2017 as well without having him take a single swing in a year. I'm not saying you're wrong, just noting the difference.
Cheers.
Their draft list was published before Greg Bird got injured.
Sorry, but no, Greg Bird was listed as the #10 pick after keepers during the Feb 26th episode and in the commentary they even mention the injury has occurred. See the link here:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=28532
Bird was ranked ahead of Jordan Zimmerman which seemed high to me at the time. Zimmerman went in the 14th round in both my drafts, Bird is still available in round 20's.
That's a fair assessment. To be frank, we kept him in our hard 13 league, but he remains on the board in our soft-10 keeper league (which carries with it a very different value set).
I do think players such as Greg Bird, Dilson Herrera, or Jurickson Profar get routinely undervalued in standard leagues, for what it's worth. These are high-floor players who will likely have starting jobs as of 2017, and will be productive as soon as they take the field. Those rankings tried to be a balance of players for rebuilding and contending teams-but placing them on the same axis may have led to less clarity in the long run. I appreciate the feedback.
With Bird, I can understand the argument that the shoulder injury may sap his power forever, and if he isn't a 2017 keeper, he's a worthless draft pick. But if you're not a contender, to me, he makes a lot more sense than your average remaining minor league prospect--and I can guarantee that your league does not have 10 contenders in it.