CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Premium Article Weekly Wrap: August 14... (08/14)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (08/10)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (08/17)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Call-Up: John Lamb (08/14)

August 14, 2015

Transaction Analysis

The Edges for Tomorrow

by R.J. Anderson and Christopher Crawford

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.


IN THIS ISSUE

American League
National League

HOUSTON ASTROS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Acquired LHP Oliver Perez from the Diamondbacks in exchange for LHP Junior Garcia. [8/8]

What do you get the bullpen that has it all? Apparently another southpaw who can touch the mid-90s. The Astros employed Tony Sipp already, but he's a legitimate two-way threat. Perez is more of your typical, six pack–variety left-handed specialist, from his platoon splits all the way down to his arm slot and slider-heavy approach. Because Perez's career resurgence came with bad teams in Seattle and Arizona, his standing as a legitimate middle-relief option might double as a surprise. Don't let the lack of a spotlight mislead you: Perez gives A.J. Hinch another capable arm to use to shorten games. –R.J. Anderson

TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Signed OF-R Chris Heisey to a minor-league deal. [8/12]
Acquired INF-S Cliff Pennington from the Diamondbacks in exchange for SS-R Dawel Lugo. [8/8]

Between Devon Travis' injury—which propelled Ryan Goins into the starting lineup—and the decision to roll with a short bench, the Blue Jays needed an improvement at utility infielder. Hence Pennington, who, despite poor seasonal numbers, represents an upgrade over Munenori Kawasaki. Pennington's best attributes are his defensive versatility (he has experience at both middle-infield positions and third base, and has even made a few appearances in left field) and a patient, disciplined approach that allows him to draw walks even though he doesn't hit for average or power. He'll need to make the most of his chances down the stretch or else he'll be choosing between minor-league contracts come winter.

Heisey, for his part, failed to make an impact with the Dodgers. Viewed in the right light, he's a semi-interesting bench piece, a fine athlete with some power who historically has performed better without the platoon advantage. The Jays will likely recall him when rosters expand in a few weeks. –R.J. Anderson

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Acquired SS-R Dawel Lugo from the Blue Jays in exchange for INF-S Cliff Pennington. [8/8]
Acquired LHP Junior Garcia from the Astros in exchange for LHP Oliver Perez. [8/8]

Lugo was considered one of the prizes of the 2011 international class, signing with the Blue Jays for $1.3 million that summer. He hasn't been as advanced with the bat as advertised—a career .645 OPS in 332 games—but there's still some offensive upside along with a more polished glove than anticipated.

At the plate, Lugo's best skill is his ability to consistently make contact, thanks to his hand-eye coordination and a short, quick swing. He's still developing physically, but the swing path suggests that we're looking at 40 power, with 45 being the ceiling. His approach also needs significant work, as evidenced in his career 45 walks.

Despite below-average speed, Lugo has a chance to stick at short, as he has excellent instincts, and that along with a 60 arm allow him to turn hits into outs. The ceiling is bottom-of-the-order shortstop with above-average defense from a premium position, with a 25th-man floor. –Christopher Crawford

SAN DIEGO PADRES
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Signed RHP Bud Norris; designated RHP Dale Thayer and 2B-L Taylor Lindsey for assignment. [8/11]
Claimed LHP Caleb Thielbar off waivers from the Twins. [8/8]

Who said A.J. Preller was done making big moves? Here Preller adds two relievers to evaluate for the next few weeks.

Yes, Norris—he of the 166 career big-league starts—is slated to come out of the bullpen for the Padres. He'd worked from the 'pen during his final days in Baltimore, albeit to little success. Nonetheless, there's reason to believe Norris could succeed in relief, namely his fastball-slider combination. The main knocks against Norris throughout his career were his lagging changeup and command, so this move could be permanent. Better yet, this move could make him an intriguing free-agent middle reliever once he hits the market this offseason.

While Norris figures to be a short-term addition to the Padres, Thielbar has long-term potential. You might remember him from the decent work he did in 2013-14 with the Twins. That success has failed to translate to 2015, as he's spent most of the year fighting his control in Triple-A. Thielbar relies on his deception and location, meaning a failure to improve on his sloppy geography could leave him in the minors for good. Conversely, he could be a cheap, passable middle-relief option if he reverts to his old strike-throwing ways. –R.J. Anderson

WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Signed OF-L Tony Campana to a two-year minor-league deal. [8/11]

Campana receives the rare multi-year minor-league deal for good reason, as his short-term status remains in question. After tearing his ACL in February, he's since rehabbed to the point where he resumed baseball-related activities in July. If he can get back into sprinting shape—and if, for that matter, the Nationals can remain in the race—Campana could serve as the Nationals' designated pinch-runner for the postseason. If not, then pretend the previous 12 words were about the 2016 season. –R.J. Anderson


R.J. Anderson is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see R.J.'s other articles. You can contact R.J. by clicking here
Christopher Crawford is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Christopher's other articles. You can contact Christopher by clicking here

Related Content:  Trades

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Weekly Wrap: August 14... (08/14)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (08/10)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (08/17)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Call-Up: John Lamb (08/14)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Playoff Prospectus: Come Undone
BP En Espanol: Previa de la NLCS: Cubs vs. D...
Playoff Prospectus: How Did This Team Get Ma...
Playoff Prospectus: Too Slow, Too Late
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALCS Gam...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLCS Gam...
Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview: Cubs vs. D...

MORE FROM AUGUST 14, 2015
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: August 14, 2015
Premium Article Some Projection Left: Hello, Newman
Premium Article What You Need to Know: August 14, 2015
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 68: "Scoresh...
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 19
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, Augu...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20

MORE BY R.J. ANDERSON
2015-08-21 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Utley Confidential
2015-08-20 - Premium Article Painting the Black: The Transactions We Miss...
2015-08-14 - Premium Article The Call-Up: John Lamb
2015-08-14 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Edges for Tomorrow
2015-08-14 - Premium Article Some Projection Left: Hello, Newman
2015-08-12 - Premium Article The Call-Up: Colin Rea
2015-08-06 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Operation Dombrowski D...
More...

MORE TRANSACTION ANALYSIS
2015-08-21 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Utley Confidential
2015-08-19 - Transaction Analysis: The Shake-Up in Boston
2015-08-17 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Steve the Cleaver Come...
2015-08-14 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Edges for Tomorrow
2015-08-10 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Down Brohio, Up Broves
2015-08-06 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Operation Dombrowski D...
2015-08-01 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to Gome...
More...