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February 11, 2015 Fantasy InfographicOutfield
Notes This is probably a good time to discuss variability as it pertains to PECOTA because I imagine you are probably wondering why Souza is so low here. Certain players are “preferred” by PECOTA for various reasons. In Souza’s case, his strong minor-league track record has us predicting a 20-20 season with borderline-elite counting stats. We the fantasy team would be shocked if he pulled this off, however and I personally believe his PECOTA projection is 90th percentile for him. You’re also probably going to ask about Yasmany Tomas, here’s his graph: We just don’t have a PECOTA projection for him. It’s an issue with Cuban players specifically. There’s no Bid Graph here; it’ll get rolled in with the Starting Pitchers next week. Here are the graphs: You can see the category breakdown in the table below:
Mauricio Rubio is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @MRubio52
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Love the Tomas graphic. Can we at least agree that his chart isn't likely to feature a lot of steals?
Haha yes we can agree there. He's an interesting player, maybe is a mini Justin Upton?
Careful there.... maybe a mini "who Justin Upton really is" but you don't want people thinking he's a mini "who we still think Justin Upton is."
You should put steals at the top of the infographic so that when a player's chart looks like Rusney Castillo's chart it's because their shape matches their chart.