July 26, 2012
Starting Pitchers for 7/26/12
This time next week, the trade deadline will have passed and we could have some new roles opened up for guys. This week’s VP includes some speculation that could be wiped away by trades, so stay tuned.
In nearly equal samples this year, both small, Villanueva has actually been much better as a starter. He has a 2.31 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, and 3.3 K/BB in 23 1/3 innings in the rotation and a 3.24 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 9.7 K/9, and 1.7 K/BB in 33 1/3 innings as a reliever. The Jays have an offense potent enough to back him, so he carries some nice win potential too.
Josh Collmenter (Yahoo! 11%, ESPN 10%, CBS 18%) started the season in the rotation and performed horribly, costing him his job and allowing for the emergence of Wade Miley. He went to the bullpen and excelled (1.45 ERA and 18 Ks in 18 2/3 innings) from May through mid-June. Trevor Bauer didn’t take off as planned, creating an opportunity for Collmenter to get back into the rotation, and he has excelled. Since June 22, he has four starts and two long-relief appearances to cover implosions by Bauer and Daniel Hudson.
The numbers in that span have been excellent: 1.55 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, and 3.0 K/BB in 29 innings. The big difference in this year’s Collmenter is that he is missing bats at an above-average clip. Even in the ugly sample that started the season, he still had a 7.9 K/9. Meanwhile, the walks are up from last year’s awesome 1.6 BB/9, but he is still toting a sharp 2.2 BB/9, so I’m definitely buying in on Collmenter much more this time around.
I think Derek Holland will hold a spot, while Roy Oswalt should be given a decent leash, leaving a spot that could be filled by Ogando, via trade, or with youngster Martin Perez, who looked good in his latest outing against the Boston Red Sox. As with the last time Ogando was a VP, even if he doesn’t end up starting, he can be a valuable asset in just about any format.
Ross Detwiler (Yahoo! 23%, ESPN 18%, CBS 38%), another Sporer favorite, really never should have been lifted from the rotation, but I guess the Nats wanted to see if Yankee-version Chien-Ming Wang was still a thing. He very much wasn’t in his short sample; his control completely abandoned him (5.3 BB/9), so Detwiler is back. Detwiler was great out of the bullpen, including a huge 3 2/3-inning outing after a failed Wang start, and he has been strong in his five starts since returning to the rotation.
He has a 2.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, but the strikeout rate has been lacking at a meager 4.7 K/9. At least he isn’t walking anybody (1.8 BB/9) to balance it out, though. We know pitching coach Steve McCatty doesn’t care about strikeouts, but 4.7 still leaves something to be desired. If you need ratios more than strikeouts, however, Detwiler could very well be your guy.