Shorter right-hander with good build; limited physical projection, some maintenance weight; first-base side, double-taps foot on rubber for timing at takeaway, pointed medium leg kick; gets extension and stays online through drive; high three-quarter slot, slight arm wrap, syncs consistently with lower half, brief tilt and pause with angled front shoulder can disrupt hitters' timing; really comfortable and easy from the windup, low-effort; rushed from stretch, less comfortable, arm will drag out of the stretch, compromised command high and arm-side; confident mound presence, gets it and goes; 1.44-1.53 from stretch, will quick pitch 1.16-1.21
Led with the fastball early to set up the rest of the arsenal; flashes ability to spot it for called strikes; 4-seam 92-94 (t95), downhill run and life, heavy pitch; held velo, touched 95 2x in the 8th; attacks the hands, flashes quality east-west command; 2-seam variant at 90-91, additional run and some sink; average command at present, projects to above average
Out-pitch, throws in any count; bottom falls out, serious fade and tumble; arm-speed replication is there, aggressive approach with pitch, generated a lot of whiffs with it, consistently flashed plus; chase pitch; left it up a few times, signaled a couple with shorter arm action; above-average command at present, potential plus command with this pitch.
Best ones show 11-5 shape, tight with late sweeping horizontal movement, bat-misser when he buries; flashed ball-to-strike, landed in zone to both sides; inconsistent shape, frequently more 10-5 with fringy depth, backed up on him at times, mainly from stretch; below-average command at present, pitch flashed above-average and can get there with average command
Only showed a couple, not a difference-maker; short horizontal movement, moderate spin, some tilt but mainly short sweeping action, clear fourth pitch
Avila is an advanced pitchability righty with the stuff and makeup to back it up. He breezed through the opposing lineup early in this start, spotting everything and sequencing very well, before losing shape on his secondaries in the final innings before being pulled. The risks here are tied to curveball projection and size. The stuff can flatten out up in the zone, so developing requisite command of the lower-half of the zone will be paramount. The fastball-change combination with multiple breakers gives him a path to the back of a rotation in spite of his size, while additional projection for the curve opens up the potential for a higher role.