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Prospectus Hit List for April 30



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 28 Hit List for May 2
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Spoilers ahead. Do not read if you haven't watched all 15 of yesterday's games already.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

9

18

8.5

8.5

9.3

.373

.392

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

-0.3%

-0.4%

I hope the Astros know it’s going to be tough to keep losing like this if they continue to accumulate first overall draft picks.
2

12

12

11.4

9.6

9.4

.461

.481

6.8%

8.4%

15.2%

-0.5%

1.6%

Matt Wieters is hitting .338/.370/.554. Score one for 2009 PECOTA!
3

13

15

10.7

10.3

11.3

.439

.419

1.4%

6.2%

7.6%

-4.7%

-9.7%

The Padres' attempt to score seven runs with only three baserunners failed. Back to the lab! We need more science!
4

8

22

9.0

10.3

10.5

.398

.379

0.2%

0.7%

0.8%

-0.9%

-1.1%

The Diamondbacks left the tying and winning runs on base in the ninth inning which at this point really should count as a win for them.
5

8

17

10.9

10.4

10.2

.426

.406

0.5%

0.8%

1.4%

-0.7%

-1.4%

The Cubs almost won two straight, which would have matched their best win streak of the season. But they didn't. Stay Cubs, Cubs!
6

13

13

11.4

10.6

11.4

.464

.444

6.7%

10.3%

17.0%

-2.2%

4.9%

The Phillies lost 6-1 but more importantly their last three relievers were Holland Manship Camp which is probably really a place.
7

10

16

12.1

10.6

11.6

.460

.440

4.1%

5.0%

9.1%

0.5%

-6.6%

The Pirates are last in baseball in doubles, but tied for eighth in homers. Shorten up your swings, boys! This is embarrassing!
8

15

11

13.6

10.7

11.3

.473

.453

5.5%

9.3%

14.9%

1.0%

3.1%

Eric Young has a .320 OBP this season and a .325 OBP in his career yet he has hit leadoff in 92 percent of the Mets games this season. Why is he in the leadoff spot? Is he stuck there? Does he need help?
9

11

14

11.9

11.5

12.0

.483

.503

9.6%

14.4%

24.0%

5.2%

10.7%

Robinson Cano returned to New York to a standing ovation because people with $240 million have dreams too.
10

12

11

12.0

11.7

11.9

.483

.503

5.5%

5.5%

11.1%

0.7%

4.2%

“The Twins lead baseball in OBP and Phil Hughes is good but unlucky,” said Marty McFly when asked about baseball in 2014 after going back in time in Back to the Future 4: An extensive apology for Back to the Future Parts II and III.
11

13

9

11.5

11.9

11.7

.545

.565

66.0%

8.8%

74.8%

1.9%

4.6%

Is it too mean to put a “le” in the space between “Worth” and “SS?”
12

11

16

11.3

11.9

12.2

.459

.478

6.2%

7.4%

13.6%

-2.3%

-3.9%

The Indians have a pitcher named C.C. Lee who is not, repeat NOT, the illegitimate lovechild of CC Sabathia and Cliff Lee. He’s the illegitimate lovechild of CC Sabathia and Lee Elia.
13

15

11

11.8

12.1

11.5

.507

.527

35.6%

20.3%

55.8%

-3.3%

6.6%

Robinson Cano returned to New York and fans chanted "Sellout" at him which is weird because only 37,484 people were there.
14

12

14

12.6

12.2

11.5

.483

.503

8.8%

10.2%

19.0%

-2.6%

-8.0%

Last night Brett Cecil got both a hold and a loss which raises the questions, just what exactly was he holding and would he have pitched better if he’d put it down?
15

13

12

13.3

12.8

12.3

.500

.520

14.2%

11.4%

25.6%

2.7%

1.3%

"The good thing about being at home is that you can use your closer to help win games" over a picture of a sleeping tiger is the first in a series of Ned Yost-themed motivational posters.
16

13

14

12.2

13.0

12.6

.508

.528

28.2%

19.2%

47.5%

2.9%

9.5%

Last night, Mike Napoli saw 17 percent of the pitches thrown by Rays pitchers.
17

15

12

12.4

13.0

12.9

.498

.518

18.1%

20.9%

39.1%

-0.2%

-5.4%

“Scoring nine runs on eight hits is easy. Tell ‘em Wash.”
18

16

11

15.4

13.7

13.3

.542

.522

29.5%

35.3%

64.8%

5.4%

9.7%

In a transparent attempt at baseball immortality, Matt Cain missed last night’s start after cutting his finger while preparing a pre-game sandwich. Cain is day-to-day. The sandwich was delicious.
19

14

12

13.3

13.9

13.0

.559

.540

61.4%

23.2%

84.6%

0.9%

-3.2%

‘Dee Gordon: leadoff hitter’ is like a Sylvester Stallone movie about competitive toothpick house building that you enjoy.
20

11

16

12.2

14.1

14.3

.512

.532

20.6%

17.1%

37.6%

-2.0%

-18.7%

The Rays are 3-16 when their opponent scores more than two runs.
21

14

14

14.7

14.2

14.5

.489

.509

8.1%

8.0%

16.1%

-2.5%

0.0%

Gordon Beckham, currently a .143/.217/.190 hitter, is batting second, presumably because he can handle a bat, by which I mean he’s seen one before.
22

12

14

14.6

14.7

15.2

.490

.470

1.3%

2.2%

3.5%

0.4%

-1.2%

The player with the highest OBP on the team with the second-highest OBP in the NL is Jarrod Saltalamacchia. Sowhatdoyamakea that?
23

12

14

14.7

14.8

14.6

.522

.502

12.9%

10.6%

23.5%

0.5%

-2.7%

Billy Hamilton homered which might mean baseball is broken.
24

15

12

14.7

15.0

15.6

.553

.533

44.2%

24.1%

68.3%

4.5%

-1.8%

Wait, now we’re killing Bryce Harper for playing too hard again? I can’t keep all this straight!
25

14

14

15.0

15.9

15.8

.539

.519

29.0%

19.3%

48.3%

-2.8%

-16.3%

With last night's loss, neither of last season's World Series teams is over .500.
26

13

13

16.3

16.2

15.8

.564

.584

32.6%

24.2%

56.8%

3.1%

-0.5%

Two facts: 1) Albert Pujols is slugging .602 in an amazing comeback season. 2) Mike Trout has been two and a half times as valuable as Pujols.
27

16

12

16.4

16.7

15.8

.530

.510

7.6%

16.2%

23.8%

2.1%

4.3%

Justin Moreau is hitting .357/.381/.643. The more you know.
28

17

8

15.4

17.3

17.2

.587

.568

42.2%

20.6%

62.8%

-5.9%

7.4%

The Braves lineup last night featured five players hitting below .200. They scored zero runs. Sometimes the obvious answer turns out to be correct.
29

20

7

16.5

17.7

17.1

.579

.559

53.4%

16.2%

69.6%

2.0%

14.5%

Khris Davis has more home runs than Chris Davis.
30

17

10

18.6

18.7

18.0

.591

.610

39.5%

23.9%

63.5%

-2.7%

-1.6%

Scott Kazmir is 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA, numbers that must be some sort of code to alien beings that the earth is weak and ripe for the taking.