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Prospectus Hit List for July 22



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 15 Hit List for July 23
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

And we're back, ready for round two.

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

33

64

32.9

28.9

31.1

.357

.376

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Allowing four runs on one hit? See, they CAN invent new ways to lose!
2

35

61

36.4

33.1

33.7

.390

.372

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three games against the Brewers, zero runs scored. But on the positive side, it wasn't four games.
3

41

56

42.4

45.6

46.2

.462

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.0%

Caleb Gindl waited until the 13th inning to hit his first career home run which won the game, giving us all three more hours of Brewers-Marlins than is federally allowed by law.
4

39

56

41.3

42.7

41.4

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Stop hugging Alex Rios unless you really mean he's been traded to a contender. Even if you have deep affection for him, just shoot him a smile until this whole thing blows over.
5

43

56

42.7

42.7

42.9

.446

.426

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

0.0%

-0.1%

The All-Star Break couldn't have come at a better time for them. But unfortunately for them it didn't last three months.
6

41

54

41.9

42.3

42.7

.430

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

Opposing scouts are starting to feel Glen Perkins' kidney areas and taking copious notes. The trade deadline just got super weird.
7

43

53

46.3

48.0

48.3

.477

.457

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

0.0%

-0.3%

Matt Garza checks the Hit List every day to see if he's finally been traded. Not yet, Matt. By the way, Matt, you should call your mother.
8

46

52

44.4

47.1

47.0

.474

.494

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

-0.1%

0.3%

Where were you when the Mariners' 23-game streak with at least one home run ended? Remember that you are under oath.
9

45

52

44.2

48.0

48.5

.492

.472

4.4%

1.1%

5.5%

-2.2%

-1.0%

They've won 5 of their last 7 games; before that they won 5 of 24 games.
10

45

52

46.8

44.4

46.8

.491

.511

0.0%

0.8%

0.9%

-0.3%

-1.0%

On Friday they hit four home runs and lost. In the steroid era, this was commonplace.
11

48

51

50.1

50.7

48.6

.483

.463

6.6%

1.0%

7.6%

-0.3%

-1.7%

Apocalyptic reminder that the Rockies had three players start the All-Star game.
12

43

51

44.2

42.6

42.3

.467

.447

0.8%

0.6%

1.4%

0.7%

0.3%

Business idea: paint Matt Harvey's piercing dreamy eyes in the outfield so he can be with us always.
13

48

50

46.2

45.4

45.0

.509

.489

6.9%

5.6%

12.5%

-2.1%

-9.1%

Despite scoring just 24 runs in their last 10 games, [insert encouraging proverb here].
14

49

50

44.4

45.1

45.1

.466

.446

3.5%

2.3%

5.8%

-0.9%

-0.5%

Show some leadership, Michael Young, and actually execute the trade of yourself to a team that needs you.
15

46

50

47.5

50.0

48.4

.528

.548

1.4%

2.7%

4.1%

-2.2%

0.2%

Sure, homerless J.B. Shuck's OPS is higher than Josh Hamilton's. But it's still only April. Also someone tampered with my calendar.
16

45

50

46.5

41.1

42.1

.465

.485

0.5%

0.3%

0.8%

-0.4%

0.2%

Jeremy Guthrie gave up five runs in six innings and wins. James Shields allowed three runs in seven innings and loses. The moral of the story: wins/losses are a function of run support, which is a function of how much the grand wizard in the center field fountain likes you.
17

51

47

49.9

47.0

46.9

.504

.484

27.9%

4.1%

32.0%

1.2%

-8.4%

It's this new system they have: the closer on any given game is whichever arm delivery Kirk Gibson thinks finds the funniest.
18

50

47

47.6

50.2

48.9

.556

.536

60.8%

2.9%

63.7%

2.8%

13.5%

"Matt Kemp's back!" That's much better news than when he falls to the field and everybody screams, "Matt Kemp's back!"
19

52

46

48.8

45.3

45.9

.523

.542

1.8%

15.2%

17.1%

-6.1%

-5.5%

Just a thought, but they could fill those empty luxury seats with injured Yankees players.
20

52

46

52.0

50.6

50.9

.510

.530

16.8%

13.1%

30.0%

3.4%

-2.1%

Since June 1, Jason Kipnis has hit [arbitrarily moves beads around on abacus] pretty well.
21

53

44

57.7

62.7

62.2

.588

.607

82.6%

5.5%

88.1%

0.2%

-1.9%

No one's quite sure what's wrong with Justin Verlander, but he keeps muttering something about a "row's bud."
22

54

44

50.8

51.7

52.0

.537

.557

33.4%

25.1%

58.5%

-6.0%

-14.7%

Since the Wild Card game last year, they're 2-5 against Baltimore. All of this is connected.
23

55

43

56.3

57.4

57.8

.564

.544

16.8%

70.7%

87.6%

-2.0%

4.3%

Homer Bailey leads his team in strikeouts, has thrown a no-hitter and also has the Reds' rotation's highest ERA. Mind: asploded.
24

56

43

53.0

50.9

51.7

.502

.522

7.4%

33.9%

41.3%

3.2%

14.4%

Just giving up seven runs in a three-game series is pretty good. It was also against the Rangers, which means the Orioles' starting rotation discovered cheat codes.
25

55

43

57.4

57.5

55.5

.542

.522

88.8%

2.1%

90.9%

-0.0%

1.1%

Mike Minor pitched the Braves' first complete game loss since Tim Hudson in 2010. Both games were interleague.
26

58

41

56.4

60.1

60.0

.564

.584

31.6%

53.2%

84.9%

2.0%

10.7%

Of course they've won 17 of 19 games. Rays are physically unable to go backwards.
27

57

41

56.0

54.7

53.6

.544

.564

65.0%

17.4%

82.4%

4.1%

-1.6%

The last time Bartolo Colon had three shutouts in a season, one of them was with the Expos.
28

60

40

59.2

58.7

58.4

.564

.584

59.1%

32.4%

91.5%

2.3%

1.0%

Ryan Dempster's nickname around Boston has to be "The Dempsterster."
29

57

39

53.4

53.7

55.2

.539

.519

26.2%

67.6%

93.8%

1.9%

1.2%

Clearly they need a bat, but more fittingly someone to swing it during baseball games.
30

59

37

61.6

60.2

58.3

.576

.556

57.0%

41.3%

98.3%

0.9%

0.6%

For as great as Matt Carpenter is playing, few others in the country named Matt are Carpenters.