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Prospectus Hit List for May 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 1 Hit List for May 3
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Red Sox at the top! Marlins at the bottom :(

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

10

17

10.8

11.5

11.6

.479

.499

12.8%

18.9%

31.8%

1.9%

-13.9%

How good is Mike Trout? He’s so good he makes people think a .270/.338/.478 slash line in a pitchers park sucks.
2

15

13

15.4

14.7

15.4

.534

.514

23.5%

23.9%

47.4%

-3.7%

-4.4%

The Diamondbacks lead the National League in sacrifices. The FBI is investigating.
3

17

10

16.9

17.0

16.6

.568

.549

49.1%

18.1%

67.2%

-3.7%

-2.2%

If you took B.J. Upton’s OPS and added it to Dan Uggla’s OPS you wouldn’t get Justin Upton’s OPS.
4

16

12

16.1

15.3

15.4

.512

.532

2.9%

11.1%

14.0%

-2.7%

1.4%

With three strikeouts and one walk in four plate appearances, Chris Davis is doing his part to lower the number of true outcomes to a more manageable number.
5

19

8

18.3

18.6

18.4

.607

.626

38.8%

34.4%

73.2%

6.0%

11.1%

If you add David Ortiz’s slash line (.487/.512/.897) to Mike Carp’s (.480/.519/1.080) you break baseball.
6

11

15

11.4

11.2

11.1

.452

.472

3.4%

5.0%

8.4%

2.1%

-0.3%

MLB.com summed up last night’s game by saying, “White Sox buy homers during May Day Sale.” Can I do better than that? Maybe. Will I? Absolutely not.
7

11

16

11.8

13.5

13.4

.472

.452

4.2%

6.5%

10.7%

2.6%

4.6%

The Cubs are 11th in team ERA, something that has apparently prompted the city of Chicago to throw a parade which is a really sad state of… wait, what? May Day? Oh. Never mind.
8

15

14

17.0

16.8

15.5

.555

.535

46.2%

20.6%

66.8%

-1.0%

-6.2%

The Reds lead baseball in being hit by pitches, although that’s almost all on the back, arms, legs, back again, buttocks, elbow, shins, and foot of Shin-Soo Choo.
9

12

13

14.2

15.1

14.6

.529

.549

11.3%

14.5%

25.7%

3.1%

5.5%

Brett Myers has struck out 12 batters and given up 10 homers. They don’t normally do K/HR ratios and Brett Myers is happy about that.
10

17

11

16.9

18.4

17.9

.534

.514

6.6%

10.6%

17.2%

3.1%

3.9%

While a poll of many ancient historical figures gives the Rockies an 80 percent chance to make the postseason, the same poll indicated that 86 percent of the ancient historical figures were deceased at the time of answering the question.
11

15

11

15.4

17.0

16.6

.594

.613

74.9%

10.7%

85.6%

-4.4%

1.5%

Miguel Cabrera tis no man, tis a remorseless hitting machine.
12

8

20

9.6

9.0

10.0

.356

.375

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Last night the Astros used pitchers named Clemens, Wright, and Bedard. That’s Paul, not Roger, and Wesley, not Adam Wain, and, well, actually it was Erik Bedard.
13

15

10

14.1

12.4

12.8

.509

.529

10.1%

16.1%

26.2%

3.1%

6.5%

Nobody homers like the Royals, or maybe better phrased, nobody on the Royals likes to homer.
14

13

14

10.7

13.1

13.2

.515

.495

41.0%

19.7%

60.7%

-5.0%

-4.6%

Beware Dodgers fans, last night Nick Punto led off. That was the start of the downfall for Boston last season. Dark times, they could lie ahead. Josh Beckett’s pitching won’t help avoid this.
15

8

20

8.7

7.6

7.9

.357

.339

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.2%

-0.3%

I just got a call from Jeffrey Loria demanding you read this comment first.
16

14

12

13.3

13.4

13.5

.496

.476

7.8%

10.7%

18.6%

-2.1%

4.2%

In this day of enlightened medical knowledge, I say John Axford should be tested for a serious allergy to saves. Also, his manager could have a phobia of looking up pitching statistics on people named Axford.
17

12

12

11.7

11.6

12.0

.446

.466

0.4%

1.1%

1.4%

0.5%

-0.2%

It’s May 1st, do you know where your Minnesota Twins aren’t? Last place! (Don’t hold your breath)
18

17

10

14.7

14.1

13.8

.558

.577

47.9%

28.7%

76.6%

1.1%

8.6%

The Yankees were outscored by the Astros in their three-game series, 17-13.
19

11

15

13.2

12.9

12.3

.483

.463

7.7%

6.0%

13.7%

1.5%

-10.4%

I don’t know what’s weirder, that John Buck is batting cleanup for the Mets or that putting him there makes sense.
20

16

13

16.4

15.8

15.3

.529

.549

17.7%

19.0%

36.7%

-2.4%

-5.1%

Last night Josh Reddick walked three times. It was the first time in 324 career games he’d done so.
21

12

16

10.9

11.1

11.3

.452

.433

9.1%

7.5%

16.6%

-3.5%

0.5%

In 95 plate appearances Michael Young has grit doubles, hustle triples, and determination homers. If you want to learn what that means, buy the Rosetta Stone’s new Baseball-to-English language learning software.
22

16

12

14.2

13.5

13.8

.504

.484

15.7%

17.0%

32.7%

1.9%

5.6%

The Pirates are your major-league leaders in saves and holds and wins. Oh, no wait. Scratch that last one.
23

10

17

10.7

10.2

11.1

.431

.412

1.4%

2.5%

3.9%

-0.3%

1.7%

Some announcers love to cite how a team did with runners in scoring position. But because San Diego only ever got a runner into scoring position twice, their poor, poor announcers had to discuss something more meaningful. Like socks.
24

13

17

11.8

14.1

14.4

.463

.483

4.0%

4.8%

8.8%

1.9%

4.0%

Seattle has won four of five. Don’t look now, but here come the Mariners! No, seriously, here comes their bus! Get out of the way!
25

16

12

14.8

14.7

14.9

.530

.510

27.5%

20.2%

47.7%

4.2%

0.9%

The Giants have the oldest lineup in baseball history if you mistake the plate appearances column for the age column.
26

16

11

16.4

13.1

13.0

.524

.504

26.1%

21.0%

47.1%

2.7%

2.6%

Who is Matt Carpenter and who told him middle infielders from the 13th round are allowed to have .820 OPSs?
27

12

15

13.4

14.3

15.3

.522

.542

9.3%

20.0%

29.3%

-3.6%

-9.4%

James Loney is hitting .373/.432/.537. Let that wash over you. Now go take a shower.
28

17

10

16.8

17.2

16.4

.587

.606

65.5%

11.5%

77.1%

-4.3%

-1.5%

Ian Kinsler has 11 extra base hits, 10 walks and nine strikeouts.
29

10

18

9.7

8.6

9.5

.427

.446

1.1%

4.2%

5.3%

-2.2%

-8.1%

Mark Buehrle has given up seven homers in his last three starts. It’s almost as if he’s hoping one of the balls will hit the scoreboard and knock the letters in his last name into a more comprehensible order.
30

14

14

12.0

12.1

12.1

.493

.473

34.0%

15.6%

49.6%

3.5%

4.2%

Bryce Harper hurt his shoulder, which only matters if you care about the future of the Nationals franchise or indeed baseball itself. But if not, carry on with those Froot Loops, buddy.