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Prospectus Hit List for June 5

by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 4 Hit List for June 6
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rk	Tm	W	L	W1	W2	W3	HLF	AHLF	Win Div%	Win WC%	Playoff%	1-Day	7-Day
1		34	21	31.4	33.0	32.4	.594	.575	50.8%	18.5%	69.3%	8.7%	-12.6%
		The Dodgers have Juan RIvera (.244/.272/.349) hitting cleanup. Also, somehow, the Dodgers are still in first place.
2		32	23	34.2	37.0	36.5	.635	.653	91.3%	5.1%	96.5%	-2.8%	-2.4%
		Josh Hamilton is hitting .154/.267/.231 since June 1st. Since two days ago he's hitting .125/.125/.125 and since yesterday he's hitting .000/.000/.000. Some MVP this guy is.
3		31	23	27.6	28.6	28.4	.535	.515	33.9%	26.8%	60.6%	-2.4%	13.4%
		We need some dead fish jokes in our pockets for small talk in case all the fish in the tanks at Marlins Park die. 'This place smells like a thousand fish just died' isn't going to cut it.
4		31	24	26.8	26.6	26.6	.504	.484	7.9%	9.8%	17.7%	0.4%	9.1%
		The Mets have been the third worst homer-hitting team in baseball. How bad is that? Jason Bay, who has played in 15 games all season, none since April 23, is tied for fifth on the team with three home runs.
5		31	24	28.3	29.9	29.4	.539	.519	41.3%	20.1%	61.4%	5.9%	20.5%
		How to score runs the Giants way: Step 1: Put hitters with sub-.300 OBPs in first two spots in the lineup. Step 2: ... Step 3: Score runs!
6		31	23	31.2	32.5	32.6	.590	.609	61.8%	11.8%	73.6%	0.0%	15.4%
		Since Phil Humber's perfect game, he's been perfect if you don't count the 30 runs he's given up in 37 innings.
7		31	23	29.0	28.1	28.9	.542	.562	18.9%	33.9%	52.8%	-0.4%	-15.0%
		Rays DHs are hitting .234/.284/.396. Why didn't they offer a minor league deal to Manny again?
8		30	23	28.9	26.1	26.2	.524	.505	40.6%	20.5%	61.0%	-2.8%	-2.4%
		In the last month, Joey Votto has hit .404/.509/.745. You're not even a pitcher and you're scared.
9		30	24	27.0	27.1	27.8	.518	.538	1.6%	13.4%	15.0%	1.6%	-3.5%
		Three game series in early June aren't normally season changers, but three in Boston could be just the thing to get a slip-sliding team back on track, or send it back whence it came.
10		30	22	29.2	32.2	31.2	.590	.570	16.9%	23.2%	40.2%	-0.4%	-6.7%
		You want to see a team sink or swim? Here's your chance. Today marks the beginning of 15 games against the Mets, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Yankees, and Rays.
11		29	25	28.8	27.4	27.5	.521	.501	32.3%	26.0%	58.3%	1.2%	6.7%
		I was going to tell you all about Martin Prado and how his .400 OBP is the highest on the team, but you already knew that, didn't you?
12		29	24	28.9	28.8	28.4	.543	.563	50.4%	25.2%	75.6%	-1.6%	2.4%
		Earlier this season, Joe Girardi listened to his binder a bit too closely and sent it in to pitch against the White Sox. It gave up two runs but did strike out Adam Dunn.
13		28	27	32.4	33.9	32.5	.576	.557	45.7%	18.9%	64.6%	4.3%	-22.4%
		Three surprising things about the Cardinals beating the Mets 5-4: 1) The Cardinals were tied for the worst record in one-run games yesterday; 2) 0-3 against the Mets on the season; and 3) 0-3 in June.
14		28	28	28.7	29.1	28.7	.511	.491	9.1%	11.8%	20.9%	-6.7%	-13.0%
		Beginning next season, Cliff Lee will make $25 million in each of three years. Then he'll make $27.5 million. That is, unless the Phillies buy him out for $12.5 million.
15		28	26	29.3	27.1	27.5	.518	.538	2.0%	5.5%	7.5%	0.4%	2.4%
		Him: Ricky Romero may have a 4.04 ERA, but dagblumit, he's an ace. I mean, he's in the front of the rotation. What else you going to call that, stat geek? Me: A pitcher.
16		28	28	28.6	29.1	28.8	.511	.531	8.7%	47.6%	56.3%	-1.2%	7.1%
		A run off Ervin Santana should only count as 0.7 runs, otherwise it's unfair to the Angels.
17		28	26	29.1	29.0	29.1	.533	.553	27.2%	26.4%	53.5%	-0.4%	12.2%
		More surprising: that Felix Doubront leads the Red Sox pitching staff in strikeouts, or that he leads it by a lot: 18 more than Jon Lester and 20 more than Josh Beckett.
18		28	25	24.0	26.4	26.8	.497	.517	18.5%	16.9%	35.4%	-0.4%	-16.5%
		Do you think the Indians ever wake up in the morning and think, "We miss the steadying hand of Eric Wedge"?
19		27	26	23.1	21.8	22.1	.443	.424	2.0%	0.8%	2.8%	-0.4%	1.6%
		The Pirates strike out in about a quarter of their plate appearances. That's 11 times for every homer they hit, four times for every walk they take, and 43 times for every triple or hit-by-pitch.
20		25	32	28.6	26.4	26.7	.468	.488	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.4%	0.0%
		The Mariners scored eight runs via 10 hits and eight walks. Ichiro was the only player not to reach base. He went 0-for-5 out of the leadoff spot.
21		25	30	25.4	26.8	27.2	.474	.454	7.5%	6.7%	14.2%	-10.2%	-2.0%
		With his team struggling, this is a bad time for Justin Upton to misplace 200 points of slugging percentage. Check behind the toaster!
22		25	29	25.5	25.5	25.7	.471	.491	18.9%	13.8%	32.7%	3.9%	-2.8%
		A third of the way through their schedule, the Tigers have been outscored. Not many World Series contenders can say that.
23		24	30	26.5	23.1	22.4	.445	.425	0.4%	0.8%	1.2%	-0.8%	0.8%
		Christian Friedrich has started exactly six games and averaged exactly six innings per start and averaged exactly one strikeout per inning. Oh, and his uniform number? 53.
24		24	30	24.8	24.8	24.3	.453	.433	11.8%	16.1%	28.0%	3.1%	7.5%
		The Mariners have been hit by three pitches, the fewest in baseball. The Brewers have been hit by 33, the most. Wha, youz done like beeah?
25		24	31	24.4	20.9	21.3	.412	.431	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
		Jarrod Parker almost no-hit the Rangers, the highest-scoring lineup in baseball. And that still isn't quite as impressive as the A's scoring eight runs in an inning.
26		23	31	25.5	23.4	24.0	.444	.424	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Considering some picked them to be the worst team ever and they're only just bad, the Astros are having a remarkably successful season.
27		23	30	23.9	23.8	23.9	.446	.466	0.8%	0.0%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
		When the Twins score 10 on you, you know you're the Royals.
28		21	33	20.0	21.1	20.9	.384	.404	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Justin Morneau has only 34 hits, but 10 are home runs and 10 are doubles. So he's having a ... good (?) season?
29		18	37	20.2	20.8	21.5	.365	.347	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.4%
		The Padres team OPS is 15 points higher than the last-place Pirates. So the Padres can be happy that they're better than one of the worst offenses in the past 50 years.
30		18	36	21.3	22.3	22.8	.391	.372	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Let's play the Cubs game! Now, remember, it's the Cubs game, so all answers are "The Cubs." First question: what franchise is capable of losing a game because their star shortstop forgot how many outs there were?