Support-Neutral W/L Report: October 8, 2001

by Michael Wolverton


The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article.

Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions



(Numbers through games of Sunday, October 7 2001)

Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Johnson,R      ARI   19.1   6.3  .751   20  6   2.74   5.3   6.0   8.3
Schilling,C    ARI   18.5   7.7  .708   22  6   3.02   4.9   5.0   7.4
Mays,J         MIN   17.0   7.5  .694   17 13   3.35   4.5   4.4   6.6
Mussina,M      NYY   17.1   8.7  .662   17 11   3.42   3.4   3.9   6.1
Kile,D         STL   16.2   8.2  .665   16 11   3.29   3.6   3.6   5.8
Buehrle,M      CHW   15.5   8.1  .656   16  8   3.62   3.3   3.6   5.5
Mulder,M       OAK   16.1   9.0  .641   21  8   3.61   3.0   3.4   5.4
Morris,M       STL   15.7   8.7  .643   22  8   3.58   2.7   3.2   5.3
Vazquez,J      MON   15.6   9.3  .625   16 11   3.70   2.7   3.0   5.0
Maddux,G       ATL   15.3   9.2  .623   17 11   3.32   3.5   2.8   4.8
Hudson,T       OAK   15.9  10.4  .605   18  9   3.83   2.5   2.5   4.7
Garcia,F       SEA   15.4   9.9  .609   18  6   3.32   3.1   2.7   4.7
Miller,W       HOU   14.1   8.1  .634   16  8   3.86   2.8   2.7   4.6
Zito,B         OAK   14.9   9.3  .614   17  8   3.86   2.2   2.5   4.6
Park,C         LAD   15.6  10.4  .601   15 10   3.62   2.3   2.5   4.6
Martinez,P     BOS    9.8   2.7  .786    7  3   2.55   3.2   3.4   4.5
Burkett,J      ATL   14.7   9.4  .611   12 12   3.41   3.1   2.6   4.5
Glavine,T      ATL   14.4   9.6  .601   16  7   3.78   2.2   2.3   4.2
Moyer,J        SEA   13.9   8.9  .609   20  6   3.61   2.1   2.2   4.2
Radke,B        MIN   14.6  10.2  .589   15 11   4.18   2.4   2.3   4.1
Ortiz,R        SFG   14.0   9.4  .598   17  9   3.70   1.8   2.1   4.1
Oswalt,R       HOU   10.1   4.2  .707   12  2   3.10   2.7   2.8   4.0
Clemens,R      NYY   13.8   9.4  .594   20  3   3.84   2.3   2.0   3.9
Colon,B        CLE   14.3  10.2  .584   14 12   4.29   1.8   2.1   3.9
Milton,E       MIN   13.9  10.2  .578   15  7   4.38   1.9   1.7   3.7
Lidle,C        OAK   12.4   8.3  .601   13  6   4.02   1.6   2.1   3.6
Sparks,SW      DET   14.3  11.2  .561   14  9   4.29   1.3   1.5   3.5
Person,R       PHI   13.4  10.3  .566   15  7   4.45   0.9   1.6   3.3
Dessens,E      CIN   12.7   9.4  .575   10 14   4.52   1.0   1.5   3.3
Lieber,J       CHC   13.7  10.9  .557   20  6   4.03   1.6   1.3   3.2

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Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Jones,B        SDP    8.4  16.2  .342    8 19   6.32  -4.2  -3.9  -2.0
Bell,R         C/T    6.0  12.3  .326    5 10   6.92  -2.8  -2.9  -1.8
Hernandez,L    SFG    9.6  16.8  .364   13 15   5.68  -3.2  -3.5  -1.6
Mlicki,D       D/H    7.2  13.1  .355   10 11   6.74  -3.0  -3.0  -1.4
Rekar,B        TAM    5.9  11.1  .348    3 13   6.65  -2.6  -2.5  -1.3
Bottenfield,K  HOU    1.3   4.9  .215    2  5   8.31  -1.4  -1.7  -1.3
Benes,An       STL    4.1   8.4  .328    6  6   7.28  -2.7  -2.0  -1.2
Olivares,O     PIT    2.3   5.9  .283    2  7   7.35  -1.8  -1.7  -1.2
Reith,B        CIN    1.2   4.3  .218    0  7   8.47  -1.5  -1.4  -1.1
Hamilton,J     T/C    6.2  11.0  .361    6 10   6.44  -2.1  -2.2  -1.1

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Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Clemens,R      NYY   13.8   9.4    20  3   12.6
Abbott,P       SEA    9.0   8.5    17  4   12.5
Lieber,J       CHC   13.7  10.9    20  6   11.2
Sabathia,C     CLE   11.8   9.5    17  5    9.6
Moyer,J        SEA   13.9   8.9    20  6    9.0
Sele,A         SEA   12.7  10.8    15  5    8.1
Morris,M       STL   15.5   8.7    22  8    7.2
Garcia,F       SEA   15.3   9.9    18  6    6.6
Daal,O         PHI   10.7  11.2    13  7    6.5
Mulder,M       OAK   16.0   9.0    21  8    6.0

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Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Lopez,A        T/A   11.7  12.7     9 19   -8.9
Haynes,J       MIL    9.6  10.5     8 16   -7.1
Astacio,P      C/H    9.8   8.8     8 14   -7.0
Dessens,E      CIN   12.3   9.4    10 14   -6.9
Valdes,I       ANA   10.6   7.8     9 13   -6.8
Anderson,J     PIT   11.7  13.1     9 17   -6.7
Chacon,S       COL   10.5   8.4     6 10   -6.2
Reitsma,C      CIN    8.9  11.8     6 15   -6.1
Rapp,P         ANA    8.6   9.6     5 12   -6.0
ArmasJr,T      MON   11.5  10.7     9 14   -5.8

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20 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Dessens,E      CIN   11   5.5     4.40   4.17     0.90   1.54    -0.64
Person,R       PHI   14   8.6     4.45   4.22     1.00   1.57    -0.57
Elarton,S      H/C   11   6.5     6.40   6.12    -2.54  -2.04    -0.50
Estes,S        SFG    9   4.5     4.79   4.51     0.09   0.59    -0.50
Jarvis,K       SDP   11   8.8     5.41   5.30    -1.14  -0.66    -0.48
Valdes,I       ANA   11   6.6     4.42   4.19     0.95   1.42    -0.47
Nomo,H         BOS   14   9.5     4.52   4.32     0.67   1.12    -0.45
Burnett,A      FLA    8   5.2     4.61   4.45     0.19   0.63    -0.44
Glavine,T      ATL    9   6.0     3.89   3.76     1.89   2.28    -0.39
Carpenter,C    TOR   11   6.9     4.53   4.37     0.76   1.14    -0.37
Buehrle,M      CHW    9   5.3     3.52   3.37     3.27   3.64    -0.37
Rigdon,P       MIL    7   3.9     6.13   5.77    -1.01  -0.67    -0.34
Schoeneweis,S  ANA   13  10.4     5.25   5.14    -0.13   0.21    -0.34
ArmasJr,T      MON    6   3.2     4.63   4.50     0.19   0.50    -0.31
Martinez,P     BOS    6   3.3     2.41   2.21     3.06   3.36    -0.30
Beimel,J       PIT    9   6.4     7.19   6.86    -1.88  -1.58    -0.30
Wengert,D      PIT    6   1.3    12.60   9.89    -1.11  -0.82    -0.29
Vazquez,J      MON    6   3.2     3.71   3.59     2.72   3.01    -0.29
Levrault,A     MIL    7   5.1     6.72   6.55    -2.26  -1.98    -0.28
Holt,C         DET   11   8.2     6.43   6.22    -1.98  -1.72    -0.27

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20 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Burkett,J      ATL    2   7.6     3.51   3.75     3.05   2.57     0.47
Michalak,C     TOR    0   4.5     4.82   5.21     0.04  -0.32     0.36
Durbin,C       KCR    5   9.5     5.31   5.53    -0.51  -0.85     0.34
Sele,A         SEA    2   6.5     4.24   4.44     1.27   0.94     0.34
Wells,K        CHW    3   7.3     5.85   6.21    -0.90  -1.21     0.31
Astacio,P      C/H    5   7.7     3.96   4.07     0.84   0.54     0.30
Hudson,T       OAK    1   5.5     3.88   4.05     2.79   2.51     0.28
Radke,B        MIN    3   6.5     3.90   4.04     2.54   2.26     0.28
Schilling,C    ARI    0   2.4     3.05   3.14     5.26   4.98     0.28
Lima,J         H/D    5   7.9     6.07   6.24    -1.72  -1.97     0.26
Wood,K         CHC    1   3.4     3.74   3.87     1.73   1.48     0.25
Villone,R      C/H    3   6.1     6.34   6.75    -1.01  -1.26     0.25
Hiljus,E       OAK    0   2.4     4.16   4.55     0.30   0.06     0.24
Wise,M         ANA    0   2.5     5.26   5.74    -0.34  -0.58     0.24
Rusch,G        NYM    8  11.5     5.41   5.60    -0.91  -1.15     0.23
Johnson,J      BAL    5   9.6     5.08   5.30    -0.62  -0.85     0.23
Sparks,SW      DET    4   6.8     4.37   4.49     1.73   1.50     0.23
Appier,K       NYM    4   6.3     4.13   4.24     1.11   0.88     0.23
Cone,D         BOS    2   4.4     4.64   4.80     0.26   0.03     0.23
Wright,D       CHW    1   4.2     6.07   6.52    -0.72  -0.94     0.22

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Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Lopez,A        T/A  -1.1  -0.4    0.093
Ritchie,T      PIT  -0.8  -0.3    0.084
Vazquez,J      MON   2.7   3.0    0.083
Sparks,SW      DET   1.3   1.5    0.076
Wolf,R         PHI   1.3   1.0    0.076
Mussina,M      NYY   3.4   3.9    0.073
Hampton,M      COL   0.3  -0.5    0.073
Anderson,J     PIT  -1.4  -0.7    0.071
Morris,M       STL   2.7   3.2    0.070
Chacon,S       COL   1.3   1.0    0.070

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Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Suppan,J       KCR   0.2   0.0    0.035
Elarton,S      H/C  -2.4  -2.0    0.036
Cone,D         BOS   0.3   0.0    0.036
Levrault,A     MIL  -2.1  -2.0    0.037
Abbott,P       SEA   0.2   0.3    0.037
Bell,R         C/T  -2.8  -2.9    0.038
Clement,M      FLA  -1.8  -1.9    0.038
Dessens,E      CIN   1.0   1.5    0.039
Schilling,C    ARI   4.9   5.0    0.039
Mays,J         MIN   4.5   4.4    0.039

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Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL):
Team     SNW    SNL   SNPct.  E(W)    W    L    RA   AdjRA  SNVA
-----------------------------------------------------------------
OAK     66.8   47.9    .582   65.6   80   39   4.09   4.14   8.8
ARI     65.3   48.8    .573   63.4   67   49   4.20   4.25   7.3
ATL     63.8   48.4    .569   62.4   64   51   3.89   4.02   7.2
STL     62.1   49.3    .558   60.8   75   48   4.33   4.41   5.8
BOS     59.1   46.3    .561   56.1   55   49   4.60   4.36   6.0
SEA     61.8   51.3    .546   60.4   83   31   4.12   4.44   4.7
MIN     61.3   51.9    .541   59.8   60   56   4.73   4.42   4.6
ANA     58.9   53.1    .526   57.9   50   62   4.82   4.73   2.8
CHC     58.8   53.3    .524   58.2   66   49   4.50   4.65   2.3
PHI     58.4   53.8    .520   56.7   58   49   4.62   4.62   2.3
NYY     58.6   54.4    .518   56.4   64   48   4.71   4.78   1.8
TOR     58.0   54.1    .517   55.5   51   54   4.84   4.69   1.8
LAD     58.1   54.9    .514   57.0   58   50   4.43   4.74   1.0
NYM     58.7   56.4    .510   57.5   54   57   4.47   4.77   0.8
COL     56.6   54.8    .508   55.7   49   63   5.87   4.10   0.9
HOU     55.8   55.5    .501   54.0   64   48   5.12   4.82   0.0
SFG     56.5   57.4    .496   55.2   66   52   4.67   5.06  -1.0
CHW     53.5   58.0    .480   51.2   54   58   5.28   5.13  -2.2
FLA     54.8   59.6    .479   53.3   57   59   4.72   5.11  -2.6
MON     52.4   58.1    .474   50.7   48   75   5.18   5.18  -2.9
CLE     51.9   58.0    .472   49.7   60   50   5.68   5.48  -3.0
KCR     50.9   60.3    .458   48.8   52   75   5.54   5.37  -4.6
BAL     50.9   61.9    .451   49.2   46   71   5.28   5.36  -5.4
TAM     49.9   63.0    .442   48.5   43   72   5.81   5.77  -6.8
DET     51.5   65.7    .439   50.4   50   75   5.64   5.74  -7.0
SDP     50.2   65.5    .434   49.7   59   65   5.23   5.68  -7.8
MIL     47.3   62.8    .430   45.3   50   70   5.57   5.79  -7.7
PIT     47.8   64.7    .425   44.9   41   81   5.75   5.85  -8.2
CIN     45.5   62.5    .421   43.0   41   72   5.90   5.75  -8.2
TEX     44.9   69.3    .393   43.5   51   58   6.39   6.04 -11.6
-----------------------------------------------------------------
ML    1670.1 1701.2    .495 1620.9 1716 1736   4.98   4.98 -21.0

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Team Luck Totals
(teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)):
Team    E(W)    E(L)    W    L    Diff
---------------------------------------
SEA     60.4   51.3    83   31   42.9
OAK     65.6   47.9    80   39   23.3
TEX     43.5   69.3    51   58   18.8
CLE     49.7   58.0    60   50   18.3
HOU     54.0   55.5    64   48   17.5
SFG     55.2   57.4    66   52   16.2
STL     60.8   49.3    75   48   15.5
NYY     56.4   54.4    64   48   14.0
CHC     58.2   53.3    66   49   12.1
SDP     49.7   65.5    59   65    9.9
PHI     56.7   53.8    58   49    6.1
LAD     57.0   54.9    58   50    5.9
FLA     53.3   59.6    57   59    4.3
ARI     63.4   48.8    67   49    3.4
CHW     51.2   58.0    54   58    2.7
ATL     62.4   48.4    64   51   -1.1
MIL     45.3   62.8    50   70   -2.4
BOS     56.1   46.3    55   49   -3.8
MIN     59.8   51.9    60   56   -3.9
NYM     57.5   56.4    54   57   -4.1
TOR     55.5   54.1    51   54   -4.4
DET     50.4   65.7    50   75   -9.7
KCR     48.8   60.3    52   75  -11.5
CIN     43.0   62.5    41   72  -11.6
BAL     49.2   61.9    46   71  -12.3
TAM     48.5   63.0    43   72  -14.5
COL     55.7   54.8    49   63  -14.8
ANA     57.9   53.1    50   62  -16.8
MON     50.7   58.1    48   75  -19.6
PIT     44.9   64.7    41   81  -20.2
---------------------------------------
ML    1620.9 1701.2  1716 1736   60.3

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Team Bullpen Support Totals
(teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers):
Team      IR   E(IR)   RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA    BSup
----------------------------------------------------------
COL       36   47.7    4.10   4.17     1.79   0.92    0.86
SEA       27   36.4    4.44   4.53     5.39   4.67    0.72
MIN       24   31.6    4.42   4.48     5.05   4.60    0.46
BAL       38   45.6    5.36   5.44    -4.96  -5.40    0.43
CHW       35   42.4    5.13   5.20    -1.81  -2.17    0.36
CHC       20   24.4    4.65   4.70     2.57   2.26    0.31
TOR       37   44.5    4.69   4.76     2.05   1.82    0.23
ATL       23   26.6    4.02   4.05     7.38   7.17    0.21
DET       44   47.1    5.74   5.77    -6.90  -7.02    0.12
NYM       33   35.2    4.77   4.79     0.87   0.75    0.12
CIN       35   39.9    5.75   5.80    -8.13  -8.23    0.09
STL       26   25.5    4.41   4.40     5.91   5.82    0.08
KCR       42   45.5    5.37   5.40    -4.57  -4.59    0.02
CLE       51   49.2    5.48   5.46    -3.03  -3.05    0.02
HOU       33   33.8    4.82   4.82    -0.01   0.03   -0.04
OAK       34   35.7    4.14   4.16     8.70   8.80   -0.09
LAD       26   26.1    4.74   4.74     0.93   1.03   -0.10
ARI       19   16.7    4.25   4.23     7.16   7.29   -0.13
TEX       52   52.7    6.04   6.05   -11.75 -11.58   -0.17
NYY       38   35.8    4.78   4.75     1.45   1.78   -0.33
PIT       49   43.6    5.85   5.80    -8.68  -8.18   -0.50
MIL       45   40.5    5.79   5.74    -8.38  -7.74   -0.63
MON       33   26.0    5.18   5.12    -3.54  -2.89   -0.65
PHI       39   36.4    4.62   4.60     1.57   2.25   -0.68
TAM       33   28.7    5.77   5.73    -7.47  -6.78   -0.69
SDP       34   33.6    5.68   5.68    -8.56  -7.80   -0.75
FLA       47   41.6    5.11   5.05    -3.36  -2.56   -0.80
ANA       43   36.7    4.73   4.68     1.95   2.76   -0.80
BOS       51   43.3    4.36   4.28     4.94   6.02   -1.08
SFG       41   31.5    5.06   4.97    -2.21  -1.03   -1.19
----------------------------------------------------------
ML      1088 1104.2    4.98   4.99   -25.65 -21.04   -4.60

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Team-by-team stats:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS          Park Effect: -2.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,B   22  123.7  90  5.7 10.2  .358  3  9  6.55  -2.4  -2.2   -1.1
Batista,M    18   96.3  40  6.2  4.5  .580  6  6  3.74   1.1   0.8    1.7
Bierbrodt,N   5   23.0  21  1.1  2.4  .314  2  2  8.22  -0.9  -0.6   -0.4
Ellis,R      17   89.0  57  4.6  6.3  .422  6  5  5.76  -0.9  -1.0   -0.0
Johnson,R    34  242.7  74 19.1  6.3  .751 20  6  2.74   5.3   6.0    8.3
Knott,E       1    3.7   8  0.0  0.8  .013  0  1 19.64  -0.6  -0.4   -0.4
Lopez,A      13   81.0  36  5.9  4.0  .600  4  7  4.00   0.7   0.9    1.7
Morgan,M      1    4.0   5  0.1  0.4  .280  0  0 11.25  -0.3  -0.1   -0.1
Reynoso,A     9   46.7  32  2.2  3.9  .360  1  6  6.17  -0.7  -0.9   -0.4
Schilling,C  35  256.7  86 18.5  7.7  .708 22  6  3.02   4.9   5.0    7.4
Witt,B        7   36.0  19  1.8  2.4  .432  3  1  4.75   0.0  -0.2    0.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1002.7 468 65.3 48.8  .573 67 49  4.20   6.3   7.3   16.8


ATLANTA BRAVES                Park Effect: -6.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burkett,J    34  219.3  83 14.7  9.4  .611 12 12  3.41   3.1   2.6    4.5
Glavine,T    35  219.3  92 14.4  9.6  .601 16  7  3.78   2.2   2.3    4.2
Maddux,G     34  233.0  86 15.3  9.2  .623 17 11  3.32   3.5   2.8    4.8
Marquis,J    16   99.3  44  6.4  4.7  .577  4  6  3.99   0.8   0.7    1.7
Millwood,K   21  121.0  66  6.5  7.6  .461  7  7  4.91  -0.3  -0.5    0.5
Moss,D        1    4.0   2  0.2  0.3  .410  0  0  4.50   0.0  -0.0   -0.0
Perez,O      16   86.7  47  5.1  5.5  .480  6  6  4.88  -0.2  -0.2    0.6
Smoltz,J      5   25.0  16  1.2  2.1  .367  2  2  5.76  -0.3  -0.4   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1007.7 436 63.8 48.4  .569 64 51  3.89   8.7   7.2   16.1


CHICAGO CUBS                  Park Effect: -6.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Aybar,M       1    5.0   1  0.4  0.1  .799  1  0  1.80   0.2   0.1    0.2
Bere,J       32  188.0  99 12.1 10.7  .530 11 11  4.74  -0.1   0.6    2.4
Borowski,J    1    1.7   6  0.0  0.8  .001  0  1 32.40  -0.5  -0.4   -0.4
Cruz,J        8   44.7  16  2.9  1.8  .619  3  1  3.22   0.7   0.5    0.9
Lieber,J     34  232.3 104 13.7 10.9  .557 20  6  4.03   1.6   1.3    3.2
Tapani,K     29  168.3  93  9.7  9.9  .493  9 14  4.97  -0.5  -0.2    1.3
Tavarez,J    28  154.0  90  9.0 10.4  .464 10  9  5.26  -1.0  -0.8    0.7
Wood,K       28  174.3  70 11.0  7.9  .582 12  6  3.61   2.0   1.5    3.0
Zambrano,C    1    4.0   7  0.0  0.8  .027  0  1 15.75  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  972.3 486 58.8 53.3  .524 66 49  4.50   1.8   2.3   11.1


CINCINNATI REDS               Park Effect: +5.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acevedo,J    18   96.0  61  5.2  6.8  .433  5  7  5.72  -0.8  -0.8    0.1
Bell,R        9   44.3  28  1.9  3.4  .366  0  5  5.68  -0.3  -0.6   -0.3
Brower,J     10   49.3  36  2.4  4.0  .375  4  3  6.57  -0.8  -0.8   -0.3
Davis,L      20  106.3  60  6.4  6.9  .483  8  4  5.08  -0.1  -0.2    0.8
Dessens,E    34  205.0 103 12.7  9.4  .575 10 14  4.52   1.0   1.5    3.3
Fernandez,J   2    7.3   9  0.2  1.0  .147  0  1 11.05  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Fernandez,O  14   69.0  54  3.5  5.9  .370  5  6  7.04  -1.5  -1.2   -0.5
Hamilton,J    4   17.3  12  0.9  1.7  .342  1  2  6.23  -0.2  -0.4   -0.2
Harnisch,P    7   35.3  29  1.0  3.6  .223  1  3  7.39  -0.9  -1.2   -0.9
Reith,B       8   39.3  37  1.2  4.3  .218  0  7  8.47  -1.5  -1.4   -1.1
Reitsma,C    29  173.0 115  9.0 11.8  .434  6 15  5.98  -1.9  -1.3    0.2
Reyes,D       6   27.7  25  0.9  3.1  .226  1  4  8.13  -0.9  -1.1   -0.8
Winchester,S  1    5.0   5  0.1  0.6  .119  0  1  9.00  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  875.0 574 45.5 62.5  .421 41 72  5.90  -8.7  -8.2   -0.4


COLORADO ROCKIES              Park Effect: +60.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P    22  141.0  91  8.1  7.9  .508  6 13  5.81   0.6   0.1    1.3
Bohanon,B    19   96.0  79  5.3  6.8  .438  5  8  7.41  -1.0  -0.6    0.2
Chacon,S     27  160.0  96 10.6  8.4  .558  6 10  5.40   1.3   1.0    2.5
Elarton,S     4   23.0  17  1.2  1.4  .449  0  2  6.65  -0.1  -0.1    0.1
Hampton,M    32  203.0 138 11.4 12.3  .479 14 13  6.12   0.3  -0.5    1.3
Jennings,J    7   39.3  21  2.8  2.2  .556  4  1  4.81   0.5   0.3    0.7
Neagle,D     30  170.7 107  9.8  9.1  .519  9  8  5.64   1.0   0.3    1.8
Suzuki,M      1    4.3   4  0.1  0.6  .112  0  1  8.31  -0.1  -0.3   -0.2
Thomson,J    14   93.7  46  6.2  3.5  .638  4  5  4.42   1.6   1.3    2.1
Villone,R     6   27.3  26  1.1  2.6  .307  1  2  8.56  -0.6  -0.7   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  958.3 625 56.6 54.8  .508 49 63  5.87   3.8   0.9    9.2


FLORIDA MARLINS               Park Effect: -16.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beckett,J     4   24.0   9  1.6  1.0  .616  2  2  3.38   0.3   0.2    0.5
Burnett,A    27  173.3  82 10.6  9.3  .531 11 12  4.26   0.4   0.6    2.1
Clement,M    31  169.3 102  8.2 12.2  .402  9 10  5.42  -1.8  -1.9   -0.5
Dempster,R   34  211.3 123 11.3 13.8  .448 15 12  5.24  -1.9  -1.3    0.6
Grilli,J      5   25.7  18  1.1  2.2  .344  2  2  6.31  -0.5  -0.5   -0.3
Knotts,G      1    5.0   4  0.2  0.5  .234  0  1  7.20  -0.2  -0.2   -0.1
Nunez,V       3   17.7   9  0.9  1.1  .453  1  1  4.58  -0.0  -0.1    0.1
Olsen,K       2   12.0   2  1.0  0.3  .778  0  0  1.50   0.4   0.4    0.4
Penny,B      31  205.0  92 12.1 10.4  .536 10 10  4.04   0.9   0.6    2.5
Sanchez,J     9   52.0  28  3.1  3.1  .497  2  4  4.85  -0.2  -0.1    0.5
Smith,C      15   88.0  47  4.9  5.7  .464  5  5  4.81  -0.4  -0.4    0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  983.3 516 54.8 59.6  .479 57 59  4.72  -3.0  -2.6    6.2


HOUSTON ASTROS                Park Effect: +12.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P     4   28.7  10  1.8  0.9  .658  2  1  3.14   0.6   0.4    0.6
Bottenfield,  9   43.3  40  1.3  4.9  .215  2  5  8.31  -1.4  -1.7   -1.3
Dotel,O       4   21.0  14  1.2  1.4  .449  1  2  6.00  -0.2  -0.1    0.1
Elarton,S    20  109.7  88  4.6  8.6  .347  4  8  7.22  -2.4  -1.9   -1.0
Hernandez,C   3   17.7   2  1.8  0.2  .899  1  0  1.02   0.8   0.8    0.9
Lima,J        9   44.0  40  1.8  4.8  .278  1  2  8.18  -1.4  -1.4   -1.0
Mcknight,T    3   18.0   8  1.2  0.8  .610  1  0  4.00   0.2   0.2    0.4
Miller,W     32  212.0  91 14.1  8.1  .634 16  8  3.86   2.8   2.7    4.6
Mlicki,D     14   78.0  50  4.0  5.3  .428  6  3  5.77  -0.5  -0.7    0.0
Oswalt,R     20  127.7  44 10.1  4.2  .707 12  2  3.10   2.7   2.8    4.0
Powell,B      1    3.0   6  0.0  0.8  .020  0  1 18.00  -0.4  -0.4   -0.3
Redding,T     9   45.3  36  1.5  4.0  .276  3  1  7.15  -1.0  -1.1   -0.8
Reynolds,S   28  182.7  95 11.2  9.0  .553 14 11  4.68   0.9   1.0    2.6
Villone,R     6   30.0  23  1.2  2.5  .331  1  4  6.90  -0.6  -0.6   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  961.0 547 55.8 55.5  .501 64 48  5.12   0.1   0.0    8.5


LOS ANGELES DODGERS           Park Effect: -13.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adams,T      22  136.3  66  7.9  7.1  .528 10  6  4.36   0.2   0.3    1.5
Ashby,A       2   11.7   5  0.6  0.6  .502  2  0  3.86   0.1  -0.0    0.1
Baldwin,J    12   79.3  39  4.6  4.1  .528  3  6  4.42   0.1   0.2    0.9
Brown,K      19  114.3  41  8.2  4.7  .637 10  4  3.23   1.6   1.6    2.7
Carrara,G     3   16.0   4  1.1  0.5  .694  1  1  2.25   0.4   0.3    0.4
Dreifort,D   16   94.7  62  4.1  7.3  .360  4  7  5.89  -1.5  -1.6   -0.7
Gagne,E      24  137.3  85  7.1  9.6  .423  5  6  5.57  -1.6  -1.4   -0.0
Mulholland,T  3   15.0   8  0.7  1.1  .389  0  1  4.80  -0.0  -0.2   -0.1
Park,C       35  234.0  94 15.6 10.4  .601 15 10  3.62   2.3   2.5    4.6
Prokopec,L   22  130.7  72  6.9  8.0  .463  7  7  4.96  -0.7  -0.6    0.6
Springer,D    3   18.0   7  1.2  0.9  .581  1  1  3.50   0.2   0.1    0.3
Williams,J    1    6.0   6  0.1  0.7  .125  0  1  9.00  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  993.3 489 58.1 54.9  .514 58 50  4.43   0.8   1.0   10.1


MILWAUKEE BREWERS             Park Effect: -7.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coppinger,R   3   15.0   8  0.7  1.0  .399  1  0  4.80  -0.0  -0.2   -0.0
Cunnane,W     1    4.0   6  0.0  0.7  .059  0  1 13.50  -0.4  -0.3   -0.3
Damico,J     10   47.3  42  1.8  4.6  .285  2  4  7.99  -1.7  -1.4   -0.9
Haynes,J     29  169.3  91  9.9 10.5  .485  8 16  4.84  -0.3  -0.4    1.2
Leiter,M      3   12.7   4  0.8  0.5  .606  1  1  2.84   0.3   0.2    0.2
Levrault,A   20  104.3  75  4.6  8.5  .350  5 10  6.47  -2.1  -2.0   -1.0
Neugebauer,N  2    6.0   5  0.5  0.7  .405  1  1  7.50  -0.2  -0.1   -0.0
Peterson,K    2    8.7   7  0.4  0.9  .287  1  1  7.27  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Quevedo,R    10   56.7  30  3.8  3.2  .541  4  5  4.76  -0.1   0.2    0.8
Rigdon,P     15   79.3  52  4.3  5.7  .429  3  5  5.90  -1.1  -0.7    0.0
Sheets,B     25  151.3  89  7.6  9.9  .433 11 10  5.29  -1.1  -1.1    0.1
Suzuki,M      9   44.0  30  2.7  3.4  .439  2  4  6.14  -0.7  -0.4    0.1
Wright,Jam   33  194.7 114 10.3 13.1  .441 11 12  5.27  -1.3  -1.3    0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  893.3 553 47.3 62.8  .430 50 70  5.57  -9.0  -7.7    0.5


MONTREAL EXPOS                Park Effect: -0.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ArmasJr,T    34  196.7 101 11.9 10.7  .526  9 14  4.62   0.4   0.5    2.3
Blank,M       4   20.3  14  0.7  1.8  .290  2  2  6.20  -0.3  -0.5   -0.3
Irabu,H       3   16.7   9  0.8  0.9  .498  0  2  4.86  -0.0   0.0    0.1
Mattes,T      8   45.0  33  1.9  3.8  .328  3  3  6.60  -0.9  -0.9   -0.6
Munoz,B       7   34.3  24  1.9  2.6  .425  0  4  6.29  -0.5  -0.3    0.0
Ohka,T       10   54.7  30  2.9  3.4  .457  1  4  4.94  -0.1  -0.2    0.2
Pavano,C      8   42.7  33  2.3  3.5  .404  1  6  6.96  -1.0  -0.5   -0.1
Peters,C      6   27.7  21  1.2  2.3  .351  2  3  6.83  -0.6  -0.5   -0.3
Reames,B     13   64.0  48  3.1  5.6  .356  3  8  6.75  -1.3  -1.2   -0.6
Thurman,M    26  145.7  90  7.5  9.6  .438  9 11  5.56  -1.1  -1.1    0.2
Vazquez,J    32  223.7  92 15.6  9.3  .625 16 11  3.70   2.7   3.0    5.0
Yoshii,M     11   55.0  38  2.6  4.6  .358  2  7  6.22  -0.8  -1.0   -0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  926.3 533 52.4 58.1  .474 48 75  5.18  -3.4  -2.9    5.5


NEW YORK METS                 Park Effect: -13.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K     33  206.7  89 12.7 10.9  .539 11 10  3.88   1.5   0.9    2.7
Chen,B       11   59.7  37  3.1  4.7  .395  3  2  5.58  -0.7  -0.8   -0.2
Gonzalez,D    7   38.7  29  1.4  3.2  .299  2  2  6.75  -1.0  -0.9   -0.6
Hinchliffe,B  1    2.0   8  0.0  0.9  .004  0  1 36.00  -0.7  -0.4   -0.4
Leiter,A     29  187.3  81 11.9  8.8  .576 11 11  3.89   1.3   1.3    3.1
Reed,R       20  134.7  53  8.8  5.6  .613  8  6  3.54   1.5   1.6    2.7
Rusch,G      33  179.0 101 10.2 12.6  .448  8 12  5.08  -1.1  -1.1    0.5
Trachsel,S   28  173.7  90 10.6  9.9  .518 11 13  4.66  -0.3   0.2    1.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  981.7 488 58.7 56.4  .510 54 57  4.47   0.5   0.8    9.8


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES         Park Effect: -0.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Byrd,P        1    7.0   7  0.1  0.8  .093  0  1  9.00  -0.3  -0.3   -0.3
Chen,B       16   86.3  53  4.3  6.1  .415  4  5  5.53  -0.6  -0.9   -0.1
Coggin,D     17   95.0  46  6.2  5.3  .539  6  7  4.36   0.5   0.5    1.3
Daal,O       32  185.7 100 10.9 11.2  .494 13  7  4.85  -0.0  -0.2    1.5
Duckworth,B  11   69.0  29  4.2  3.1  .577  3  2  3.78   0.8   0.6    1.1
Figueroa,N   13   77.7  33  4.7  3.6  .568  4  5  3.82   0.8   0.6    1.2
Person,R     33  208.3 103 13.4 10.3  .566 15  7  4.45   0.9   1.6    3.3
Telemaco,A   14   74.7  51  4.4  5.5  .444  4  4  6.15  -1.0  -0.5    0.2
Wolf,R       25  157.0  71 10.2  8.0  .559  9 11  4.07   1.3   1.0    2.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  960.7 493 58.4 53.8  .520 58 49  4.62   2.2   2.3   10.7


PITTSBURGH PIRATES            Park Effect: -3.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,J   34  206.3 123 11.8 13.1  .475  9 17  5.37  -1.4  -0.7    1.2
Arroyo,B     13   67.3  46  3.0  5.5  .350  4  7  6.15  -1.0  -1.2   -0.6
Beimel,J     15   71.3  56  3.1  6.3  .328  4 10  7.07  -1.8  -1.6   -0.9
Martinez,R    4   15.7  15  0.4  2.2  .142  0  2  8.62  -0.7  -0.9   -0.7
Mcknight,T   12   69.3  44  3.3  5.1  .391  2  6  5.71  -0.7  -0.9   -0.3
Mulholland,T  1    3.7   2  0.2  0.2  .491  0  0  4.91  -0.0  -0.0    0.0
Olivares,O   12   63.7  52  2.3  5.9  .283  2  7  7.35  -1.8  -1.7   -1.2
Ritchie,T    33  207.3 118 12.0 12.7  .487 11 15  5.12  -0.8  -0.3    1.5
Schmidt,J    14   84.0  46  5.2  4.6  .529  6  6  4.93  -0.2   0.2    1.0
Vogelsong,R   2    6.0  10  0.0  1.5  .028  0  2 15.00  -0.7  -0.7   -0.6
Wengert,D     4   16.0  22  0.4  2.2  .153  0  2 12.38  -1.3  -0.8   -0.7
Williams,D   18  104.0  50  6.1  5.4  .532  3  7  4.33   0.5   0.4    1.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  914.7 584 47.8 64.7  .425 41 81  5.75  -9.8  -8.2    0.0


ST. LOUIS CARDINALS           Park Effect: -3.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ankiel,R      6   24.0  21  0.8  2.6  .236  1  2  7.88  -0.8  -0.8   -0.6
Benes,Al      1    6.0   2  0.4  0.2  .659  1  0  3.00   0.1   0.1    0.1
Benes,An     19   97.7  79  4.1  8.4  .328  6  6  7.28  -2.7  -2.0   -1.2
Hermanson,D  33  192.3 106 11.0 11.3  .492 14 13  4.96  -0.4  -0.3    1.5
Kile,D       34  227.3  83 16.2  8.2  .665 16 11  3.29   3.6   3.6    5.8
Matthews,M   10   47.3  27  2.9  3.3  .467  2  4  5.13  -0.2  -0.2    0.3
Morris,M     34  216.3  86 15.7  8.7  .643 22  8  3.58   2.7   3.2    5.3
Smith,B      14   82.7  40  5.2  4.2  .553  6  3  4.35   0.4   0.5    1.2
Williams,W   11   75.0  22  5.9  2.4  .711  7  1  2.64   1.7   1.7    2.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  968.7 466 62.1 49.3  .558 75 48  4.33   4.4   5.8   14.8


SAN DIEGO PADRES              Park Effect: -17.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Eaton,A      17  116.7  61  5.7  6.8  .454  8  5  4.71  -0.4  -0.6    0.4
Herndon,J     8   39.7  27  2.2  3.3  .402  2  5  6.13  -0.8  -0.5   -0.1
Hitchcock,S   3   19.0   9  0.9  1.1  .449  2  1  4.26   0.0  -0.1    0.0
Jarvis,K     32  193.3 107 10.7 11.9  .475 12 11  4.98  -1.2  -0.7    1.1
Jodie,B       2   10.0   3  0.7  0.4  .632  0  1  2.70   0.2   0.1    0.2
Jones,B      33  195.0 137  8.4 16.2  .342  8 19  6.32  -4.2  -3.9   -2.0
Lawrence,B   15   97.7  44  6.1  5.0  .548  5  5  4.05   0.4   0.6    1.4
Loewer,C      2    4.3  12  0.0  1.7  .008  0  2 24.92  -1.0  -0.8   -0.7
Middlebrook,  3   16.0   6  1.1  0.8  .585  2  1  3.38   0.2   0.1    0.3
Serrano,W     5   28.7  19  1.2  2.3  .347  2  3  5.97  -0.5  -0.5   -0.3
Tollberg,B   19  117.3  58  6.6  6.5  .504 10  4  4.45  -0.0  -0.1    1.0
Williams,W   23  145.0  88  6.6  9.7  .407  8  8  5.46  -1.7  -1.5   -0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  982.7 571 50.2 65.5  .434 59 65  5.23  -8.9  -7.8    1.0


SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS          Park Effect: -16.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estes,S      27  159.0  78 10.1  8.9  .533  9  8  4.42   0.0   0.6    2.0
Gardner,M    15   81.0  51  4.5  5.9  .437  4  5  5.67  -1.1  -0.7    0.1
Hernandez,L  34  226.7 143  9.6 16.8  .364 13 15  5.68  -3.2  -3.5   -1.6
Jensen,R      7   35.0  14  2.3  1.7  .577  1  2  3.60   0.3   0.3    0.6
Ortiz,R      33  218.7  90 14.0  9.4  .598 17  9  3.70   1.8   2.1    4.1
Rueter,K     34  195.3 105 11.4 11.6  .495 14 12  4.84  -0.9  -0.4    1.6
Schmidt,J    11   66.3  29  4.3  2.9  .593  7  1  3.93   0.4   0.5    1.2
Zerbe,C       1    5.0   2  0.2  0.3  .463  1  0  3.60   0.0   0.0    0.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  987.0 512 56.5 57.4  .496 66 52  4.67  -2.6  -1.0    8.1


ANAHEIM ANGELS                Park Effect: +3.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cooper,B      1    5.0   2  0.3  0.2  .602  0  1  3.60   0.1   0.1    0.1
Green,S       1    6.0   2  0.4  0.2  .728  0  0  3.00   0.1   0.1    0.2
Levine,A      1    3.0   3  0.1  0.4  .196  0  0  9.00  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Ortiz,Ra     32  208.7 114 11.7 11.1  .514 13 11  4.92   0.1   0.4    2.0
Pote,L        1    5.0   1  0.5  0.1  .867  1  0  1.80   0.2   0.2    0.2
Rapp,P       28  165.0  94  8.9  9.6  .480  5 12  5.13  -0.3  -0.4    1.0
Schoeneweis, 32  205.3 122 12.1 11.7  .509 10 11  5.35  -0.8   0.2    2.0
Valdes,I     27  163.7  82 10.8  7.8  .580  9 13  4.51   0.8   1.4    2.9
Washburn,J   30  193.3  89 12.1  8.8  .579 11 10  4.14   1.7   1.5    3.2
Wise,M        9   45.3  27  1.9  3.2  .370  1  4  5.36  -0.2  -0.6   -0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1000.3 536 58.9 53.1  .526 50 62  4.82   1.7   2.8   11.3


BALTIMORE ORIOLES             Park Effect: -3.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bauer,R       6   33.0  22  1.6  2.7  .370  0  5  6.00  -0.4  -0.5   -0.2
Douglass,S    4   20.3  12  0.9  1.6  .375  2  1  5.31  -0.1  -0.3   -0.1
Hentgen,P     9   62.3  25  3.9  2.5  .614  2  3  3.61   0.8   0.7    1.2
Johnson,J    32  196.0 109 10.3 12.1  .460 10 12  5.01  -0.4  -0.9    0.8
Kohlmeier,R   1    4.7   4  0.1  0.6  .117  0  1  7.71  -0.1  -0.2   -0.2
Maduro,C     12   69.0  35  4.5  3.7  .551  5  4  4.57   0.2   0.4    1.0
Mcelroy,C     5   23.7  17  1.2  1.9  .380  1  1  6.46  -0.4  -0.3   -0.1
Mercedes,J   31  182.3 122  8.7 13.1  .401  8 16  6.02  -2.4  -2.2   -0.5
Parrish,J     1    6.0   6  0.1  0.6  .177  0  1  9.00  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
Ponson,S     23  138.3  83  6.9  8.9  .437  5 10  5.40  -0.9  -1.0    0.2
Roberts,W    18  102.3  65  5.7  6.9  .450  6  8  5.72  -1.0  -0.7    0.3
Towers,J     20  131.7  69  6.9  7.4  .482  7  9  4.72   0.1  -0.2    0.8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  969.7 569 50.9 61.9  .451 46 71  5.28  -4.9  -5.4    2.9


BOSTON RED SOX                Park Effect: +10.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arrojo,R      9   48.3  16  3.8  1.8  .686  2  1  2.98   1.1   1.0    1.5
Castillo,F   26  136.7  72  9.4  7.7  .549 10  9  4.74   0.6   0.8    2.1
Cone,D       25  135.7  74  7.9  7.7  .504  9  7  4.91   0.3   0.0    1.2
Crawford,P    7   34.0  18  2.5  2.0  .556  3  0  4.76   0.1   0.3    0.6
Fossum,C      7   34.7  25  1.7  2.6  .397  2  2  6.49  -0.5  -0.4   -0.1
Kim,S         2   10.3   9  0.4  1.0  .281  0  1  7.84  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
Lowe,D        3   16.0   2  1.7  0.1  .945  1  0  1.12   0.7   0.7    0.9
Martinez,P   18  116.7  33  9.8  2.7  .786  7  3  2.55   3.2   3.4    4.5
Nomo,H       33  198.0 105 12.2 10.0  .549 13 10  4.77   0.8   1.1    2.8
Ohka,T       11   51.3  38  2.7  4.2  .394  2  5  6.66  -0.8  -0.7   -0.2
Saberhagen,B  3   15.0  11  0.8  1.1  .406  1  2  6.60  -0.2  -0.2   -0.0
Wakefield,T  17  104.7  58  6.1  5.4  .531  5  9  4.99   0.2   0.2    1.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  901.3 461 59.1 46.3  .561 55 49  4.60   5.2   6.0   14.3


CHICAGO WHITE SOX             Park Effect: +5.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baldwin,J    16   92.3  55  5.1  6.0  .457  7  5  5.36  -0.3  -0.4    0.4
Biddle,R     21  113.7  80  5.4  8.3  .397  4  7  6.33  -1.6  -1.4   -0.4
Buehrle,M    32  221.3  89 15.5  8.1  .656 16  8  3.62   3.3   3.6    5.5
Eldred,C      2    6.0   9  0.1  1.0  .123  0  1 13.50  -0.5  -0.4   -0.4
Garland,J    16   82.7  48  5.1  5.0  .506  4  6  5.23  -0.2   0.0    0.8
Glover,G     11   57.0  36  2.9  3.8  .433  2  4  5.68  -0.4  -0.5    0.1
Lowe,S       11   66.7  37  4.1  3.8  .520  4  4  5.00   0.0   0.2    0.8
Parque,J      5   28.0  26  1.0  2.8  .257  0  3  8.36  -1.0  -0.8   -0.6
Wells,D      16  100.7  55  5.7  6.0  .490  5  7  4.92   0.1  -0.2    0.8
Wells,K      20  104.7  70  5.6  8.1  .408  7 10  6.02  -1.1  -1.2   -0.2
Wright,D     12   63.3  44  3.0  5.2  .367  5  3  6.25  -0.8  -0.9   -0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  936.3 549 53.5 58.0  .480 54 58  5.28  -2.4  -2.2    6.1


CLEVELAND INDIANS             Park Effect: +7.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burba,D      27  137.7 108  6.9 11.6  .375 10 10  7.06  -2.9  -2.2   -0.9
Colon,B      34  222.3 106 14.3 10.2  .584 14 12  4.29   1.8   2.1    3.9
Drese,R       4   23.7  10  1.7  0.8  .693  1  1  3.80   0.3   0.4    0.7
Drew,T        6   25.7  26  0.7  3.1  .191  0  2  9.12  -1.1  -1.1   -0.9
Finley,C     22  113.7  78  6.9  8.2  .457  8  7  6.18  -1.3  -0.7    0.5
Nagy,C       13   67.0  50  3.4  5.3  .392  4  5  6.72  -1.2  -0.9   -0.3
Sabathia,C   33  180.3  93 12.2  9.5  .563 17  5  4.64   0.8   1.1    3.0
Westbrook,J   6   28.7  24  1.3  2.5  .341  2  3  7.53  -0.7  -0.5   -0.3
Woodard,S    10   49.7  37  2.5  4.2  .376  2  3  6.70  -0.9  -0.8   -0.3
Wright,Jar    7   29.0  22  1.8  2.7  .405  2  2  6.83  -0.5  -0.5   -0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  877.7 554 51.9 58.0  .472 60 50  5.68  -5.7  -3.0    5.2


DETROIT TIGERS                Park Effect: -3.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Blair,W       4   17.0  25  0.4  2.6  .135  0  4 13.24  -1.5  -1.1   -0.9
Cornejo,N    10   42.7  38  1.8  4.8  .275  4  4  8.02  -1.5  -1.4   -1.0
Holt,C       22  127.0  89  5.8  9.5  .380  7  9  6.31  -2.1  -1.7   -0.7
Lima,J       18  112.7  66  6.0  7.2  .455  5 10  5.27  -0.6  -0.6    0.4
Mlicki,D     15   81.0  69  3.2  7.8  .294  4  8  7.67  -2.5  -2.3   -1.4
Moehler,B     1    8.0   3  0.5  0.3  .619  0  0  3.38   0.1   0.1    0.1
Murray,H      4   16.3  14  0.8  1.8  .308  1  3  7.71  -0.5  -0.5   -0.3
Perisho,M     4   15.3  20  0.4  2.2  .159  0  2 11.74  -1.1  -0.9   -0.7
Pettyjohn,A   9   53.7  35  2.3  3.6  .388  0  6  5.87  -0.6  -0.6   -0.2
Redman,M      2    9.0   6  0.3  0.9  .275  0  2  6.00  -0.1  -0.3   -0.2
Santos,V      7   36.0  22  2.1  2.3  .479  2  2  5.50  -0.3  -0.1    0.2
Sparks,SW    33  230.7 110 14.3 11.2  .561 14  9  4.29   1.3   1.5    3.5
Weaver,J     33  229.3 116 13.4 11.6  .538 13 16  4.55   0.6   0.8    2.8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  978.7 613 51.5 65.7  .439 50 75  5.64  -8.8  -7.0    1.7


KANSAS CITY ROYALS            Park Effect: +6.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Byrd,P       15   88.0  44  5.7  4.7  .549  5  6  4.50   0.5   0.5    1.3
Durbin,C     29  179.0 109  9.7 11.7  .453  9 16  5.48  -0.8  -0.9    0.6
George,C     13   74.0  48  3.6  5.1  .411  4  8  5.84  -0.6  -0.7   -0.1
Macdougal,M   3   15.3  10  0.6  1.1  .361  1  1  5.87  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Meadows,B    10   50.3  41  1.9  4.4  .306  1  6  7.33  -1.2  -1.1   -0.8
Reichert,D   19  109.7  75  5.7  7.7  .426  8  8  6.16  -1.3  -1.1    0.0
Stein,B      15   75.0  44  4.8  4.7  .503  6  6  5.28  -0.2  -0.0    0.7
Suppan,J     34  218.3 120 11.8 11.6  .504 10 14  4.95   0.2   0.0    1.9
Suzuki,M      9   43.7  27  2.7  3.0  .477  2  5  5.56  -0.2  -0.2    0.3
Wilson,K     15   84.7  59  4.4  6.3  .410  6  5  6.27  -1.1  -1.0   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  938.0 577 50.9 60.3  .458 52 75  5.54  -4.9  -4.6    3.6


MINNESOTA TWINS               Park Effect: +13.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Johnson,A     4   20.0  17  0.8  1.9  .292  1  2  7.65  -0.5  -0.6   -0.4
Lohse,K      16   84.3  58  4.1  6.5  .386  4  7  6.19  -0.8  -1.1   -0.4
Mays,J       34  233.7  87 17.0  7.5  .694 17 13  3.35   4.5   4.4    6.6
Milton,E     34  218.0 106 13.9 10.2  .578 15  7  4.38   1.9   1.7    3.7
Radke,B      33  226.0 105 14.6 10.2  .589 15 11  4.18   2.4   2.3    4.1
Redman,M      9   49.0  26  3.1  2.5  .556  2  4  4.78   0.2   0.3    0.7
Reed,R       12   67.7  45  3.7  4.6  .449  4  6  5.99  -0.5  -0.4    0.2
Romero,J     11   56.3  45  2.5  4.7  .352  1  4  7.19  -1.1  -0.9   -0.5
Santana,Jo    4   19.7  15  0.7  1.6  .299  1  0  6.86  -0.3  -0.4   -0.3
Thomas,B      5   16.3  17  0.7  2.2  .250  0  2  9.37  -0.7  -0.7   -0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  991.0 521 61.3 51.9  .541 60 56  4.73   4.9   4.6   13.2


NEW YORK YANKEES              Park Effect: -2.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clemens,R    33  220.3  94 13.8  9.4  .594 20  3  3.84   2.3   2.0    3.9
Hernandez,A   3   15.0   9  0.7  1.1  .387  0  3  5.40  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Hernandez,O  16   90.7  51  5.5  5.2  .514  3  7  5.06  -0.2   0.1    1.0
Hitchcock,S   9   49.7  34  2.3  4.0  .368  4  4  6.16  -0.7  -0.7   -0.4
Jodie,B       1    2.0   6  0.0  0.8  .008  0  1 27.00  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Keisler,R    10   50.7  36  2.1  4.1  .334  1  2  6.39  -0.9  -1.0   -0.6
Lilly,T      21  104.0  74  5.3  8.6  .382  4  6  6.40  -1.8  -1.4   -0.6
Mendoza,R     2    9.7   9  0.2  1.1  .117  0  0  8.38  -0.4  -0.4   -0.4
Mussina,M    34  228.7  87 17.1  8.7  .662 17 11  3.42   3.4   3.9    6.1
Parker,C      1    3.0   7  0.0  0.8  .010  0  1 21.00  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Pettitte,A   31  200.7 103 11.6 10.6  .523 15 10  4.62   0.4   0.4    2.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  974.3 510 58.6 54.4  .518 64 48  4.71   1.2   1.8   10.5


OAKLAND ATHLETICS             Park Effect: -2.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heredia,G    18   98.7  71  4.2  7.9  .344  6  8  6.48  -1.7  -1.8   -1.0
Hiljus,E     11   57.0  26  3.2  3.0  .522  5  0  4.11   0.4   0.1    0.6
Hudson,T     35  235.0 100 15.9 10.4  .605 18  9  3.83   2.5   2.5    4.7
Lidle,C      29  188.0  84 12.4  8.3  .601 13  6  4.02   1.6   2.1    3.6
Mulder,M     34  229.3  92 16.1  9.0  .641 21  8  3.61   3.0   3.4    5.4
Zito,B       35  214.3  92 14.9  9.3  .614 17  8  3.86   2.2   2.5    4.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1022.3 465 66.8 47.9  .582 80 39  4.09   8.1   8.8   18.1


SEATTLE MARINERS              Park Effect: -15.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abbott,P     27  161.0  79  9.3  8.5  .522 17  4  4.42   0.2   0.3    1.7
Garcia,F     34  238.7  88 15.4  9.9  .609 18  6  3.32   3.1   2.7    4.7
Halama,J     17   81.0  63  4.3  7.7  .359  6  6  7.00  -2.2  -1.7   -0.8
Moyer,J      33  209.7  84 13.9  8.9  .609 20  6  3.61   2.1   2.2    4.2
Pineiro,J    11   61.0  23  4.6  2.6  .637  5  2  3.39   0.8   0.9    1.5
Sele,A       33  213.0  93 12.8 10.8  .542 15  5  3.93   1.4   0.9    2.8
Stark,D       3   11.7  12  0.6  1.2  .312  1  1  9.26  -0.6  -0.4   -0.2
Tomko,B       4   18.3  13  0.9  1.6  .355  1  1  6.38  -0.4  -0.4   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  994.3 455 61.8 51.3  .546 83 31  4.12   4.3   4.7   13.7


TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS          Park Effect: +1.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bierbrodt,N  11   61.3  38  3.6  3.9  .479  3  4  5.58  -0.4  -0.2    0.4
Harper,T      2    7.0  11  0.2  1.3  .134  0  2 14.14  -0.7  -0.5   -0.4
Judd,M        2    8.7   7  0.4  0.9  .303  1  0  7.27  -0.2  -0.2   -0.1
Kennedy,J    20  117.7  63  6.9  6.3  .522  7  8  4.82   0.1   0.2    1.3
Lopez,A      20  124.7  87  6.2  8.8  .412  5 12  6.28  -1.8  -1.3   -0.2
Rekar,B      25  140.7 104  5.9 11.1  .348  3 13  6.65  -2.6  -2.5   -1.3
Rose,B        3   11.0  15  0.2  1.8  .092  0  2 12.27  -0.9  -0.8   -0.7
Rupe,R       26  141.7  99  7.3 10.3  .415  5 11  6.29  -2.1  -1.5   -0.2
Standridge,J  1    6.3   0  0.6  0.1  .911  0  0  0.00   0.3   0.3    0.3
Sturtze,T    27  177.0  87 11.1  8.6  .562 11 10  4.42   0.9   1.1    2.7
Wallace,J     1    5.0   5  0.1  0.6  .178  0  1  9.00  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Wilson,P     24  131.7  86  7.4  9.4  .441  8  9  5.88  -1.3  -1.1    0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  932.7 602 49.9 63.0  .442 43 72  5.81  -8.8  -6.8    1.9


TEXAS RANGERS                 Park Effect: +10.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bell,R       18  105.3  87  4.0  8.9  .310  5  5  7.43  -2.5  -2.3   -1.5
Benoit,J      1    5.0   6  0.1  0.7  .072  0  0 10.80  -0.3  -0.3   -0.3
Davis,D      30  186.0 103 10.3 10.8  .488 11 10  4.98   0.3  -0.3    1.3
Duchscherer,  2   10.3  10  0.3  1.1  .185  1  1  8.71  -0.4  -0.4   -0.3
Glynn,R       9   40.7  35  1.9  4.3  .305  1  5  7.75  -1.1  -1.1   -0.7
Helling,R    34  215.7 134 11.1 13.4  .453 12 11  5.59  -1.0  -1.0    0.7
Judd,M        1    2.7   6  0.0  0.7  .042  0  1 20.25  -0.4  -0.3   -0.3
Mahomes,P     4   15.0  21  0.4  2.5  .143  1  2 12.60  -1.2  -1.0   -0.8
Myette,A     15   71.3  59  3.5  6.7  .345  4  5  7.44  -1.7  -1.5   -0.8
Oliver,D     28  154.0 109  7.5 11.8  .390 11 11  6.37  -1.9  -2.1   -0.7
Rogers,Ken   20  120.7  88  5.8  8.4  .407  5  7  6.56  -1.8  -1.2   -0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  926.7 658 44.9 69.3  .393 51 58  6.39 -11.8 -11.6   -3.6


TORONTO BLUE JAYS             Park Effect: +6.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carpenter,C  34  215.7 112 13.4 11.0  .550 11 11  4.67   0.8   1.1    3.1
Coco,P        1    4.3   3  0.3  0.2  .509  0  0  6.23  -0.1  -0.0    0.0
Escobar,K    11   68.0  25  5.0  2.7  .650  4  4  3.31   1.2   1.2    1.7
Halladay,R   16  103.0  35  7.6  3.3  .700  5  3  3.06   2.1   2.0    3.0
Hamilton,J   22  122.3  88  5.4  9.4  .364  5  8  6.47  -1.8  -1.8   -0.9
Loaiza,E     30  180.7 108 10.2 11.3  .474 11 11  5.38  -0.6  -0.6    1.1
Lyon,B       11   63.0  31  4.3  3.2  .579  5  4  4.43   0.4   0.5    1.2
Michalak,C   18   99.7  55  5.7  6.4  .470  6  7  4.97   0.1  -0.3    0.5
Parris,S     19  105.7  60  6.1  6.6  .480  4  6  5.11  -0.1  -0.3    0.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  962.3 517 58.0 54.1  .517 51 54  4.84   2.1   1.8   10.4


Multi-team pitcher totals:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher   Teams GS   IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P   C/H 26 169.7 101 10.0  8.8  .530  8 14  5.36   1.2   0.5    2.0
Baldwin,J   C/L 28 171.7  94  9.6 10.1  .488 10 11  4.93  -0.3  -0.3    1.2
Bell,R      C/T 27 149.7 115  6.0 12.3  .326  5 10  6.92  -2.8  -2.9   -1.8
Bierbrodt,N A/T 16  84.3  59  4.7  6.3  .427  5  6  6.30  -1.3  -0.8    0.0
Byrd,P      P/K 16  95.0  51  5.7  5.4  .514  5  7  4.83   0.2   0.2    1.0
Chen,B      P/N 27 146.0  90  7.4 10.8  .406  7  7  5.55  -1.3  -1.7   -0.3
Elarton,S   H/C 24 132.7 105  5.7 10.0  .364  4 10  7.12  -2.4  -2.0   -1.0
Hamilton,J  T/C 26 139.7 100  6.2 11.0  .361  6 10  6.44  -2.1  -2.2   -1.1
Hitchcock,S S/N 12  68.7  43  3.2  5.1  .387  6  5  5.64  -0.7  -0.8   -0.3
Jodie,B     N/S  3  12.0   9  0.7  1.2  .371  0  2  6.75  -0.3  -0.2   -0.1
Judd,M      T/T  3  11.3  13  0.4  1.5  .209  1  1 10.32  -0.6  -0.5   -0.4
Lima,J      H/D 27 156.7 106  7.9 12.0  .396  6 12  6.09  -2.0  -2.0   -0.6
Lopez,A     T/A 33 205.7 123 12.1 12.7  .487  9 19  5.38  -1.1  -0.4    1.5
Mcknight,T  H/P 15  87.3  52  4.5  5.9  .433  3  6  5.36  -0.5  -0.7    0.1
Mlicki,D    D/H 29 159.0 119  7.2 13.1  .355 10 11  6.74  -3.0  -3.0   -1.4
Mulholland,TP/L  4  18.7  10  0.9  1.3  .409  0  1  4.82  -0.1  -0.2   -0.0
Ohka,T      B/M 21 106.0  68  5.6  7.6  .424  3  9  5.77  -0.9  -0.9   -0.0
Redman,M    M/D 11  58.0  32  3.5  3.4  .505  2  6  4.97   0.1   0.0    0.6
Reed,R      N/M 32 202.3  98 12.6 10.1  .553 12 12  4.36   0.9   1.2    2.9
Schmidt,J   P/S 25 150.3  75  9.5  7.5  .556 13  7  4.49   0.2   0.8    2.2
Suzuki,M    K/C 19  92.0  61  5.5  7.1  .438  4 10  5.97  -1.0  -0.9    0.2
Villone,R   C/H 12  57.3  49  2.4  5.1  .319  2  6  7.69  -1.1  -1.3   -0.8
Williams,W  S/S 34 220.0 110 12.5 12.0  .509 15  9  4.50   0.1   0.2    2.1


MAJOR LEAGUE Totals:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 GS      IP      R    SNW    E(W)   SNL   SNPct   W    L    RA     APW   SNVA
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4858  28774.3 15928 1670.1 1620.9 1701.2  .495  1716 1736  4.98  -36.5  -21.0



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Definition of terms:
SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins,
   assuming he had league-average support.
SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses.
SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the
   pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over
   what a league-average pitcher would be worth.

The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings
pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring
distribution, combined with simple probability theory.  They are
park-adjusted.


SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number
   of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the
   same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions.
SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL)
W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses
RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings
APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating
   a starter's value in wins.  Included for comparison with SNVA.  APW
   values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs.
E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer
   than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise.  (This is *true* expected wins)
E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL

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Comments and questions welcome.


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