Biographical

Portrait of Trea Turner

Trea Turner SS  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
397 .267 10 58 39 27 108 2.9
Birth Date6-30-1993
Height6' 2"
Weight185 lbs
Age30 years, 9 months, 25 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.12015
2.42016
2.72017
5.02018
2.92019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2015 WAS 22 27 44 9 1 0 1 4 12 0 2 2 .225 .295 .325 77 -1.0 0.1 0.5 0.1
2016 WAS 23 73 324 105 14 8 13 14 59 1 33 6 .342 .370 .567 128 11.4 5.9 -3.2 2.4
2017 WAS 24 98 447 117 24 6 11 30 80 4 46 8 .284 .338 .451 99 1.0 6.8 0.2 2.7
2018 WAS 25 162 740 180 27 6 19 69 132 5 43 9 .271 .344 .416 107 8.5 2.7 7.1 5.0
2019 WAS 26 122 569 155 37 5 19 43 113 3 35 5 .298 .353 .497 108 8.3 4.1 3.8 4.0
Career482212456610325631603961315930.291.348.46710828.219.68.414.3

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2014 FTW A MID 46 216 .251 .318 .373 .478 109 17.8 6.2 1.3 182 0 0.7 2.8 15.5 2.7
2014 EUG A- NOR 23 105 .266 .335 .396 .278 100 1.3 2.9 0.1 93 0 1.5 0.7 -3.7 0.1
2015 WAS MLB NL 27 44 .249 .310 .398 .296 90 -0.1 1.2 0.1 77 14 0.5 0.1 -1.0 0.1
2015 HAR AA EAS 10 41 .248 .306 .344 .438 93 2.1 1.1 0.5 119 0 -1.0 0.2 0.0 0.1
2015 SAN AA TEX 58 254 .262 .335 .392 .389 111 8.4 6.8 3 139 0 5.5 1.6 5.6 2.4
2015 SYR AAA INT 48 205 .258 .326 .365 .381 95 6.1 5.7 2.4 117 0 4.6 2.0 0.5 1.6
2016 WAS MLB NL 73 324 .261 .326 .427 .388 92 27.8 9.2 0.4 128 12 -3.2 5.9 11.4 2.4
2016 SYR AAA INT 83 371 .252 .314 .378 .369 102 17.1 10.4 4.2 137 0 9.8 6.1 10.4 4.2
2017 WAS MLB NL 98 447 .263 .330 .439 .329 97 10.7 13.1 6 99 8 0.2 6.8 1.0 2.7
2017 POT A+ CAR 4 13 .273 .348 .434 .200 101 -0.9 0.4 0 43 0 0.3 -0.2 -0.7 0.0
2017 SYR AAA INT 3 10 .190 .280 .343 .000 106 -2.2 0.3 0.1 18 0 0.0 0.0 -0.8 0.0
2018 WAS MLB NL 162 740 .246 .317 .404 .314 100 13.5 20.8 9.5 107 7 7.1 2.7 8.5 5.0
2019 WAS MLB NL 122 569 .255 .325 .434 .348 103 13.8 17.2 7.9 108 7 3.8 4.1 8.3 4.0
2019 POT A+ CAR 2 9 .208 .312 .290 .250 102 -1.2 0.2 0.1 43 0 -0.2 0.0 -0.5 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2014 EUG A- NOR 105 92 14 21 2 0 1 26 2 11 19 9 1 .228 .324 .283 .054 0
2014 FTW A MID 216 187 31 69 14 2 4 99 22 24 48 14 3 .369 .447 .529 .160 1
2015 SAN AA TEX 254 227 31 73 13 3 5 107 35 24 48 11 4 .322 .385 .471 .150 1 2
2015 WAS MLB NL 44 40 5 9 1 0 1 13 1 4 12 2 2 .225 .295 .325 .100 0 0
2015 HAR AA EAS 41 39 6 14 4 1 0 20 4 1 8 4 0 .359 .366 .513 .154 1 0
2015 SYR AAA INT 205 188 31 59 7 3 3 81 15 13 41 14 2 .314 .353 .431 .117 3 1
2016 WAS MLB NL 324 307 53 105 14 8 13 174 40 14 59 33 6 .342 .370 .567 .225 2 0
2016 SYR AAA INT 371 331 61 100 22 8 6 156 33 37 72 25 2 .302 .370 .471 .169 2 1
2017 POT A+ CAR 13 12 1 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 3 0 1 .167 .154 .250 .083 1 0
2017 SYR AAA INT 10 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 .000 .100 .000 .000 0 0
2017 WAS MLB NL 447 412 75 117 24 6 11 186 45 30 80 46 8 .284 .338 .451 .167 1 0
2018 WAS MLB NL 740 664 103 180 27 6 19 276 73 69 132 43 9 .271 .344 .416 .145 0 2
2019 POT A+ CAR 9 8 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 .125 .222 .125 .000 0 0
2019 WAS MLB NL 569 521 96 155 37 5 19 259 57 43 113 35 5 .298 .353 .497 .200 2 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2015 170 0.5588 0.3941 0.7910 0.5368 0.2133 0.8627 0.5625 0.2090 -0.0001
2016 1232 0.4927 0.4692 0.7630 0.6310 0.3120 0.8721 0.5487 0.2370 0.0000
2017 1685 0.4979 0.4350 0.7722 0.6067 0.2648 0.8625 0.5670 0.2278 0.0000
2018 2914 0.4935 0.4334 0.7957 0.6140 0.2575 0.8788 0.6026 0.2043 0.0000
2019 2218 0.4739 0.4662 0.7660 0.6508 0.2999 0.8757 0.5514 0.2340 0.0000
Career82190.49030.44710.77790.62340.27770.87330.57260.22210.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2033 PHI $27,272,730
2032 PHI $27,272,727
2031 PHI $27,272,727
2030 PHI $27,272,727
2029 PHI $27,272,727
2028 PHI $27,272,727
2027 PHI $27,272,727
2026 PHI $27,272,727
2025 PHI $27,272,727
2024 PHI $27,272,727
2023 PHI $27,272,727
2022 LAN $21,000,000
2021 WAS $13,000,000
2020 WAS $7,450,000
2019 WAS $3,725,000
2018 WAS $577,200
2017 WAS $554,900
2016 WAS $
2015 WAS $
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$73,579,827
2019Current$27,272,727
8 yrPvs + Cur$100,852,554
9 yrFuture$245,454,546
17 yrTotal$346,307,100

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 135 dCAA11 years/$300M (2023-33)

Details
  • 11 years/$300M (2023-33). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 12/5/22. 23-32:$27,272,727 annually, 33:$27,272,730. Award bonuses: $500,000 for MVP ($50,000 for second place in vote, $25,000 for third). $100,000 for World Series MVP. $50,000 each for All Star, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, NLCS MVP. Full no-trade protection. Turner to donate $100,000 annually to club charity.
  • 1 year/$21M (2022). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/22/22 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$13M (2021). Re-signed by Washington 1/15/21 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade with Washington 7/30/21 with $4,543,011 remaining on contract.
  • 1 year/$7.45M (2020). Re-signed by Washington 1/10/20 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3.725M (2019). Re-signed by Washington 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$577,200 (2018). Re-signed by Washington 3/18.
  • 1 year/$554,900 (2017). Re-signed by Washington 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Washington 3/16.
  • 1 year (2015) Contract selected by Washington 8/21/15.
  • Acquired by Washington in trade from San Diego 6/14/15 (player to be named later in 12/19/14 trade).
  • Drafted by San Diego 2014 (1-13) (NC State). $2.9M signing bonus ($2.7233M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 43 11 2 0 1 4 8 3 1 .282 .349 .410 124 3.5 SS 1 0.0
80o 29 7 1 0 1 3 5 2 0 .269 .345 .423 118 2.1 SS 0 0.0
70o 19 4 1 0 0 2 4 1 0 .235 .316 .294 114 1.2 SS 0 0.0
60o 10 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 .222 .300 .222 111 0.6 SS 0 0.0
50o 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 108 0.1 SS 0 0.0
Weighted Mean300000100.000.000.0001080.2SS 00.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2020275587014126415664710837.280.344.4371053.827.25.03.614.44.27.4
2021285576913925415654810936.276.343.4291033.525.04.73.514.32.57.4
2022295326613023414624510532.271.336.4221013.121.44.13.213.70.47.1
2023305396813625415644610530.278.344.4351043.424.23.83.013.83.57.1
2024315266613223414624510228.279.345.4311043.222.73.32.813.53.07.0
2025325176412823414614510125.274.342.4271023.020.72.92.613.31.96.8
202633503631252241359449923.276.343.4271032.919.82.52.412.91.96.7
202734466581142031254409119.274.340.4251012.516.82.02.112.00.86.2
202835434531051831150388616.271.338.4181002.214.71.71.811.2-0.05.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 73)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 84 Bobby Crosby 2006 84
2 82 Josh Rutledge 2015 75
3 82 Aledmys Diaz 2017 80
4 80 Marcus Semien 2017 94
5 78 Ian Desmond 2012 120
6 78 Devon Travis 2017 83
7 78 Jonathan Villar 2017 64
8 77 Brad Miller 2016 106
9 77 Troy Tulowitzki 2011 139
10 77 Asdrubal Cabrera 2012 108
11 77 Howie Kendrick 2010 92
12 76 Brett Lawrie 2016 86
13 76 Khalil Greene 2006 96
14 76 Cameron Maybin 2013 71
15 76 Peter Bourjos 2013 77
16 76 Jhonny Peralta 2008 106
17 76 Enrique Hernandez 2018 112
18 76 Kevin Kiermaier 2016 99
19 75 Neil Walker 2012 110
20 75 Angel Berroa 2006 46
21 75 Derek Jeter 2000 124
22 75 Matt Murton 2008 62
23 75 Felipe Lopez 2006 89
24 74 Lonnie Chisenhall 2015 77
25 74 Jim Fregosi 1968 103
26 74 Everth Cabrera 2013 92
27 73 Stephen Drew 2009 93
28 73 Nomar Garciaparra 2000 153
29 73 Wilmer Flores 2018 106
30 73 Jedd Gyorko 2015 91
31 73 Josh Harrison 2014 124
32 73 Avisail Garcia 2017 126
33 73 Stephen Piscotty 2017 95
34 73 Adam Eaton 2015 112
35 73 Jose Reyes 2009 94
36 73 Hanley Ramirez 2010 127
37 73 Dustin Ackley 2014 96
38 72 Matt Duffy 2017 0 DNP
39 72 J.T. Realmuto 2017 101
40 72 Garrett Atkins 2006 141
41 72 Luis Valbuena 2012 81
42 72 Travis Buck 2010 82
43 72 Denard Span 2010 83
44 72 Lastings Milledge 2011 81
45 72 Ian Kinsler 2008 129
46 72 David DeJesus 2006 101
47 72 Cal Ripken Jr. 1987 105
48 72 Adam Jones 2012 122
49 72 Jason Kubel 2008 112
50 72 Desmond Jennings 2013 106
51 72 Matt Holliday 2006 135
52 71 Chad Tracy 2006 91
53 71 Dayan Viciedo 2015 0 DNP
54 71 Starling Marte 2015 103
55 71 Jason Kipnis 2013 117
56 71 Domonic Brown 2014 83
57 71 Alcides Escobar 2013 66
58 71 Didi Gregorius 2016 100
59 71 Brandon Crawford 2013 83
60 71 Cody Asche 2016 67
61 71 Kolten Wong 2017 97
62 71 Leonys Martin 2014 90
63 71 Willson Contreras 2018 90
64 71 Danny Espinosa 2013 50
65 71 Rickie Weeks 2009 100
66 71 Michael Saunders 2013 97
67 71 Cory Spangenberg 2017 82
68 71 Antonio Perez 2006 41
69 71 Edwin Encarnacion 2009 96
70 70 Chris Coghlan 2011 80
71 70 Scooter Gennett 2016 88
72 70 Travis Jackson 1930 123
73 70 Travis Snider 2014 107
74 70 Ryan Sweeney 2011 90
75 70 J.J. Hardy 2009 80
76 70 Justin Morneau 2007 117
77 70 Logan Forsythe 2013 84
78 70 Paul Molitor 1983 107
79 70 Andre Ethier 2008 125
80 70 Wil Myers 2017 108
81 70 Ryne Sandberg 1986 98
82 70 Minnie Minoso 1952 120
83 70 Starlin Castro 2016 93
84 70 Ernie Banks 1957 144
85 70 Dickie Thon 1984 72
86 70 Christian Yelich 2018 143
87 70 Cesar Hernandez 2016 98
88 70 Jose Tabata 2015 74
89 70 Coco Crisp 2006 83
90 70 Hunter Pence 2009 107
91 70 John Valentin 1993 103
92 70 Robin Yount 1982 154
93 70 Aaron Hicks 2016 79
94 70 Dexter Fowler 2012 109
95 70 Juan Lagares 2015 76
96 70 Kelly Johnson 2008 95
97 69 Yunel Escobar 2009 112
98 69 Ellis Burks 1991 97
99 69 Jake Lamb 2017 119
100 69 J.D. Martinez 2014 133

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Mr. Steal Yo’ Base had some stumbling blocks in what should’ve been his first full big-league season. Most notably, there was a leg injury that sapped his skill before a broken wrist sidelined him for two months. And the electric performance he had at the plate in 2016 didn’t show up in 2017, though he did manage to hit his stride when he returned for the season’s final month (hitting .297/.371/.525, as opposed to .279/.324/.422 before his trip to the disabled list). But the significance of any stumbling block is felt relative to how fast you’re going, and Turner has generally still been speeding along—literally, on the basepaths, and figuratively, in the grand scheme of his career. After 2016’s center-field experiment, he returned to shortstop in 2017 and proved himself more than capable. The league is seemingly packed with incredibly talented youngsters at short right now, but even if Turner’s trademark speed can’t quite let him clearly pull ahead of the pack here, his total package is certainly enough to keep him hanging with the best of them.
2017 Nuke don’t know, man. What Trea Turner just did there? That is how you announce your presence with authority. The shortstop-turned-second-baseman-turned-center-fielder raked at Triple-A to start the season, then just kept right on raking like it was nothing once he got the call. He proved surprisingly adept at turning on inside pitches with authority, crushing one fewer homer in his 324 big-league plate appearances than he’d hit in over 900 as a professional before 2016. His double-plus speed translated, too, driving the best rate of steals-per-plate-appearance of anyone in the majors not named Billy Hamilton. Inconsistent routes while learning center field on the fly and some mild vulnerability to curveballs made for just about the only notable chinks in this rookie's armor. The Rookie of the Year runner-up will head into 2017 as one of the most dynamic young players in the National League—even if he's not quite as young as you'd think.
2016 Turner didn't wow at the plate when he was called up at the end of August, but don't let the numbers fool you. He is ready to compete for a starting-shortstop position in the majors, a thought that startles the Nationals' front office. He just finished his first full season of pro ball—only half of which was technically with their organization—and he's already pushing to be a starting regular at a prime position. For Steven Souza, this?

But there's no catch. Turner's superb contact and speed, solid glovework and range, and plus instincts add up to a dependable cog in the lineup. He won't hit many home runs, but his gap power and stolen-base threat will give him some punch beyond line-drive singles.

2015 Turner started the year at North Carolina State and ended it in the Arizona Fall League. Concerns about a long swing were assuaged—at least temporarily—by his wanton destruction of Midwest League pitching. Though lacking in power, he controls the strike zone and possesses 80 speed. A former third baseman, Turner has plenty of arm but is still learning the nuances of shortstop. His athleticism should keep him there, with lineup placement determined by how well the hit tool plays at higher levels. If he repeats last year's success, he'll be a dangerous leadoff man. If better pitchers thwart him, as many suspect, he'll slot toward the bottom third. Washington picked him up, along with Joe Ross, on the back end of the Wil Myers deal for the low low price of Steven Souza and Travis Ott.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Trea Turner

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2020-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper question-no cost dynasty. 6x6 with OPS and QS and inning cap of 1200, so basically K/9. Keeping Freeman, Trea Turner, J. Ramirez, Y. Alvarez and Cole. Debating between Harper or Flaherty. Picking towards the end so neither will get to me and pitching runs early. So torn.
(cxtorpey from Washington DC)		Both should be kept, but I easily prefer Harper in 6x6 OPS. You can always try to flip Flaherty or package for an upgrade. (Jesse Roche)
2019-06-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)How and why has former pun-inspired draft pick Trey Turner struck out half the batters he's faced at Low A?
(Andrew from Boston)		I don't have an answer to this beyond he's like, 23 at this point but I also legitimately forgot the Nats have a Trea Turner and a Trey Turner. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-04-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)How legitimate is Dansby Swanson's start? With Trea Turner going down, I've been looking for a fill-in while Turner's finger heals.
(BACowett from Fayetteville)		Do you think that the wrist injury slowed him during 2018? Maybe it did, a bit. But do I expect him to be a .290 hitter in 2019 with 15/15 upside? Not really. The supporting cast is great, and you may as well play the hot start while you can. If you could flip him after a month, I'd do so because you're not going to miss out on a sudden top-10 shortstop. (Kevin Jebens)
2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat)I am rebuilding in a dynasty league and the core of my team is made up of Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, Bichette, Adell, Huira, Luzardo, Walker Buehler, Flaherty and Jameson Tallion. Some prospects that I have that are further away are Kelenic, Swaggerty, Hoerner, Oneill Cruz, Bryse Wilson, Eric Pardinho, Graterol, and Corbin Martin. From a roster construction stand point, would you trade Keston Huira for Forrest Whitley because I seem to have more hitting depth and Whitley has a shot to be an ace or would you keep Huira because pitchers are hurt so often and hitters tend to last a decade? Muchas Gracias. I will save you some rings.
(Sonic Not the Hedgehog from Eating Rings Somewhere)		I would not make that trade. If you're rebuilding, there's no reason to push in for pitchers until you're ready to turn the corner. -BS (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre)
2018-09-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Justin Mason is mad. He's conducting mock 2019 fantasy baseball drafts this weekend. Which players do you see infiltrating the top 10 picks in 2019 compared to this season's ADP top 10? Jose Ramirez? Aaron Judge? Chris Sale? And who do we see dropping out? Kershaw? Harper? Stanton? (2018 ADP) 1 Mike Trout 2 Jose Altuve 3 Nolan Arenado 4 Trea Turner 5 Clayton Kershaw 6 Bryce Harper 7 Paul Goldschmidt 8 Giancarlo Stanton 9 Charlie Blackmon 10 Mookie Betts
(Tom Pringle from UK)		He is. I think it's the lack of sleep. Ramirez is a no-doubter - forget top 10, he's top 5. Judge's injury probably stops him, although I think he and Sale will be borderline. Kershaw will be out, as will Blackmon, and probablg Goldschmidt. Bryce has been really good for a couple of months now and I think a good last three weeks might just keep him in there. (Darius Austin)
2018-07-10 20:00:00 (link to chat)Got a shot for a championship this year, weak at SS. Get Trea, but have to move Acuna and Tatis - do I do it?
(jmor1717 from Anywhere)		Oh man, hitting me with some tough ones early on. Honestly, yeah, I'd do it. Trea Turner is having an "OK" season and is going to finish with an 18/40 type season and like a .750 OPS from the 6. Especially if you need speed, go for that deal. (Eddy Almaguer)
2018-07-24 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who are the top 5 shortstops to you in a dynasty format?
(Joe from AL)		Lindor, Baez, Bregman (if he retains eligibility), Manny Machado, Xander Bogaerts, Trea Turner

On the prospect side, I love Carter Kieboom. I like Bo Bichette's bat a ton, but I think he'll end up at 2B. Wander Franco is interestig but very young and a ways away. (Scooter Hotz)
2018-06-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner was supposed to be a superstar and often went in the first round for 2018 redraft. Am I crazy for feeling disappointed this year? What about his 2019 redraft value?
(Hank from Portland)		There's still half a season to play, but yeah, if you expected a .300 average, 20 homers, and 60 steals, then you're going to be let down. That said, with Billy Hamilton collapsing this year, there's one fewer steals guy out there. Turner doesn't need a high BA to be valuable when he can steal 45+ bases. June has been disappointing, with a lower hard hit rate as he's lofted the ball more. But I wouldn't be surprised if Turner has a hot month and does flirt with 20 home runs. Next year, maybe he won't go in the first round, or at least the first half. But he'll be 25 with the potential for a 20/50 season, and that still means he should go within the top-20. (Kevin Jebens)
2018-04-23 20:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Tim Anderson as a dynasty league asset? Is his newfound ability to walk real? Can he be like Trea?
(Chad Pinder from Oakland)		The TINO boys actually posited how close Tim Anderson can come to Trea Turner this season. The weird thing with Anderson is his plate discipline is nearly unchanged from before. No idea where these walks are coming from. However he's always had elite speed and is a really efficient baserunner. I'm still skeptical on the walks, and I don't think he'll be like Trea, but he's going to be a lot better than we thought. I hold in dynasty leagues. (Eddy Almaguer)
2017-10-12 20:00:00 (link to chat)In honor of Trea Turner's tag, what's your most haunting missed connection in life?
(jfegan from Chicago, IL)		As Turner didn't tag anyone so far tonight, I assume you are referring to some other Nationals game. (Nick Schaefer)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Villar is a top ____ fantasy 2B over the next five years and why?
(Tony from Work)		Three. He led the majors with 62 steals last year. Even if the power regresses, think 10-12 home runs, the steals are valuable enough that from a valuation standpoint he's a top five second baseman. With Trea Turner moving to shortstop full-time, I think Altuve is the only second baseman I can project having more value. There's a ton of risk in Villar, I won't deny that. However, I think he's morphed into a really valuable asset and if fantasy owners want to dismiss him, there's a buying opportunity in dynasty. (George Bissell)
2016-10-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Trea Turner played for another team and that other team called the Nats in December and offered Turner for Harper straight up, what would the Nats say?
(bwe206 from Brooklyn)		Harper is one of those guys that, for a variety of reasons, has to be pretty much off the table in trade discussions. A great half season from Turner can't move the needle for them.

Generally, there is also a reasons teams don't do straight up deals like that when trading a superstar, want to spread the risk. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)I read today that stud prospect Trae Turner is starting in Center for Syracuse because the Nats are satisfied with Espinosa at short right now so they're taking a look at TT in center field------are they serious about keeping this kid down because a career .230 fill in player like Espinosa is playing OK???? Makes no sense to me at all------Turner is ready right now IMO and can be a .280 50 SB leadoff hitter for the next 10 years-----what are your thoughts??? Thx.
(misterbob from pa)		I think your opinion on Trea Turner is correct, he's a hell of a player that can contribute at the ML level right now. As to why the Nationals aren't moving Danny Espinosa off of SS for Turner is that they really are happy with the way Espinosa is playing. Turner will get some playing time in CF for them and it's an OK way to get him playing time. #freeturner (James Fisher)
2016-05-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is Kevin Newman for real? Any difference between him and Trea Turner? Or do you prefer one?
(Jerry from GA)		He's probably for real. I'd like to see him against tougher competition before turning that into a "definitely for real." I see Newman as having a little more power and a little less speed if everything breaks right. I prefer Turner, but only because he's closer and I've seen more of him. (Mike Gianella)
2016-04-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)I have the room thinking of stashing Trea Turner for June.
(Chesty from New Bern,NC)		Oh, do that if you have the space. (Mike Gianella)
2016-04-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)In regards to Trea Turner, what is his ceiling? How shallow of a league should he be grabbed in?
(Colin from Austin)		I could see a 30-35 steal guy with a .280 BA and a smattering of power. You want him everywhere except for 10-team mixed if he's starting. (Mike Gianella)
2016-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you re-drafted the 2014 draft right now, regardless of team need, what would the first 5 picks be in order? Schwarbs #1? Turner, Rodon, Conforto, Newcomb? Maybe Nola in there?
(Q-Ball from Chicago)		So many good options. I do probably go Kyle Schwarber at No. 1, but I'd probably lean on Michael Conforto at No. 2 before even Turner or Rodon. That dude can *hit*. I'm big on Bradley Zimmer, so definitely some combo of him, Carlos Rodon, Trea Turner to round out my five. Poor Tyler Kolek. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)I noticed that Wilmer Difo wasn't on here. Is that because of his skills or because the Nationals signed Brendan Ryan and Murphy and have Trea Turner?
(Dan from DC)		God I would love it if Brendan Ryan was the reason someone wasn't on a list.

To address your question more seriously, being "blocked" isn't a significant factor like that. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Carlos Rodon - better to keep for one year at $5 or for two at $10 & $15? Also what do feel Trea Turner's production will be this year? Seems cloudy with the recent signings and idea that Espinosa will start at SS. Thanks
(Sean from Death Star)		I'd want Rodon long term. He's ridiculous. As for Turner, I think he probably doesn't make the move up until later in the year, which obviously limits the fantasy value. Once he's up though, he could be a lot of fun because stolen bases are fun. Still not entirely convinced he's a long-term shortstop but he's made strides there. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-09-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)In hindsight, which transaction surprised you the most?
(Paul from Worldwide)		Do you mean only in hindsight or overall? Either way, it still surprises me the Nationals were able to get Trea Turner and Joe Ross for Steven Souza. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Better offensive profile - Trea Turner, Dansby Swanson or JP Crawford?
(Eric from DC)		Good one! Very good one. Because of the steals I'd probably go Turner, Crawford, Swanson. But I think Swanson is a better overall prospect than Turner, and there's more power. So...man. That's a really good one. They're all great. Everyone gets a participation trophy. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Does Jesse Winker and Trea Turner start next year? What do you see them doing?
(Jv from Illinois)		I think they're both up at some point. Winker has the higher short term upside; I could see him hitting 15-20 HR with a .260 BA. I see Turner as more of a solid all around guy but with no great carrying tool for fantasy out of the gate. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Which of the following do you foresee having the most impact (if any) come September and into next year: Mazara, Conforto, JP Crawford, Trea Turner and Aaron Judge?
(rpo from CHI)		Nomar Mazara and it's not even close for me. He's a potential superstar. He's been discussed internally among BP staff (as a prospect we like) more than almost anyone not named Schwarber in the last six months. (George Bissell)
2015-07-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)One of the questions I had leading up to today's release of the list, was how the MI situation will play out for the Nationals in regards to Wilmer Difo and Trea Turner. Did Turner's addition play a role in Difo not making the list? Who moves off short? And finally, is it possible we see both starting up the middle by this time next year?
(Patriot from America)		Good question. We try not to factor organization depth into our rankings. For instance, there's no way Jose Peraza plays much shortstop in Atlanta with Andrelton Simmons still in town, but he is capable of handling it. So no, Turner's presence didn't factor into Difo's rankings. We really like Difo, and I personally believe he can handle shortstop. The Nationals seem pretty set on at least splitting his time, though that has as much to do with their up in the air future up the middle as anything (Desmond being a mess and potentially leaving, Espinosa hitting more, Turner, etc.). It can't hurt to have him playing both. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Heard you tweeted out a few weeks ago about Trea Turner adding some power to his offensive profile. How much power do you now see with him? 12-15? Is he a top 35 guy for you? Is a 12 HR, 40 SB, and a .270 AVG type of season realistic out of Turner for the future?
(Jack from Saratoga)		I think he tops out in the 8-10 homer range, but that'll be enough to keep pitchers honest, which is all that matters. He's still going to have to earn any walks he gets. He's only getting 40 SB's if he gets on base at a decent clip, but yeah, that could be realistic. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-15 19:00:00 (link to chat)Brendan, if you were a GM and you were in position to sign any of Dansby Swanson, Alex Bregman, Trea Turner, Orlando Arcia or Wilmer Difo, who would you take and why?
(jeffbroyde from Socal)		With respect to the rest, I'm debating Swanson and Arcia. I like Arcia's glove, and think he'll start at short for several years, but I think I'd cave and go with Swanson's upside. Hard to pass up a SS with plus speed and 15-20 homer power potential. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2015-05-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Nationals SS of the future: Wilmer Difo or Trea Turner?
(Peter from Delaware)		I want to do a piece on this. Difo, for now. But once I see Turner, that might change. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you like better? Trea Turner or Wilmer Difo? Mike Rizzo may have to answer that question at some point.
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)		I think Difo is a better player all around, but I like both players. Turner's swing can get long but I think there is enough to work with there. The speed/defense are plenty enough to stick at SS.

My colleague C.J. Wittmann has you covered on Difo. His report is about as up to date as you can get: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=203 (Tucker Blair)
2015-03-12 15:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these prospects according to ceiling please: Trea Turner, Franklin Barret0, Ti'Quan Forbes
(Mantis from Tobagin)		Barreto, Turner. I've actually have never looked at Forbes. (Andrew Koo)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat, Jordan! Please rank the following middle infield prospects by their offensive potential: Daniel Robertson, Tim Anderson, Dilson Herrera, Trea Turner, Alen Hanson, and Franklin Barreto.
(Dennis from LA)		A lot of these guys are really, really close. Man. Anderson, Robertson, Barreto, Herrera, Turner, Hanson, but the middle few guys are definitely in the same tier. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)I have pick 1.12 in our dynasty's first year player draft. Players I'm targeting in that range who may be available are Bradley Zimmer, Michael Conforto, and Trea Turner. Who would you rather have on your dynasty team between those three players? Thanks!
(Greg from Arizona)		Trea Turner is a lock to stick at short and he can provide elite speed. If he can cut down on his swing a bit he's going to be a very good player, I'd rather have him from this group. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-12-18 15:00:00 (link to chat)Is this year too early to grab Giolito or Trea Turner if they can be had for $1 in the auction? (8-team, NL-only, standard 5x5 keeper league where each team gets 8 keepers. Salary would be $1 in '15, then $3, $7, $15 over the next 3.)
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)		Yes and Yes. Too early for both. (Craig Goldstein)
2015-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you see the Trea Turner (PTBNL) situation playing out? If he's with the Padres how does that work and will he be in Lake Elsinore?
(LE Storm Fan from Cali)		I would think Lake Elsinore, and that the Padres and Nationals will be on the same page as to the plan. Provided he does in fact stay in San Diego for the requisite time, I'd expect his workload/level are agreed upon ahead of time (e.g. shortstop at High A, two off days every three weeks, regular reports on health). With more time/space I could get into a deeper dive as to what that arrangement/reporting could look like -- lots of possibilities. (NL West Top 10s With Nick Faleris)
2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat)How does Trea Turner compare to Cory Spangenberg? He's better in the field and faster, right? Does he project better at the plate as well?
(padremurph from Los Angeles)		Speaking as a a guy that's not completely on the Trea Turner bandwagon, he's a considerably better prospect than Spangenberg overall. He is faster and has a legitimate defensive profile on the left side of the infield. I think he's going to make plenty of contact and there are some hints that he could find enough punch in the game to really keep pitchers honest. I don't see an impact profile, but I do think he can be a quality everyday player at the highest level; something I don't really see with Spangenberg. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Were people too down on Trea Turner's hitting ability before the draft? Or can he be a 55/hit 45-50 power type in MLB which, together with his speed and ability to stick at short, would be quite valuable?
(Mario66 from Pittsburgh)		I am higher on Turner than most, because I think his athleticism and glove help significantly play up the value. Turner's swing is long and the bat speed is not great, but I only think he needs to have a 4 hit at the major league level to provide value. I didn't see average power from him in my viewings at NC State or in the AFL. I do not blame any evaluator for not falling in love with Turner though. There is more risk involved with his bat than your typical college guy. (Tucker Blair)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner has been tearing up the MWL. How excited should I be?
(padremurph from Los Angeles)		As a college product, he should be hitting in that league, so don't go too crazy. Keep an eye on his contact issues. If he can solve those he's going to be fun. The speed is fantastic. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-06-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)Please give me a good reason to believe in Trea Turner more than the Padres' long history of highly drafted players with bat concerns that never made it.
(alangreene from Oakland)		Each player is different and Turner does have the athleticism and feel to develop into an everyday guy. It's about the Padres development and Turner's willingness to make any necessary changes. (Draft Wrap Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-06-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for staying with us today. Which draft pick today is going to combine the highest degree of risk (medical, tools-related, etc.) with the highest selection slot? One of the TJ pitchers, maybe?
(wileecoyote121 from Larchmont, NY)		Interesting question. Hoffman is the most likely answer. I think Trea Turner might top him, though. Real questions about the skill set playing and he's been at least mentioned with top 10 teams. (Draft Day Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-05-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Shortstop is a concern for the Reds. Inconsistent offense in the majors and lack of quality prospects in the minors. How do the shortstops in this draft look? How many decent all around (offensely and defensively) good players and how many players with just really, REALLY good bats? (your reply will be really appreciated)
(atomic dumpling from cincinnati)		Good notes and video on the top shortstops here (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23707). It's not particularly deep at shortstop (better on the second base side). The Reds' best targets would probably be Trea Turner or Ti'quan Forbes in the first round, and someone like Cole Tucker in the second or third. Milton Ramos is an excellent defender, but probably doesn't have enough bat at present to interest you. (Pre-Draft Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-05-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Can Trea Turner be effective in pro-ball with that swing, or does it need a complete overall by the team that's drafting him?
(Jake from NC)		I think he'll need to simplify things and focus on putting the ball on the ground and working away. Closer to overhaul than working with what he has. (Pre-Draft Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-05-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)If you were drafting for the Mets, would you take Michael Conforto, Trea Turner or Sean Newcomb and why?
(Mr. Must See TV from Not Anywhere Near Citi Field)		I like Newcomb, Conforto, Turner in that order. Newcomb isn't a front-ender for me, but he has a lot of room to maneuver in that mid-rotation slotting, giving him a good shot to stick there long term. Conforto's swing carries a little too much risk for me compared to Newcomb, and Turner doesn't have a strong enough defensive profile to make up for the big hit tool questions. (Pre-Draft Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-05-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give us an idea of what kind of slash line and production scouts who like Trea Turner might believe he's capable of at the next level. Would .275/.350/.380 with single digit home runs and 20-30 steals be a fair expectation if he meets his upside?
(Jay Triano from BC)		I think it's possible, but the on-base delta seems high to me. I can't see him scaring big league arms enough to draw that many walks. (Pre-Draft Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)What have you heard regarding the mets and who they may take with their first pick? And what is that players outlook?
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse)		Trea Turner. They have plenty of arms. I'm not a big fan of Turner at the plate, but he can stick at shortstop. (Ron Shah)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Trea Turner primarily a speed/glove prospect or do you see his bat developing down the road?
(Bill from Jacksonville)		Unusually toolsy for a collegiate player, but I've yet to talk to a scout that really loves the bat, or the glove (for that matter). I think speed guys are often overrated. Give me guys that can actually hit over guys that can actually run but only sort of hit. (Jason Parks)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner seems to have had a quiet season. Is he still in the discussion for a top five pick? What kind of shortstop could we be looking at
(Ronald? from Ronald)		He wouldn't be in my top 5, but college positional players may go higher in this draft because of scarcity. Other side of the coin is maybe not, since the arms in this class are legit. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner has been attached to the Cubs #4 pick by numerous people. Should this make Cubs fans excited or might we do better than Turner? Thanks
(MKPJ from Chicago)		I wouldn't be too excited about that as of right now. It's a pitching heavy draft with the bats quite a ways behind, as of right now. I had just read the other day that the Cubs want to load up on arms in the amateur draft: http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2014-02-15/sports/chi-chicago-cubs-pitching-draft-20140215_1_chicago-cubs-aaron-nola-baseball-america (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner & Jacob Gatewood. Do they stick at SS? What kind of projection are we looking at?
(AJ from Phoenix)		I think Turner sticks at shortstop; Gatewood enters pro ball as a shortstop, but ultimately ends up as a third baseman or in right field. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Trea Turner, Michael Gettys, and Michael Conforto are 5 tool players. I've read negatives on all three. Who is the best of the bunch or is there someone better? A theoretical 5 category player.
(Vic from Dumfries)		You can dream on Gettys for days. So many tools. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've heard of Trea Turner but don't have a grasp of him? How good is he?
(Vic from Dumfries)		Vic, Keep in mind I'm far from the draft expert on the staff. A few people have asked about certain draftees, however, so I'll try my best over these next few questions.

Turner is good enough to be a first-round pick. He has an elite tool (speed) and shows enough arm and glove to project as an average or better shortstop. The bat will determine whether Turner is a top- or bottom-of-the-order guy, but if he stays healthy he's a solid bet to reach the majors. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you were the Cubs picking at #4 and you had a choice between Trea Turner and Tyler Beede who would you choose right now?
(Jordan from Las Vegas)		I love me some Trea Turner, but they could use pitching. I hate when teams draft for need, however. I'll tell you in a few months after we see some more of Beede. (Jeff Moore)
2013-11-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Trea Turner a real deal? Also, Will you prefer Derek Fisher or Bradley Zimmer?
(Billy Beane from Oakland)		Provided he shows up in the spring with 80 speed and a clear shortstop profile, yeah he's a dude. I think the toughest question for evaluators will be placing a handicap on his ability to stay healthy through a long pro season. He was dinged up through the spring/summer, and the game will only get more physical. For his profile, it's not just about staying in the lineup, he needs the speed to play to its utmost in order to be a true impact talent.

Fisher is a superior draft prospect at this point. Zimmer made some noise this summer and has, I think, artificially inflated his value. He's still a projection talent, albeit an interesting one, but you're reliant on more changing (strength, swing, etc.) with Zimmer than you are Fisher. Both could fluctuate between first and third rounder depending on their springs, but for my money it's Fisher ahead of Zimmer right now by a decent amount. (Nick J. Faleris)
2013-11-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Trea Turner? Will he develop into: (1) a top-of-the-order shortstop on a first division team, or (2) Gary Brown redux, with a chance to stick on the dirt?
(Mario66 from Pittsburgh)		A few Turner questions as I scroll through so I'll address all here. Turner has a better approach than Brown and overall has a better on-base profile. Turner, when healthy, will also show a true shortstop defensive profile, which is a tough position to fill. The hope is you're buying a future #1 or #2 hitter that can play an average or better shortstop and provide good value on the bases. The fallback is a solid defensive shortstop with a bottom-third offensive profile but good value on the bases. Basically, so long as he has the big speed and can play a good shortstop he is going to make time on a big league roster. There's a higher offensive bar for Brown in center, and he's simply shy of Turner's offensive profile. (Nick J. Faleris)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)DJ Peterson or Trea Turner? Dominic Smith or Alex Jackson?
(Fred from WI)		Give me Trea Turner and Alex Jackson. This is not a knock on the two that I did not select, I just tend to always take the prospects that can stay up the middle. The prospects that are selected with the idea that they will end up at 1B always make me very nervous. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-05-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)If NC State's Trea Turner was in next week's draft, where do you think he'd be worthy of going? THX!!!
(Kim from Westlake Village, CA)		Turner would fit in the top half of this draft pretty easily. (Mark Anderson)


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