Biographical

Portrait of Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date10-1-1991
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lbs
Age32 years, 6 months, 24 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.42015
2.32016
4.62017
1.92018
1.82019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2014 DET MLB 9 6 28.7 1 4 0 43 11 19 5 109 13.5 3.5 1.6 6.0 0% .376 1.88 5.25 8.16 119 6.66 163.4 -0.7
2015 ARI MLB 23 23 127.7 5 12 0 121 49 119 9 100 8.5 3.5 0.6 8.4 0% .311 1.33 3.55 3.52 102 4.83 112.8 0.4
2016 ARI MLB 32 32 174.3 8 15 0 185 71 218 24 102 9.6 3.7 1.2 11.3 47% .352 1.47 3.79 4.90 88 4.22 93.4 2.3
2017 ARI MLB 28 28 162.0 15 5 0 116 71 218 23 96 6.4 3.9 1.3 12.1 42% .267 1.15 3.74 2.89 84 3.06 65.0 4.6
2018 ARI MLB 24 24 123.7 6 2 0 97 70 165 19 99 7.1 5.1 1.4 12.0 41% .292 1.35 4.27 3.93 96 3.99 89.1 1.9
2019 ARI MLB 33 33 174.3 12 8 0 150 84 235 30 101 7.7 4.3 1.5 12.1 41% .306 1.34 4.24 4.34 90 4.09 83.9 3.2
CareerMLB149146790.7474607123569741101008.14.11.311.143%.3131.353.974.11924.1090.511.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2010 VER A- NYP 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 0% .000 0.00 -0.54 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2011 HAG A SAL 20 20 89.0 2 3 0 71 38 95 3 106 7.2 3.8 0.3 9.6 0% .300 1.22 3.51 3.13 93 3.82 77.9
2012 POT A+ CAR 22 21 105.7 4 12 0 122 49 86 14 98 10.4 4.2 1.2 7.3 0% .332 1.62 5.18 6.56 115 6.44 134.1
2013 POT A+ CAR 16 16 84.0 6 3 0 60 41 100 9 108 6.4 4.4 1.0 10.7 0% .273 1.20 3.96 3.11 92 3.24 70.4
2013 HAR AA EAS 11 11 58.0 5 2 0 56 21 60 4 95 8.7 3.3 0.6 9.3 0% .317 1.33 3.54 3.72 91 4.53 98.5
2014 DET MLB AL 9 6 28.7 1 4 0 43 11 19 5 109 13.5 3.5 1.6 6.0 0% .376 1.88 5.25 8.16 119 6.66 163.4
2014 TOL AAA INT 20 19 100.3 7 6 0 106 44 75 6 103 9.5 3.9 0.5 6.7 0% .326 1.50 4.03 4.22 105 5.34 113.0
2015 ARI MLB NL 23 23 127.7 5 12 0 121 49 119 9 100 8.5 3.5 0.6 8.4 0% .311 1.33 3.55 3.52 102 4.83 112.8
2015 RNO AAA PCL 9 9 41.7 2 3 0 44 27 57 1 117 9.5 5.8 0.2 12.3 0% .422 1.70 3.11 3.67 82 4.90 107.5
2016 ARI MLB NL 32 32 174.3 8 15 0 185 71 218 24 102 9.6 3.7 1.2 11.3 47% .352 1.47 3.79 4.90 88 4.22 93.4
2017 ARI MLB NL 28 28 162.0 15 5 0 116 71 218 23 96 6.4 3.9 1.3 12.1 42% .267 1.15 3.74 2.89 84 3.06 65.0
2017 VIS A+ CAL 1 1 4.7 0 1 0 4 2 11 0 98 7.7 3.9 0.0 21.2 38% .500 1.29 0.49 3.86 50 1.91 40.7
2018 ARI MLB NL 24 24 123.7 6 2 0 97 70 165 19 99 7.1 5.1 1.4 12.0 41% .292 1.35 4.27 3.93 96 3.99 89.1
2018 VIS A+ CAL 1 1 2.3 0 0 0 5 0 3 2 96 19.3 0.0 7.7 11.6 40% .375 2.14 13.60 7.71 140 9.01 190.5
2018 RNO AAA PCL 1 1 4.3 0 1 0 3 1 9 0 123 6.2 2.1 0.0 18.7 14% .429 0.92 0.28 2.08 40 1.25 26.5
2019 ARI MLB NL 33 33 174.3 12 8 0 150 84 235 30 101 7.7 4.3 1.5 12.1 41% .306 1.34 4.24 4.34 90 4.09 83.9

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2014 547 0.4936 0.4388 0.8333 0.6407 0.2419 0.8786 0.7164 0.1667
2015 2249 0.4913 0.4629 0.7858 0.6480 0.2841 0.8394 0.6677 0.2142
2016 3159 0.4910 0.4628 0.7326 0.6312 0.3004 0.8121 0.5714 0.2674
2017 2716 0.4503 0.4385 0.6524 0.6026 0.3041 0.7802 0.4449 0.3476
2018 2284 0.4575 0.4264 0.6766 0.5895 0.2889 0.8068 0.4525 0.3234
2019 3048 0.4518 0.4449 0.6667 0.6115 0.3076 0.7827 0.4767 0.3333
Career140030.46930.44730.70600.61760.29590.80560.52800.2940

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-02 2014-06-11 Minors 9 0 Right Hand Blister -
2012-04-06 2012-05-03 Minors 27 25 Right Arm Tendonitis Biceps - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2026 SFN $25,000,000
2025 SFN $25,000,000
2024 SFN $23,000,000
2023 SEA $21,000,000
2022 SEA $21,000,000
2021 TOR $8,000,000
2020 ARI $9,430,000
2019 ARI $6,050,000
2018 ARI $3,950,000
2017 ARI $570,400
2016 ARI $521,000
2015 ARI $
YearsDescriptionSalary
8 yrPrevious$70,521,400
2019Current$23,000,000
9 yrPvs + Cur$93,521,400
2 yrFuture$50,000,000
11 yrTotal$143,521,400

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 7 dLegacy Agency5 years/$115 (2022-26)

Details
  • 5 years/$115M (2022-26). Signed by Seattle as a free agent 11/30/21. 22:$21M, 23:$21M, 24:$23M, 25:$25M, 26:$25M. Ray may opt out of contract after�2024 season. Full no-trade protection for 2022-23. Assignment bonus of $1M for each trade after 2023. Acquired by San Francisco in trade from Seattle 1/5/24.
  • 1 year/$8M (2021). Re-signed by Toronto as a free agent 11/7/20. Award bonuses, including $150,000 for Cy Young, $50,000 for All Star selection.
  • 1 year/$9.43M (2020). Re-signed by Arizona 1/10/20 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Toronto in trade from Arizona 8/31/20. (Diamondbacks pay Blue Jays $300,000 as part of the deal.)
  • 1 year/$6.05M (2019). Re-signed by Arizona 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3.95M (2018). Re-signed by Arizona 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Arizona 3/17.
  • 1 year/$521,000 (2016). Re-signed by Arizona 3/16.
  • 1 year/$508,500 (2015). Re-signed by Arizona 3/6/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Detroit 5/6/14. Acquired by Arizona in trade from Detroit 12/5/14.
  • Acquired by Detroit in trade from Washington 12/3/13.
  • Drafted by Washington 2010 (12-356) (Brentwood HS, Tenn.). $799,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
Weighted Mean?????0.0?00?.0000.000.00?0.00.0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-04-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you trade AJ pollock for Robbie Ray? Concerned Pollock won’t last 162 games
(Jim Bo from La)		I am not a Pollock guy. He really needs to put everything together in one season, AND stay healthy, before I bite. Yes, give me Ray every time. (Kevin Jebens)
2018-02-06 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Darius, Where do you rank Robbie Ray this year and do you think he's a Cy Young contender in 2018?
(SteveRossBB from Canberra)		Towards the back end of the top 20. Strikeout potential is obviously still huge, but he didn't make any strides with the walk rate and without a step forwards there, he'll need a big slice of luck again to have elite ratios and be in Cy Young territory. I'll be very happy to be proven wrong! (Darius Austin)
2017-02-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)A penny for your thoughts on 2 Arizona pitchers with high K rates. In terms of Robbie Ray and Archie Bradley, who will have the better year in 2017 and which pitcher will have the better career?
(Cream from Madison, WI)		I like Ray more for 2017 because of the Ks, but you'd have to have a pitching staff structured to handle the hit in WHIP from all the walks. Not for everyone.

Long term, Bradley's the play. He didn't really deliver the Ks last year, barely striking out a batter per inning, but he's definitely more likely to still be a major league starter 4-5 years down the road. (Scooter Hotz)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Are you trying to sell Robbie Ray if anyone is buying in a deep dynasty league? Or would you prefer to hold on and see how real this breakout is?
(Nate from Grand Rapids)		I'd sell, although I believe in him enough that I'm not simply just giving him away in the belief that he's going to turn back into a pumpkin. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)The Nationals have traded a number of pitching prospects the last several years, and some have been regifted (I mean traded again since). I assume Alex Meyer would be number 1, but how would you rank the others of Robbie Ray, Nathan Karns, Brad Peacock, Ian Krol and Tommy Milone? It seems for the most part that the Nats haven't suffered too badly yet.
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)		They've certainly chosen the right guys to give away, huh? Meyer is clearly in a tier above anyone else right now. Would probably go Ray, Karns, Peacock, Milone, Krol, but it's not pretty. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you please throw out a few SP with expected near-term ETAs but mid-rotation upside a la Matt Wisler? Bigger names/higher upside guys are already rostered and looking for some draft targets. Thanks.
(JoJo from SD)		How about: Kingham, Marco Gonzales, Eduardo Rodriguez, Rafael Montero, Robbie Ray, Luke Jackson, Jake Thompson (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Assuming Max Scherzer leaves Detroit in the off-season, who is more likely to replace his spot in the rotation, Robbie Ray or somebody who's currently outside of the organization?
(Curtis from Michigan)		Ray, or Drew VerHagen and 100/1 odds on Josh Beckett. (Matt Sussman)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)In five years, who is the best player: Willy Adames, Derek Hill, Jake Thompson, Robbie Ray, Nick Castellanos?
(Tigersfan from MI)		Hill has the highest ceiling, but I'll go Castellanos. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Robbie Ray....10 words...go !
(Fred from Frankfurt)		Needs injury for a chance, has a #3 upside overall (Paul Sporer)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Is Robbie Ray's curve/slider really that bad or did he just have no confidence in throwing it during his starts with the Tigers. Obviously he faced some low end offences in his first two starts, but the Ranges rocked him (zero command that day). The change looks like a good pitch for him and it looks like he has a good feel for it, and the fastball also looks like a solid pitch. I still have high hopes for the guy, but what do you Ultimately see him as? DD says number 3 upside, but that breaking pitch seems like it has a long way to go.
(Zack from Windsor)		The curveball needs some work. He has trouble generating spin right now. I see him as more of a #4 type, with a solid avg fastball, a plus change up, and a fringy CB down the line. He can help in a major league rotation as soon as 2015. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Pitching "mechanics" question: What are your thoughts of Robbie Ray? Does he have the consistent stuff to control a 3-spot in the rotation?
(Silverback38 from VA)		I haven't watched Ray yet, but I look forward to evaluating his MLB performance. Rain check? (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)There is some recent talks of Robbie Ray possibly sliding into the starting rotation this year. What are you thoughts on him?
(Silverback38 from VA)		Should be a solid starter for the Tigers. Not a frontline guy, but that's okay. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does the price paid by Detroit lead you to believe they see Robbie Ray as an important piece of their future rotation? Also, will Eraser deliver the kind of season you were anticipating 12 months ago?
(Oliver from Boston)		Absolutely. They have to view him as a potential 3. I trust their ability to identify talent, but I really believe Fister should've netted more. (Paul Sporer)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, Robbie Ray threw 22,094 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2023, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2023, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Slider (86mph).