Biographical

Dallas Keuchel PWhite Sox

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 31)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
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Birth Date	1-1-1988
Height	6' 2"
Weight	205 lbs

Age	36 years, 3 months, 22 days
Bats	L
Throws	L

: 7.22015
: 3.92016
: 3.12017
: 3.42018
: 2.12019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2012	HOU	MLB	16	16	85.3	3	8	93	39	38	14	99	9.8	4.1	1.5	4.0	0%	.277	1.55	5.78	5.27	132	7.08	162.2	-1.9
2013	HOU	MLB	31	22	153.7	6	10	184	52	123	20	101	10.8	3.0	1.2	7.2	0%	.340	1.54	4.27	5.15	110	5.57	133.3	-1.2
2014	HOU	MLB	29	29	200.0	12	9	187	48	146	11	98	8.4	2.2	0.5	6.6	0%	.295	1.18	3.24	2.93	92	3.18	78.1	4.1
2015	HOU	MLB	33	33	232.0	20	8	185	51	216	17	105	7.2	2.0	0.7	8.4	0%	.269	1.02	2.87	2.48	79	2.48	57.9	7.2
2016	HOU	MLB	26	26	168.0	9	12	168	48	144	20	103	9.0	2.6	1.1	7.7	58%	.304	1.29	3.83	4.55	88	3.36	74.4	3.9
2017	HOU	MLB	23	23	145.7	14	5	116	47	125	15	104	7.2	2.9	0.9	7.7	68%	.256	1.12	3.77	2.90	87	3.64	77.5	3.1
2018	HOU	MLB	34	34	204.7	12	11	211	58	153	18	98	9.3	2.6	0.8	6.7	55%	.300	1.31	3.72	3.74	96	3.87	86.3	3.4
2019	ATL	MLB	19	19	112.7	8	8	115	39	91	16	101	9.2	3.1	1.3	7.3	60%	.298	1.37	4.67	3.75	103	4.25	87.1	1.9
Career		MLB	211	202	1302.0	84	71	1259	382	1036	131	101	8.7	2.6	0.9	7.2	60%	.298	1.26	3.80	3.67	96	3.87	88.1	20.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2009	TCV	A-	NYP	11	10	56.7	2	3	52	9	44	2	104	8.3	1.4	0.3	7.0	0%	.287	1.08	2.80	2.70	91	3.66	77.0
2010	LNC	A+	CLF	19	18	120.7	5	8	129	25	97	10	110	9.6	1.9	0.7	7.2	0%	.321	1.28	3.86	3.36	0	0.00	0.0
2010	CCH	AA	TXS	9	9	53.7	2	6	59	11	36	2	94	9.9	1.8	0.3	6.0	0%	.328	1.30	2.98	4.69	0	0.00	0.0
2011	CCH	AA	TEX	20	20	127.7	9	7	116	27	76	9	106	8.2	1.9	0.6	5.4	0%	.270	1.12	3.82	3.17	95	3.47	70.8
2011	OKL	AAA	PCL	7	7	36.0	1	1	52	12	15	5	97	13.0	3.0	1.3	3.8	0%	.353	1.78	5.75	7.50	120	8.53	174.1
2012	HOU	MLB	NL	16	16	85.3	3	8	93	39	38	14	99	9.8	4.1	1.5	4.0	0%	.277	1.55	5.78	5.27	132	7.08	162.2
2012	OKL	AAA	PCL	16	16	92.3	6	4	92	20	50	5	100	9.0	1.9	0.5	4.9	0%	.290	1.21	3.93	3.90	91	3.77	78.5
2013	HOU	MLB	AL	31	22	153.7	6	10	184	52	123	20	101	10.8	3.0	1.2	7.2	0%	.340	1.54	4.27	5.15	110	5.57	133.3
2013	OKL	AAA	PCL	1	1	6.0	1	0	3	0	5	0	97	4.5	0.0	0.0	7.5	0%	.188	0.50	1.90	0.00	79	2.32	50.5
2014	HOU	MLB	AL	29	29	200.0	12	9	187	48	146	11	98	8.4	2.2	0.5	6.6	0%	.295	1.18	3.24	2.93	92	3.18	78.1
2015	HOU	MLB	AL	33	33	232.0	20	8	185	51	216	17	105	7.2	2.0	0.7	8.4	0%	.269	1.02	2.87	2.48	79	2.48	57.9
2016	HOU	MLB	AL	26	26	168.0	9	12	168	48	144	20	103	9.0	2.6	1.1	7.7	58%	.304	1.29	3.83	4.55	88	3.36	74.4
2017	HOU	MLB	AL	23	23	145.7	14	5	116	47	125	15	104	7.2	2.9	0.9	7.7	68%	.256	1.12	3.77	2.90	87	3.64	77.5
2017	TCV	A-	NYP	1	1	5.0	1	0	3	0	5	0	113	5.4	0.0	0.0	9.0	69%	.231	0.60	2.03	1.80	86	2.90	61.7
2017	CCH	AA	TEX	1	1	3.0	0	0	2	1	3	0	95	6.0	3.0	0.0	9.0	75%	.250	1.00	2.32	0.00	79	3.20	68.2
2018	HOU	MLB	AL	34	34	204.7	12	11	211	58	153	18	98	9.3	2.6	0.8	6.7	55%	.300	1.31	3.72	3.74	96	3.87	86.3
2019	ATL	MLB	NL	19	19	112.7	8	8	115	39	91	16	101	9.2	3.1	1.3	7.3	60%	.298	1.37	4.67	3.75	103	4.25	87.1
2019	ROM	A	SAL	1	1	7.0	0	0	1	1	9	0	97	1.3	1.3	0.0	11.6	77%	.077	0.29	1.33	0.00	0	0.00	0.0
2019	MIS	AA	SOU	1	1	7.0	0	0	11	1	4	0	83	14.1	1.3	0.0	5.1	46%	.423	1.71	2.58	3.86	101	7.02	144.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2012	1384	0.4321	0.4061	0.8505	0.5903	0.2659	0.9178	0.7368	0.1495
2013	2495	0.4525	0.4329	0.7722	0.5722	0.3177	0.8885	0.5991	0.2278
2014	3004	0.4424	0.4381	0.7781	0.5937	0.3146	0.9024	0.5920	0.2219
2015	3478	0.4005	0.4393	0.7480	0.6145	0.3223	0.8843	0.5744	0.2520
2016	2645	0.4272	0.4355	0.7700	0.5947	0.3168	0.8943	0.5958	0.2300
2017	2187	0.3567	0.4472	0.7249	0.6487	0.3355	0.8557	0.5847	0.2751
2018	3309	0.4213	0.4500	0.8026	0.6485	0.3055	0.8949	0.6598	0.1974
2019	1864	0.3723	0.4437	0.7860	0.6282	0.3342	0.8991	0.6598	0.2140
Career	20366	0.4148	0.4386	0.7751	0.6125	0.3158	0.8911	0.6166	0.2249

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-06-23	2014-07-04	DTD	11	10	Left	Wrist	Inflammation		-
2011-05-03	2011-05-13	Minors	10	0			Not Disclosed		-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2023	CHA	$1,500,000
2022	CHA	$18,000,000
2021	CHA	$18,000,000
2020	CHA	$18,000,000
2019	ATL	$13,000,000
2018	HOU	$13,200,000
2017	HOU	$9,150,000
2016	HOU	$7,250,000
2015	HOU	$524,500
2014	HOU	$508,700
2013	HOU	$
2012	HOU	$

Years	Description	Salary
10 yr	Previous	$99,133,200
10 yr	Total	$99,133,200

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
10 y 8 d	Boras Corp.	1 year (2024)

Details

1 year (2024). Signed by Seattle as a free agent 4/2/24 (minor-league contract).
1 year (2023). Signed by Minnesota as a free agent 6/22/23 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Minnesota 8/3/23.
3 years/$55.5M (2020-22), plus 2023 club option. Signed by Chicago White Sox as a free agent 12/30/19. 2020-22:$18M annually. 23:$20M club option ($1.5M buyout). 2023 option is guaranteed if a) Keuchel has 320 innings pitched in 2021-22 combined, including 160 IP in 2022, and b) passes a physical at the end of the 2022 season. Full no-trade protection through 10/31/20. From 11/1/20 to 10/31/21, may block deals to 10 clubs. From 11/1/21 to end of contract: may block deals to five clubs. Award bonuses: $100,000 for Cy Young ($90,000 for second in vote, $80,000 for third, $70,000 for fourth, $60,000 for fifth). $100,000 for WS MVP, $75,000 for LCS MVP. $50,000 for Sporting News all-star team. $25,000 each for Gold Glove, All Star start. $15,000 for All Star reserve selection. DFA by Chicago White Sox 5/28/22 with $14,456,044 remaining on contract ($12,956,044 in 2022 salary plus 2023 buyout). Released by Chicago White Sox 5/30/22. Signed by Arizona as a free agent 6/7/22 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Arizona 6/26/22. DFA by Arizona 7/21/22. Released 7/22/22. Signed by Texas as a free agent 7/26/22 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Texas 8/27/22. DFA, released by Texas 9/4/22.
1 year/$21,021,527 (2019). Signed by Atlanta as a free agent 6/7/19. Pro-rated for final 114 days of the season, Keuchel will earn $13M for 2019.
1 year/$13.2M (2018). Re-signed by Houston 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration). Houston made $17.9M qualifying offer 11/2/18.
1 year/$9.15M (2017). Re-signed by Houston 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$7.25M (2016). Re-signed by Houston 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$524,500 (2015). Re-signed by Houston 3/15.
1 year/$508,700 (2014). Re-signed by Houston 3/6/14.
1 year (2013). Re-signed by Houston 3/13.
1 year (2012). Contract purchased by Houston 6/17/12.
Drafted by Houston 2009 (7-221) (Arkansas). $150,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
Weighted Mean	?	?	?	?	?	0.0	?	0	0	?	.000	0.00	0.00	?	0.0	0.0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2019-11-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)	The A's 2020 rotation already has Mike Fiers, Frankie Montas, Sean Manaea as locks and Jesus Luzardo, Chris Bassitt, AJ Puk vying for the remaining spots. How do you fit Dallas Keuchel and Homer Bailey into this mix? (grover from California)	Well, Dallas Keuchel is better than any of the six guys you mentioned right now. Wouldn't really worry about how he'll fit in, because the answer is "in the front." Bailey is more about depth, which is important because while you mentioned six viable SP candidates, this is a team trying to win now and are you confident in any of them? Fiers was the team's best starter last year and his nice 3.90 ERA was backed up by a 5.06 DRA. Luzardo and Puk are exciting as hell, but could easily be relievers. (Free Agent Chat w/Collin Whitchurch)
2019-05-13 16:00:00 (link to chat)	Do you think Dallas Keuchel and Craig Kimbrel are going to sit out the season? (Free agency from Offseason)	I'd bet on them signing soon after the draft, at which point they'll no longer have draft pick compensation attached. The idea that potentially losing a third-round pick is keeping teams from signing All-Star players is absurd, of course, but here we are. Sitting out the entire season, while perhaps emotionally sensible, wouldn't really put them in better position next offseason. They'd be a year older and coming off a non-season. If they'd had awful 2018 campaigns, or were coming off major injuries, maybe it would make sense, but I'm not sure there's any reason to think their market would higher after sitting out a year. (Aaron Gleeman)
2018-09-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I have an opportunity in a keep forever, no salary dynasty league to acquire Drew Waters, Antonio Cabello, Josh James, and both Luis Garcias (Philly and Washington) in exchange for Dallas Keuchel. Easy accept, right? (Tom Pringle from UK)	As always, it depends on your contention window. It would probably be close, but I'd still take Keuchel. (Mark Barry)
2016-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How good can Marcus Stroman be? (Terry from Toronto)	Very good. You should probably ask the new BP Toronto (http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com), but I like him as a guy in that tier just below the Cy Young scrum this year. Would love to see him model his work after Dallas Keuchel's 2015, then start amping up the Ks. (Bryan Grosnick)
2015-10-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)	As an Astros fan, what can you tell me to stop me from chugging a fifth of Jack after that game yesterday? (mshopoff from Houston)	You've got Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve and Dallas Keuchel. Y'all'l be fine. (Kate Morrison)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)	What do I do with Duda? Even though it took awhile for the power to show up, at least he was hitting for average early. Then the power came and he was good for awhile. Now he's in a massive slump. Do you think he'll come around or should I sell in fantasy? (Michael from NY)	What do you do with a Lucas Duda What do you do with a Lucas Duda What do you do with a Lucas Duda When it's clear he's slumping? Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back Later in the season. Yeah, I was all over Duda in most of my leagues (and got lucky in one and traded him straight up for Dallas Keuchel right at the beginning of this slump. I think the talent is there, but Duda is clearly pressing because of the Mets awful lineup and has fallen into some of the bad habits he had last year (a lot of movement pre-swing; not keeping his lower body still/disciplined). He is working on improvements with Mets hitting coach Kevin Long, but that could take time. I think you have to hang on though; if you sell now, you're getting next to nothing in all likelihood. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)	I've gotten substantial interest in Dallas Keuchel from several players in my league. What sort of OF should I look for in return? I've been offered Brett Gardner, but that seems a bit light. Judging hitter-pitcher trades isn't easy. (Matt from Cambridge)	Gardner has done well but that does seem light. Aim not for an elite like Cutch but the next tier down. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Does the "strikeout scourge" era make a fantasy $1 pitcher strategy more likely to succeed? (ssimon from Pelham, N.Y.)	Not necessarily, because the bar has been raised for what makes a fantasy pitcher worthwhile. That said, I've never been a big believer in spending heavily on starting pitching, and the annual emergence of guys like Corey Kluber, Tyson Ross, Dallas Keuchel and Garrett Richards -- among many others -- just re-affirms that for me every year. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hey Paul, is Dallas Keuchel a legitimate top 15 starter the rest of the season or is he going to come back down to earth? (Josh from Boston)	I can't really back him for a low-2.00s ERA the rest of the way, but I do buy into what we've seen. I'd still deal him for more-established arms within that top 15-25 range assuming they were made avaialble (Paul Sporer)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Dallas Keuchel is good, but not sure he's this good. Who are some SPs you would try and target for him? Alex Cobb? Mat Latos if his 1st start back goes ok? Gerrit Cole? (Shawnykid23 from CT)	Yeah, I'd probably take any of those three. I'm a little worried Cobb might still be ailing, so I might actually lean toward Latos and Cole, even though both are DL'd right now. Latos is close to returning and Cole should be back after the minimum stay, while Cobb may be headed for another DL stint if he is indeed still hurt (Paul Sporer)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)	Does Dallas Keuchel have a chance to keep up his recent production or is he a sell high? (jjackhammers from Victoria BC)	Again, a bit of both. The GB% is astronomically high, and the BABIP on those ground balls is well below league average. If he can continue to keep the ball out of the air, and miss bats, then sure, I could see a mid 3's type ERA the duration of the season. He's not going to be as good as he's been, but if someone is irrationally high on him, then try to use him as a stepping stone for a legit fantasy #3. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Doug: Can you evaluate the relative strengths/weaknesses of the Astro three of Jarred Cosart, Dallas Keuchel, and Collin McHugh. My general take is that Cosart has stuff, but control issues limit his upside, Keuchel seems to have harnessed something to start the 2014 season and from what I've read has his share of supporters at BP, and then McHugh I realize has small sample size, but does he have a chance to sustain some amount of the success of his first two starts or is he reversion waiting to happen. I saw that the Astros pitching coach said that he wasn't the same pitcher in late April that he was in spring trainer. Your thoughts on the three and whether any of them are long-term starters (or bullpen or minor-league bound) are appreciated. Thanks. (Drifter from Long Branch )	I really like Cosart's baseline mechanics, with average or better grades in every category except for Repetition. But there's the rub, because repetition is by far the most important grade on the mechanics report card, and he won't approach ceiling until he can find consistency with his delivery. He is also a 2-pitch guy, essentially, and though he throws very hard, he will need to refine the cambio if he hopes to find sustained success in the rotation. Keuchel is an example of a pitcher who is very well-balanced but who utilizes a very slow delivery as part of that approach. The pedestrian pace opens up the chance to mistime his delivery and necessitates a different timing pattern from the stretch. Command is key for a pitcher with a 90-mph fastball, and Keuchel has the underpinnings of a pitcher who will struggle with that element at times. I have not yet had the chance to watch McHugh, but I'm looking forward to seeing him in action. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Dallas Keuchel for real? This year's Corey Kluber? (Shawnykid23 from CT)	might be something like that. He seems to have settled on his arsenal (dropped his bigger curve), so you can make the claim that he turned a corner in a couple of regards. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-05-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Thoughts on Dallas Keuchel? (Shawnykid23 from CT)	I'm buying! It looks like the Astros have something here. He showed some flashes last year and the command-and-control have really improved this year (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What is your opinion of Dallas Keuchel? He's off to a good start. Do you think his success will continue? (cracker73 from Florida)	He had a nice little stretch last year, too. He'll have his duds, so I'd really try to spot him more than anything. (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi guys! Dallas Keuchel: you buying that he's become a decent starter? I read somewhere he's using his slider more this year and is generating a lot of swings and misses with it. His changeup was already a good pitch. (howling wolf from Silver Spring MD)	We're all fans of Keuchel, especially as a target in the upcoming supplemental drafts. He's a solid buy candidate at this point, and we went into some depth on him during our mock supplemental draft on last week's episode. (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)
2014-04-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Dallas Keuchel has much better K and BB numbers so far. Anything new with him or just small sample size theater? (wendtm from Chicago)	Small sample size theater. He's thrown 18 decent innings, but I don't see how anything has changed from last season. (Matthew Kory)

BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Dallas Keuchel has thrown 27,907 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (88mph) and Change (80mph), also mixing in a Slider (77mph) and Cutter (85mph).