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Pedro Álvarez 3BMarlins

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)

PA	AVG	HR	R	RBI	SB	DRC+	WARP
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Birth Date	2-6-1987
Height	6' 3"
Weight	250 lbs

Age	37 years, 2 months, 19 days
Bats	L
Throws	R

: 1.82015
: 1.02016
: -0.02017
: 0.02018
: 3.92019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	DRAA	BRR	FRAA	BWARP
2010	PIT	23	95	386	89	21	1	16	37	119	0	0	0	.256	.326	.461	92	-2.9	-1.3	-0.3	0.8
2011	PIT	24	74	262	45	9	1	4	24	80	2	1	0	.191	.272	.289	52	-13.9	-2.0	5.2	-0.3
2012	PIT	25	149	586	128	25	1	30	57	180	1	1	0	.244	.317	.467	106	4.4	0.5	-8.5	1.6
2013	PIT	26	152	614	130	22	2	36	48	186	4	2	0	.233	.296	.473	113	9.9	0.0	15.2	4.7
2014	PIT	27	122	445	92	13	1	18	45	113	2	8	3	.231	.312	.405	96	-1.9	-1.1	7.6	1.9
2015	PIT	28	150	491	106	18	0	27	48	131	2	2	0	.243	.318	.469	110	7.3	0.4	3.5	1.8
2016	BAL	29	109	376	84	20	0	22	37	97	0	1	0	.249	.322	.504	109	5.0	1.2	-0.6	1.0
2017	BAL	30	14	34	10	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	.313	.353	.438	81	-0.7	-0.3	0.2	0.0
2018	BAL	31	45	127	20	2	0	8	16	36	0	0	0	.180	.283	.414	93	-0.7	-0.4	-0.4	0.0
Career			910	3321	704	131	6	162	314	952	11	15	3	.236	.310	.447	100	6.6	-3.1	21.9	11.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	PA	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	BABIP	BPF	BRAA	repLVL	POS_ADJ	DRC+	DRC+ SD	FRAA	BRR	DRAA	BWARP
2009	LYN	A+	CRL	66	284	.252	.335	.381	.289	96	13.8	8.3	0.3	130	0	-1.5	2.7	9.7	2.0
2009	ALT	AA	EAS	60	258	.264	.336	.395	.407	98	24.3	7.3	0.4	172	0	-0.6	-1.7	19.0	2.5
2010	PIT	MLB	NL	95	386	.261	.326	.409	.341	93	8.5	10.6	1.5	92	7	-0.3	-1.3	-2.9	0.8
2010	IND	AAA	INT	66	278	.266	.335	.417	.335	104	12.1	8.4	0.9	136	0	4.7	-2.2	10.9	2.2
2011	PIT	MLB	NL	74	262	.252	.314	.400	.272	98	-15.9	7.1	0.9	52	12	5.2	-2.0	-13.9	-0.3
2011	BRD	A+	FSL	6	21	.256	.340	.377	.200	112	-0.1	0.6	0	83	0	0.5	-0.3	-0.3	0.0
2011	IND	AAA	INT	35	148	.265	.328	.406	.342	98	1.9	4.6	0.2	112	0	2.1	-0.6	2.0	0.8
2011	PIR	Rk	GCL	1	1	.274	.336	.438	.000	120	-0.3	0.0	0	67	0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0
2012	PIT	MLB	NL	149	586	.259	.322	.412	.308	96	13.1	16.1	2.1	106	8	-8.5	0.5	4.4	1.6
2013	PIT	MLB	NL	152	614	.248	.311	.386	.276	98	7.6	16.1	2.1	113	10	15.2	0.0	9.9	4.7
2014	PIT	MLB	NL	122	445	.248	.310	.386	.277	101	-0.6	11.5	0.9	96	12	7.6	-1.1	-1.9	1.9
2015	PIT	MLB	NL	150	491	.257	.317	.410	.279	92	15.1	13.3	-8.1	110	8	3.5	0.4	7.3	1.8
2016	BAL	MLB	AL	109	376	.254	.317	.420	.282	112	4	10.6	-6	109	9	-0.6	1.2	5.0	1.0
2017	BAL	MLB	AL	14	34	.226	.300	.365	.429	102	0.9	1.0	-0.6	81	10	0.2	-0.3	-0.7	0.0
2017	NOR	AAA	INT	138	595	.250	.317	.391	.271	91	-4.9	17.6	-9.9	109	0	-1.5	-0.3	5.7	1.1
2018	BAL	MLB	AL	45	127	.241	.311	.397	.179	105	-2	3.6	-1.7	93	14	-0.4	-0.4	-0.7	0.0
2018	NOR	AAA	INT	43	178	.238	.302	.369	.336	95	2.2	5.2	-3.4	139	0	-0.1	0.5	7.0	0.9

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

Year	Team	lvl	LG	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	TB	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	ISO	SF	SH
2009	LYN	A+	CRL	284	243	38	60	14	1	14	118	55	37	70	1	1	.247	.346	.486	.239	0	0
2009	ALT	AA	EAS	258	222	42	74	18	0	13	131	40	34	59	1	0	.333	.422	.590	.257	0	0
2010	IND	AAA	INT	278	242	42	67	15	4	13	129	53	32	68	4	4	.277	.366	.533	.256	0	0
2010	PIT	MLB	NL	386	347	42	89	21	1	16	160	64	37	119	0	0	.256	.326	.461	.205	2	0
2011	PIR	Rk	GCL	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	0	0
2011	PIT	MLB	NL	262	235	18	45	9	1	4	68	19	24	80	1	0	.191	.272	.289	.098	0	1
2011	BRD	A+	FSL	21	16	2	3	0	0	1	6	2	3	5	0	0	.188	.381	.375	.188	0	0
2011	IND	AAA	INT	148	125	16	32	5	1	5	54	19	22	42	0	1	.256	.365	.432	.176	1	0
2012	PIT	MLB	NL	586	525	64	128	25	1	30	245	85	57	180	1	0	.244	.317	.467	.223	3	0
2013	PIT	MLB	NL	614	558	70	130	22	2	36	264	100	48	186	2	0	.233	.296	.473	.240	4	0
2014	PIT	MLB	NL	445	398	46	92	13	1	18	161	56	45	113	8	3	.231	.312	.405	.173	0
2015	PIT	MLB	NL	491	437	60	106	18	0	27	205	77	48	131	2	0	.243	.318	.469	.227	4	0
2016	BAL	MLB	AL	376	337	43	84	20	0	22	170	49	37	97	1	0	.249	.322	.504	.255	2	0
2017	BAL	MLB	AL	34	32	4	10	1	0	1	14	4	2	10	0	0	.313	.353	.438	.125	0	0
2017	NOR	AAA	INT	595	547	60	131	31	1	26	242	89	42	137	1	0	.239	.294	.442	.203	4	0
2018	BAL	MLB	AL	127	111	18	20	2	0	8	46	18	16	36	0	0	.180	.283	.414	.234	0	0
2018	NOR	AAA	INT	178	165	21	47	6	0	8	77	32	11	42	0	0	.285	.331	.467	.182	1	0

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%	CSAA
2010	1499	0.4817	0.4290	0.6827	0.5928	0.2767	0.7967	0.4558	0.3173	0.0073
2011	1054	0.4905	0.4602	0.6969	0.6344	0.2924	0.8049	0.4713	0.3031	0.0010
2012	2232	0.4776	0.4740	0.6796	0.6520	0.3113	0.8086	0.4325	0.3204	0.0068
2013	2391	0.4571	0.4952	0.6436	0.6981	0.3243	0.7837	0.3895	0.3564	0.0135
2014	1679	0.4431	0.4789	0.6866	0.6895	0.3112	0.8031	0.4811	0.3134	0.0034
2015	1880	0.4495	0.4681	0.6898	0.6864	0.2899	0.8190	0.4400	0.3102	0.0092
2016	1548	0.4180	0.4593	0.6793	0.6553	0.3185	0.8231	0.4669	0.3207	0.0000
2017	128	0.3984	0.5313	0.6029	0.7255	0.4026	0.7568	0.4194	0.3971	0.0000
2018	536	0.4534	0.4067	0.6147	0.6008	0.2457	0.7671	0.3056	0.3853	0.0000
Career	12947	0.4579	0.4674	0.6736	0.6611	0.3041	0.8026	0.4365	0.3264	0.0064

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-09-06	-	DTD	-	-	Left	Foot	Stress Reaction	Fourth Metatarsal	-
2014-08-27	2014-09-05	DTD	9	7	Left	Foot	Soreness		-
2014-07-23	2014-07-25	DTD	2	1	Left	Knee	Soreness		-
2013-05-30	2013-06-01	DTD	2	2	-	Face	Other	Wisdom Teeth Removed	-	-
2012-09-12	2012-09-14	DTD	2	1	Right	Wrist	Soreness		-	-
2012-07-02	2012-07-03	DTD	1	1	-	Lower Leg	Cramp		-	-
2012-03-23	2012-03-26	Camp	3	0	Right	Knee	Inflammation		-	-
2011-05-20	2011-07-09	15-DL	50	45	Right	Thigh	Strain	Quadriceps	-
2011-05-04	2011-05-09	DTD	5	4		Thigh	Strain	Quadriceps	-
2011-02-21	2011-02-22	Camp	1	0		Neck	Spasms		-
2009-06-29	2009-07-03	Minors	4	0		Knee	Inflammation		-
2008-02-23	2008-04-01	Coll	38	0	Right	Wrist	Fracture	Hamate	-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2018	BAL	$1,000,000
2017	BAL	$
2016	BAL	$5,750,000
2015	PIT	$5,750,000
2014	PIT	$4,250,000
2013	PIT	$700,000
2012	PIT	$2,200,000
2011	PIT	$2,050,000
2010	PIT	$2,000,000
2009	PIT	$1,900,000

Years	Description	Salary
9 yr	Previous	$25,600,000
9 yr	Total	$25,600,000

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
7 y 28 d	Boras Corp.	1 year (2019)

Details

1 year (2019). Signed by Miami as a free agent 12/2/18 (minor-league contract). Released by Miami 3/23/19 (exercised opt-out provision).
1 year (2018). Re-signed by Baltimore as a free agent 2/25/18 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1M in majors. May earn additional $2M in performance bonuses. Contract selected by Baltimore 3/28/18. DFA by Baltimore 6/19/18. Sent outright to Triple-A 6/20/18.
1 year (2017). Re-signed by Baltimore as a free agent 3/12/17 (minor-league contract). Salary of $2M in salary. Performance bonuses: $0.25M each for 200, 250, 300, 350 plate appearances. $0.5M each for 400, 450, 500, 550, 600 PA. Contract selected 9/1/17.
1 year/$5.75M (2016). Signed by Baltimore as a free agent 3/7/16. Performance bonuses: $0.2M each for 350, 400, 450, 500, 550 plate appearances. $0.25M for 600 PAs.
1 year/$5.75M (2015). Won in arbitration with Pittsburgh 1/19/15 ($5.75M-$5.25M). Non-tendered by Pittsburgh 12/2/15.
1 year/$4.25M (2014). Re-signed by Pittsburgh 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration).
4 years/$6.355M (2009-12), plus 2013-14 club options. Signed Major League contract with Pittsburgh 9/24/08. $6M signing bonus paid over 4 years. 09:$0.4M, 10:$0.5M, 11:$0.55M, 12:$0.7M, 13:$0.7M club option, 14:$0.7M club option. Annual salary of $88,750 in minor leagues. Alvarez may void 2013 or 2014 option if otherwise eligible for arbitration. If Alvarez is not in the majors by 2013, club may exercise options for split contracts for 2013 and 2014 at $0.7M annually ($0.5M in minors). Optioned to A 3/16/09. Optioned to Triple-A 3/19/10. Pittsburgh exercised 2013 option 10/31/12. Alvarez to opt out, enter arbitration for 2014.
Signed re-worked Major League contract 9/24/08, with union agreeing to drop grievance & MLB agreeing to notify union of any deadline extensions in the future.
Originally signed minor-league contract with $6M signing bonus 8/15/08. (Arbitrator reviewed signing after players' union filed grievance arguing Alvarez did not agree to deal before August 15 deadline).
Drafted by Pittsburgh 2008 (1-2) (Vanderbilt).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	VORP	FRAA	WARP
90^o	379	50	90	18	1	18	55	32	92	1	.262	.327	.478	181	46.1	1B 2	5.2
80^o	361	45	82	16	1	17	50	29	89	0	.250	.313	.460	174	39.6	1B 2	4.4
70^o	347	42	76	15	1	15	47	27	87	0	.241	.303	.437	169	35.1	1B 2	4.0
60^o	336	40	72	14	1	15	44	25	85	0	.235	.295	.433	164	31.4	1B 2	3.6
50^o	325	38	68	13	1	14	42	24	83	0	.228	.288	.419	160	28.2	1B 2	3.2
40^o	314	35	64	13	1	13	40	22	81	0	.221	.279	.408	156	25.1	1B 2	2.9
30^o	303	33	60	12	1	12	37	21	79	0	.215	.273	.394	151	21.9	1B 2	2.5
20^o	289	31	55	11	1	11	35	19	77	0	.206	.262	.378	146	18.5	1B 2	2.1
10^o	271	27	50	10	1	10	31	17	73	0	.199	.252	.367	138	14.0	1B 2	1.7
Weighted Mean	328	38	70	14	1	14	43	24	84	0	.233	.293	.427	161	29.2	1B 2	3.3

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2017-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Josh Bell. How good can he be? Multiple time all- star? Peak? (BC from Urbandale)	He's the best Pirates first baseman in...I dunno, 25 years? 30? Since Sid Bream or Jason Thompson or even Pops? (Note: This is an exceptionally low bar. The Pirates have a long-running competition with the Mariners to see who can trot out the crummier 1Bs). I think being an NL All-Star at first is tough as long as Goldschmidt and Votto and Rizzo and Freeman and Bellinger walk the Earth. But that's not to say he can't be a good, solid player. I know some Pirates fans are disappointed by this year--I think it's the batting average--but he's exceeded our preseason projections for homers and WARP and his .291 TAv compares to our .278 projection. He's generated more power and less contact than expected, but the net trade's worked. His defense at first base, in my opinion, has been weak, but he's only 25 and fairly new to the position, so there's room for improvement. Ceiling? I'd say maybe 30 bombs, .275/.375/.500? That's probably not All-Star caliber given the position depth but certainly a solid, middle-of-the-order bat that'll stick at the cold corner longer than Pedro Alvarez or Gaby Sanchez or Garrett Jones or... P.S. OPS with runners in scoring position, Pirates: Bell 1.004, McCutchen .926, Frazier .889. His 9 HR w/RISP is tied for 8th in the majors. I'm not a big believer in clutch stats, but people have to get past his .258 BA. (Rob Mains)
2017-07-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)	In the vein of Avisail Garcia's magical 2017, what post-hype failed prospect do you think will break out and have an All-Star season next year? (Dr. 100 from Las Vegas)	It's not just Avisail either--Smoak, Morrison, Cozart, Alonso all fit this description as well. Almost makes me want to say Pedro Alvarez. Given his speed and glove, if Cameron Maybin gets lucky on health and balls in play he could do it. If Mike Zunino hits .250 he's an All Star candidate too, I would think. (Nick Schaefer)
2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)	5x5 OBP league, who are the top two you value most ROS at 1B: Adrian Gonzalez, Freddie Freeman, Hanley Ramirez, Brandon Belt, Chris Carter, Stephen Piscotty, Victor Martinez, Pedro Alvarez? (Truganini from CO)	Freeman and Piscotty, with Belt and Ramirez very close behind. (J.P. Breen)
2016-05-16 23:00:00 (link to chat)	With Pedro Alvarez on a one year deal and stinking it up do you see Trey Mancini taking over either at 1B or DH next year ? (Craig from Arlington, VA)	Well, fact that the O's had Mancini and Walker in the high minors & went out and got Alvarez to begin with tells you something about where their confidence in either was as an internal option to start the year. He's held his own after the AAA bump, unclear if he's done enough to leapfrog Walker on the org depth chart. I'd imagine he gets a look at some point later this year/beginning of next though, yeah. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)	What kind of impact do you see Trey Mancini having at the major league level? (Tom from Oakland)	This is unrelated but I called New England Collegiate summer baseball games back like five years ago when Trey Mancini played for the Holyoke Blue Sox while he was at Notre Dame...Anyway...I don't see him having a huge impact. There's not a ton of power there for a corner infielder, which is why they went out and signed Pedro Alvarez and traded for Mark Trumbo. (George Bissell)
2016-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Ryan Howard even worth a roster spot at this point? Shouldn't the obviously rebuilding Phillies be using that position to take a flyer on someone they can trade later, like Pedro Alvarez? (Philly Phanatic from Philly)	Well ... no. If they platoon Howard, I can see him being worth a roster spot. But it's not like removing Howard from the roster would scratch the money they're spending on him. Okay, if a team is willing to eat a portion of his contract, sure, deal him and try something else. Just stop playing him against lefties! And for the record, Pedro Alvarez should not be allowed to play the field any more, so Philly is not a good fit. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)	I have the option to pick up Austin Jackson or Pedro Alvarez with my top waiver claim in an AL only 5 x 5. Which one please? (Chris from Baltimore)	I just put the same bid on both of them in my non-published update. Jackson is the steadier choice and Alvarez has more upside. Depends on your needs. I prefer Jackson but they're close. (Mike Gianella)
2015-10-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Anything weird stick out in pirates roster or lineup today? (Bob E from Wrigleyville)	Lots. They have a catcher who has barely played as their third catcher. They have Sean Rodriguez playing first because Pedro Alvarez is terrible defensively. So bad that they're playing defense first at FIRST BASE. And Harrison in the lineup makes sense, but I would have gone with him over Walker instead of sitting Aramis (Sahadev Sharma)
2015-07-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Steven Souza is on the waiver wire in my 12 team mixer, redraft. Pick him up? If so, who do I drop: Steven Matz, Jerrod Dyson, or Pedro Alvarez? (Graham from Richmond, VA)	It depends what you need, if you can sacrifice speed then Dyson, if power than Alvarez. Souza does a little of both which is nice. I was writing about Souza all offseason, I'm 1,000 percent confident he's going to produce. (George Bissell)
2015-06-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Who in MLB would you compare Miguel Sano to? (Nick from NJ)	I can't think of a great comparison. I think from a fantasy POV he's Better Pedro Alvarez to start (~240, 25 homers) but his upside is considerably higher. (Ben Carsley)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)	Pick two: Joe Mauer, Kolten Wong, Matt Holliday, Khris Davis, Brandon Phillips, Pedro Alvarez. These would be the last two keepers in a 5x5 roto league. (Keeping Panda, Shields, JZimm, Starlin already) (Lior from MN)	Definitely not Phillips or Davis. I'd probably go Mauer and Holliday. (Ben Carsley)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How would you rank Josh Hamilton, Pedro Alvarez, Mauer and Rios as keepers? (MickeyRivers from NY)	Probably via seppuku (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Pirates should be pretty good next year with Polanco, Taillon, Hanson, Bell and Kingham all in as depth, right? Aren't people being a bit premature with the cubs and not realizing that the NL Central isn't a cakewalk? (Dave from Boston)	The Pirates have a lot of questions to answer before next season: is Pedro Alvarez going to remain at third base; who catches; do they pursue a veteran starter; and so on. Of course, a lot of teams have holes like that when we're talking six months into the future, so the Pirates aren't alone in that regard. But yes, people are getting too hyped about the Cubs. This always happens. It happened with the Royals, it'll happen with the Twins, too. Miami is about the only team that's avoided it lately. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-08-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Pedro Alvarez can't throw to first and seems to be regressing as a hitter...How should the Pirates handle this? Do you think he bounces back? (Festivus313 from Pittsburgh)	I think they're handling it the right way, at least from what I've seen. He's got skills and they're trying to give him a chance to be a positive force on the team. That said, they're in a pennant race so they can only give him so many chances before they have to put someone in there who can play the position. I do think he can be better than he has been this season, but then it's not like he has a lot of skills to carry him. It's really kinda one skill at this point. I should note here though that, according to WARP, he's been almost a two and a half win player this year which isn't bad at all. That's about two wins more than B-R though the difference of which comes down to how good his defense is. I'm not sure I'm buying his defense as plus, but your mileage may vary. (Matthew Kory)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How does sano compare to pedro alvarez? better hit tool, more power? (temple from madison, wi)	I'm not sure there's a "more" power than Pedro Alvarez. I do think Sano has the chance to let his power function a little better thanks to better contact rates. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is the Pedro Alvarez thing done? He had some value as a bench guy that you could stream during his hot streaks. (maxpowers from chicago)	I've never been on board with Alvarez. His power is legit, but the cold streaks and possible .200 batting average made me nervous. I think this is closer to who he is going forward than the 40 homer bat we saw previously. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)	Hey Ben, I have a rut at the corner infield spot in my 12 team H2H league. Specifically, I'm finding myself not starting Pedro Alvarez and needing an outfielder. What are your thoughts on him for the rest of the season and as a keeper? If he starts producing, I'll consider trading Adrian Beltre or Adrian Gonzalez instead because I expect them to return more value. (Steve from Los Angeles)	I think this is who Alvarez is -- he can mash, but he's not going to hit above .250. I wouldn't expect much change moving forward in his career. (Ben Carsley)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What's going on with Pedro Alvarez? K/BB rates are at their best, but ISO is down and BABIP is still lowish. Is he having a down year? I can't tell... (Pat from Florida)	He's not mashing righties as much as he was a year ago. From the dozen-or-so games I've watched of Alvarez this year, I think he's essentially trading contact for power. His contact rate and strikeout rate have improved, but he's sacrificed power in the process. In some ways, I think he's still learning and adjusting to big-league pitching. (J.P. Breen)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Any thoughts on Pedro Alvarez being able to take a step forward this year? (Rob from Pitt)	Gotta stop K'ing so much. Otherwise he just is what is, which is still good (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I'm in a shallow mixed keeper league. We each keep 8 players. My last choice is either Pedro Alvarez as my starting 3B or Homer Bailey as my SP3? (Dale from GA)	That's close. If you think 3B will be dried up, go Alvarez. I love Bailey, but pitching should be deep in a shallow league. (Paul Sporer)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Pedro Alvarez or Brett Lawrie? (fishersehorn31 from VA - The 540)	I personally would take Lawrie, but I am very much anti-Alvarez. I'm not a fan of one category contributors in general because when they go cold, they're utterly worthless. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Sano more Pedro Alvarez type or a Giancarlo Stanton type? (Wilfred from MN)	Alvarez (Jason Parks)
2013-10-07 18:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Pedro Alvarez the next Chris Davis? (Nick from Georgia)	Interesting question. It depends on the context in which you're asking. If you mean "can Pedro hit 50+ HR?" the answer is an emphatic yes. Alvarez's raw power tool is awe inspiring, and it's not hard to envision a significant HR boost next year. However, I'm not sure Pedro is going to ever hit for any kind of batting average. He is always going to have a high strikeout percentage and I have a hard time seeing Alvarez ever hitting .286. .260 seems like a far more realistic ceiling. (Mike Gianella)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	can Pedro Alvarez keep up this recent pace? (Milhouse from PA)	He is what is - a series of very high-highs and very low-lows evening out to a great power source with horrific batting average. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Any thoughts between these three (brutal) 3B options in a 14 team mixed OBP league (yes, I effed up my draft on this position): Marwin Gonzalez, Pedro Alvarez, Luis Valbuena. (Jacob from Springfield)	Reverse order 'em. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Is this what we can expect out of Pedro Alvarez?: 10 games of nothing but strikeouts and then a few consecutive games with homers? (Sam from New Jersey)	Something like that. He's a three-true outcomes type. Those guys are, rightly or wrongly, thought of as streaky hitters. Remember how he started last season miserably then wound up with 30 homers? (R.J. Anderson)
2013-03-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Vanilla 5x5 league (no keepers), just dealt Prado and Votto for Harper and Austin Jackson. My new 3B is Pedro Alvarez. Did I do ok? (M from NY)	Seems like a pretty even trade to me. Harper is a small downgrade from Votto and A-Jax is a small upgrade from Prado. (Bret Sayre)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)	Pedro Alvarez had a very solid year minus April and early May, is he going to be a slow starter or a top 5 3rd baseman in the NL? (redguy12588 from Pittsburgh)	He was very streaky last year so it's a fool's errand to try and predict what he'll do over any given 3-4 week stretch of the 26-week season. I rank him 8th among 3B-eligible players in the NL, a hair ahead of David Freese. I don't see top five, with Hanley, Wright, Zimmerman, Panda and Aramis ahead of him. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who would you take for the rest of their respective careers, Mike Olt or Pedro Alvarez? (Nils from CT)	Olt (Jason Parks)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)	What in the world happened to the Pirates ? Seems the Reds got hot at the wrong time. (19braves77 from Pensacola, FL)	Pedro Alvarez happened to the Pirates! I wrote about that today, too, in the article I selfishly linked even though I failed to link to Sam's immediately after that. I think the Reds will be fine. There's no bad time to be hot. That should be a song, if it isn't already. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Michael, Would Karstens and Taillon be enough to get Headley from the Padres? Or is there a "safer", less-costly acquisition the Bucs should focus on? (Sweet Lou from Buctown)	I don't see the utility of trading for Headley, and giving up Taillon would be too much-he'd be an upgrade over Pedro Alvarez in some areas, and Pittsburgh fans might miss the breeze from all Pedro's whiffs, but this is a small-market team that needs to focus on developing internal talent. Alvarez is starting to figure things out, and they need to see if their investment will pay off, not look for a marginal upgrade at the cost of Taillon. They're better off pursuing a shortstop, maybe Yunel Escobar. (Michael Street)
2012-06-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Pedro Alvarez on a Rob Deer type career arc? (Craig from PA)	With what we know so far, I think Alvarez would have to be excited to get a Rob Deer career. Deer had 4500 PAs over an 11-year career. Alvarez is certainly giving us the all-or-nothing, three true outcomes type of at-bats, but we haven't seen enough to know if that's how his whole career will be. If those cold streaks last too long, he may not get a chance to show off his power. The power surges this year have been nice, but they've been, what, once a month? You need to turn it on a little more often than that to hang around for 11 years. (Larry Granillo)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who would you rather have? Hosmer + Pedro Alvarez or Lawrie + Belt? (ttt from Manhattan)	Hosmer+ anybody is probably going to trump Not Hosmer + anybody. (Jason Parks)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Any hope for Pedro Alvarez to resuscitate his career? (Hip2Hops from Seattle)	Sure. The guy's 25 and has four functioning limbs and all of 648 MLB PA under his belt. He needs to make significant adjustments to his game, but that's not outside the realm of possibility at all. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Pedro Alvarez, worth keeping?? What is too high? (Jack Sparrow from Caribbean)	Are we talking dollars or draft picks? What kind of league is it? How deep? How does the keeper system work? (Derek Carty)
2012-01-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)	KG, What kind of production are you expecting from Pedro Alvarez this year? (BaseballNUT2009 from s.a. ca.)	If I knew that, I'd be rich, but I'm not very optimistic. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Have we reached the point where we can question if Neil Huntington is the right GM for the Pirates? The major league club is still terrible and while they spend money on the draft, this doesn't mean much if you continue to select the wrong players and/or can't develop them in the minor league system. He also has very little to show for the Jason Bay (his best trade asset)trade. (Sasha from Texas)	It's very hard to judge a GM when he's trading a star, because almost inevitably he is not going to get good value back--you're moving something that has been established as good for things that are speculative, and by their nature speculative things often don't work out... Huntington's efforts would also look a whole lot better if Pedro Alvarez hadn't been such a bust to date, and few were second-guessing that signing at the time. (Steven Goldman)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I know you were very high on Pedro Alvarez before the 2008 draft. Do you still believe he will develop into an all-star player or has his stock really dropped in your eyes? (Mary from Pittsburgh)	Really dropped. Has made few adjustments, body is an issue. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-10-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Pedro Alvarez busted for good? He just looked like he had zero pitch recognition this season. (John from PA)	Not busted for good, but not the player the Pirates thought they were getting. Let's see if he has the #want necessary to climb to his projected levels. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Former GM Jim Bowden seems to be very certain that Pedro Alvarez will reach his ceiling... Going strictly by the numbers he's out of his mind - but yet I keep feeling like everytime he gets going, he goes down with an injury. Whats your take? (Jquinton82 from NY)	Once upon a time, my faith in Bowden's certainties was high, but when the bottom fell out of the market for a GM-targeted line of leather pants, that faith was shaken. I haven't seen him play much this year, but Alvarez's stat line is of a man paddling backwards at a considerable clip. Injuries may be enough to give him a pass on this year, but he'll go into next season as a 24-year-old hacker who still has a whole lot to accomplish to become a league average third baseman. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-07-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I have Jesus Montero, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Blanks, and Pedro Alvarez in a dynasty... looming logjam at 1B? If they do all end up at first how would you rate them based on their bats alone? (Jquinton82 from NY)	Man, that's a fantastic softball team you have there. Risk-averse ranking: Freeman, Montero, Alvarez, Blanks. If you have a taste for risk, flip the first two. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What do you make of Pedro Alvarez so far? While he's still 'young', he's not that young and with his approach, he just seems so lost. (Frank Vincent from Pittsburgh)	I definitely thought he'd be better by now, and do have questions about him ever reaching his ceiling. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-02-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Pedro Alvarez the next Carlos Lee? (Tony from Albuquerque)	I'd take that if I were Pedro Alvarez -- Lee's had a nice career. (Ken Funck)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Christina, any breakout player/pitcher for the Bucs this year (pls give me some hope for this season!)? (Frank from Vegas)	What, beyond seeing Pedro Alvarez settle in? Hrm... a breakout, eh? I think this is the year Ross Ohlendorf stops being just a nice guy to take a flyer on, and settles in as a good rotation regular, but that's more of a gut/expectation thing, not a worthwhile projection. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)	How soon do you think Pedro Alvarez will start posting 30/100 seasons? His September was sexy! (Dave from Milton)	I do. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Marc, Any idea on what Pedro Alvarez's value will be next year in a 14-team keeper league? I can keep him in the 17th round, but not sure I want to slot 3rd base to him quite yet. His year hasn't been THAT impressive has it? Thanks for chatting. (bctowns from Chicago, IL)	I like his potential as a hitter a lot, and I think he can slot in at first base sooner than later thanks to his bat. Keeping him in the 17th round could be a steal for you honestly, even if you aren't ready to start him at 3B in April. (Marc Normandin)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Jay, I may be too late to respond, but YES I was talking only in the NL. It seems they have a ton this season with: Heyward, Posey, Logan Morrison, Stanton, Starlin Castro, Pedro Alvarez, Tabata, Strasburg, Chapman, Mike Minor, Leake, Ike Davis... all in the National League. (Bobby from New York)	Ah, got it. That's a tough question for another day - there's a lot to like there, but we've already got less reason to be excited about Ike Davis, for one. What really matters is how these guys develop beyond year one, anyway. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Marc, thanks for the chat. I'm trying to pick 5 keepers from this bunch: Hellickson, Heyward, Stanton, Aroldis Chapman, Phil Hughes, Pedro Alvarez, Jesus Montero, Neftali Feliz, Lincecum...Should I try to corner the young pitching market with Hughes, Hellickson, Chapman, Lincecum, Feliz or are the 2 20-year old OFs more valuable? (cbelford from Chicago)	In real life, you can never have too much pitching. But in fantasy, you need to bet on the sure thing more often, because the reason you can never have too much pitching is due to the volatility of the performances and concerns over injuries. I am much more comfortable keeping the two 20 year old outfielders and Pedro Alvarez than by going all pitching. Heyward, Stanton, Alvarez, Feliz, Lincecum would be my five from your group. If you can make a trade by packaging some of the others together, I would explore it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Whispers of Pedro Alvarez getting demoted back to AAA? Seems like a rash move, especially considering how streaky he can be. What are your thoughts on his future as the General of the Cavalry? (Milby from San Francisco)	Still a big fan, and I agree that sending him down would be rash. It's not like the Pirates are going to win anything anyway, so why not have him learn on the job? (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What do you think of Pedro Alvarez the rest of the year, and as a keeper option for next year and the year after? (Nick from NYC)	I like Alvarez in NL-only this year, but he's not a keeper in mixed leagues yet. Deep leagues though, he's someone to keep an eye on already, despite early struggles. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Keeper League: Pedro Alvarez or Mike Stanton? (Nickles from Dime Store, USA)	Mike Stanton. I was upset I missed out on him in one of my leagues, but Alvarez is still sitting there waiting for an owner like a sad puppy. I like both long-term, but Stanton could be special. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)	They shoot pirates, don't they? Anything to look forward to with the 2010 Bucs so I don't do the same? (frank from vegas)	Well, Pedro Alvarez is up, and while he's off to just a 4-for-35 start, he should be good enough to stick in the majors once he gets his bearings. Neil Walker is taking to the majors as well, and that's worth something, too. I'm less optimistic about Jose Tabata and Brad Lincoln, but they're not hopeless. Andrew McCutchen is a damn fine ballplayer and Lastings Milledge is coming around. It's going to get better. Not immediately, but they're on the right track. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who gets called up first: Carlos Santana or Pedro Alvarez? (Lane from Austin, TX)	Pedro Alvarez will be called up first, but I don't think Santana is that far behind. I wish Santana would get called up now so he could move from my bench and replace Lou Marson in my deep AL-only (just like real life!) (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Please rank the following in the order in which you think they will make their big league debuts: Mike Moustakas; Pedro Alvarez; Logan Morrison; Freddie Freeman; Madison Bumgarner; Jeremy Hellickson. Does anyone in this group make a significant fantasy impact in 2010? (Chillin' from Waiver Wire)	I'm not terribly good at this kind of thing, but what the heck: Alvarez, Moustakas, Hellickson, Morrison, Bumgarner, Freeman I think the first three will see at least a sprinkling of big league time this year. The others I'm not so sure about. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)	How do the holes in Stanton's swing compare to some other similar sluggers? Does he have the potential to hit with significantly more contact than a guy like Ryan Howard or Mark Reynolds, or even fellow prospect Pedro Alvarez? (roberto21pops8 from CT)	He's always going to have big strikeout numbers, but he's also the one prospect in baseball most likely to hit 50 home runs in a season. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)	How do you assess Neal Huntington's job in Pittsburgh so far? (Charles from New York City)	Not very differently than how I would have a year ago, or six months ago. Pedro Alvarez will arrive shortly. The organization has a long way to go, but they're more competitive now, and they're certainly creative enough in terms of trying any number of things with their players. Getting worked up over the returns as far as what was received for breaking up a bad team would have been a mistake; sure enough, acquiring a collection of washouts and mid-list prospects hasn't yielded massive returns. If there's cause for massive disappointment, it's that Andy LaRoche flopped, but LaRoche was a prospect nobody saw flopping this badly, so it's hard to fault Huntington the decision to acquire him. I'd still fidget over the decision to deal McLouth as early as he did, but that may not have been entirely in his hands. Basically, I remain a cautious optimist where the Pirates are concerned. I cautious, patient optimist. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-05-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hey, John. Thanks for the chat. I know you're not the prospect guy, but I assume you still have a pipeline to the Buccos. Are they concerned about Pedro Alvarez' relatively lackluster performance this year? Or can we assume he's up in June regardless? Or both? (Rob from Alaska)	Everything I'm hearing _ and the numbers bear this out _ is that lefties are eating him alive, especially those with decent breaking pitches. The Pirates didn't spend $6.3 million for a platoon player, thus I don't see him coming to the majors until he shows he can at least hold his own against lefties. (John Perrotto)
2010-05-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Which of the following prospects will "miraculously" be deemed ready for the majors in a week or so: Carlos Santana, Pedro Alvarez, Stephen Strasburg, Buster Posey, Desmond Jennings? (tommybones from brooklyn)	Stephen Strasburg, for sure. (John Perrotto)
2010-03-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Pedro Alvarez...how much does he contribute this year (if any)? (Tim from DC)	He really needs to cut the Ks. I'm tentatively expecting him to be up in June or July, but if he can't get his contact issues under control, that might be a very optimistic estimate. (Shawn Hoffman)

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