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YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | DRAA | BRR | FRAA | BWARP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | CIN | 23 | 22 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .207 | .276 | 60 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
2011 | CIN | 24 | 47 | 98 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .330 | .398 | .545 | 120 | 2.3 | 0.9 | -2.1 | 0.3 |
2012 | SDN | 25 | 155 | 619 | 150 | 39 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 101 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .273 | .348 | .393 | 99 | -0.5 | -5.3 | 9.1 | 1.0 |
2013 | SDN | 26 | 97 | 375 | 94 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 0 | .281 | .341 | .368 | 100 | 0.6 | -3.0 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
2014 | SDN | 27 | 84 | 288 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .240 | .285 | .397 | 99 | -0.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
2015 | SDN | 28 | 103 | 402 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 5 | .282 | .361 | .381 | 99 | 1.2 | -2.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
2016 | OAK | 29 | 156 | 532 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 74 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .253 | .316 | .367 | 90 | -5.0 | 0.2 | 6.0 | 0.7 |
2017 | OAK | 30 | 100 | 371 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 50 | 88 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .266 | .369 | .527 | 123 | 11.9 | -0.2 | -2.7 | 1.3 |
2017 | SEA | 30 | 42 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .265 | .353 | .439 | 125 | 5.1 | -0.1 | -2.8 | 0.4 |
2018 | CLE | 31 | 145 | 574 | 129 | 19 | 0 | 23 | 51 | 123 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .317 | .421 | 96 | -0.7 | 1.1 | -0.6 | 0.6 |
2019 | CHA | 32 | 67 | 251 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .178 | .275 | .301 | 79 | -5.8 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
2019 | COL | 32 | 54 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .260 | .357 | .479 | 102 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -1.1 | 0.1 |
Career | 1072 | 3773 | 872 | 181 | 2 | 100 | 366 | 648 | 16 | 22 | 8 | .259 | .332 | .404 | 100 | 8.0 | -6.9 | 16.8 | 6.2 |
YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | PA | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | DRC+ | DRC+ SD | FRAA | BRR | DRAA | BWARP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | SAR | A+ | FSL | 6 | 25 | .255 | .321 | .376 | .429 | 100 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 134 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
2009 | SAR | A+ | FSL | 49 | 201 | .253 | .320 | .366 | .333 | 95 | 11.1 | 5.9 | -3.8 | 155 | 0 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 10.3 | 1.4 |
2009 | CAR | AA | SOU | 29 | 121 | .252 | .329 | .369 | .330 | 92 | 7.6 | 3.4 | -2.2 | 138 | 0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 5.1 | 1.0 |
2009 | RDS | Rk | GCL | 6 | 18 | .231 | .288 | .333 | .143 | 89 | -1.7 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 98 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
2010 | CIN | MLB | NL | 22 | 29 | .262 | .333 | .417 | .316 | 99 | -2.7 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 60 | 12 | 1.4 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 0.0 |
2010 | CAR | AA | SOU | 31 | 121 | .263 | .330 | .388 | .293 | 97 | 1.5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 126 | 0 | 0.5 | -1.0 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
2010 | LOU | AAA | INT | 101 | 445 | .268 | .336 | .424 | .340 | 100 | 7.4 | 13.4 | -7.6 | 126 | 0 | 0.4 | -4.3 | 12.8 | 1.4 |
2011 | CIN | MLB | NL | 47 | 98 | .249 | .312 | .384 | .387 | 103 | 5.4 | 2.6 | -0.5 | 120 | 19 | -2.1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
2011 | LOU | AAA | INT | 91 | 409 | .259 | .327 | .400 | .324 | 94 | 10.6 | 12.7 | -4.6 | 139 | 0 | -7.5 | -2.2 | 16.5 | 1.4 |
2012 | SDN | MLB | NL | 155 | 619 | .252 | .315 | .398 | .318 | 96 | 8.1 | 17.0 | -10.7 | 99 | 8 | 9.1 | -5.3 | -0.5 | 1.0 |
2013 | SDN | MLB | NL | 97 | 375 | .257 | .315 | .399 | .306 | 98 | 1 | 9.9 | -6.2 | 100 | 10 | 3.9 | -3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
2013 | TUC | AAA | PCL | 4 | 14 | .276 | .337 | .413 | .571 | 112 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 162 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
2014 | SDN | MLB | NL | 84 | 288 | .256 | .315 | .394 | .251 | 96 | -2.3 | 7.4 | -4.6 | 99 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.6 |
2014 | ELP | AAA | PCL | 5 | 17 | .269 | .326 | .424 | .267 | 103 | -1.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
2014 | PDR | Rk | AZL | 2 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .333 | 0.0 | 122 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | |||
2015 | SDN | MLB | NL | 103 | 402 | .258 | .320 | .414 | .313 | 94 | 5.6 | 10.9 | -6.8 | 99 | 12 | 3.7 | -2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
2015 | LEL | A+ | CAL | 2 | 9 | .257 | .328 | .392 | .167 | 99 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 103 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
2015 | ELP | AAA | PCL | 4 | 17 | .242 | .330 | .365 | .300 | 113 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 99 | 0 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
2016 | OAK | MLB | AL | 156 | 532 | .260 | .320 | .426 | .284 | 99 | -8.9 | 15.0 | -9.2 | 90 | 9 | 6.0 | 0.2 | -5.0 | 0.7 |
2017 | OAK | MLB | AL | 100 | 371 | .254 | .321 | .430 | .301 | 103 | 14.1 | 10.8 | -6.8 | 123 | 7 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 11.9 | 1.3 |
2017 | SEA | MLB | AL | 42 | 150 | .258 | .321 | .438 | .302 | 101 | 0.7 | 4.4 | -2.7 | 125 | 7 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
2018 | CLE | MLB | AL | 145 | 574 | .257 | .328 | .423 | .283 | 106 | 0.6 | 16.1 | -10.2 | 96 | 7 | -0.6 | 1.1 | -0.7 | 0.6 |
2019 | CHA | MLB | AL | 67 | 251 | .258 | .324 | .450 | .199 | 101 | -12.4 | 7.6 | -4.8 | 79 | 14 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -5.8 | -0.3 |
2019 | COL | MLB | NL | 54 | 84 | .244 | .310 | .414 | .302 | 114 | 0.6 | 2.5 | -0.8 | 102 | -17 | -1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
2019 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 9 | 38 | .297 | .356 | .506 | .458 | 120 | 5.1 | 1.3 | -0.8 | 145 | 0 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 2.5 | 0.1 |
Year | Team | lvl | LG | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | SF | SH |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | SAR | A+ | FSL | 25 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .316 | .458 | .368 | .053 | 0 | 0 |
2009 | CAR | AA | SOU | 121 | 105 | 12 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | .295 | .378 | .457 | .162 | 0 | 0 |
2009 | RDS | Rk | GCL | 18 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .278 | .133 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
2009 | SAR | A+ | FSL | 201 | 175 | 21 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 87 | 38 | 24 | 30 | 0 | 1 | .303 | .387 | .497 | .194 | 0 | 0 |
2010 | LOU | AAA | INT | 445 | 406 | 50 | 120 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 191 | 56 | 37 | 76 | 9 | 1 | .296 | .356 | .470 | .175 | 0 | 0 |
2010 | CAR | AA | SOU | 121 | 101 | 19 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 2 | .267 | .388 | .406 | .139 | 0 | 0 |
2010 | CIN | MLB | NL | 29 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .207 | .276 | .069 | 0 | 0 |
2011 | CIN | MLB | NL | 98 | 88 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 0 | .330 | .398 | .545 | .216 | 0 | 0 |
2011 | LOU | AAA | INT | 409 | 358 | 46 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 174 | 56 | 46 | 60 | 6 | 5 | .296 | .374 | .486 | .190 | 4 | 0 |
2012 | SDN | MLB | NL | 619 | 549 | 47 | 150 | 39 | 0 | 9 | 216 | 62 | 62 | 101 | 3 | 0 | .273 | .348 | .393 | .120 | 4 | 1 |
2013 | SDN | MLB | NL | 375 | 334 | 34 | 94 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 123 | 45 | 32 | 47 | 6 | 0 | .281 | .341 | .368 | .087 | 7 | 0 |
2013 | TUC | AAA | PCL | 14 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .571 | .571 | .571 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
2014 | PDR | Rk | AZL | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .375 | .375 | .750 | .375 | 0 | |
2014 | SDN | MLB | NL | 288 | 267 | 27 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 106 | 27 | 17 | 36 | 6 | 1 | .240 | .285 | .397 | .157 | 3 | |
2014 | ELP | AAA | PCL | 17 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .235 | .235 | .000 | 0 | |
2015 | LEL | A+ | CAL | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .444 | .167 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
2015 | SDN | MLB | NL | 402 | 354 | 50 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 135 | 31 | 42 | 48 | 2 | 5 | .282 | .361 | .381 | .099 | 3 | 0 |
2015 | ELP | AAA | PCL | 17 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .412 | .308 | .077 | 0 | 0 |
2016 | OAK | MLB | AL | 532 | 482 | 52 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 177 | 56 | 45 | 74 | 3 | 1 | .253 | .316 | .367 | .114 | 4 | 0 |
2017 | OAK | MLB | AL | 371 | 319 | 52 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 168 | 49 | 50 | 88 | 1 | 0 | .266 | .369 | .527 | .260 | 0 | 0 |
2017 | SEA | MLB | AL | 150 | 132 | 20 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 58 | 18 | 18 | 30 | 1 | 0 | .265 | .353 | .439 | .174 | 0 | 0 |
2018 | CLE | MLB | AL | 574 | 516 | 64 | 129 | 19 | 0 | 23 | 217 | 83 | 51 | 123 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .317 | .421 | .171 | 5 | 0 |
2019 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 38 | 31 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .419 | .500 | .774 | .355 | 1 | 0 |
2019 | CHA | MLB | AL | 251 | 219 | 23 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 66 | 27 | 29 | 53 | 0 | 1 | .178 | .275 | .301 | .123 | 2 | 0 |
2019 | COL | MLB | NL | 84 | 73 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | .260 | .357 | .479 | .219 | 0 | 0 |
YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% | CSAA |
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2010 | 100 | 0.6100 | 0.6300 | 0.6508 | 0.7541 | 0.4359 | 0.6957 | 0.5294 | 0.3492 | -0.0028 |
2011 | 372 | 0.4812 | 0.4409 | 0.7805 | 0.6648 | 0.2332 | 0.8908 | 0.4889 | 0.2195 | 0.0022 |
2012 | 2202 | 0.4882 | 0.4805 | 0.7902 | 0.7312 | 0.2413 | 0.8830 | 0.5221 | 0.2098 | -0.0110 |
2013 | 1322 | 0.4917 | 0.4705 | 0.8312 | 0.6723 | 0.2753 | 0.9382 | 0.5784 | 0.1688 | -0.0082 |
2014 | 1005 | 0.4955 | 0.4746 | 0.8449 | 0.6968 | 0.2564 | 0.9366 | 0.6000 | 0.1551 | 0.0052 |
2015 | 1453 | 0.4776 | 0.4549 | 0.8427 | 0.6902 | 0.2398 | 0.9186 | 0.6429 | 0.1573 | -0.0059 |
2016 | 1877 | 0.4784 | 0.4614 | 0.8210 | 0.6659 | 0.2737 | 0.9298 | 0.5784 | 0.1790 | 0.0000 |
2017 | 2066 | 0.4589 | 0.4695 | 0.7402 | 0.7025 | 0.2719 | 0.8529 | 0.4934 | 0.2598 | 0.0000 |
2018 | 2174 | 0.4683 | 0.5028 | 0.7466 | 0.7279 | 0.3045 | 0.8610 | 0.5057 | 0.2534 | 0.0000 |
2019 | 1365 | 0.4747 | 0.4733 | 0.7492 | 0.6867 | 0.2803 | 0.8697 | 0.4826 | 0.2508 | 0.0000 |
Career | 13936 | 0.4786 | 0.4750 | 0.7882 | 0.6993 | 0.2692 | 0.8918 | 0.5417 | 0.2118 | -0.0027 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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2014-08-13 | 2014-09-29 | 60-DL | 47 | 44 | Right | Forearm | Tendon Injury | - | ||
2014-06-17 | 2014-07-26 | 15-DL | 39 | 32 | Right | Wrist | Tendonitis | - | ||
2014-03-19 | 2014-03-21 | Camp | 2 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
2013-08-31 | 2013-09-28 | DTD | 28 | 26 | Right | Hand | Strain | - | - | |
2013-06-01 | 2013-07-12 | 15-DL | 41 | 39 | Right | Wrist | Contusion | - | - | |
2012-08-07 | 2012-08-08 | DTD | 1 | 1 | - | Thigh | Strain | Hamstring | - | - |
2012-06-24 | 2012-06-26 | DTD | 2 | 2 | Left | Knee | Strain | Bothered for a Few Days Cortisone Injection | - | - |
2012-05-11 | 2012-05-11 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
2011-09-20 | 2011-09-20 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Ankle | Soreness | Continued Soreness | - | - |
2011-08-08 | 2011-08-09 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Right | Ankle | Soreness | Stepped on Sprinkler Head | - | - |
2009-06-19 | 2009-08-22 | Minors | 64 | 0 | Right | Wrist | Surgery | Hamate Fracture | 2009-06-23 |
Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
PCT | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
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Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | ? | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0.0 | ? | 0.0 |
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Date | Question | Answer |
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2017-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What has gotten into Yonder Alonso this season? Matching his career high in home runs by May 7th. If you're the A's, do you sell high and slide Healy over to first base, or try to lock him down on like a 3-year contract to provide a safety net for some of the weaker defenders in the A's infield? (Dave from San Francisco) | Aaron discussed him today. Key takeaway: "Alonso looks like a legitimately changed hitter." I heard him interviewed on MLB Network and he said he'd done work over the winter on his swing mechanics to make better contact. But when they asked him about getting the ball in the air more, he demurred. Dave Cameron at FanGraphs, though, says he's kind of a poster child for more loft. You raise a good point about his glove, but if he continues along a 1.000 OPS trajectory, will the A's be able to sign him? Seems that they'd try to get him to a reasonably cheap extension before the ASG and if they can't, trade him by the deadline. He's 30, so even if he's a different hitter, he's on the wrong side of the aging curve. (Rob Mains) |
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | What does Oakland do with Chapman? Is Chapman good enough to push Healy off of Third? (Paul from DC) | I can honestly say I did not expect Matt Chapman to get pushed as high as he did, but our staff really went to bat for him. I could see the A's moving Healy across the diamond.
A check of roster resource reminds me the A's signed Trevor Plouffe, which I don't remember at all, but makes perfect sense as an Athletics signings. I think they could rotate those guys through 1B/3B/DH to get them all at-bats, which I guess is something you do as the 2017 A's. I don't think Yonder Alonso will be blocking Chapman from that rotation. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Think Rangel Ravelo will ever start hitting for power? If he does, is he one of the best 1B prospects in the minors? (SK from Boston) | I doubt it. There's some raw there, but it's likely more of a fringy power game. At his absolute peak, he's Yonder Alonso. Not really much to write home about. (Jordan Gorosh) |
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat) | 5x5 keeper lg, should I trade Saltalamacchia for Yonder Alonso? Thx much. Also what would you do if your girl deleted your MLB The Show career save file? Gotta dump her, right? (Babe Gross from Auburn) | In a vacuum I'd keep Salty. I don't think Alonso is special and the catcher position is harder to figure out in my opinion. Yeah, that's an obvious no go. Priorities. (Craig Goldstein) |
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat) | At 1B next year, who puts up better numbers Matt Adams or Yonder Alonso? (higgsboson from Guelph) | Gimme Adams. Power has always been Alonso's issue (well that and platoon splits), and I am not too confident that the power is going to develop. (Doug Thorburn) |
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Medica. What's the deal? Pads must have some expectations to bring him up before the TL Championship series. Can he hit enough to play 1B in the bigs? (Bill from San Diego) | I believe Medica is Rule 5 Draft eligible this offseason. While he's not a big prospect, the injury to Yonder Alonso created some room, so why not see what he can do? Medica is limited to 1B defensively and doesn't have a ton of upside, but he's got some pop and has a track record of crushing left-handed pitching in the minors. So I think it's worthwhile to at least see if there's some Nate Freiman-style platoon potential in the bat. Doesn't profile as an everyday guy for me but has an outside shot to be a role player. (Jason Cole) |
2013-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | There is some great fantasy coverage here at BP, but I think there's a gap in the overall literature here and elsewhere. You see a lot of work being done with recommending players that are owned in only a small percentage of leagues. The idea being "here are guys you can go get right now". What that doesn't really tell you, though, is whether those guys are actually better than the ones you have.
For example, I have Kyle Seager, Jedd Gyorko, and Daniel Murphy filling out my 2B, MI, and CI slots. Would I be better off dropping Seager for a guy like Yonder Alonso? How do you evaluate a decision like that? (ravenight from Boston) | I would not get rid of Seager for Alonso. The reason that we can't necessarily outline whether the available players will be better than who you have is bc it's impossible to know everyone's situation so we try to recommend guys for you to consider if you want to make a move. Of course, our Twitter availability, the comments sections, and chat like these are a great forum for the specific questions like yours! For me, the question is whether or not Alonso offers something I need. I think he and Seager offer similar things with Seager having 3B elig. so might as well hold Seags. I do like Yonder, though. (Paul Sporer) |
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Jason, love your podcast with PaulS. What do you foresee in Yonder Alonso's future? Double power turning into homer power somewhat like Country Breakfast in 2012? cheers, Hoppy (Hoppy from Scotland) | Thanks, we love recording it for everyone. I see James Loney in his future to be honest. He'll hit for average and drive in runs, but 20 HRs would be a reach for him. (Jason Collette) |
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat) | 12 team mixed keeper league. Is it worth holding onto Hosmer? He's my only 1B and is KILLING me. Yonder Alonso, Matt Adams, James Loney, and Mitch Moreland are the only decent names on waivers? Would you take any of them over Hosmer or try to make a trade for someone better? (kcasey1029 from Denver) | I'd prefer a trade since 1B is an elite offensive position, but in the meantime scoop Alonso to get some 1B production going. Hang onto Hosmer (unless he's part of the trade), but go and sit him for a bit. (Paul Sporer) |
2013-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I try to understand the PECOTA approach since a few weeks now and with all my drafts in the books I wondered when I compare the PECOTA list with the draft tools offered on the web how potential new-comers (prospects) always fall short on the PECOTA list. Anybody who can help me to understand this better? Any comment would be appreciated.
regards Udo (bechtudo from Knoxville, TN) | I reached out to a colleague at BP for an answer here (as it's a bit left of my comfort zone). Here's what he said:
"In general, I think a lot of this is due to overly high expectations from rookie players by most, and the fact that a good projection is going to take into account a statistical expectation, not a "best case" (or even "above average") scenario. It's easy to remember the Amazing Mike Trout season, and Bryce Harper's very good season. But entering 2012, I thought catchers Mesoraco and Lavarnway would do quite well. Many thought guys like Yonder Alonso, Chris Parmelee, and (especially) Jesus Montero would do well. And even guys like Nieuwenhuis, Pastornicky, and Lombardozzi had reasonably adequate expectations from many. The really deceptive aspect of projecting rookies is that if they aren't good, they often get demoted, so their struggles aren't showcased, while the ones who do well get to keep playing and everyone notices, so there's a perception bias with regards to how well rookies actually did." Hope that helps! (Nick Faleris) |
2013-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How likely is it that Yonder Alonso's college career at Miami was tainted by steroids? 60-40? (Matt from Chicago) | Matt, based on my knowledge of the situation, I'll put the likelihood at somewhere between 0 and 100%. (Geoff Young) |
2012-07-09 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Are my Padres ever going to make a run again, or was 2010 the closest we're going to get? What does the future of the Padres organization look like, what is the state of our minor league system? (I aint Quentin from Beutiful San Diego) | The Padres have one of the deepest farm systems in baseball, and the key is whether that depth can overcome the lack of starpower. We've started to see some of the pieces of a future Padres contender already, with Yasmani Grandal and Yonder Alonso, and on the offensive side, Rymer Liriano should be coming sometime in 2013. Getting Joe Wieland and Robbie Erlin from the Rangers for Mike Adams at last year's deadline was a very nice move, and the Padres should be able to acquire more talent this July for Street. (Daniel Rathman) |
2012-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat) | I've got Hafner as my DH at the moment, but Both Smoak and Yonder Alonso have been dropped. Which of those three would you want? (JayT from San Francisco) | I'm assuming this is a relatively standard mixed league, 12 teams or so, in which case I'd grab Smoak. They're all close enough in value where you can gamble on his upside, and if he falls on his face, then you should still be able to get someone decent off the waiver wire. (Derek Carty) |
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat) | What rookies do you see making an impact for the Padres this season? Spangenberg? Grandal? Gyorko? (Michael from Green Bay) | Spangenberg is pretty far away. I wouldn't expect to see him up before mid-2014 at the earliest. The other two could see action in San Diego this year, but probably as September callups. Impact this year? Yonder Alonso will start at first base. Maybe Brad Boxberger in the 'pen. Alonso is the best bet. (Geoff Young) |
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Lawrie, Jennings, Ackley... Are you high on any prospects likely to be called up soon? (Andrew from Las Vegas) | Yup, I like all three. You can also keep an eye on guys like Mike Moustakas, Jemile Weeks, Yonder Alonso, Anthony Rizzo, Lonnie Chisenhall, and a number of others. (Derek Carty) |
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat) | Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers. (Joe from Cincy) | I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein) |
2010-05-14 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How long do you think the Reds can stay this hot and could they actually be buyers this season with talent like Yonder Alonso on the way? (SprungOnSports from Long Island) | There's a lot of good young talent in Cincy, particularly in the rotation, where there's upside galore even if Aroldis Chapman doesn't show up, which he probably will. If Dusty Baker can stop with the self-destructive lineup assembly (.191/.263/.291 from the leadoff spot!) then I think they could be buyers, but I'm not sold on Alonso (.267/.388/.406 in Double-A, and apparently recently promoted to Triple-A) as being tremendously helpful at the moment. (Jay Jaffe) |
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | You've been reasonaly high on Yonder Alonso in the past, what made him drop off the list this time when a guy like Carter is so high? (Lincoln from Dallas) | The fact that he showed little power and did utterly nothing against lefties. I've written many times my feelings on first base prospects. If you don't look like some kind of No. 3 or 4 hitter on a championship level team, just how good of a first base prospect are you? (Kevin Goldstein) |
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Kevin,
Thanks for the chat. Just curious, do you have any "pet" players you secretly cheer for? Guys like total tool-monsters who suddenly have the light bulb glow, less talented scrappy guys who won't be denied their opportunity, or a guy who masters a new pitch and worm-burns his way to a career? Maybe this seems more like a coaching question, but certainly the majors are filled with plenty of alternate path-to-glory stories. (JimmyJack from Issaquah, WA) | I actually root for most players believe it or not. I certainly want the rankings to look good, but I hardly would want anyone to fail just to make me look smart. I know that sounds cheesy, but it's true. I totally want Yonder Alonso to hit 40 home runs this year and make me look bad, I just don't think he will. (Kevin Goldstein) |
2009-11-17 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Any concerns about Yonder Alonso hitting left-hand pitching? Does he eventually supplant Votto at first? (NeilEdwards6 from Cincy) | I have a lot of concerns about Alonso. Add him to my over-hyped list, actually. (Kevin Goldstein) |
2009-11-02 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Joe-thanks for the chat. Reds question-do the Reds move Joey Votto to LF when Yonder Alonso is ready, or trade Alonso? (raygu1 from burlington, NJ) | Neither guy can play left field well enough. I think they'll trade Votto just because he'll have a lot more perceived value by the time a deal has to happen. I'm not completely sold on the idea that Alonso will force this issue. (Joe Sheehan) |
2009-07-30 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Anything to the Rolen for Yonder Alonso rumor? (Rob from Alaska) | That's not the vibe I'm getting. Reds would be willing to give Edwin Encarancion up but not Alonso. (John Perrotto) |
2009-07-31 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Jerry Hairston? Did they miss Angel Berrora?? (Eli from Brooklyn) | Actually, he's a very good bench player, a nice addition for a team that usually has lousy benches.
Since we're here, it's interesting to note that what we start with isn't always what we end up with, which is why I wait for final confirmation before discussing these deals. The Hairston deal was first reported as Austin Jackson for him. Yonder Alonso was initially mentioned in the Rolen deal--he's not. I really, truly hate analyzing rumors. It's a half-step up, maybe not that, from writing fiction. (Joe Sheehan) |
2009-05-25 13:00:00 (link to chat) | If you were drafting at 10, 20 and 30, and were limited to college players, who do you like? (Tucci from Draft Day) | If I was to have to reach at each of those benchmarks, I'd take Jared Mitchell at 10, Chad Jenkins at 20, and Rich Poythress at 30. I love Mitchell's potential, even if there's a long way to go both in the field (where he's mistake-prone) and at the plate. Chad Jenkins has become one of my favorite first round arms, as I'm a sucker for a power sinker. And Poythress is just going to mash. I see less differences between him and Yonder Alonso than their respective draft standings would suggest. (Bryan Smith) |
2009-06-03 15:00:00 (link to chat) | I'll buy your next reuben if you answer my previous Reds question :) (answer in LF - (1) Owings, (2) trade, (3) Votto next year). By the way, when I went to law school in Toledo I used to love listening to you on 1470. Keep up the good work. (Derek from Ohio) | Thanks for the kind words and mmmmm... though I don't see a previous question in the chat.
It's fun to ponder, but I don't see them moving Owings to the outfield anytime soon. Votto to the outfield at some point makes sense, particularly with Yonder Alonso on the way, but I'm not sure when that has to happen. Which leaves them needing a trade. Holliday could be a good fit there, perhaps, but I'm not a great matchmaker for deals, particularly with an eye on the clock as I have now. (Jay Jaffe) |
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