Biographical

Portrait of Lucas Duda

Lucas Duda 1BBraves

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 33)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date2-3-1986
Height6' 4"
Weight255 lbs
Age38 years, 2 months, 20 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
1.82015
-0.22016
0.92017
0.52018
0.82019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2010 NYN 24 29 92 17 6 0 4 6 22 1 0 0 .202 .261 .417 90 -1.0 0.7 -1.7 0.0
2011 NYN 25 100 347 88 21 3 10 33 57 7 1 0 .292 .370 .482 128 11.3 -3.8 -2.6 1.1
2012 NYN 26 121 459 96 15 0 15 51 120 4 1 0 .239 .329 .389 99 -0.2 -4.7 -13.0 -1.0
2013 NYN 27 100 384 71 16 0 15 55 102 9 0 3 .223 .352 .415 112 5.6 0.6 -6.0 0.7
2014 NYN 28 153 596 130 27 0 30 69 135 9 3 2 .253 .349 .481 135 22.5 -2.4 -7.3 2.0
2015 NYN 29 135 554 115 33 0 27 66 138 14 0 2 .244 .352 .486 125 18.4 1.0 -8.1 1.8
2016 NYN 30 47 172 35 7 0 7 15 36 2 0 0 .229 .302 .412 94 -0.9 0.7 -3.4 -0.2
2017 NYN 31 75 291 62 21 0 17 37 73 2 0 0 .246 .347 .532 112 5.2 -3.4 -1.7 0.3
2017 TBA 31 52 200 30 7 0 13 23 62 4 0 0 .175 .285 .444 112 3.6 0.1 -0.2 0.6
2018 ATL 32 20 22 4 2 0 1 4 7 0 0 0 .222 .364 .500 98 0.0 -0.6 -0.7 -0.1
2018 KCA 32 87 345 75 12 1 13 24 95 8 1 0 .242 .310 .413 102 1.7 -2.4 2.4 0.5
2019 KCA 33 39 119 18 4 0 4 11 32 1 0 0 .171 .252 .324 78 -2.9 -0.7 0.6 -0.2
Career958358174117141563948796167.239.334.44811463.3-15.1-41.85.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2007 BRO A- NYP 67 274 .252 .336 .359 .357 88 22.2 8.6 -4.1 155 0 -3.8 -5.7 16.4 1.1
2008 SLU A+ FSL 133 559 .250 .324 .362 .338 98 6.2 16.6 -10.4 118 0 -3.4 -3.8 2.0 0.1
2009 BIN AA EAS 110 467 .252 .327 .370 .345 98 17 13.1 -6.4 135 0 1.5 -3.2 17.0 2.3
2010 NYN MLB NL 29 92 .253 .322 .392 .220 89 -0.1 2.5 -0.6 90 19 -1.7 0.7 -1.0 0.0
2010 BIN AA EAS 45 197 .260 .331 .406 .313 110 10.2 5.7 -1.9 148 0 -0.8 0.5 10.1 1.4
2010 BUF AAA INT 70 298 .267 .335 .419 .347 105 19.5 9.1 -2.7 160 0 -3.6 0.6 19.6 2.2
2011 NYN MLB NL 100 347 .248 .309 .383 .326 94 18.5 9.4 -4.3 128 10 -2.6 -3.8 11.3 1.1
2011 BUF AAA INT 38 157 .262 .330 .404 .309 92 16.4 4.9 -1.9 155 0 -2.4 -1.1 8.9 0.8
2012 NYN MLB NL 121 459 .252 .312 .397 .301 96 0.3 12.6 -4.5 99 9 -13.0 -4.7 -0.2 -1.0
2012 BUF AAA INT 25 107 .249 .316 .372 .301 102 0.3 3.2 -1 113 0 0.1 -1.1 1.6 0.3
2013 NYN MLB NL 100 384 .248 .309 .387 .276 97 9.3 10.1 -3.9 112 11 -6.0 0.6 5.6 0.7
2013 SLU A+ FSL 7 30 .254 .326 .370 .300 96 -0.8 0.9 -0.3 99 0 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.1
2013 LVG AAA PCL 18 78 .255 .328 .395 .388 117 0.9 2.2 -1.3 133 0 1.2 -0.9 2.1 0.3
2013 MTS Rk GCL 4 16 .207 .297 .268 .000 98 -3.1 0.5 -0.2 13 0 0.0 0.0 -1.7 -0.1
2014 NYN MLB NL 153 596 .253 .312 .383 .283 96 27.1 15.4 -9.7 135 8 -7.3 -2.4 22.5 2.0
2015 NYN MLB NL 135 554 .258 .319 .409 .285 86 35.9 15.0 -9.5 125 8 -8.1 1.0 18.4 1.8
2015 BIN AA EAS 2 7 .277 .325 .411 .600 99 0.6 0.2 -0.1 134 0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
2016 NYN MLB NL 47 172 .260 .326 .434 .250 89 4.8 4.9 -3 94 13 -3.4 0.7 -0.9 -0.2
2017 NYN MLB NL 75 291 .260 .328 .436 .278 91 13.2 8.5 -5.3 112 8 -1.7 -3.4 5.2 0.3
2017 TBA MLB AL 52 200 .246 .315 .415 .173 97 -2 5.9 -3.7 112 8 -0.2 0.1 3.6 0.6
2017 SLU A+ FSL 5 19 .255 .311 .381 .250 111 1.6 0.5 -0.3 119 0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.2
2018 ATL MLB NL 20 22 .235 .300 .399 .300 94 0.7 0.6 -0.1 98 8 -0.7 -0.6 0.0 -0.1
2018 KCA MLB AL 87 345 .246 .317 .408 .302 104 -1.4 9.7 -6.2 102 9 2.4 -2.4 1.7 0.5
2018 OMA AAA PCL 4 18 .257 .326 .387 .333 108 1.9 0.5 -0.3 131 0 0.0 -0.3 0.7 0.1
2019 KCA MLB AL 39 119 .249 .323 .425 .197 100 -6.7 3.6 -2.2 78 9 0.6 -0.7 -2.9 -0.2
2019 GWN AAA INT 16 68 .266 .334 .438 .184 101 -7.4 2.3 -1.5 43 0 0.5 -0.4 -4.7 -0.3
2019 OMA AAA PCL 12 46 .290 .357 .497 .393 95 -0.9 1.6 -1 75 0 0.3 -1.0 -1.4 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2007 BRO A- NYP 274 234 32 70 20 3 4 108 32 34 45 3 5 .299 .399 .462 .162 0 0
2008 SLU A+ FSL 559 483 58 127 26 3 11 192 66 66 129 2 7 .263 .360 .398 .135 0 0
2009 BIN AA EAS 467 395 49 111 29 1 9 169 53 61 91 2 2 .281 .383 .428 .147 1 1
2010 NYN MLB NL 92 84 11 17 6 0 4 35 13 6 22 0 0 .202 .261 .417 .214 1 0
2010 BIN AA EAS 197 161 30 46 17 0 6 81 34 29 27 1 0 .286 .413 .503 .217 0 0
2010 BUF AAA INT 298 264 44 83 23 2 17 161 53 31 57 0 0 .314 .391 .610 .295 0 0
2011 NYN MLB NL 347 301 38 88 21 3 10 145 50 33 57 1 0 .292 .370 .482 .189 5 1
2011 BUF AAA INT 157 129 22 39 8 0 10 77 24 23 27 0 0 .302 .414 .597 .295 2 0
2012 BUF AAA INT 107 96 12 25 4 0 3 38 8 10 21 0 0 .260 .327 .396 .135 1 0
2012 NYN MLB NL 459 401 43 96 15 0 15 156 57 51 120 1 0 .239 .329 .389 .150 3 0
2013 MTS Rk GCL 16 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 8 0 0 .000 .188 .000 .000 0 0
2013 NYN MLB NL 384 318 42 71 16 0 15 132 33 55 102 0 3 .223 .352 .415 .192 2 0
2013 LVG AAA PCL 78 62 13 19 3 0 0 22 8 14 15 1 0 .306 .423 .355 .048 2 0
2013 SLU A+ FSL 30 28 4 7 2 0 1 12 5 2 7 0 0 .250 .300 .429 .179 0 0
2014 NYN MLB NL 596 514 74 130 27 0 30 247 92 69 135 3 2 .253 .349 .481 .228 4
2015 NYN MLB NL 554 471 67 115 33 0 27 229 73 66 138 0 2 .244 .352 .486 .242 3 0
2015 BIN AA EAS 7 6 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 0 0 .500 .571 .500 .000 0 0
2016 NYN MLB NL 172 153 20 35 7 0 7 63 23 15 36 0 0 .229 .302 .412 .183 2 0
2017 TBA MLB AL 200 171 20 30 7 0 13 76 27 23 62 0 0 .175 .285 .444 .269 2 0
2017 SLU A+ FSL 19 16 5 4 0 0 2 10 3 3 6 0 0 .250 .368 .625 .375 0 0
2017 NYN MLB NL 291 252 30 62 21 0 17 134 37 37 73 0 0 .246 .347 .532 .286 0 0
2018 ATL MLB NL 22 18 1 4 2 0 1 9 2 4 7 0 0 .222 .364 .500 .278 0 0
2018 OMA AAA PCL 18 16 5 5 1 0 2 12 7 2 5 0 0 .313 .389 .750 .438 0 0
2018 KCA MLB AL 345 310 34 75 12 1 13 128 48 24 95 1 0 .242 .310 .413 .171 3 0
2019 GWN AAA INT 68 57 3 8 1 0 1 12 5 6 21 0 0 .140 .235 .211 .070 3 0
2019 OMA AAA PCL 46 42 6 12 3 0 1 18 4 4 13 0 0 .286 .348 .429 .143 0 0
2019 KCA MLB AL 119 105 7 18 4 0 4 34 15 11 32 0 0 .171 .252 .324 .152 2 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2010 363 0.4904 0.4380 0.7358 0.5899 0.2919 0.8381 0.5370 0.2642 -0.0033
2011 1342 0.4881 0.4329 0.7969 0.6137 0.2606 0.8756 0.6201 0.2031 0.0078
2012 1898 0.4852 0.3899 0.7459 0.5570 0.2323 0.8421 0.5286 0.2541 0.0001
2013 1595 0.4759 0.3793 0.6992 0.5349 0.2380 0.8030 0.4874 0.3008 -0.0008
2014 2417 0.4733 0.4063 0.7271 0.5717 0.2577 0.8349 0.5122 0.2729 0.0015
2015 2234 0.4445 0.4217 0.7505 0.6103 0.2707 0.8746 0.5268 0.2495 0.0032
2016 680 0.4500 0.4132 0.7794 0.5915 0.2674 0.8785 0.6000 0.2206 0.0000
2017 2019 0.4507 0.4017 0.7324 0.5747 0.2597 0.8700 0.4826 0.2676 0.0000
2018 1496 0.4746 0.4439 0.6822 0.6000 0.3028 0.8192 0.4370 0.3178 0.0000
2019 523 0.5029 0.4474 0.7308 0.6160 0.2769 0.8333 0.5000 0.2692 0.0000
Career145670.46950.41180.73540.58180.26140.84750.51630.26460.0013

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-10 2014-05-10 DTD 0 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2014-03-04 2014-03-21 Camp 17 0 Left Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2013-06-22 2013-08-07 15-DL 46 40 Left Trunk Strain Intercostal - -
2013-06-06 2013-06-08 DTD 2 0 - Thigh Tightness Quadriceps - -
2013-04-17 2013-04-19 DTD 2 1 - Low Back Tightness - -
2012-11-05 2012-11-05 Off 0 0 Right Wrist Surgery Fracture From Moving Furniture 2012-11-05 -
2012-07-15 2012-07-18 DTD 3 2 Left Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2012-06-20 2012-06-22 DTD 2 1 - Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2012-05-02 2012-05-04 DTD 2 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-04-30 2012-04-30 DTD 0 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-03-08 2012-03-12 Camp 4 0 - Back Stiffness - -
2011-09-22 2011-09-29 DTD 7 7 - Head Concussion Running Into Wall - -
2011-05-09 2011-05-27 Minors 18 16 - Low Back Not Disclosed - -
2010-10-05 2010-10-05 Minors 0 0 Lower Leg Inflammation Shin Splints -
2010-05-12 2010-06-01 Minors 20 0 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2009-08-13 2009-09-08 Minors 26 0 Right Knee Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 KCA $1,250,000
2018 KCA $3,500,000
2017 NYN $7,250,000
2016 NYN $6,725,000
2015 NYN $4,200,000
2014 NYN $1,637,500
2013 NYN $519,240
2012 NYN $497,318
2011 NYN $414,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$25,993,058
9 yrTotal$25,993,058

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 137 dBeverly Hills Sports Council1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Signed by Minnesota as a free agent 2/9/19 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.75M in majors. May earn additional $1.5M in performance bonuses. Released by Minnesota 3/20/19. Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 3/22/19 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Kansas City 3/25/19. DFA by Kansas City 7/27/19. Released 7/28/19. Signed by Atlanta as a free agent 8/5/19 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$3.5M (2018). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 2/28/18. Performance bonuses: $0.1M each for 300, 325, 350, 375, 400, 425, 450, 475, 500, 525, 550, 575, 600 plate appearances. Acquired by Atlanta in trade from Kansas City 8/29/18 with $602,150 remaining on contract and Braves and Royals each responsible for $301,075 of remaining salary.
  • 1 year/$7.25M (2017). Re-signed by NY Mets 1/12/17 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from NY Mets 7/27/17.
  • 1 year/$6.725M (2016). Re-signed by NY Mets 1/22/16 (avoided arbitration, $7.4M-$5.9M).
  • 1 year/$4.2M (2015). Re-signed by NY Mets 2/2/15 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.6375M (2014). Re-signed by NY Mets 1/22/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$519,240 (2013). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/3/13.
  • 1 year/$497,218 (2012). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.414M (2011). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/2/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by NY Mets 9/1/10.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2007 (7-243) (USC). $85,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 365 48 91 20 1 15 51 36 85 1 0 .283 .364 .492 127 18.8 1B 0 2.0
80o 346 44 83 18 1 14 47 32 83 1 0 .271 .350 .474 120 13.6 1B 0 1.4
70o 332 41 78 17 1 13 44 30 81 0 0 .264 .340 .461 114 10.1 1B 0 1.1
60o 320 38 73 16 1 12 41 28 79 0 0 .256 .331 .446 110 7.3 1B 0 0.8
50o 309 36 68 15 1 11 39 26 77 0 0 .246 .320 .428 105 4.8 1B 0 0.5
40o 298 34 63 14 1 10 36 25 75 0 0 .236 .309 .408 101 2.5 1B 0 0.3
30o 286 32 60 13 1 10 34 23 73 0 0 .233 .304 .409 96 0.2 1B 0 0.0
20o 272 29 55 12 1 9 31 21 71 0 0 .224 .293 .390 91 -2.2 1B 0 -0.2
10o 253 26 48 10 1 8 28 19 67 0 0 .209 .277 .365 83 -5.2 1B 0 -0.6
Weighted Mean31337691511139277800.247.323.4271075.61B 00.6

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Lucas Duda

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-10-04 14:15:00 (link to chat)Mets obviously seem to have a busy offseason ahead. Thinking about what moves they may make, it seems like at least one of Dom, Conforto, Nimmo or JD gets moved, but I am having trouble figuring out the value they would each have in a trade. For each of them, what kind of prospect are they worth (i.e, JD is worth a back-end top 100 type, Nimmo top 75 type, etc.) Is it possible that the way the market is now valuing team control, that these guys may be more valuable than they would've been a few years ago?
(Nate from NY)
It's an interesting thought exercise (and the Mets shouldn't trade any of these dudes other than Dom probably). Public defensive metrics hate Davis (and the eye test checks out), but there's a wide range of "hates" here, that places him on a continuum from "good enough regular to live with the glove" to "Lucas Duda in right field." I don't know what the internal metrics for teams are going to say beyond you should probably be able to generate this type of player from your own system. Nimmo is a bit of a sell-low given the neck issue. Conforto makes the most "sense," as the Mets have shopped him a bunch, he's unlikely to extend for less than market, and he only has two years of control left. Again, if the Mets look at the 2019 roster and decide to move any of these guys rather than supplementing, there are larger issues. But, The Metsssss. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-07-26 12:00:00 (link to chat)Will we ever see Dominic Smith again? I heard they’re trying to convert him to an outfielder. Any chance there’s success?
(Greg from NY )
Yeah. He'll be the starting first baseman for the Rays in 2020. But no, I think any conversion to the outfield is doomed to fail, if not as spectacularly as the Lucas Duda / Todd Hundley / Daniel Murphy experiments. (Bryan Grosnick)
2018-04-27 12:00:00 (link to chat)Good to have a guy with Mets prospect insight. What are you hearing about the emergence of Peter Alonso and any chance they may give him a look later this year?
(Shane from Miami)
Peter Alonso questions have replaced Nick Pivetta questions in the queue this week. I'll get Bingo in a couple weeks and have more concrete thoughts, but I do have a few reports from this year already. To take the second part first, I think it's more likely they give Bruce a first base mitt or Flores the bulk of the playing time before going to Alonso, unless it's late and they are out of it. They'd also probably have to jump him over Vegas, which whatever, but it'd be a pretty significant jump for a player that still has his struggles against soft stuff. It's a rough profile as a R/R 1B that is below-average defensively, but the offensive tools are loud enough he could be like a 55 regular. Something like righty Lucas Duda is a common comp I here. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hate to be that guy with trade proposals, but can't help but think that this one really makes too much sense: 3 Way trade between Mets, White Sox and Rockies Mets get Jose Abreu Rockies get Lucas Duda White Sox get Rockies prospect (Forrest Wall-ish caliber), Dom Smith and Chris Flexen/Andrew Church
(Larry from NY)
So, I'm out here as the high guy on Lucas Duda, so here's my take on that: nah. Abreu's very good, but he's not a superstar, and I'm not sure the Mets want to pay as much as they might to upgrade from Duda to Abreu. On the Rockies' side, I don't think they'd want to bail on a prospect at that level for one year of Duda, but he'd be very fun to watch out there. This isn't nearly as crazy as most three-team trade scenarios ... but it still seems unlikely. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lucas Duda a good comp for AJ Reed? Or, is it optimistic/pessimistic? On the topic of Duda, if he has a 2017 similar to his 2014-2015 seasons, do the Mets offer him a QO?
(Horacio from ATL)
2014-15 Duda is an optimistic outcome for any current 1B prospect, really. And he's a pretty easy QO if he's putting up a healthy peak Duda season, assuming the QO even exists. (Jarrett Seidler)
2016-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lucas Duda an accurate, optimistic or pessimistic projection for Greg Bird?
(Alvin from AZ)
I think if you get Duda's 2014/15 from Bird that's a good outcome. It isn't crazy optimistic, but above the median. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)I own Freddie Freeman and Albert Pujols in an OBP league. Given how cold both have started, should I drop one and pick up Mark Teixeria, Carlos Santana, Lucas Duda, or Mark Trumbo?
(Truganini from CO)
Probably not. The one I'd consider is Carlos Santana, but for me, the difference between AVG and OBP leagues doesn't move the needle enough to ditch Pujols or Freeman for any of the guys you listed. Plus, it's only been a week and a half. Calm down. It's baseball, not football. You have ~150 games left. (Scooter Hotz)
2015-10-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)As the Mets end this series, because of their dominant starting pitching, can you please explain how starting pitching is still grossly overrated? Thanks for the chat! Enjoy reading your Twitter trolling.
(Jon from NYC)
Let's be clear: the Mets didn't win this series because of their dominant starting pitching. They won by playing a bit better than the Cubs were in all areas throughout the series. The Cubs failed to put together good at-bats at times, missed mistake pitches at others. The Mets' team defense provided excellent support to the Mets' pitchers, especially the starters.
More broadly, starting pitching is overrated basically because of what I outline above. Run prevention isn't all about the pitcher, and way too often, the game itself is looked at through the lens of starting pitching when there are two or three other (and often better) ways to explain the same action. It would be silly, for instance, to truly blame the Cubs' starters for the loss of this series. Yes, they made some critical mistakes, most notably the one Hammel made to Lucas Duda last night. The Mets hitters still had to make those mistakes hurt, though, and they couldn't have done much better a job. The pitch Murphy hit out for two runs off Arrieta: there was a ton of narrative around that, "What happened to Arrieta? Is he gassed?" Well, yeah, probably, but that's not why Daniel Murphy took that pitch out. Murphy did that because he just couldn't miss for a week. It wasn't even a bad pitch. Murphy beat Arrieta. Duda beat Hammel. Chris Coghlan also beat Noah Syndergaard in Game 2, only to have Granderson make that great catch. Pitchers aren't nearly the controllers of the action we make them out to be.
All that, plus, the more we learn about the game, the more it seems like starters should very often be gone by the sixth or seventh inning, so the role of the role in the modern game is ever-shrinking. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)What do I do with Duda? Even though it took awhile for the power to show up, at least he was hitting for average early. Then the power came and he was good for awhile. Now he's in a massive slump. Do you think he'll come around or should I sell in fantasy?
(Michael from NY)
What do you do with a Lucas Duda
What do you do with a Lucas Duda
What do you do with a Lucas Duda
When it's clear he's slumping?

Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back
Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back
Try to be patient and hope that he'll bounce back
Later in the season.

Yeah, I was all over Duda in most of my leagues (and got lucky in one and traded him straight up for Dallas Keuchel right at the beginning of this slump. I think the talent is there, but Duda is clearly pressing because of the Mets awful lineup and has fallen into some of the bad habits he had last year (a lot of movement pre-swing; not keeping his lower body still/disciplined). He is working on improvements with Mets hitting coach Kevin Long, but that could take time. I think you have to hang on though; if you sell now, you're getting next to nothing in all likelihood. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)ROS who do you prefer- Brandon Moss, Chris Carter, Lucas Duda, or Ryan Zimmerman? I have Moss now and Zimmerman on DL (Moss would prob be the drop when Zimmerman is back). Worth making a move or just hold onto Moss?
(Shawn from Cubicle)
I prefer Carter. The BA is low, but it will be low for all of those other guys, and I just don't trust Zimmerman ROS. If you kept Moss no one would blame you. In theory, Duda should have the most value but it's so hard to recommend pushing for him. He looks so bad right now. (Mike Gianella)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)Does fantasy leagues over-value the RH hitters in platoons? Seems there aren't a ton of LH stRters, especially in the NL. Guys like Duda, M ADams, Lind, etc... May face just 2-3 LH guys a month.
(Alex Cole from Sporting goggles)
I don't know if the RH hitters are overvalued but to your point the LH discount is too much. Lucas Duda could never play against LHP and his value barely changes. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Even though I think you credited other BP members with turning you onto him, I remember last year that it was you who seemed to be driving the bus on Anthony Rendon (or at least you seemed to end up with him on a bunch of teams). Who are the guys this year that you are higher on than most?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I bought Rendon in Tout Wars but at the time I was a little disappointed that I didn't get Starlin Castro. I was probably higher on him than many industry experts but this was in part due to the BP fantasy team's excitement, particularly Bret.

Glancing at my ranks compared to ADP, my top five are Brandon Belt, Melky Cabrera, Manny Machado, Yasmani Grandal and Lucas Duda. If you're looking to the guy the BP staff likes who I'm on board with now as a result, that's Grandal, FWIW. (Mike Gianella)
2014-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which player's breakout is more likely to be for real and which one (if any) is a one year wonder: Lucas Duda or J.D. Martinez?
(Liam from KC)
Hi, Liam. I actually believe in both of these breakouts. The swing adjustments that J.D. Martinez made, profiled here by Ryan Parker (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24239) seem legit, and Duda does so much damage against right-handed pitchers that a little deflation from lefties won't knock him down too much. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty league question: Current top 10 fantasy hitters? No particular order.
(Finn Polmar from Chicago)
Put Lucas Duda in there. (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Serious about Duda? Just making sure.
(Finn Polmar from Chicago)
I am always serious about Lucas Duda. (Andy McCullough)
2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat)Who has the best beard in baseball amongst current MLB players?
(Turkey from Chicago, IL)
Having recently been dangerously close to it at Citi Field, Lucas Duda's facial hair situation is our new favorite. (Cespedes Family BBQ)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)In need of CI Help (AVG HR STEALS RBI RUNS) best available are: Mike Olt, Lonnie Chisenhall, David Freese, Lucas Duda, Marcus Siemen thank you and I hope the rest of my league RESTS IN PEACEEE
(the Undetaker from Death Valley)
It will never cease to amaze me how many smart people I follow on Twitter like wrestling. For 2014 only, I go Freese, Semien, Chisenhall, Olt, Duda. (Ben Carsley)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)There's a rumor the Mets plan to have Flores take reps at SS, dare I dream?
(anon from CA)
I wrote a whole article on this last week and got wholly ripped for saying I think it's a great idea. I don't know how much they'll do it, but I hope he plays there some.

Look, Flores will be a terrible major league shortstop, largely because he was a terrible minor league shortstop and now hasn't played the position in a few years. The Mets 2014 season, however, is basically 162 games of auditioning for 2015 when Matt Harvey returns. They need to see what they have in players like Ike Davis, Lucas Duda and Flores. Flores needs to get 400 at-bats this season. He'll get some at third, second and first, but as long as Davis, Duda, Murphy and others are still in town, he won't play there regularly. I think its worth dealing with some bad defense if it means getting him the AB's he needs to find out if he's an everyday hitter. If they can get him those at-bats somewhere else, then by all means do it. But I dont see it. You can't play him there every day because the pitchers will revolt, but 1-2 says per week at SS while also working him in at other positions seems like a good idea to me.

The Mets are going to be bad this year regardless. They might as well find out what they have in Flores to see if they can count on him for next year. (Jeff Moore)
2013-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is Lucas Duda?
(Dagny Taggart from Colorado)
Duda is a guy whose ISO at the end of the season will be much closer to last year's .150 than to this year's .355. Hopefully he won't deliver a long soliloquy in the process. (Geoff Young)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of this trade? 12 team NL Only keeper league 4X4 Kris Medlen $1 2014 for Edwin Jackson $3 2014 Freddie Freeman $10 option year Lucas Duda $1 option year
(grandslam28 from Chicago)
I like the general idea of trying to sell high on Medlen, but Freeman - whom I like as a breakout candidate - is the only player in that return package that really piques my interest. If you're going to move on from Medlen, I'd try to find a better secondary piece. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Completely Gratuitous 4-Team Blockbuster Trade Proposal: -Mets send R.A. Dickey to Red Sox, send Lucas Duda + Domingo Tapia to Indians & send Wilmer Flores to Diamondbacks -Red Sox send Archie Bradley + Anthony Ranaudo to Indians -Indians send Asdrubal Cabrera to Diamondbacks & send Shin-Soo Choo + Vinnie Pestano to Mets -Diamondbacks send Justin Upton to Mets Care to offer gratuitous thoughts?
(mattstupp from NYC)
Math makes my head hurt (Ian Miller)
2012-11-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Ben: Proposed: The Mets are the "village that had to be destroyed to save it". While there are, and there are coming, good arms, a team on which Lucas Duda is regarded as any kind of key offensive element needs to be torn down. What do you suggest? And is a deal for David Wright a bad idea at this time?
(BeplerP from New York)
I don't think it's definitely a bad idea in the abstract. It's only a bad idea if they overpay. It's not as if the Mets couldn't contend with a productive Wright making a reasonable amount of money. Then again, I don't know all the specifics of the Mets' financial situation, which is probably a good thing for my peace of mind. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Assuming the Mets re-sign David Wright, what do you see as their biggest move the offseason? The starting pitching is probably already their, do they trade Murphy and look at Valdespin at 2B? Sign and trade for a outfielder? Simply add to the bullpen? What can Mets fans expect this offseason?
(deech from Long Island)
Tough to say what any team's biggest move this offseason will be at this point, but I could see the Mets trading Murphy. I think they'll move one of Ike Davis and Lucas Duda, as well. My money would be on Duda heading to an American League team. He's tough to hide on defense and his bat isn't good enough to just accept the defensive woes. They'll probably make a few other moves, too-I could see someone like J.P. Howell landing in that bullpen. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are your top undervalued targets for NL only leagues this year?
(Senior from Lost in my mind)
Just had LABR NL this weekend, so I've got a bunch. Not all went for as low as I wanted, but how about: Michael Cuddyer, Lucas Duda, Jon Jay, Marlon Byrd, John Mayberry, Jose Altuve, Ryan Ludwick, Tyler Greene. None are sure things, obviously, but that's the nature of undervalued targets. In general, I think these guys will come cheaper than I'd pay for them (although that wasn't the case for Cuddyer, Duda, Mayberry, Byrd, and Altuve this weekend in a tough LABR crowd). (Derek Carty)
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat)Over/under on HRs for Lucas Duda this year: 24.5
(Matt from Madison, WI)
Duda is 26 years old, his season high as a pro is 23, and he plays in a tough park. I'll take the under. (Geoff Young)
2012-01-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know if've addressed him somewhere in the past, but is Lucas Duda legit? Will he play everyday (or nearly so) for the Amazin's this year?
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)
Totally legit, and yes. I really like his bat. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is it fair to project Lucas Duda's 2011 stats over a full season and get excited for next year?
(Xavier from Texas)
It depends how you define "excited." If you ask Rob McQuown, it probably doesn't matter how you define it (sorry, Rob, I couldn't resist), but for me, I think you need to be talking about an NL-only league. He'll probably have enough value in 12-to-15 team mixed leagues to pique my interest, but to cause excitement, maybe not. His power and PT should be plenty good for NL-only, though. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any "sophomores" you like to break out this season
(moehk21 from NYC)
I like Ben Revere, Eric Thames, Lucas Duda, Cory Luebke, Danny Duffy, Henderson Alvarez all to various degrees. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will there be a worse defensive starting outfielder in 2012 than Lucas Duda? His range seems terrible and his arm might be worse. Could the Mets consider switching him with Bay so that he'd play left field and limit the exposure of his weak arm?
(mattstupp from NYC)
Now that Pat Burrell has retired? Duda is about as far from Tris Speaker as you can get, but I feel like this is not something the Mets really need to worry about right now. (Steven Goldman)
2011-12-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Lucas Duda's upside - decent starting OF?
(rjmoore from Boston)
Yup. I think the bat is legit. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-10-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)How feasible would a James Shields for Lucas Duda and Kirk Nuewenhuis trade be for the Mets and Rays? With Johan out, the Mets could use a guy like Shields and there's plenty of reason to believe Duda can be most of what Carlos Pena is/was.
(Matt from Whippleville, NY)
I have no idea. (Colin Wyers)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Lucas Duda? Late bloomer? Is this power for real? Can he be a Brian Giles-lite?
(andwoo from DC)
I'm not blowing him completely off, at least SOME of what you are seeing is real. (Kevin Goldstein)


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