Biographical

Portrait of Henderson Alvarez III

Henderson Alvarez III PNationals

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date4-18-1990
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lbs
Age34 years, 0 months, 19 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.42015
2016
-0.32017
2018
-0.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2011 TOR MLB 10 10 63.7 1 3 0 64 8 40 8 106 9.0 1.1 1.1 5.7 0% .281 1.13 4.00 3.53 101 4.12 95.7 0.7
2012 TOR MLB 31 31 187.3 9 14 0 216 54 79 29 107 10.4 2.6 1.4 3.8 0% .291 1.44 5.12 4.85 122 6.60 151.3 -3.1
2013 MIA MLB 17 17 102.7 5 6 0 90 27 57 2 94 7.9 2.4 0.2 5.0 0% .271 1.14 3.15 3.59 100 4.13 98.9 1.0
2014 MIA MLB 30 30 187.0 12 7 0 198 33 111 14 98 9.5 1.6 0.7 5.3 0% .304 1.24 3.54 2.65 95 3.53 86.6 3.0
2015 MIA MLB 4 4 22.3 0 4 0 28 7 9 1 85 11.3 2.8 0.4 3.6 0% .318 1.57 3.87 6.45 103 3.75 87.5 0.4
2017 PHI MLB 3 3 14.7 0 1 0 14 11 6 2 96 8.6 6.8 1.2 3.7 46% .250 1.70 6.38 4.30 129 7.33 155.9 -0.3
CareerMLB9595577.727350610140302561019.52.20.94.756%.2901.304.123.821074.80112.61.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2007 DLJ Rk DSL 8 7 25.7 1 2 0 36 8 20 0 12.6 2.8 0.0 7.0 0% .383 1.71 2.92 5.60 0 0.00 0.0
2008 BLJ Rk GCL 12 11 46.3 1 4 0 63 6 34 3 101 12.2 1.2 0.6 6.6 0% .355 1.49 3.69 5.64 98 6.40 131.0
2009 LNS A MDW 23 23 124.3 9 6 0 121 19 92 1 109 8.8 1.4 0.1 6.7 0% .302 1.13 2.85 3.48 81 3.55 74.7
2010 DUN A+ FSL 23 21 112.3 8 7 0 137 27 78 10 88 11.0 2.2 0.8 6.3 0% .338 1.46 4.10 4.33 0 0.00 0.0
2010 LAG Wnt VWL 7 7 28.3 0 1 0 30 8 19 1 9.5 2.5 0.3 6.0 0% .333 1.34 3.05 2.23 0 0.00 0.0
2011 TOR MLB AL 10 10 63.7 1 3 0 64 8 40 8 106 9.0 1.1 1.1 5.7 0% .281 1.13 4.00 3.53 101 4.12 95.7
2011 DUN A+ FSL 2 2 8.3 0 1 0 11 1 4 0 114 11.9 1.1 0.0 4.3 0% .344 1.44 3.49 6.48 97 5.78 118.1
2011 NHP AA EAS 15 14 88.0 8 4 0 81 17 66 7 88 8.3 1.7 0.7 6.8 0% .286 1.11 3.65 2.86 92 3.71 75.7
2012 TOR MLB AL 31 31 187.3 9 14 0 216 54 79 29 107 10.4 2.6 1.4 3.8 0% .291 1.44 5.12 4.85 122 6.60 151.3
2013 MIA MLB NL 17 17 102.7 5 6 0 90 27 57 2 94 7.9 2.4 0.2 5.0 0% .271 1.14 3.15 3.59 100 4.13 98.9
2013 JUP A+ FSL 2 2 10.0 1 0 0 9 1 2 1 88 8.1 0.9 0.9 1.8 0% .242 1.00 4.44 2.70 116 4.55 98.8
2013 JAX AA SOU 2 2 14.3 1 0 0 5 0 13 0 96 3.1 0.0 0.0 8.2 0% .143 0.35 1.09 0.00 67 1.92 41.7
2013 VEN int WBC 1 0 3.0 0 1 0 5 1 0 0 15.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0% .357 2.00 5.63 9.00 0 0.00 0.0
2014 MIA MLB NL 30 30 187.0 12 7 0 198 33 111 14 98 9.5 1.6 0.7 5.3 0% .304 1.24 3.54 2.65 95 3.53 86.6
2015 MIA MLB NL 4 4 22.3 0 4 0 28 7 9 1 85 11.3 2.8 0.4 3.6 0% .318 1.57 3.87 6.45 103 3.75 87.5
2015 JUP A+ FSL 3 3 11.3 0 1 0 11 2 8 0 86 8.7 1.6 0.0 6.4 0% .297 1.15 2.28 1.59 96 4.59 100.7
2016 STO A+ CAL 5 5 13.3 0 1 0 17 2 7 1 89 11.5 1.4 0.7 4.7 55% .348 1.43 4.08 4.73 106 5.58 123.1
2016 NAS AAA PCL 5 5 18.7 1 0 0 17 6 17 3 79 8.2 2.9 1.4 8.2 48% .275 1.23 5.11 3.86 103 3.98 88.0
2016 ATH Rk AZL 1 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 102 9.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 67% .333 1.00 2.11 0.00 89 3.80 84.0
2017 PHI MLB NL 3 3 14.7 0 1 0 14 11 6 2 96 8.6 6.8 1.2 3.7 46% .250 1.70 6.38 4.30 129 7.33 155.9
2017 LEH AAA INT 3 3 19.0 2 0 0 19 6 8 1 100 9.0 2.8 0.5 3.8 47% .286 1.32 4.13 2.84 113 4.77 101.5
2017 LAG Wnt VWL 5 5 20.7 1 3 0 33 7 8 0 14.4 3.0 0.0 3.5 0% .388 1.94 3.75 7.40 0 0.00 0.0
2018 MAG Wnt VWL 10 9 40.7 3 6 0 60 10 11 2 110 13.3 2.2 0.4 2.4 42% .409 1.72 4.11 6.64 0 0.00 0.0
2019 FRE AAA PCL 24 4 53.0 1 4 0 68 18 37 15 105 11.5 3.1 2.5 6.3 48% .315 1.62 7.09 5.94 117 6.25 128.6
2019 QUI AAA MEX 6 6 34.7 4 2 0 44 5 23 0 11.4 1.3 0.0 6.0 0% .367 1.41 3.21 3.12 0 0.00 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2011 976 0.5266 0.4539 0.8465 0.6440 0.2424 0.8882 0.7232 0.1535
2012 2847 0.5416 0.4542 0.8747 0.6187 0.2598 0.9088 0.7788 0.1253
2013 1443 0.5204 0.4491 0.8410 0.5846 0.3020 0.8975 0.7225 0.1590
2014 2594 0.5482 0.4684 0.8272 0.6174 0.2875 0.8929 0.6558 0.1728
2015 299 0.5084 0.4448 0.8797 0.6053 0.2789 0.9457 0.7317 0.1203
2017 265 0.5094 0.4113 0.8716 0.6222 0.1923 0.9167 0.7200 0.1284
Career84240.53610.45600.85110.61500.27210.90110.72130.1489

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-02 2014-09-12 DTD 10 9 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2014-07-30 2014-08-16 15-DL 17 16 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2014-07-20 2014-07-24 DTD 4 4 Left Lower Leg Contusion Shin -
2014-06-09 2014-06-15 DTD 6 4 Left Hip Strain -
2014-05-29 2014-06-03 DTD 5 4 Right Elbow Stiffness -
2013-09-03 2013-09-09 DTD 6 5 Right Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2013-03-27 2013-07-04 60-DL 99 83 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2012-08-28 2012-09-01 DTD 4 4 Left Lower Leg Contusion Batted Ball - -
2012-06-25 2012-06-25 DTD 0 0 Right Elbow Soreness - -
2011-04-06 2011-05-09 Minors 33 30 Not Disclosed -
2010-08-13 2010-09-01 Minors 19 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2009-08-16 2009-09-07 Minors 22 0 Right Arm Fatigue Team Controlling IP -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 WAS $
2017 PHI $
2016 OAK $4,250,000
2015 MIA $4,000,000
2014 MIA $525,400
2013 MIA $507,900
2012 TOR $482,900
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$9,766,200
5 yrTotal$9,766,200

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 70 dRick Thurman, BHSC1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Signed by Washington as a free agent 11/26/18 (minor-league contract).
  • 2018. Signed by Tigres de Quintana Roo of Mexican League 3/16/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Signed by Long Island of independent Atlantic League 7/17. Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 8/24/17 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Philadelphia 9/13/17. Elected free agency 10/6/17.
  • 1 year/$4.25M (2016). Signed by Oakland as a free agent 12/15. May earn $1.6M in performance bonuses based on games started: $0.1M each for 12, 15 GS. $0.15M for 18 GS. $0.2M for 21 GS. $0.3M for 24 GS. $0.35M for 26 GS. $0.4M for 28 GS. Sent outright to Triple-A by Oakland 10/7/16.
  • 1 year/$4M (2015). Re-signed by Miami 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). Non-tendered by Miami 12/2/15.
  • 1 year/$0.5254M (2014). Re-signed by Miami 3/1/14.
  • 1 year/$0.5079M (2013). Renewed by Miami 3/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4829M (2012). Re-signed by Toronto 3/12. Acquired by Miami in trade from Toronto 11/13/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Toronto 8/9/11.
  • Signed by Toronto 2006 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 8.6 0 0 12 12 50.4 45 17 33 7 .256 1.23 4.05 4.34 -6.1 -0.7
80o 7.3 0 0 11 11 44.5 43 16 29 6 .270 1.33 4.44 4.77 -7.4 -0.8
70o 6.4 0 0 10 10 40.3 41 16 27 6 .280 1.40 4.73 5.08 -8.0 -0.9
60o 5.7 0 0 9 9 36.9 39 15 24 6 .289 1.46 4.98 5.35 -8.4 -0.9
50o 5.1 0 0 8 8 33.8 37 14 22 5 .297 1.52 5.22 5.6 -8.6 -0.9
40o 4.5 0 0 7 7 30.7 35 13 20 5 .306 1.58 5.47 5.86 -8.7 -0.9
30o 3.9 0 0 7 7 27.5 33 13 18 5 .315 1.65 5.73 6.15 -8.6 -0.9
20o 3.2 0 0 6 6 23.9 30 11 16 4 .325 1.74 6.05 6.48 -8.3 -0.9
10o 2.4 0 0 5 5 19.0 26 10 13 4 .340 1.86 6.50 6.97 -7.6 -0.8
Weighted Mean5008833.13614225.2951.515.195.57-8.3-0.9

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Henderson Alvarez III

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-09-07 19:00:00 (link to chat)Looking ahead to 2017, the A's appear to have 3/5 of their rotation, assuming health, locked in for before the trading deadline: Sonny Gray, Sean Manaea, and Kendall Graveman. Out of Jesse Hahn, Chris Bassitt, Henderson Alvarez, Daniel Mengden, Jharel Cotton, Raul Alcantara, Dillon Overton, and Frankie Montas, who can round out the rotation, who is more of a 4A player, and who just won't every be healthy enough again (looking at you, Jesse Hahn and Henderson Alvarez!)?
(Greg from San Francisco)		I'm mostly going to have to go off colleagues' reports, because I don't get any Oakland affiliates out here on the east coast. Seems to me like Mengden, Overton, and Alcantara have the best shots to be MLB starters, whereas Montas and Cotton might be better prospects but also probably profile best in relief. That may be completely wrong, though.

Hard not to feel for Henderson Alvarez given how his last couple years have went. (Jarrett Seidler)
2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Just traded Julio Teheran, Drew Hutchison, and Brad Miller for Carlos Gomez, Jung-Ho Kang, and Henderson Alvarez in a keeper league with only 1 year left however...who won?
(msimotes from Kalamazoo)		You did. America did. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-05-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)Should Joe Kelly and Nate Eovaldi start a club of flamethrowers that can't strike people out?
(Eric from LA)		They could just join the Henderson Alvarez club. (Nick Shlain)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Given the depth of starting pitching, is this the year to target elite relievers early? Maybe grabbing a guy like a Chapman early on and balancing it him with a guy like Henderson Alvarez later on who brings the innings and ratios to Chapman's strikeout party.
(Strategy Question from Everywhere)		I have been doing that in my mocks and was surprised I got swiped so many times in LABR on closers. That probably works with Alvarez if your league is deep enough. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you editing the BP annual again?
(Cory from Atlanta)		Yes! So is Jason Wojciechowski, and in fact the process is well under way. Comments are all assigned, as are most of the essays. The roster is incredible--new essay writers for all 30 teams--and I expect the writers will require almost no editing, freeing Jason and me up to check every five minutes that Henderson Alvarez's entry is still on the page. (Sam Miller)
2014-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Many of the "experts" seem down on Henderson Alvarez, yet he continues to pitch well. What are your thoughts on him?
(cracker73 from Florida)		He doesn't miss any bats. That's always gonna be an issue. That much contact is hard to keep under control, but he plays in the right park for it. I've been among the skeptics and while I'm more open to using him on the cheap in daily, I'm still not terribly interested in season-long. The ERA and WHIP don't jive and it's the ERA that will likely go up before the WHIP comes down. His 2013 ERA (3.59) and 2014 WHIP (1.26) are a better match... which is still plenty useful (Paul Sporer)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can Jeremy Hellickson be fixed ? Can Henderson Alvarez keep it going ?
(tbwhite from San Diego)		Helix can certainly be fixed, and it starts by killing the slide step. He used to throw in the slide step every once in awhile to keep runners honest, but last season he invoked the slide step every friggin' pitch with a runner on base.

An interesting element for Alvarez was that he scrapped the change-up last season, a pitch that had been roped in previous years. His excellent command of raw 93-95 mph velocity with good sink is the main ingredient to his success, with a solid slider that gives hitters another look.It will be interesting to see what he brings to the table in 2014. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Doug, I need your input on long-term value. 10 team dynasty with 7 pitcher slots. Have Strasburg, Sale, Fernandez, Harvey and Chapman. Need to select two from Brandon Beachy, Andrew Cashner, Corey Kluber, Brett Anderson, Henderson Alvarez. Help appreciated. Thank you.
(nictaclacta from Glendale)		Your top end is ridiculous, even if you have to wait on Harvey. I would hold on to Cashner from the second group, no doubt, while your last guy is a tougher call. Since your 7th slot could change between now and this time next year, you are probably looking for 2014 value (or trade value) with a shot at upside - for that reason I would choose between Beachy and Anderson. Anderson still has the name and the hope, but the faith is all but sapped, so that is a dice-roll for 2014 with prayers for a break-through season that ups his trade value. Beachy is a command guy, and since command is the last thing to return from TJS, I would say that he has the best chance to vault his value next season, though his down velocity in a small sample of 2013 adds some concern.

On the jukebox: White Zombie, "Thunderkiss '65" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Not prospects but what are your thoughts on Henderson Alvarez and Randall Delgado? Both have looked good in the handful of starts since they've been called up - can they keep it going?
(mark from arizona)		I believe so I really liked what I saw from Delgado when he came through the Carolina League as a prospect. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey, Paul, love the book (and want the Relief Pitcher Guide next)! Is there any precedent for pitchers like Martin Perez and Henderson Alvarez -- high-end stuff, low-end strikeouts -- pulling it together to become stars, or does the track-record of not missing bats promise a low ceiling?
(edwardarthur from Illinois)		Thanks. I'm not sure those two are the same as Alvarez never really fanned guys whereas Perez has. My guess is there are tons of guys like that through history. I'm struggling to come up with some off-hand, but I doubt it's terribly uncommon. (Paul Sporer)
2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any "sophomores" you like to break out this season
(moehk21 from NYC)		I like Ben Revere, Eric Thames, Lucas Duda, Cory Luebke, Danny Duffy, Henderson Alvarez all to various degrees. (Derek Carty)
2011-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Henderson Alvarez stick in the rotation all year for the Jays? Think Darvish turns the Jays into a contender for the division?
(Bill from Nova Scotia)		I'm not sure about Henderson. That's a very difficult question to answer. Darvish alone won't turn the Jays into a contender in 2012, but he can help the cause. Put it this way (very simply): The Jays would be a better team if they landed Darvish. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Better future - Henderson Alvarez or Zach Britton?
(dharris from ny)		Britton. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you generally make of prospects that have reports of great stuff and big fastballs, but don't generate the strikeouts you'd expect? I'm thinking of Henderson Alvarez this year in particular, but I'm sure there's many examples.
(Bret from Toronto)		I talk to scouts to see if the pitch is straight and/or if they are relying on the pitch too much. Alvarez needs to improve his breaking ball, and has a tendency to elevate, thus the lack of missed bats. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, Henderson Alvarez III threw 8,351 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2017, including pitches thrown in . In 2017, he relied primarily on his Sinker (92mph), Fourseam Fastball (91mph) and Change (87mph), also mixing in a Slider (85mph). He also rarely threw a Curve (78mph) and Slow Curve (56mph).