Biographical

Portrait of Todd Frazier

Todd Frazier 1BPirates

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 33)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date2-12-1986
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lbs
Age38 years, 1 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
4.02015
3.22016
3.32017
2.52018
1.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2011 CIN 25 41 121 26 5 0 6 7 27 2 1 0 .232 .289 .438 91 -1.0 1.3 0.5 0.5
2012 CIN 26 128 465 115 26 6 19 36 103 3 3 2 .273 .331 .498 113 7.3 0.1 -1.5 1.8
2013 CIN 27 150 600 124 29 3 19 50 125 14 6 5 .234 .314 .407 100 0.5 1.7 -2.2 1.9
2014 CIN 28 157 660 163 22 1 29 52 139 7 20 8 .273 .336 .459 123 16.5 3.2 -2.4 3.7
2015 CIN 29 157 678 158 43 1 35 44 137 7 13 8 .255 .309 .498 117 15.8 -1.1 1.7 4.0
2016 CHA 30 158 666 133 21 0 40 64 163 4 15 5 .225 .302 .464 113 11.8 2.4 -3.5 3.2
2017 CHA 31 81 335 58 15 0 16 48 71 4 4 3 .207 .328 .432 113 6.5 -0.4 2.7 1.9
2017 NYA 31 66 241 43 4 1 11 35 54 10 0 0 .222 .365 .423 113 4.7 0.2 1.0 1.4
2018 NYN 32 115 472 87 18 0 18 48 112 8 9 4 .213 .303 .390 99 1.0 2.5 5.9 2.5
2019 NYN 33 133 499 112 19 2 21 40 106 12 1 2 .251 .329 .443 104 4.6 0.0 6.6 2.7
Career118647371019202142144241037717237.243.320.45011067.79.88.823.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2007 DYT A MDW 6 24 .267 .333 .393 .313 100 4.8 1.1 0.5 146 0 0.1 -0.3 1.8 0.3
2007 BIL Rk PIO 41 186 .276 .345 .424 .346 107 11.3 5.8 1.7 148 0 -3.6 1.0 10.3 1.4
2008 DYT A MDW 30 127 .251 .322 .370 .377 100 14.1 3.7 0.2 182 0 2.3 0.0 9.7 1.6
2008 SAR A+ FSL 100 414 .258 .329 .379 .337 100 9.7 12.3 1.2 123 0 2.9 1.2 3.5 2.1
2009 CAR AA SOU 119 500 .253 .327 .372 .316 94 23.2 14.1 -3.6 131 0 15.3 -0.3 17.6 4.5
2009 LOU AAA INT 16 69 .253 .317 .391 .347 115 0.7 2.7 -0.2 132 0 0.3 0.3 3.2 0.6
2010 LOU AAA INT 130 538 .267 .335 .422 .318 100 3.6 16.9 -3.4 106 0 7.2 2.6 4.6 2.7
2011 CIN MLB NL 41 121 .258 .320 .408 .253 103 1.6 3.3 0.2 91 15 0.5 1.3 -1.0 0.5
2011 LOU AAA INT 90 359 .260 .328 .406 .302 95 11.5 11.1 -2.3 127 0 2.5 1.5 10.1 2.2
2012 CIN MLB NL 128 465 .257 .318 .409 .316 101 14.1 12.7 -1.8 113 9 -1.5 0.1 7.3 1.8
2012 LOU AAA INT 10 41 .262 .327 .403 .296 103 -1.5 1.2 0 64 0 -0.4 0.2 -1.5 -0.1
2013 CIN MLB NL 150 600 .254 .316 .390 .269 101 0.5 15.8 2.1 100 8 -2.2 1.7 0.5 1.9
2014 CIN MLB NL 157 660 .249 .309 .382 .309 99 21.5 17.0 -0.8 123 8 -2.4 3.2 16.5 3.7
2015 CIN MLB NL 157 678 .251 .312 .397 .271 91 26.6 18.3 2.5 117 8 1.7 -1.1 15.8 4.0
2016 CHA MLB AL 158 666 .254 .316 .417 .236 103 4.7 18.8 1.8 113 8 -3.5 2.4 11.8 3.2
2017 CHA MLB AL 81 335 .254 .319 .428 .214 105 3 9.8 0 113 7 2.7 -0.4 6.5 1.9
2017 NYA MLB AL 66 241 .254 .321 .427 .244 107 1.7 7.1 1 113 7 1.0 0.2 4.7 1.4
2018 NYN MLB NL 115 472 .248 .320 .410 .241 90 6.9 13.2 1.7 99 9 5.9 2.5 1.0 2.5
2018 BRO A- NYP 2 8 .235 .317 .333 .200 90 0.4 0.2 0 82 0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0
2018 SLU A+ FSL 2 5 .293 .350 .446 .250 95 0.3 0.1 0 108 0 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.0
2018 LVG AAA PCL 3 11 .293 .352 .464 .444 123 0.7 0.3 0 136 0 -0.4 0.0 0.5 0.0
2019 NYN MLB NL 133 499 .251 .321 .433 .284 95 6 15.1 1.5 104 7 6.6 0.0 4.6 2.7
2019 SLU A+ FSL 11 43 .232 .311 .331 .250 104 -1.3 1.2 0 117 0 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.3
2019 SYR AAA INT 2 7 .281 .349 .451 .500 95 1.3 0.2 0 114 0 -0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2007 BIL Rk PIO 186 160 29 51 6 5 5 82 25 18 22 3 3 .319 .411 .513 .194 0 0
2007 DYT A MDW 24 22 4 7 3 0 2 16 5 2 4 0 0 .318 .375 .727 .409 0 0
2008 DYT A MDW 127 112 25 36 10 0 7 67 20 15 28 4 2 .321 .402 .598 .277 0 0
2008 SAR A+ FSL 414 366 62 103 20 3 12 165 54 41 84 8 4 .281 .360 .451 .169 0 0
2009 LOU AAA INT 69 63 9 19 5 0 2 30 9 6 12 2 0 .302 .362 .476 .175 0 0
2009 CAR AA SOU 500 451 59 131 40 2 14 217 68 42 67 7 8 .290 .354 .481 .191 0 0
2010 LOU AAA INT 538 480 71 124 32 4 17 215 66 45 127 14 4 .258 .334 .448 .190 1 1
2011 CIN MLB NL 121 112 17 26 5 0 6 49 15 7 27 1 0 .232 .289 .438 .205 0 0
2011 LOU AAA INT 359 315 47 82 18 1 15 147 46 34 82 17 4 .260 .340 .467 .206 4 0
2012 CIN MLB NL 465 422 55 115 26 6 19 210 67 36 103 3 2 .273 .331 .498 .225 4 0
2012 LOU AAA INT 41 39 4 9 2 0 1 14 7 2 11 3 0 .231 .268 .359 .128 0 0
2013 CIN MLB NL 600 531 63 124 29 3 19 216 73 50 125 6 5 .234 .314 .407 .173 3 2
2014 CIN MLB NL 660 597 88 163 22 1 29 274 80 52 139 20 8 .273 .336 .459 .186 4
2015 CIN MLB NL 678 619 82 158 43 1 35 308 89 44 137 13 8 .255 .309 .498 .242 7 1
2016 CHA MLB AL 666 590 89 133 21 0 40 274 98 64 163 15 5 .225 .302 .464 .239 7 1
2017 CHA MLB AL 335 280 41 58 15 0 16 121 44 48 71 4 3 .207 .328 .432 .225 3 0
2017 NYA MLB AL 241 194 33 43 4 1 11 82 32 35 54 0 0 .222 .365 .423 .201 2 0
2018 LVG AAA PCL 11 9 2 4 0 0 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 .444 .545 .444 .000 0 0
2018 SLU A+ FSL 5 4 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 .250 .400 .500 .250 0 0
2018 NYN MLB NL 472 408 54 87 18 0 18 159 59 48 112 9 4 .213 .303 .390 .176 8 0
2018 BRO A- NYP 8 8 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 2 0 0 .250 .250 .625 .375 0 0
2019 SYR AAA INT 7 5 2 2 1 0 0 3 1 1 1 0 0 .400 .571 .600 .200 0 0
2019 SLU A+ FSL 43 37 3 8 0 0 1 11 8 6 8 0 1 .216 .326 .297 .081 0 0
2019 NYN MLB NL 499 447 63 112 19 2 21 198 67 40 106 1 2 .251 .329 .443 .192 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2011 462 0.4784 0.4740 0.7260 0.6606 0.3029 0.7808 0.6164 0.2740 0.0003
2012 1805 0.4609 0.4975 0.7249 0.6767 0.3443 0.7673 0.6537 0.2751 0.0032
2013 2293 0.4658 0.4893 0.7424 0.6526 0.3469 0.8092 0.6329 0.2576 -0.0012
2014 2522 0.4588 0.4790 0.7260 0.6655 0.3209 0.7948 0.6050 0.2740 -0.0021
2015 2544 0.4509 0.5267 0.7493 0.7193 0.3686 0.8291 0.6214 0.2507 -0.0051
2016 2757 0.4675 0.4679 0.7171 0.6323 0.3236 0.7975 0.5789 0.2829 0.0000
2017 2491 0.4697 0.4026 0.7418 0.5761 0.2491 0.7938 0.6353 0.2582 0.0000
2018 2007 0.4873 0.4046 0.7574 0.5675 0.2498 0.8108 0.6420 0.2426 0.0000
2019 1963 0.4671 0.4269 0.7458 0.5954 0.2792 0.8370 0.5753 0.2542 0.0000
Career188440.46590.46330.73720.63770.31130.80460.61660.2628-0.0008

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-15 2014-08-18 DTD 3 3 - Low Back Strain -
2014-04-26 2014-04-27 DTD 1 1 Left Lower Leg Tightness Calf - -
2013-02-27 2013-02-28 Camp 1 0 Left Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2012-06-17 2012-06-18 DTD 1 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2011-09-23 2011-09-23 DTD 0 0 Left Hand Contusion HBP - -
2010-03-05 2010-03-06 Camp 1 0 Left Knee Contusion Quadriceps -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2021 TEX $1,500,000
2020 TEX $3,500,000
2019 NYN $9,000,000
2018 NYN $8,000,000
2017 CHA $12,000,000
2016 CHA $8,250,000
2015 CIN $3,750,000
2014 CIN $600,000
2013 CIN $527,500
2012 CIN $
2011 CIN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$47,127,500
9 yrTotal$47,127,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 71 dCAA1 year (2021)

Details
  • 1 year (2021). Signed by Pittsburgh as a free agent 2/19/21 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.5M in majors. Performance bonuses based on plate appearances: $100,000 each for 275, 325, 375 PA. $150,000 each for 425, 475 PA. May opt out of contracts 3/25/21 if not on Major League roster. Released by Pittsburgh 3/26/21. Re-signed by Pittsburgh as a free agent 3/30/21 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Pittsburgh 4/22/21. DFA by Pittsburgh 5/10/21. Sent outright to Triple-A 5/14/21 (refused assignment, elected free agency).
  • 1 year/$5M (2020), plus 2021 club option. Signed by Texas as a free agent 1/20. 20:$3.5M, 21:$5.75M club option ($1.5M buyout). Acquired by NY Mets in trade from Texas 8/31/20. (As part of the deal, Mets to pay buyout if 2021 option is declined.)
  • 2 years/$17M (2018-19). Signed by NY Mets as a free agent 2/6/18. 18:$8M, 19:$9M. Assignment bonus: $0.5M if traded.
  • 1 year/$12M (2017). Re-signed by Chicago White Sox 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by NY Yankees in trade from Chicago White Sox 7/18/17.
  • 2 years/$12M (2015-16). Signed extension with Cincinnati 2/8/15 (avoided arbitration, $5.7M-$3.9M). $1.5M signing bonus. 15:$3M, 16:$7.5M. Acquired by Chicago White Sox in trade from Cincinnati 12/16/15.
  • 1 year/$600,000 (2014). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/14.
  • 1 year/$527,500 (2013). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Cincinnati 11/19/10.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2007 (1s-34) (Rutgers). Signed 7/7/07, $825,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 52 11 2 0 2 6 11 1 0 .244 .346 .422 123 0.0 3B 0 0.0
80o 35 8 2 0 1 4 8 1 0 .267 .371 .433 116 0.0 3B 0 0.0
70o 22 5 1 0 1 3 5 0 0 .263 .364 .474 111 0.0 3B 0 0.0
60o 11 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 .100 .182 .100 107 0.0 3B 0 0.0
50o 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 103 0.0 3B 0 0.0
Weighted Mean400000100.000.000.0001040.03B 00.0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Todd Frazier

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-04-20 12:00:00 (link to chat)Are you buying these Todd Frazier approach adjustments ? If so, major surplus value here
(Cal from Ny)
I don't think he's gonna hit .300, but he's been a 3-4 win player for years and is only 32. He's also a serious student of his swing, so it wouldn't be shocking if he's actually found something. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Whats a yankees and mets trade that makes sense to you?
(Ddex from Ny)
I would like to see the Yankees get another starter, maybe make the Padres an offer for someone like Trevor Cahill (the grounders would be nice in Yankee Stadium). Todd Frazier could make some sense to play 1B or 3B.

For the Mets, I think they need to take offers for Bruce, Granderson, Duda, and pretty much anyone they can move. I don't think this is their year, and they could sneak in and get some decent pieces if they beat other sellers to the punch. (Mark Barry)
2017-07-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Say the White Sox trade for a prospect or young MLB outfielder already in the majors, like Clint Frazier. Who gets booted from the 25-man to make room?
(Brendan from Chicago)
As discussed a bit above, the White Sox have a weird logjam at the moment as they suddenly have serviceable major leaguers on their bench--which, y'know, wasn't true when they were purportedly trying to make the playoffs.

They have a 13-man pitching staff, currently, so one imagines they could send down someone like Juan Minaya to clear one spot. Adam Engel would also have options, even if he has performed well to date.

Melky Cabrera and Todd Frazier have both rallied from bad starts and may wind up being traded, which would free up plenty of space too. (Nick Schaefer)
2017-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you put on your pretend GM hat...beyond Quintana, it looks as if Todd Frazier may have the biggest price tag given the dearth of 3B. That said he's 31 and having his worst statical season by Baseball Reference's WAR standard. What would you be looking to get in return for him?
(Punchoutpappy from First in Flight)
Frazier could provide some legit value to a team like the Yankees or Red Sox, but I don't know if the White Sox will get anything substantial for him, particularly given his age and the fact that he's a free agent after this season. I wouldn't look at Top 101 guys, but more intriguing younger prospects who still need a significant amount of development. The White Sox also have to weigh whether or not whatever they could get in return is more valuable than what he provides in the clubhouse for some of their younger hitters. (Collin Whitchurch)
2017-04-05 23:00:00 (link to chat)Besides Tim Anderson, is there anyone on the Sox Opening Day roster than you think they will refuse to trade? I think it's a lock that Todd Frazier, Jose Quintana, Nate Jones, and David Robertson will all be dealt. I was on the fence about Abreu, thinking they want one vet to build the offense around + the Cuban connection with Moncada, but after the Anderson extension, I think Abreu might be shopped as well. What say you?
(Jonah from Redwood)
I think there's a pretty decent chance he's among that list of on-the-block players, yeah. It's an awfully tantalizing contract for a win-now team in need of some pop, and from Chicago's side he's a 30-year-old whose offensive output has declined each year he's been in the league and who isn't likely to be part of their next core. Kinda too balanced a situation to the interests on both sides for him to NOT get traded, yunno? (Wilson Karaman)
2017-03-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)So is this the big break-out year for Sano as one of the AL's elite sluggers?
(Buddy from Peoria, IL)
I have this feeling I can't shake that Sano is never going to be exactly what we expected of him. Most of that has to do with the fact that his expectations were far too sky high to begin with, so it's not really his fault. But I also think he fits the sort of Dayan Viciedo mold too, in that he's a guy who has totally intriguing power and a huge huge propensity for strikeouts and bad OBP.

That's not to say I think he's Viciedo; I think his potential as an impact hitter is pretty special, and I think he could be a top 20 hitter next year. But my guess is that he'll look a bit more like a better OBP Todd Frazier. I'll admit I'd like to be proven wrong on this one. (Trevor Strunk)
2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)If the Cardinals decided to upgrade at 3B, who would be reasonably available?
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)
This is a good question. If we're talking about "upgrade" as in over Jhonny Peralta–who had a couple of performance issues last year, and really isn't optimized as a 3B–you probably don't want to look on the FA market. I mean, Trevor Plouffe is out there and might come cheaply, but I bet you're looking for a more exciting answer. I think the Cards could make a compelling trade offer for Todd Frazier, who looks good in red. Otherwise, I'm not sure. Maybe it's worth taking a flyer on the recently-released Richie Shaffer? The best bet might be going after someone to handle 1B, and keeping Carpenter at third. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-09-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)12 team keeper league, where we roster all 8 defensive positions, 2 utility, and 8 SPs. There aren't any weird contracts or scoring rules either. I need 10 keepers. My locks are Rizzo, Stanton, JD Martinez, Todd Frazier, Darvish, Scherzer, & Sale. I'm left to pick 3 of Lucroy, Jose Abreu, Byron Buxton, Stroman, Justin Upton, Dahl, Michael Brantley & Alex Reyes. Not easy to pick 3 out of that, huh? Take a shot! Thanks again!
(BPchatsChangedMyLife from Niagara, ON)
I'd try to package 3-5 of those extra guys for 1 no-doubt keeper, then try to do it again with the rest of that pack of extra guys. There's gotta be some teams in your league who have a stuff or two but only 5-7 legitimate keepers that might be willing to trade one big name player for depth, right? Try to do something with the value locked in those keepable players rather than just let that value evaporate when you submit your freeze list and send several of them back into the free agent poo; And be agnostic about which of that group of players you trade - don't fall in love with your guys. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-04-25 23:00:00 (link to chat)Curious how you value Todd Frazier rest of season. I have a 3B surplus and am looking to flip him for a SP or RP- who are some realistic arms I should target? Thank you
(rpo from LA)
Well, try as he might he's not going to post a BABIP under the Mendoza Line all year. He *does* make a ton of (often times weak) fly ball contact though, and he does enough whiffing that he's always likely to be an AVG drain. He'll hit dingers in that park though, and there'll be people on base for him. If you're deep at the position I'd absolutely leverage that for production elsewhere. 3B is top-heavy, you can lean on that for value. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)Todd Frazier or Matt Carpenter - who do you see as a better value long term in a dynasty league with OPS as an offensive category?
(Matt from MN)
In an OPS format, Carpenter. (Mike Gianella)
2015-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Bradley Zimmer and Justus Sheffield too much or fair in a trade involving Todd Frazier ?? Thanks
(Drew from Cincy)
You're welcome. I'd say that's a little on the high side, as much as I like Frazier. But I've been infatuated with Zimmer for a really long time. Maybe I'm underrating Frazier, though. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-12-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)What would a Todd Frazier trade to the Indians look like ? Zimmer + ?
(Joe from Ohio)
I would think that's a solid starting point. Maybe Zimmer and someone like Sheffield? That's what I'd be asking for, anyway. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of prospect package do you the Reds can get from Indians re: Todd Frazier trade ?? Bradley Zimmer + ??
(Kevin from Ohio)
If I'm the Reds that's where the conversation begins, yeah. (Wilson Karaman)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Looking to trade jp crawford for a piece I can use this year-how high should I shoot? Can he get me a decent third baseman?
(Fred from Sheboygan)
Yes, he definitely should. I'd go the next level down from the elites (Todd Frazier, Josh Donaldson etc). That should work given his talent/ceiling. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Do you believe in Todd Frazier? Is .260/.330/.450 with 25/15 a realistic expectation?
(Henry from Boston)
I like him a lot. There will be some slippage this year, but I think that's pretty realistic. Maybe 12 steals and .250, but close enough. (Mike Gianella)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)How big a gap is there between Evan Longoria and Todd Frazier for dynasty purposes (5x5 + OBP & XBH)?
(AJ from Phoenix)
There isn't much of a gap in my mind, I view them similarly. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-08-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Matthew, Todd Frazier: Real Deal or Regression Candidate in 2015?
(Cal Guy from Cal)
The funny thing is he's had this season before, in 2012 but the offensive environment was a bit different and the value of that season is higher now. He's not a huge star but he's a good power source and a valuable player for the Reds. I haven't done exhaustive analysis but there's nothing here that screams regression. (Matthew Kory)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)12-team keeper league. OBP, SLG, and NSB (SB-CS) replacing AVG and SB. Would you rather have Todd Frazier or Olt? Both would be bench players, backing up Longoria. Thanks!
(Joe from NY)
Frazier is safer. Olt has more upside. I'd probably go with Frazier myself, since you're not looking to homer here, but Olt could have more value as a trade chip. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Joey Votto's paucity of RBI was a topic of big discussion last year. What should we expect on the RBI front in 2014 and how would you rank him among 1B in a standard 5x5?
(RMR from Cincinnati)
Hey RMR.

All of this depends on whether or not the Reds put someone decent in front of him in the lineup. Votto was virtually the same as he ever was but suffered through Todd Frazier's miserable OPS and a wounded Brandon Phillips most of the year. If Billy Hamilton can get on base at a semi-decent clip/stick, then Votto's RBI opportunities instantly go up. I'm an unashamed, unapologetic Votto lover. In my mixed valuations last year, only Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis, and Michael Cuddyer ranked higher at 1B (not including any non-OF who were 1B eligible). If Miguel Cabrera isn't 1B eligible in your league on Opening Day, Votto's 3rd behind Goldy and Davis. Some of this is just the weakness of the position, some of it is that runs count - and Votto's walks lead to runs - but some of it is that I like valuing skills over stats, particularly since even in a "down" year Votto was still a Top 25 mixed league hitter. I might even put Votto ahead of Davis when I actually sit down and rank these guys in February. (Mike Gianella)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best to worst short term NL only keeper (2014-15)... Todd Frazier, Marcell Ozuna, Jedd Gyorko?
(Broken Arrow from Texas)
I think I'd flip the order. Jerk & Ozuna have the upside. Frazier is a WYSIWYG which is fine, but I'd rather gamble on the bigger payoff. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Tie ballgame last night in the 7th between CIN/PHI. Runners on 2nd and 3rd with nobody out, and Jay Bruce up. Do you walk him and pitch to Todd Frazier with the force outs, or take your chances with Bruce? Win Expectancy gives a 3% improvement to pitching to the batter, which to me would be negated by the downgrade in hitter from Bruce to Frazier.
(swarmee from Niceville, FL)
With one out, probably. Not with none. (Bret Sayre)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Since Hanley is questionable for opening day, who would you pick up between Todd Frazier, Matt Carpenter, Gyorko or Arenado? Thank you.
(Motivation03 from Dallas)
Frazier. I think he's very undervalued this year... not a star, but if things break right and he hits .260 with 25 HR while eligible at both corners, that's pretty good stuff. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! Could you rank these following players on chances of a breakout season: Kyle Seager, Brandon Belt, Todd Frazier, Ben Revere, Matt Harvey, and Mike Moustakas?
(Derek from Kansas City)
Harvey
Belt
Moustakas
Revere
Seager
Frazier (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dan,with Hanley out 8-10 weeks how far will he drop in drafts and who do you like to move up at SS or 3b in the top 30.Thanks
(Chesty from New Bern,NC)
I'm hesitant to bank on any hitters coming off of serious hand/wrist/finger injuries, so I'd probably ding Ramirez more than others might. My 3B sleepers are Josh Donaldson and Todd Frazier, but as Bret Sayre pointed out in his tiered rankings column (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19939) today, the pressure to get one early is mounting. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is this years Wade Miley? Todd Frazier?
(Tony from Iowa)
Robbie Erlin, Josh Vitters (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! Pick your breakout candidate this year out of the following: Todd Frazier, Brandon Belt, Mike Moustakas, and Kyle Seager.
(Derek from KC)
I like this question. I feel like Frazier and Belt are closest to their ceilings; Belt, especially, has some fundamental mechanical stuff to address if he ever wants to reach his power ceiling. I like the little power boost Seager displayed last year, but I can't help but feel like Moose is the only superstar in the bunch. Yeah, he's scuffled some the past two years, but he's going to be 24 for the entire '13 season. He's still CRAZY young. Gotta go with him. And even if he doesn't figure it out this year, he'll definitely be the guy over the long haul. (Ian Miller)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! In my keeper league I kept Mike Moustakas, Todd Frazier, Brandon Belt, and Kyle Seager. Smart move?
(Derek from Kansas City)
Derek, it depends on the opportunity cost. I can see reasons for keeping all four of those players in a vacuum, but we both know that's not how this thing works. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. How about the Reds this season? Will Votto's power be back and can the young 3 - Zack Cozart, Todd Frazier, and Devin Mesoraco be counted on for much?
(Rockford from Flowmont)
I like the Reds a lot. I'm guessing Votto will be fully healthy and not the guy who went 170 or so plate appearances without a home run after late June last season. As for the three young players, Mesoraco is the only one who hasn't already had a pretty productive season in the majors, and he could still get there. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think Todd Frazier's numbers will be? Good ballpark + good lineup = exceeding $10 value in a 4x4 NL only league?
(Rockford from Holding pattern)
Easily. I love Frazier. (Paul Sporer)
2012-11-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see the Reds doing anything on the offensive side this offseason? I expect Todd Frazier to be the 3b, but what happens at SS, CF, and LF?
(Rockford from Flowmont)
Thanks for stopping by, Rockford. After watching GABP help Ryan Ludwick to turn back into a serviceable everyday player, I think the Reds will go with a low-cost option in left, and possibly just bring back Ludwick if his price tag doesn't bloat too much. I also wouldn't expect them to give up on Zack Cozart so quickly, especially because he did amass 1.4 WARP last year, even with a .288 OBP. Given the depth of the outfield market, there might be a center fielder who fits the Reds' budget, so that's the position I think Jocketty will be most tempted to address. If Angel Pagan, B.J. Upton, and Michael Bourn all price themselves out of the Reds' range, Shane Victorino might be an intriguing option. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-11-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Great chat. I am curious for a little insight on the Reds. What potential do you see out of Todd Frazier over a full year? Will Billy Hamilton make it up this year and if so, is the Drew Stubbs era over?
(Tommy from Queen City)
Hey Tommy, thanks for the kind words. I certainly want to see Billy Hamilton in the bigs, but he's probably going to need a lot more reps in the OF before he plays at the major league level.

Not sure what to make of Drew Stubbs, frankly. I think he's a much better player than what we saw this year. So I think we see a little bounceback from Stubbs but, if he continues to struggle, maybe Hamilton is ready to come up mid-year? Wild guess. (Ian Miller)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Scott Rolen looking to play another yeat? It seems like he retirement announcement was imminent, but nothing happened. What should the Reds expect from Todd Frazier next year?
(Tommy from Flowmont)
I don't know, but I hope not. I drafted Rolen in a Scoresheet league when he was in A-ball, so I have fond memories of him coming up with the Phillies back in the day. It's tough to see his career crumble at the end. Same with Todd Helton. Or Brian Giles a few years ago. As for Frazier, he'll be as good as Dusty Baker lets him be. (Geoff Young)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)is Bryce Harper a lock for NL ROY? Will Wilin Rosario get a serious look? His home-road splits show no Coors advantage.
(gerrybraun from sandiego)
I don't think Harper is a lock. Until his two-homer game, Harper had been hitting poorly for some time. If he has a month-long hot streak, the award will probably be his to lose, but if he limps to the finish line, it won't be. As of today, the NL's most valuable position player has been Todd Frazier, who I wrote about in an article that went up on the site during this chat. (That's some impressive multi-tasking.) If Frazier keeps hitting, and more importantly, keeps playing after Votto's return, I think he'd have my vote. Rosario will get some consideration, but I don't think he'll win it. The power is impressive (as Jason Wojciechowski--yeah, I spelled that without looking it up--pointed out today, offense is up all over at catcher), but a sub-.300 OBP at Coors might, and probably should, hold him back a bit. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)With the prospects of Votto returning before the end of the season, do you expect Todd Frazier be the everyday 3B in Cincy? Dusty likes his veterans, but Frazier has quietly had a very good rookie season.
(Reggie from Uptown)
Frazier has been hitting, but you know what is weird? Scott Rolen, since July 1st has hit .338/.442/.521 in 23 games, 86 plate appearances. My guess is Dusty will give his vets every chance to fail and Rolen isn't failing, at least not right now. (Matthew Kory)
2012-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Miguel Cairo comes off the DL for the Reds today. Fans are pessimistically expecting them to send Todd Frazier down instead of DFAing Willie Harris. Cause for concern?
(Hobart from Washington, DC)
I'd buy it if the stat lines were reversed. As is, I think Frazier stays. Everyone can joke about Dusty Baker's love of veterans, but he'll play young players if they produce, and Frazier is doing just that right now. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-03-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Many of the local Reds bloggers are infatuated with SS Paul Janish. Sure, he's following the Over the Hill Gang (O. Cabrera, A. Gonzalez, R. Clayton etc)but can his glove carry hit bat? What line to you project at the dish for Paulie?
(Willie from Cincinnati)
Offensively, he's a non-option outside of deep NL-only fantasy leagues. Whether or not his glove can overcome his bat in "real baseball" is up to Dusty Baker, and to be fair, they do have a good enough offensive core that they can probably live with him hitting 8th. I'd love to see Todd Frazier get a shot, though, before they just give in and accept Janish. (Cory Schwartz)
2011-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Todd Frazier rediscover the hitting magic? And, what's the over/under on the # of times you say "actualize" next podcast?
(Reds Fan from Wishing it was Goodyear)
I was never sold on his bat, so I don't think so. I will say "Actualize" at least 10 times on the next podcast, and possibly more if I start nipping at the moonshine. (Jason Parks)
2011-01-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)(A) Todd Frazier (B) Brandon Allen (C) Kila Kaiuaahuehuahuehuhauheuhauheuhe
(DanChaparian from NYC)
B. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)How should we view Todd Frazier after the year he had? He's playing a position with low value, even though he can handle the infield (well, not SS really anymore). He sucked at the beginning of the year, but then caught fire and hit over .320 for awhile. Is he still a top prospect, or doomed to be a utilityman?
(Bobby from Cincinnati)
Probably more B. than A. unfortunately. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers.
(Joe from Cincy)
I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi CK - Love it! Any prospects that you have unexplained affinities for?
(iorg34 from Minny)
Todd Frazier, because the bat will play. I find myself hoping Zack Cozart gets taken seriously, given that Paul Janish isn't really a solution, and I'm interested in how Tommy Manzella pans out. It's hard not to like Scott Sizemore and Alex Avila for the Tigers. I'm interested in seeing how Jose Ceda's comeback goes. I think this is the year for Brandon Wood, or at least I hope so. I root for Hank Conger. I'm more fond of Ian Desmond and Shairon Martis than probably makes sense. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-11-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any word on what position Todd Frazier will ultimately play? Also, are Klaw's concerns about his arm bar swing shared by others or can he be a #5/6 hitter in a decent lineup despite an unorthodox approach (a la Hunter Pence perhaps)?
(Mario66 from Toronto)
I think he might finally have found a home at second. I like your Pence analogy in the sense that it's more than a bit funky, but I think he's proven it works for him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina...Love your work, it always brightens my day. Quick question on my beloved Reds. The Reds haven't had a legit SS since Barry Larkin retired and they have no real prospects lined up at the position (particularly with Chris Valaika struggling mightily in AAA). What do the Reds do for 2010 if they can't bring in a FA or trade acquisition? Could they move Brandon Phillips back to SS or is he too valuable at this point at 2b? It just seems like the franchise has a number of guys who would be better fits at 2b. Would love to hear your thoughts.
(JoshC77 from Columbus)
Hi Josh, thank you for the kind words. I've been suggesting Phillips as their best-possible answer at short for a couple of seasons now, especially given that they play in a bandbox and can't really afford to wind up with some slick-fielding offensive non-entity when they're already shy of star players in the lineup. An infield with Votto and Rolen at the corners, Phillips at short, and Todd Frazier at second might not be enough to carry that outfield, but it's a start in the right direction. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-08-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would this offseason be a good time for the Reds to trade Brandon Phillips, what with Todd Frazier coming down the line and their whole payroll going to about four players? It seems like they could get something real pretty in return.
(Charles from Detroit)
It's worth considering, because after Mark DeRosa and Orlando Hudson in the free-agent pool, you've got Placido Polanco. The problem will be Phillips' back-loaded contract and whether the Reds will eat any of it, because otherwise the number of teams willing to trade for a guy due to make $11 million in 2011 are few and far between. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-04-08 15:00:00 (link to chat)Does the Reds' decision to move Todd Frazier to LF this spring totally destroy his value as a prospect? He'll never be a regular now, right?
(Greasetruck Teddy from New Brunswick, NJ)
It doesn't help, but it doesn't really destroy him either. Guy can hit, but expectations change quite a bit certainly. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any hope for Todd Frazier to stick at SS? If not, where does he fit into the Reds plans for the future?
(Thompson from Great Falls)
Very little hope. The HOPE is that he can stick at third base, but he still might end up just as a LF. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)Will Reese Havens be drafted as a SS, 2B, or 3B? About where does he currently rank? About where does Conor Gillaspie currently rank?
(Jacque Gamahouche from Byto)
Last year it surely would have been as a third baseman, but I'm not so sure anymore. Look, if Todd Frazier can get drafted as a shortstop and not get moved right away, I think you'll see Havens follow the same treatment. I think he and Beckham end up at second, though, to be honest. Gillaspie is a tick below Havens for me -- I love the plate discipline, but a little less athletic and a lot less powerful. If he works at second base he's interesting in an Antonelli fashion, however. (Bryan Smith)
2008-04-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chances of Todd Frazier staying at SS? Will he hit enough to be an everyday corner infielder?
(John from Burlington, Ky)
Chances are slim!; Chances are good! (Kevin Goldstein)


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