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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
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- 2018
- 0.22019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | CHA | MLB | 14 | 14 | 73.0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 78 | 35 | 81 | 15 | 99 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 46% | .326 | 1.55 | 5.22 | 5.79 | 104 | 5.28 | 108.3 | 0.4 |
| Career | MLB | 14 | 14 | 73.0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 78 | 35 | 81 | 15 | 99 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 46% | .326 | 1.55 | 5.22 | 5.79 | 104 | 5.28 | 108.3 | 0.4 | |
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2015 | CUB | Rk | AZL | 11 | 8 | 24.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 0 | 102 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 0% | .207 | 1.17 | 3.97 | 2.63 | 109 | 2.31 | 50.6 |
| 2016 | EUG | A- | NWL | 12 | 12 | 44.7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 25 | 66 | 1 | 91 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 13.3 | 55% | .295 | 1.16 | 2.92 | 2.22 | 87 | 3.02 | 66.8 |
| 2017 | KAN | A | SAL | 9 | 9 | 41.7 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 35 | 18 | 52 | 1 | 100 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 11.2 | 43% | .330 | 1.27 | 2.71 | 3.89 | 86 | 4.00 | 85.0 |
| 2017 | SBN | A | MID | 13 | 13 | 51.7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 26 | 74 | 2 | 98 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 12.9 | 46% | .339 | 1.26 | 2.76 | 2.79 | 83 | 3.65 | 77.7 |
| 2018 | WNS | A+ | CAR | 13 | 13 | 71.7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 28 | 82 | 5 | 105 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 10.3 | 50% | .273 | 1.12 | 3.27 | 2.89 | 91 | 3.34 | 70.7 |
| 2018 | BIR | AA | SOU | 10 | 10 | 52.3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 22 | 78 | 3 | 92 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 50% | .273 | 0.99 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 72 | 2.52 | 53.3 |
| 2019 | CHA | MLB | AL | 14 | 14 | 73.0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 78 | 35 | 81 | 15 | 99 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 46% | .326 | 1.55 | 5.22 | 5.79 | 104 | 5.28 | 108.3 |
| 2019 | CHR | AAA | INT | 15 | 15 | 68.3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 32 | 73 | 4 | 111 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 9.6 | 55% | .370 | 1.57 | 3.78 | 4.48 | 85 | 4.50 | 92.6 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1364 | 0.4377 | 0.4435 | 0.7388 | 0.6449 | 0.2868 | 0.8286 | 0.5818 | 0.2612 |
| Career | 1364 | 0.4377 | 0.4435 | 0.7388 | 0.6449 | 0.2868 | 0.8286 | 0.5818 | 0.2612 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0.0 | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | .000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ? | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Dylan CeaseBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat) | If you could choose 3 guys outside of the fantasy top 200 who you think have the best chance of contributing like a top 50 player by the end of the year, who would you take? (Senator Ron from Whipping my caucus) | I assume you are talking redraft (and not prospects). I think certain prospects drafted 200+ could arrive and produce like a top-50 player (Adell & Gore). Others include a healthy Andrew McCutchen, Josh James, Dylan Cease, Willy Adames, Trent Grisham, and Gregory Polanco. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2020-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who are some pitchers you're targeting in dynasty for contending teams that have a killer offense but meh staff. Im headlined by Bauer Greinke Marquez Woodruff with solid closers in a 14 tm 31 active 15 minors h2h roto. Have a ton of ammo in the minors to spend. (Chansen8895 from Salt Lake City) | Target the olds (Scherzer, Verlander, Morton, Darvish, Price, etc.). They come at an age-related discount in dynasty leagues and can provide excellent short-term production. If you want arms with more staying power (youth) absent the high cost of players like Jack Flaherty, then I like Mike Soroka, Frankie Montas, Max Fried, Zac Gallen, Julio Urias, and even Dylan Cease. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2019-10-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | The odds of Dylan Cease and Mitch Keller becoming: a #2 / #3 / back-end guy / RP? (The Colonel from Pasadena, CA) | Oof, I don't know. Off the top of my head:
Cease: 15%/40%/20%/25% Keller: 5%/35%/25%/35% I might feel differently a week from now. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-09-20 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Who would you rather have, Dylan Cease or Brusdar Graterol? Brusdar's stuff is FILTHY and he's around the plate. Cease is consistently wild but is ranked higher in most places. I get the bullpen worry for Graterol but his control is so much better than Cease. Gun to the head, but then you knock the gun from the guy's hand and point it at him and then tell him... Brusdar or Cease. (The Colonel from Pasadena, CA) | Cease was up at midseason so he didn't get ranked, and Brusdar had the arm issue around then, but we only had them seven spots apart coming into the season, and I imagine that minor gap is more or less the same now. I have concerns about Cease's command long term, but he's flashed enough that boy if he ever does figure it out. And if not, he'd be as good a reliever as Graterol, who again, hasn't thrown over 102 innings in a season yet and has an elbow scar. It's huge variance on both, but for some reason the command stuff worries me slightly less than the durability stuff in this case. Maybe it's a "White Sox usually figure these guys out" thing. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-07-19 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Dylan Cease appears to have excellent stuff, but how likely is is that his command will improve enough to realize his potential? (JP from Green Bay) | That has always been the question with Cease. I'd like to see the White Sox just commit to him for the rest of the season and let him work things out in the majors. He's not as young as you think (then again we have been talking about him forever) and it's not like Chicago can't open up a slot in the rotation. I'd bet on him figuring it out, but there's always been significant reliever risk in the profile. He could be a monster late-inning arm though, and that would be fine too. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat) | Pure closer prospects are obviously kind of rare since usually they're failed starting pitching prospects, but are there any that fit that description worth keeping an eye on in deeper leagues? Burdi, anyone else? (Nothing from Clever) | Dylan Cease, Taylor Hearn and Nate Pearson are guys who I hope can stick in the rotation but who are honestly more likely to be closer-type relievers. Burdi is a good one. Dakota Hudson and Yency Almonte could get there. Another sleeper candidate -- Durbin Feltman in Boston. - BC (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre) |
| 2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat) | As one of the OG Dylan Cease believers, what have you thought of his performance thus far this year? (Collin from Austin) | Hello fellow OG Dylan Cease believer. We have badges now, I think.
His performance is exactly in line with what he's done when he's healthy. He's never been healthy and bad. He just hasn't always been healthy. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Are you bullish on Dylan Cease's ability to remain a starter? (Jamie from NY) | Yes, I've thought he's had enough change and command to get there for awhile, and I don't dislike the motion as much as most. The primary issue for me is durability and health, and if he files a healthy 130 or 140 innings this year like it looks like he might, that moves the needle a lot. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat) | Dylan Cease has already logged his second highest innings total of any season and is holding his high-90s velocity deep into games. Potential fast mover both on lists and in reality? (nschaef from NYC) | The innings thing is both a positive and a negative, right? There's another question in the queue about whether he's resolved any concerns about him starting, and I think the answers is a firm: Eh. Holding the velo is fantastic, but before making many proclamations about what he's proven...he's probably going to need to be able to show that he can hold his velo late into the season, much less late into games late in the season. Definitely has the potential to move up lists, and there's plenty of internal love on him for the team. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat) | Speaking of Dylan Cease, I traded him before the year for Jose Albertos, who has been a complete trainwreck with 32 walks in 13 innings. Is that a good trade gone wrong or a bad move to begin with? (Gabe from MO) | Couple questions on Albertos in the queue right now. I think it was probably an even trade at the time in terms of talent and it's gone wrong in both ways for you, sure. That said if it's a mechanical issue or a health issue, Albertos could get right pretty quickly. It's obviously highly abnormal, what's going on, and that's always a concern but I don't have any real insight into the actual issues there. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2017-07-25 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Overall, who is the best pitching prospect in the Midwest League? (Slaphappy from Indiana ) | The league is deep in pitching this year. A few weeks ago I would have said Dylan Cease. I think Emmett is high on Dustin May, I like Reggie Lawson. - Nathan (Emmett Rosenbaum & Nathan Graham) |
| 2017-07-06 12:00:00 (link to chat) | I can't imagine Thomas Szapucki was in the discussion for this list given his health concerns. Is he still on the 101? How does he compare to other non-listers like Dylan Cease, Franklin Perez, and Mitch White? (Jim from Detroit) | Szapucki is another Manning/Groome type guy, it's started to look better, the velo isn't quite all the way back though, and we have a back injury and a shoulder impingement in the last year. That's not great, Bob. Upside is comparable to those dudes still (behind Cease if you really like Cease which many of us do), but the risks here are extreme now. His 101 status is pretty contingent on the next two months I'd think. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Yes or No answer on this one... I know its not going to happen but would Dylan Cease and Candelario be enough to get Tyler Glasnow? (BC from Urbandale) | No. But this isn't a crazy idea. I say no for two reasons.
1. The Pirates love Glasnow's stuff and have confidence that he'll eventually figure out how to command it. I'm not as sure, but he's a tantalizing guy. 2. The problem with the package you're proposing is that Cease isn't ready for the majors, and if the Pirates see a window for contention, they'll need a higher-minors pitching prospect for Glasnow. Candelario is not a great fit for a team that's got both Will Craig and Ke'Bryan Hayes on the farm (both third basemen, though Craig may not stay there). (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Dylan Cease. Starter or reliever? (Aaron from Florida) | I think everyone is a reliever. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat) | I love Dylan Cease. Do you? (Ryan from Montreal) | Love? No. He's a fun guy to take a flier on but there's a decent amount of me that thinks he's a reliever -- enough that I probably don't love him. He's still very good though. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Percent chance Dylan Cease stays a starter? (Mike from Chicago) | Between ten and fifty percent, depending on who we talked to. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Does Dylan Cease have #1 starter potential? (cracker73 from Florida) | It's okay, Everyone doesn't have to be an ace. There's like nine of them in baseball.
Anyway, Cease is really fun and really athletic and a really good prospect, but probably a reliever, because everyone in short-season is probably a reliever. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thomas Szapucki or Dylan Cease?
Joe Musgrove or Robert Gsellman?
Tomas Nido or Reese McGuire? (Felipe from Alpine) | Cease; Gsellman; McGuire. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Next Big Prospect nobody is talking about? (Eric from CT) | Among the general public, I think that's Ronald Acuna with the Braves. Otherwise, Vlad Guerrero, Jr. is gonna get a whole lotta hype in the coming year. On the pitching side, it could be Dylan Cease with the Cubs. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Dylan Cease? (Jeb from Johnson City) | Big, big arm. I know a few scouts who are massive fans of the right-hander. The control is obviously an issue, as he has walked 14.4 percent of the batters he has seen this year. At 20 years old, though, he won't be rushed and will have ample time to develop. In terms of raw stuff, though, I love him. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2016-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Dylan Cease or Yadier Alvarez? (BomboRiviera from Lancaster) | MAN. That's tough! It's so early in the morning, why are you asking me such tough questions!
Ya know what? I'm not choosing. I am passing. This is too hard. Fine. Alvarez. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Give us some Dylan Cease hype. Have you caught him on a start yet? (Steve from Chicago) | I did; article coming later this week. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2016-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you expect to see Dylan Cease this year? If so, how excited are you? (Jeff from Des Moines) | I'd love to get another look at Dylan Cease and there are rumors swirling that he will get a chance late in the year. I saw him as an amateur and the armstrength alone was impressive but he also showed the ability to spin the breaking ball. It will be interesting to see how he comes out this year but I am sure you will start to see reports on him as soon as the prospect team can get eyes on him. (James Fisher) |
| 2016-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Since Brendan said you saw everyone, what are your thoughts on Dylan Cease? Saw Mr. Crawford had some nice things to sayin the Ten Pack earlier today. (Steve from PHI) | Ha. I didn't see quite everyone, but Cease is going to be a really fun guy to follow. There's not a prayer that his talent was synonymous with the sixth round--his arm injury at the time had something to do with it.
Additionally, I just want to use Cease as an example of the Cubs masterful job in the 2014 draft. They shocked everyone with Schwarber at #4--firmly (and rightfully) knowing how he could hit, position be damned. That alone was good, but what's more: they took the money saved from Schwarber--as well as Maryland's Jake Stinnett (who was a top SR sign in that draft, I believe) and Mark Zangunis from Virginia Tech (though I'm not sure how much of a haircut Zangunis took) to pool together money for Carson Sands, Justin Steele, and Dylan Cease. That's pwn-age right there. I have seen Cease as a HS junior, a HS senior, and as a professional as well. The armstrength is for real, as we all know. As a result of that arm-speed, the spin is also for real. It's two plus pitches, definitely a guy who is capable of generating loads of strikeouts. I won't put him in the bullpen absolutely, especially not right now, and especially because some aspects of his delivery I think aren't massively effort-filled. However, mechanically, there isn't a ton of cohesion between his upper and lower halves; he's never been much of a natural strike-thrower. He'll be really fascinating to monitor. Can't teach this type of raw stuff. (Adam McInturff) |
| 2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Which group sucks less?
Anthony Alford, Rusney Castillo, Manuel Margot, Brett Phillips, Nick Williams,Spencer Adams, Mark Appel, Dylan Cease, Josh Hader, James Kapeielian, Triston McKenzie,Vince Velasquez or Blake Swihart, Jon Singleton, Dansby Swanson, Alex Jackson, Clayton Blackburn,Tyrell Jenkins, Rob Kaminsky, Zach Lee, Keuy Mella, Justin Nicolino, Aaron Nola, Tyler Jay.
God these teams are awful. (Clark from The 19th Hole) | The first group, but you're right, but they're both bad. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I need 1 more player for my fantasy minor league team. The choice is a SP prospect (Kolby Allard, Amir Garrett, Josh Hader, Grant Holmes, Yadier Alvarez or Dylan Cease), position player (Dominic Smith or Trent Clark) or lottery ticket (Willie Calhoun).
Which SP and position player would you choose and also your overall pick, taking into account not only ceiling/floor but also proximity to the bigs (the closer the better). (paladin from philippines) | I really like a bunch of those dudes. Calhoun can be a special hitter, but he's a butcher defensively and loses value if (when) he moves to the OF. Allard and Garrett are two really high-upside arms, and Alvarez could turn into any pitcher you can think of (good or bad). I probably go Clark there, but you've got options depending on what you're into. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2015-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Trying to evaluate the upside of a few low minors arms - any of these guys have top of the rotation potential: Franklyn Kilome, Dylan Cease, Oscar De La Cruz, Francis Martes, or Devin Williams? (Jose from CA) | I think you could maybe argue Kilkome but even that seems like a reach. I'd say none of those guys pitches at the top of a big league rotation. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-09-30 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Do the Cubs still have a top 8 farm system? (Randy from Iowa) | Yes and the emergence of Willson Contreras helps that out a lot. They have Gleyber Torres and Ian Happ in the farm to go along with some arms like Duane Underwood and Pierce Johnson. Opinions on Dylan Cease are mixed because of his command profile but the man throws in the upper 90's and I have heard reports that he was pressing 99 in a few starts. (Mauricio Rubio) |
BP Roundtables
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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Dylan Cease has thrown 12,523 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2019 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Slider (88mph) and Fourseam Fastball (97mph), also mixing in a Curve (83mph). He also rarely throws a Splitter (65mph) and Cutter (94mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
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