Phil Bickford Stats | Baseball Prospectus

Biographical

Phil Bickford P
Scouting Report
Scouted by David Lee (May 19, 2016)
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
34.3	5.35	1.49	34	2	2	0	-0.4

Birth Date	7-10-1995
Height	6' 4"
Weight	200 lbs

Age	29 years, 10 months, 5 days
Bats	R
Throws	R

: 2015
: 2016
: 2017
: 2018
: -0.42019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2015	GIA	Rk	AZL	10	10	22.3	0	1	0	13	6	32	0	100	5.2	2.4	0.0	12.9	0%	.289	0.85	1.88	2.01	65	1.15	25.3
2016	AUG	A	SAL	11	11	60.0	3	4	0	49	15	69	2	96	7.4	2.3	0.3	10.4	33%	.301	1.07	2.37	2.70	81	3.18	70.3
2016	BRV	A+	FSL	6	5	27.0	2	1	0	26	15	30	1	103	8.7	5.0	0.3	10.0	38%	.333	1.52	3.40	3.67	104	4.73	104.3
2016	SJO	A+	CAL	6	6	33.0	2	2	0	21	12	36	3	92	5.7	3.3	0.8	9.8	35%	.237	1.00	3.98	2.73	93	2.51	55.5
2017	BRR	Rk	AZL	6	5	17.0	1	0	0	14	10	16	0	104	7.4	5.3	0.0	8.5	57%	.275	1.41	4.45	2.12	107	3.64	77.4
2018	CAR	A+	CAR	21	0	34.7	0	0	0	37	18	41	3		9.6	4.7	0.8	10.6	29%	.366	1.59	3.93	4.67	98	5.64	119.2
2019	CAR	A+	CAR	20	0	32.7	3	0	1	23	11	53	2		6.3	3.0	0.6	14.6	30%	.339	1.04	2.03	2.48	60	2.63	54.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
No data available in table

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
No data available in table

Compensation

Years	Description	Salary
2 yr	Previous	$957,742
2 yr	Total	$957,742

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
2 y 134 d	ET Sports	1 year/$900,000 (2024)

Details

1 year/$900,000 (2024). Won arbitration with NY Mets 2/6/24 ($900,000-$815,000). DFA by NY Mets 3/23/24. Released 3/26/24 (due 45 days' termination pay, $217,742). Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 4/2/24 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.1M in majors.
1 year/$740,000 (2023). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/23. Acquired by NY Mets in trade 8/1/23 after being DFA by LA Dodgers 7/29/23.
1 year (2022). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/22.
1 year (2021). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/21. Claimed by LA Dodgers off waivers 5/3/21 after being DFA by Milwaukee 4/28/21.
1 year (2020). Contract selected by Milwaukee 9/1/20.
Drafted by Milwaukee 2015 (1-18) (Southern Nevada). $2.3338M signing bonus (slot amount).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
90^o	8.6	0.3	16	10	51.5	40	24	49	7	.243	1.24	4.16	4.6	-7.7	-0.8
80^o	7.2	0.2	14	8	44.8	38	22	43	7	.258	1.34	4.63	5.12	-9.1	-1.0
70^o	6.2	0.2	12	7	40.2	36	21	39	7	.269	1.42	4.99	5.51	-9.8	-1.1
60^o	5.4	0.2	11	7	36.3	34	20	35	6	.279	1.49	5.30	5.85	-10.1	-1.1
50^o	4.7	0.1	10	6	32.8	32	19	32	6	.288	1.56	5.60	6.18	-10.2	-1.1
40^o	4	0.1	9	5	29.5	30	18	28	6	.297	1.63	5.90	6.51	-10.2	-1.1
30^o	3.4	0.1	8	5	25.9	28	17	25	5	.307	1.71	6.23	6.88	-9.9	-1.1
20^o	2.7	0.1	7	4	21.9	25	15	21	5	.319	1.81	6.63	7.32	-9.4	-1.0
10^o	1.9	0.1	5	3	16.7	20	12	16	4	.335	1.94	7.20	7.95	-8.2	-0.9
Weighted Mean	4.6	0.1	10	6	32.0	31	18	31	6	.286	1.54	5.54	6.12	-9.8	-1.1

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	24	5	8	1	36	19	144	137	83	146	27	36	.309	1.52	5.54	6.36	8.5	5.2	9.1	1.7	-1.4
2021	25	4	6	1	31	16	121	110	70	123	22	36	.300	1.49	5.49	6.31	8.2	5.2	9.2	1.6	-1.1
2022	26	4	6	0	28	15	109	103	63	107	20	36	.305	1.52	5.58	6.41	8.5	5.2	8.8	1.6	-1.1
2023	27	3	5	0	26	14	102	95	58	102	18	36	.305	1.50	5.48	6.30	8.4	5.1	9.0	1.6	-1.0
2024	28	4	6	0	28	15	111	104	64	111	21	36	.304	1.51	5.55	6.37	8.4	5.2	9.0	1.7	-1.1
2025	29	4	6	0	28	15	111	104	64	112	21	36	.305	1.51	5.54	6.36	8.4	5.2	9.1	1.7	-1.1
2026	30	4	6	0	28	15	110	103	62	110	21	36	.304	1.50	5.57	6.40	8.4	5.1	9.0	1.7	-1.1
2027	31	3	5	0	26	14	103	97	58	103	20	36	.304	1.50	5.56	6.39	8.4	5.1	9.0	1.7	-1.0
2028	32	3	5	0	25	13	98	92	55	98	19	36	.304	1.51	5.56	6.39	8.5	5.1	9.0	1.8	-1.0

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Trend
1	95	Carlos Polanco	2017	DNP
2	94	Elliot Morris	2015	DNP
3	94	Buddy Borden	2015	DNP
4	93	Wei-Chieh Huang	2017	DNP
5	93	Garrett Gould	2015	DNP
6	93	Nick Pivetta	2016	DNP
7	93	Felipe Gonzalez	2015	DNP
8	93	Logan Taylor	2015	DNP
9	92	Keegan Akin	2018	DNP
10	92	Devin Williams	2018	DNP

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BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2017		The changeup is going to be the determining factor for which innings Phil Bickford ultimately calls home in the majors. If he finds a feel for the changeup, the former first-round pick acquired from the Giants for Will Smith has the delivery and arm strength to work through a lineup multiple times as a starter, and the third pitch will give him another offering to sprinkle in there. If it doesn't, Bickford will still have the stuff to pitch in the majors, albeit in a relief role where his slider could play up. His development will be on hold for 50 games following a "drug of abuse" suspension.
2016		Bickford flunked a marijuana test days before the draft, but his control and athleticism convinced the Giants to look past that transgression and make him the first JuCo first-rounder in the organization's history. While he looks more like a Santa Cruz surfer than a San Francisco pitcher, he wields a fastball with explosive late life, a potential plus weapon even when it sits 90-91. Scouts also see the makings of a plus slider. Some voice doubts about Bickford's future as a starter, citing a downtrend in his velocity within outings and a still-fledgling changeup. Following in Beede's footsteps as an ex-Jays draftee who wound up in orange and black, Bickford carries more upside but also more risk. Despite an outstanding debut in the Arizona League, he probably won't sniff the majors until 2018.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

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Date	Question	Answer
2016-08-15 22:00:00 (link to chat)	Hello Wilson! You might know me. Who will have a bigger impact in the long run between ex-Giant prospect Phil Bickford and current Giant prospect Tyler Beede? Thank you? (WBG from Philippines)	I like Beede by a decent margin there. Was a fan of his arsenal's depth last year, and reports I've seen from this season suggest he's started to implement the physical adjustments he needed while maturing with his sequencing and game management. I think he's a relatively high floor guy rounding out a quality a rotation. I didn't really see it in my brief looks at Bickford, and I know David Lee wasn't convinced earlier this spring at Augusta either. The delivery's kind of stiff and he's got a low drop that discounts his height and leaves the fastball wanting for plane. That's okay to a degree, as he's got deception and some late oomph to get over barrels. But it leaves a thinner margin for error, and he needs to be pretty fine consistently with it because the secondaries weren't all that impressive. Slider showed average movement but he struggled to command it, change didn't do a ton. I'd like him better as a two-pitch guy where the FB could hopefully gain another tick or three over the 89-92 range I saw him sitting. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-06-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Grant, Have you seen Phil Bickford and what is your opinion of him and his chances of staying in the rotation. (Arthur from Vegas)	I have not, but fortunately we have a recent eyewitness report on him here. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=370 (Grant Jones)
2016-05-31 19:00:00 (link to chat)	Thanks James. Could you rank these Low-A starters in terms of ceiling? Cody Reed (Ariz), Mitch Keller and Phil Bickford... (Keith from Farmington, CT)	Lots of questions on the D-Backs Cody Reed so far so I'll start off by saying I think he's legit and will touch on him in more depth later on but give me Bickford, Reed, then Keller. (James Fisher)
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What have you been hearing about Phil Bickford so far this year? Not walking many and striking quite a few out in Low-A. (Mike from CA)	Much more good than bad. Still needs to show more consistency with the slider and the change is hit and miss, but more good than bad is good. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-04-12 18:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Phil Bickford a stud or scrub? (Victor from San Fran)	No. I think he's inbetween those. He had a fantastic debut, though, and his upside might be the highest of any of the Giants pitchers, including Tyler Beede. (Christopher Crawford)

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