Biographical
Jeff Hoffman P |
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
- -0.62016
- -0.62017
- -0.22018
- 0.32019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
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| 2016 | COL | MLB | 8 | 6 | 31.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 108 | 10.6 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 51% | .297 | 1.72 | 6.31 | 4.88 | 119 | 7.05 | 156.0 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | COL | MLB | 23 | 16 | 99.3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 106 | 40 | 82 | 15 | 104 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 42% | .304 | 1.47 | 4.81 | 5.89 | 112 | 6.08 | 129.4 | -0.6 |
| 2018 | COL | MLB | 6 | 1 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 123 | 15.6 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 53% | .469 | 2.54 | 4.39 | 9.35 | 118 | 7.23 | 161.5 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | COL | MLB | 15 | 15 | 70.0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 34 | 68 | 21 | 122 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 37% | .298 | 1.59 | 6.75 | 6.56 | 118 | 6.93 | 142.1 | -0.9 |
| Career | MLB | 52 | 38 | 209.3 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 235 | 98 | 177 | 43 | 112 | 10.1 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 42% | .310 | 1.59 | 5.67 | 6.11 | 115 | 6.56 | 139.0 | -2.3 | |
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2015 | DUN | A+ | FSL | 11 | 11 | 56.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 59 | 15 | 38 | 4 | 103 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 0% | .329 | 1.32 | 3.70 | 3.21 | 107 | 5.47 | 119.9 |
| 2015 | NBR | AA | EAS | 7 | 7 | 36.3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 29 | 3 | 97 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7.2 | 0% | .242 | 1.02 | 3.74 | 3.22 | 95 | 3.70 | 81.2 |
| 2015 | NHP | AA | EAS | 2 | 2 | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 101 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 0% | .257 | 0.94 | 2.41 | 1.54 | 94 | 5.14 | 112.8 |
| 2016 | COL | MLB | NL | 8 | 6 | 31.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 108 | 10.6 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 51% | .297 | 1.72 | 6.31 | 4.88 | 119 | 7.05 | 156.0 |
| 2016 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 22 | 22 | 118.7 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 117 | 44 | 124 | 11 | 108 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 9.4 | 45% | .325 | 1.36 | 4.12 | 4.02 | 91 | 3.17 | 70.0 |
| 2017 | COL | MLB | NL | 23 | 16 | 99.3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 106 | 40 | 82 | 15 | 104 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 42% | .304 | 1.47 | 4.81 | 5.89 | 112 | 6.08 | 129.4 |
| 2017 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 10 | 10 | 49.7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 19 | 47 | 3 | 109 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 46% | .285 | 1.27 | 4.06 | 4.71 | 87 | 2.51 | 53.4 |
| 2018 | COL | MLB | NL | 6 | 1 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 123 | 15.6 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 53% | .469 | 2.54 | 4.39 | 9.35 | 118 | 7.23 | 161.5 |
| 2018 | LNC | A+ | CAL | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 27% | .455 | 1.67 | 3.41 | 6.00 | 96 | 5.36 | 113.3 |
| 2018 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 21 | 21 | 105.7 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 105 | 47 | 102 | 9 | 119 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 8.7 | 46% | .331 | 1.44 | 4.34 | 4.94 | 96 | 4.24 | 89.7 |
| 2019 | COL | MLB | NL | 15 | 15 | 70.0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 34 | 68 | 21 | 122 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 37% | .298 | 1.59 | 6.75 | 6.56 | 118 | 6.93 | 142.1 |
| 2019 | ABQ | AAA | PCL | 17 | 16 | 85.3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 105 | 30 | 98 | 19 | 112 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 44% | .361 | 1.58 | 5.76 | 7.70 | 100 | 5.54 | 114.0 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 552 | 0.4764 | 0.4457 | 0.8171 | 0.6160 | 0.2907 | 0.8951 | 0.6667 | 0.1829 |
| 2017 | 1609 | 0.5214 | 0.4456 | 0.8006 | 0.6114 | 0.2649 | 0.8655 | 0.6373 | 0.1994 |
| 2018 | 180 | 0.4167 | 0.4500 | 0.8025 | 0.6800 | 0.2857 | 0.9412 | 0.5667 | 0.1975 |
| 2019 | 1161 | 0.4961 | 0.4574 | 0.7759 | 0.6042 | 0.3128 | 0.8534 | 0.6284 | 0.2241 |
| Career | 3502 | 0.5005 | 0.4498 | 0.7951 | 0.6133 | 0.2859 | 0.8700 | 0.6354 | 0.2049 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0.0 | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | .000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ? | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Jeff HoffmanBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 15:00:00 (link to chat) | CIN has seen big improvements in SP performance in guys FIRST FULL seasons under Derek Johnson's tutelage - Sonny Gray (2019), Trevor Bauer (2020), Luis Castillo (2019), Anthony DeSclafani (2019). Gray and Castillo were All-Stars in their first full season with Johnson and Bauer won CY Young. Similar situations though, Tanner Roark and Tyler Mahle flatlined, while Wade Miley was dreadful. Still, there does seem to be a real track record of success for CIN SP working with Johnson. Could Tejay Antone or Jeff Hoffman see a "Derek Johnson-bump" in their first full seasons with the Reds? (Craig from Chicago) | I'd argue the bump for Antone has already happened and it's been pretty well-chronicled what happened there (and it was outside of the Reds pitching development system broadly speaking). I think this does illustrate the point that you are never gonna have a perfect system that is a perfect fit for a variety of arms, and you just hope to do well on balance. On Hoffman, I was probably the last guy out on him, but that was two years ago even for me. Wouldn't be shocked if he turns into a solid pen arm outside of Coors/Rockies though. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2021-01-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | One of the more puzzling/interesting deals of the offseason was the Jeff Hoffman case Williams for Robert stephenson . Do you think Hoffman can be salvaged. Williams supposedly had a high spin rate and the reds were targeting him in the draft. Thoughts?
(Dominique from Francona) | I think I've also said I'd be the last one to give up on Hoffman, and I'm not all the way out there yet. It was a bit of a weird trade, but the Rockies are weird, and I think it's more a change of scenery swap for two out of favor arms than anything. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Anyone in COL starting rotation intrigue you behind Marquez and Gray? Deep NL only league. (Craig from Chicago) | Roster Rockies' starters at your own peril, especially the likes of Kyle Freeland, Jeff Hoffman, and Antonio Senzatela. If I had to pick, I'd take a chance on Freeland, hoping he rediscovers his 2018 magic. I am not at all confident, though. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2018-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Could the Mets get a decent, controllable reliever (Ryne Stanek, Jeff Hoffman, Devenski, etc.) for Dom Smith? (Dan from NY) | I think everyone and their brother knows the Mets will be considering moving Smith which hurts his trade value. The Mets are also absolutely stubborn enough to ride him on the 40 all year though, so maybe that gives them some leverage. It only takes one team to be interested but who is really looking for an everyday first baseman with no major league track record. Even the tanking teams have their own cheap cost-controlled options. (or very expensive unmoveable ones if you are the Orioles). I think you can get a reliever, but more akin to the ones they got in 2017. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Will the Rockies be buyers at the deadline? They have some interesting prospects and a guy like Jeff Hoffman, who would seem to explode with a change of scenery. (Kevin from Channohon) | They probably should be! But they also haven't recently been great at identifying which of their own players to play. It's not a *great* system, but they have pieces to get dudes below the Machado/deGrom tier for sure. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-07-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Jeff Hoffman finished? (Ricky from Switzerland) | Never say never, but it's not looking good. (Nicolas Stellini) |
| 2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Say Jeff Hoffman got dealt to the Cardinals, are you intrigued again? Or is he finished? (Ricky from 18 and life) | Best change of scenery options go something like:
1. White Sox 2. Cardinals 3. Yankees 4. Padres I said this last week, but I feel like he pops up as a good reliever somewhere in two years. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Jeff Hoffman finished? (Rex from DC) | I will never bet against a dude with that stuff somehow popping up as a shutdown reliever in two years, but as a starter a Rookie, yeah just about. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat) | Is Jeff Hoffman finished? I see his K numbers are pretty robust this year. (Sean99 from Portland) | I'm not prepared to say finished, no. I'd like to see him walk fewer guys though, and it's disconcerting that given the success that Colorado has had with guys like Marquez, Freeland, and Gray, something hasn't clicked for Hoffman (yet). (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2018-04-20 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Jeff Hoffman finished? (Keith from Tempe) | If I was a team that didn't play my home games in Coors, I'd at least want to take a shot on him as a change of scenery guy, (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-04-16 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Jeff Hoffman finished? (Keith from Switzerland) | I'm not sure I'd say definitively finished, but shoulders are not as fixable as elbows and it seems that he is not finding his way back so well to this point. (Scott Delp) |
| 2018-04-23 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Jeff Hoffman finished? (Keith from Pompeii) | I could swear this question was posed a few weeks ago for my first chat. IS THIS YOU AGAIN, KEITH?! He's hanging out in Triple-A for now, still 25. Is he someone I'm looking to buy? Probably not but that doesn't mean he's finished. (Eddy Almaguer) |
| 2018-02-28 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Jeff Hoffman finished? (Sean99 from Orland Park) | He's 25, Sean, give the man a chance! He needs to figure out how to use his arsenal to get guys out. With his fastball he shouldn't be striking out as few batters as he did in 2017. (Eddy Almaguer) |
| 2017-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Jeff Hoffman a lost cause? (Sean99 from Chicago) | Well, he's only 24. And he's from my neck of the woods (upstate NY), so maybe I'm biased, but no, I don't think he's lost. Rockies pitchers are...well, you know. He'd allowed only three homers in 42 1/3 innings through the end of June, and that wasn't going to last, and he's been really lit up (game score < 40) in only five games. My biggest concern: 25 K%, 7 BB% through 6/30, 13% and 10% since. He's in the zone a lot--his 52.9% Zone rate is 11th among 142 pitchers with at least 1,200 pitches--but his 26.8% O-Swing rate (i.e., chase rate) is 115th. That suggests to me that he's not fooling anybody with his stuff outside the zone, hence the reduction in Ks and the rise of BBs.
Given that four of his bad starts have come in his last six games, might it be fatigue? He pitched 104 MiLB innings in 2015, and 150, mostly in AAA, in 2016. He's at 135 2/3 so far this year. He seems a candidate for a move to the bullpen or a 10-day BS "arm fatigue" DL stint to see if he can recuperate and recapture something. He's not ace material, but he should be better than he's been lately. (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Jeff Hoffman? Read the buyer's guide yesterday. You think he's a sell high as well? (Hobbs from NY) | I think Jeff Hoffman is incredibly talented. Depends on the league format and how risk averse you are given that he's pitching in Colorado (which seems not to matter this year), but I think he's just plain good. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Jeff Hoffman has pitched better in his last two starts. Do you believe his stuff helps him overcome Coors? (Dave from Colorado) | Always liked Hoffman, and I think it is weird the Rox have given Freeland, Senzatela, and Marquez all looks first--though you can't argue with the results so far--but can anyone truly overcome Coors? (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat) | Does Jeff Hoffman become a fantasy-worthy starter ever? His numbers at AAA worry me. (Ryan from Montreal) | His numbers in Triple-A were fine last year and it's too soon to make anything of it so far this year. Plus ABQ is a sh*t place to pitch. I'm still in. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Anderson Espinoza - number 1 pitching prospect next year? (Ricky from Boston) | Nah, not for me. I think that goes to Jeff Hoffman. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2016-06-09 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Cal Quantrill? Seems like a reach no? (Peter from SD) | Not really. The Padres must be comfortable with the medicals and are betting on the stuff returning. Could be an under slot agreement here as well with the two remaining picks this round. - James Fisher One thing to consider, the recent successes of Jeff Hoffman and Lucas Giolito since they have come off TJ I think played into this. Both of those players could have been 1-1 guys, but fell because of those TJ and health concerns. I think if you could go back to those drafts, those two players would've gone much much higher. -SG (Live Draft Chat) |
| 2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I've been meaning forever to ask somebody about Jeff Hoffman's K rates. For all the praise heaped on his stuff, he has never missed a ton of bats, even in college against 2nd-tier competition. This year he's finally up to 8 K/9, a career high. What is it about his stuff that wows scouts despite the high contact rates? (Sterling Archer from Pirate Island) | Great question. I've always been kind of the low man on Hoffman because of the lack of missed bats. I still like him, and he flashes top of the rotation stuff, but you really can't be a top of the rotation guy unless you get a TON of groundballs or misses a ton of bats. I see a very nice No. 3, who will probably struggle a bit because he pitches in a stupid, stupid place. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I've been a huge fan of Jeff Hoffman. Ever since he got drafted I've been following him. I always thought he'd be more of a strikeout pitcher but so far his numbers in the minors have been less than expected. He seems more of a ground ball pitcher now. I heard that the Jays (before trading him) changed his arm action to more of a cross-fire action. Is this the main cause of lesser K's for Hoffman (I always thought he would have a higher K-rate) and do you see him increasing his K's in the future?
Thanks (Jeb from Denver) | I've heard and observed all the things you listed here. Wish I could offer more insight. Wilson Karaman and Chris Crawford see a fair amount of PCL action, I think, and are certainly more up on prospect stuff like this. (Matthew Trueblood) |
| 2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Who do you like more from a purely skills standpoint in dynasty, Brady Aiken or Jeff Hoffman? I lean Aiken even if he's further behind in his recovery. (Alex from CA) | I lean Hoffman on pure skills, but (1) I'm not a scout and (2) Aiken isn't a Rockie pitcher. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Could you rank these pitchers for fantasy dynasty purposes. Jeff Hoffman, Brady Aiken, Dillon Tate, Aderson Espinoza, Francis Martes, Carson Fulmer, and Kolby Allard? Thanks. (cracker73 from Florida) | Tate, Hoffman, Espinoza, Fullmer, Martes, Aiken, Allard (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-03-14 14:30:00 (link to chat) | Dillion Tate, Jeff Hoffman, Sean Newcomb, Jake Thompson. Who's an SP1 in 3-4 years? (Negan from Washington DC) | Probably none of them. Thompson the safest choice. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2015-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Has your projections for Jeff Hoffman lessened because of the trade to the Rockies? Can his pitching ability overcome the location? (Gary from Indiana) | From a fantasy perspective? Yes. I think any pitcher going into the Colorado system has their projections dampen a bit. This is still a pitcher who has shown two 70 pitches though, so he can be a top of the rotation starter. The ERA will just be higher than it would be if he was pitching in say...anywhere else. Not that Toronto is a pitching utopia, by the way. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat) | As a fan...how do I feel about this Tulo deal? I get that his value is down a bit from last summer, but this seems like a ton of risk for Colorado. Both of these arms seem like dicey bets and there's a not insignificant chance that they never produce for the Rox. Could we have done better? (Chipshot212 from NL West Cellar) | Jeff Hoffman is a tremendous arm with a ton of risk and the rest of the deal doesn't really back up the risk all that much considering the Rockies are trading away Tulowitzki. As a Rockies fan I wouldn't fell terribly good about the trade at this juncture. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Jeff Hoffman's fantasy value is ruined now with the move to Coors field, right? (Jeffery from Jersey) | I just want to reiterate that if Hoffman's perceived fantasy value is ruined you should really go out and buy right now. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | With the Blue Jays developing Jeff Hoffman with a more cross-fire type of delivery, how concerned are you? Sounds like they changed his delivery to make it more upright. Why would an organization do this? Is this just something for this season or are these changes Toronto made the type of delivery they want him to be executing for the future? Why change it to more cross-fire after coming off of TJS? What is there to gain from changing it like that? (Bill Clinton from Las Vegas) | Before I comment, I'd like to see what the delivery looks like, and I hope to get some video shortly. That being said, the idea of "making" someone a cross-fire guy seems pretty foolish to me, unless you're intending on moving him to the bullpen, and they aren't as far as I know. I really like the stuff, but he's had major issues with consistency even when healthy, and that goes back to college. Very high reward, but high risk if you're expecting an ace. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What's Jeff Hoffman's ceiling look like? (Trevor from Boston) | Ceiling? No. 2 starter. (R.J. Anderson) |
| 2015-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Now that Jeff Hoffman has a few starts under his belt, what's your opinion on how he has been progressing? (AA from FL) | The most I've seen from Hoffman this season is an Instagram video, so I can't give you a firsthand verdict. That he's on the mound again is a good sign though, and what reports I've heard and read have all been positive. (R.J. Anderson) |
| 2015-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Harry - Thanks for doing the chat. I'm wondering if you have any commentary on Jeff Hoffman's mechanics post-TJ. (Mike from Ottawa) | Hey Mike - Thanks for the question. I haven't seen Hoffman but all reports I've heard on him are glowing. The issue, as expected, is not the stuff but the command and consistency. That's the way TJ recovery often goes...so this is all good and exciting news, because Hoffman is electrifying. (Harry Pavlidis) |
| 2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are the early season reports on Jeff Hoffman so far? Is he a top 5 pitching prospect in all of the minors? (Chad from Minnesota) | Reports have been awesome in terms of the raw stuff, but inconsistent in terms of the execution. That's pretty standard when it comes to Tommy John rehab, so I see it as a positive. He's going to be highly rated. This is a guy who probably would have gone 1.1 last year if he hadn't gotten hurt, and certainly no lower than 1.5. He's a dude, and that's an industry term. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Better career: Jeff Hoffman or Alex Reyes? (Mitch from Iowa) | This is a fun question. I probably would go with Hoffman because there's slightly more upside, but I want to see Hoffman show the top of the rotation stuff for a stretch before I go "all-in" on him. Also Reyes is really good, but Hoffman wins in a close decision. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Jose de Leon, Alex Reyes, Jeff Hoffman - One is an Ace, one is a mid-rotation arm, one is a reliever... Where are you placing your bets? (MP from KY) | Just reverse the order of names. Hoffman the ace, Reyes the mid-rotation, de Leon the reliever. I think all three start though. You can't make me do this, MP! (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-04-30 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What's your opinion of Jeff Hoffman? Potential top 25 prospect heading into next year? (AA from FL) | if he pitches, sure. He's highly regarded but the question marks are obviously waiting for the eraser known as "actually playing baseball" in the very near future. (Harry Pavlidis) |
| 2015-05-05 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Doesn't Jeff Hoffman have potential #1 ceiling if healthy? He is looking good is kinda 1B to Giolito in terms of raw stuff (Matt from Cambridge) | I wouldn't go that far. Maybe a SP1 in fantasy, but not a true number one ace in real life. (Nick Shlain) |
| 2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Does a healthy Jeff Hoffman rank 1B to Giolito 1A in terms of pure ceiling and stuff in the minors? I heard strong strong reports today saying he was sitting 95-97 and hitting 98 with the devastating curve. I saw him on the Cape, so I could be bias. (Matt from Cambridge) | Bold prediction: Hoffman is a top-three pitching prospect at the end of the 2015 season. He's super, super legit. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2015-04-06 20:15:00 (link to chat) | Based on pure stuff alone, where would a healthy Jeff Hoffman rank among pitching prospects? I personally see him the closest to Giolito in the minors. Both have potential plus-plus fastball and curveballs along with a potential plus change. (Matt from Cambridge ) | I've only seen Hoffman live once, but that's not really what I saw from him (granted it was February last year, and so he might not have been at full speed quite yet). I would say it was a 60 fastball with a chance for more, 60 curveball (inconsistently though) and he flashed some really nice changes I'd put at 55 but was also quite firm (KCR 7th rounder Brandon Downes tagged one for a homer). And that's when they were good. Is there room to grow? You bet. But I probably would have him, completely healthy, in the 30-40 range. It's hard to separate that from his health though! (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2015-04-13 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Sahadev, Who would you rather have for an entire career, a healthy Lucas Giolito or a healthy Jeff Hoffman? (Cal Guy from C) | Giolito. We know what he's like after his return from surgery, and that's pretty damn special. Hoffman can be great, from what I've heard, but there are those who are convinced Giolito is destined to be a Cy contender year in and year out. (Sahadev Sharma) |
| 2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat) | In a dynasty redraft league would you draft Carlos Rodon or Rusney Castillo? I have 3rd overall pick and the first two teams are taking Yoan Moncada, and the Yasmany Tomas. (jdc1989 from St. Louis) | I'm not a huge fantasy guy, but I do play one pretty serious league - that I will admit I haven't won in a while. Fantasy baseball is usually a nightmare for people who work in and around baseball since they never have time in the summer to pay a whole lot of attention - and whenever they DON'T win, the guy who does win brags "my buddy is a scout for (team X) and I just beat him in fantasy!" Fun stuff. I get out to a lot of games in the Spring and Summer so I don't often get to watch my fantasy guys a whole lot.
Anyway... in my experience in fantasy though, I feel like I can always find a decent outfielder easier than I can find an above average pitcher. This seems pretty much true regardless of format, size, etc... There's just a lot of useful outfielders even though you can start three. The very top guys are great and all (ie. Trout), but I'm a lot more confident I can find myself an outfielder even in a deep dynasty league than I can a pitcher like Rodon could be. This is still true even though position players and position player prospects are on average tremendously safer bets than pitchers and pitching prospects. Arms are just riskier... and harder to project, less stable skill sets - not just about higher rate of injury. I actually got a live look at Rusney last fall and he's a pretty talented player. I'm also not the highest guy on our prospect staff on Rodon. He didn't wow me when I saw him live (I actually preferred Jeff Hoffman's raw stuff, pre-surgery). I worried about his back issues going back to high school, too. My biggest dings on him were his FB command (often misses spots and heater rises up arm side) and overuse of his SL/cut. I don't see Rodon as being a true #1 starter because of those issues, but he certainly looks like a very good big league starter and he's basically there right now. Full disclosure wise - plenty of people in baseball would say (and did in fact say) that I'm really nitpicking here and that Rodon is going to be a monster. He's a big, durable (hopefully), lefty with plus to double-plus velo and a true out pitch. Even the downside of Rodon is appealing enough for me to pass on Rusney. Boston's plethora of lineup options kind of bugs me for fantasy value, too. Could they mix and match 4-5 guys with Mookie, Victorino and Allen Craig stealing ABs from Rusney? I don't think they laid out $70 million to sit him, though. In either case, I don't think it's possible to overstate how much the White Sox absolutely adore Rodon. In many way he's as safe a top starting pitching prospect as you will ever find available in a dynasty draft/auction and he's also a great bet to pay dividends quickly. (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Better Curveball: Lucas Giolito or a healthy Jeff Hoffman? (Dylan from RI) | Give me Giolito. Complete filth. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2015-03-23 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Which prospects ranked in BP's 2015 top 50-101 have the best chance of vaulting into the top 10 or 20 for 2016? (GLK from Boston) | I like Sean Manaea most for this category. Nods to Jeff Hoffman, Alex Jackson, Franklin Barreto. (Sam Miller) |
BP Roundtables
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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Jeff Hoffman has thrown 7,991 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2016 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph) and Slider (86mph), also mixing in a Splitter (90mph). He also rarely throws a Sinker (96mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
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