Biographical

Portrait of Stephen Gonsalves

Stephen Gonsalves P  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
25.0 4.54 1.38 25 1 2 0 0.2
Birth Date7-8-1994
Height6' 5"
Weight218 lbs
Age29 years, 9 months, 17 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2015
2016
2017
-0.92018
0.22019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2018 MIN MLB 7 4 24.7 2 2 0 28 22 16 2 107 10.2 8.0 0.7 5.8 40% .321 2.03 5.75 6.57 136 8.22 183.7 -0.9
CareerMLB7424.7220282216210710.28.00.75.840%.3212.035.756.571368.22183.7-0.9

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2013 ELZ Rk APP 3 3 14.0 1 1 0 10 4 21 0 91 6.4 2.6 0.0 13.5 0% .333 1.00 1.28 1.29 68 2.50 54.3
2013 TWI Rk GCL 5 2 14.3 1 0 0 8 7 18 0 92 5.0 4.4 0.0 11.3 0% .258 1.05 2.41 0.63 91 2.64 57.4
2014 CDR A MID 8 8 36.7 2 3 0 31 11 44 1 98 7.6 2.7 0.2 10.8 0% .326 1.15 2.49 3.19 79 3.76 79.5
2014 ELZ Rk APP 6 6 29.0 2 0 0 23 10 26 1 7.1 3.1 0.3 8.1 0% .290 1.14 3.32 2.79 0 0.00 0.0
2015 CDR A MID 9 9 55.0 6 1 0 29 15 77 2 104 4.7 2.5 0.3 12.6 0% .243 0.80 2.10 1.15 70 1.87 41.1
2015 FTM A+ FSL 15 15 79.3 7 2 0 66 38 55 2 96 7.5 4.3 0.2 6.2 0% .270 1.31 3.58 2.61 115 4.38 96.1
2016 FTM A+ FSL 11 11 65.7 5 4 0 43 20 66 2 95 5.9 2.7 0.3 9.0 49% .248 0.96 2.55 2.33 82 2.71 59.9
2016 CHT AA SOU 13 13 74.3 8 1 0 43 37 89 1 103 5.2 4.5 0.1 10.8 38% .255 1.08 2.75 1.82 82 2.60 57.5
2016 SUR Wnt AFL 4 4 8.7 0 2 0 10 4 7 1 10.4 4.2 1.0 7.3 0% .346 1.62 5.39 8.31 0 0.00 0.0
2017 CHT AA SOU 15 15 87.3 8 3 0 67 23 96 7 99 6.9 2.4 0.7 9.9 35% .270 1.03 2.88 2.68 82 3.13 66.6
2017 ROC AAA INT 5 4 22.7 1 2 0 27 8 22 4 102 10.7 3.2 1.6 8.7 34% .343 1.54 4.75 5.56 105 5.64 120.0
2018 MIN MLB AL 7 4 24.7 2 2 0 28 22 16 2 107 10.2 8.0 0.7 5.8 40% .321 2.03 5.75 6.57 136 8.22 183.7
2018 CHT AA SOU 4 4 20.3 3 0 0 11 10 25 2 106 4.9 4.4 0.9 11.1 51% .231 1.03 3.66 1.77 96 3.23 68.2
2018 ROC AAA INT 19 18 100.3 9 3 0 65 55 95 6 94 5.8 4.9 0.5 8.5 40% .237 1.20 4.03 2.96 104 3.38 71.4
2019 PEN AA SOU 2 0 2.0 0 0 0 2 2 3 1 9.0 9.0 4.5 13.5 40% .250 2.00 11.29 13.50 107 4.02 82.8
2019 ROC AAA INT 1 1 2.0 0 1 0 1 5 2 0 102 4.5 22.5 0.0 9.0 50% .250 3.00 9.12 4.50 151 9.17 188.7
2019 TWI Rk GCL 5 5 9.0 0 1 0 6 0 16 2 86 6.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 35% .267 0.67 2.83 2.00 60 0.42 10.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2018 510 0.4863 0.4196 0.8364 0.6331 0.2176 0.8790 0.7193 0.1636
Career5100.48630.41960.83640.63310.21760.87900.71930.1636

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2022 CHN $
2021 BOS $
2020 BOS $
2019 MIN $
2018 MIN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 56 dJohn Boggs2024

Details
  • 1 year (2022). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 12/7/21 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2021). Signed by Boston as a free agent 12/22/20 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Boston 8/31/21. Returned by Boston to Triple-A 9/13/21.
  • 1 year (2020). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/20. Claimed by Boston off waivers 7/25/20 after being DFA by NY Mets 7/23/20. DFA by Boston 8/19/20. Sent outright to Alternate Training Site 8/26/20.
  • 1 year (2019). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/19.
  • 1 year (2018). Contract selected by Minnesota 11/20/17. Re-signed by Minnesota 3/18. Claimed by NY Mets off waivers from Minnesota 11/4/19.
  • Drafted by Minnesota 2013 (4-110) (Cathedral Catholic HS, San Diego). $700,000 signing bonus ($468,200 slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0 11.8 0 25 25 133.5 99 55 131 14 .247 1.15 3.35 3.65 -5.8 -0.6
80o 0 12 0 24 24 127.1 101 56 125 14 .259 1.23 3.71 4.04 -10.8 -1.2
70o 0 12.1 0 23 23 122.6 101 56 120 14 .267 1.29 3.97 4.33 -14.2 -1.5
60o 0 12.1 0 22 22 118.8 102 57 116 14 .275 1.34 4.20 4.57 -16.7 -1.8
50o 0 12.2 0 22 22 115.3 103 57 113 14 .282 1.38 4.42 4.81 -19.2 -2.1
40o 0 12.3 0 21 21 111.8 103 57 110 15 .289 1.43 4.63 5.05 -21.4 -2.3
30o 0 12.3 0 20 20 108.2 103 57 106 15 .296 1.48 4.87 5.3 -23.6 -2.6
20o 0 12.3 0 19 19 104.0 104 57 102 15 .305 1.55 5.15 5.61 -26.1 -2.8
10o 0 12.3 0 18 18 98.3 104 58 96 15 .317 1.64 5.55 6.04 -29.2 -3.2
Weighted Mean012.102222115.21025611314.2801.374.394.78-18.8-2.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20202581102929180166981832839.2861.475.075.318.34.99.11.40.3
20212681002727164145861722439.2801.414.885.117.94.79.41.30.6
2022277902525148131781532339.2801.424.985.228.04.89.31.40.4
2023287902525146133741502239.2851.424.905.148.24.69.21.40.5
2024297902525149134771562339.2841.414.905.148.14.69.41.40.5
2025306802222128117671312039.2831.435.025.268.24.79.21.40.3
2026316802121126114641321939.2831.414.905.148.14.69.41.40.4
2027326702020120108601251939.2831.404.895.128.14.59.41.40.4
202833570191910999551131739.2841.414.935.178.14.59.31.40.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 89 Keyvius Sampson 2015 7.39
2 88 Henry Owens 2017 0.00 DNP
3 88 Aaron Blair 2016 7.84
4 86 Mauricio Robles 2013 5.79
5 84 Josh Hader 2018 2.55
6 83 Jake Odorizzi 2014 4.23
7 83 Lucas Sims 2018 7.47
8 83 Brian Johnson 2015 8.31
9 83 Zack Wheeler 2014 4.08
10 82 Franklin Morales 2010 7.22
11 82 Austin Gomber 2018 4.92
12 81 Danny Hultzen 2014 0.00 DNP
13 81 Anthony Bass 2012 5.47
14 81 Chris Archer 2013 3.43
15 81 Eddie Butler 2015 6.47
16 80 Charlie Haeger 2008 20.77
17 80 Mike Montgomery 2014 0.00 DNP
18 80 Nick Tropeano 2015 4.30
19 80 Adam Warren 2012 23.14
20 80 Nick Kingham 2016 0.00 DNP
21 80 Anthony Banda 2018 3.68
22 80 Alex Colome 2013 4.50
23 79 Andres Santiago 2014 0.00 DNP
24 79 Robert Stephenson 2017 5.53
25 79 Jacob Faria 2018 5.40
26 79 Scott Barnes 2012 4.26
27 79 Carlos Pimentel 2014 0.00 DNP
28 79 Troy Patton 2010 0.00
29 79 Drew VerHagen 2015 2.05
30 79 Michael Blazek 2013 6.23
31 78 David Huff 2009 5.75
32 78 Connor Graham 2010 0.00 DNP
33 78 Jorge Lopez 2017 4.50
34 78 Ian Kennedy 2009 0.00
35 78 Daniel Winkler 2014 0.00 DNP
36 78 Nick Additon 2012 0.00 DNP
37 78 Yency Almonte 2018 3.07
38 78 Nate Smith 2016 0.00 DNP
39 77 Rafael Montero 2015 5.40
40 77 Steven Brault 2016 7.02
41 77 Kevin Siegrist 2014 6.82
42 77 Chuck Lofgren 2010 0.00 DNP
43 77 Shawn Morimando 2017 0.00 DNP
44 77 Yefrey Ramirez 2018 6.06
45 77 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
46 77 Carlos Contreras 2015 5.14
47 77 Anthony Ranaudo 2014 4.81
48 77 Dellin Betances 2012 0.00 DNP
49 77 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
50 77 Erik Johnson 2014 6.85
51 77 Aaron Poreda 2011 0.00 DNP
52 77 Brooks Brown 2009 0.00 DNP
53 77 Tom Gorzelanny 2007 4.02
54 76 Casey Coleman 2012 7.40
55 76 Scott Baker 2006 6.80
56 76 Matt Anderson 2016 0.00 DNP
57 76 Giovanni Soto 2015 0.00
58 76 Carl Edwards Jr. 2016 3.75
59 76 Kevin Mulvey 2009 8.14
60 76 Kendry Flores 2016 0.00
61 76 David Rollins 2014 0.00 DNP
62 76 Brett Marshall 2014 0.00 DNP
63 76 Enny Romero 2015 5.40
64 76 A.J. Schugel 2013 0.00 DNP
65 76 Joe Gardner 2012 0.00 DNP
66 76 Manny Banuelos 2015 5.81
67 75 Justin Cassel 2009 0.00 DNP
68 75 Chad Rogers 2014 0.00 DNP
69 75 Reynaldo Lopez 2018 4.20
70 75 Miguel Almonte 2017 13.50
71 75 Adalberto Mejia 2017 4.78
72 75 Tyler Beede 2017 0.00 DNP
73 75 Jake Thompson 2018 4.96
74 75 Hunter Wood 2018 3.73
75 75 Chi Chi Gonzalez 2016 11.32
76 75 Brad Bergesen 2010 5.51
77 75 Nick Travieso 2018 0.00 DNP
78 75 Casey Sadler 2015 3.60
79 74 Chase De Jong 2018 4.58
80 74 Josh Sborz 2018 0.00 DNP
81 74 Michael Kirkman 2011 7.24
82 74 Archie Bradley 2017 1.73
83 74 Matt Magill 2014 0.00 DNP
84 74 Chris Dwyer 2012 0.00 DNP
85 74 Dillon Gee 2010 2.73
86 74 Kendall Graveman 2015 4.44
87 74 Antonio Bastardo 2010 4.34
88 74 Mauricio Cabrera 2018 0.00 DNP
89 74 Jess Todd 2010 7.50
90 74 Jesse Biddle 2016 0.00 DNP
91 74 Richelson Pena 2018 0.00 DNP
92 74 Donn Roach 2014 5.04
93 74 Chris Reed 2014 0.00 DNP
94 74 Travis Wood 2011 4.84
95 74 Homer Bailey 2010 4.54
96 74 Jarred Cosart 2014 3.99
97 73 Clayton Blackburn 2017 0.00 DNP
98 73 Parker French 2017 0.00 DNP
99 73 Neil Ramirez 2013 0.00 DNP
100 73 Alex Cobb 2012 4.42

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Now this is what a no. 3 starter looks like. Gonsalves has marched steadily through the minors and polished off Double-A last summer before dipping his toe in the International League. Along the way he’s flashed solid command of a low-90s fastball along with a plus changeup that proofs him against huge platoon splits and a curveball that’s more than just a show-me pitch. Gonsalves has an ideal starter’s frame and an easy three-quarters delivery that he repeats well, allowing him to command his offerings to both sides of the plate. If he keeps his normal schedule and makes strides with his control he should solve Triple-A by Independence Day and could be a boost to the rotation down the stretch.
2017 From the moment the Twins drafted Gonsalves out of a California high school in 2013 his numbers have been excellent, but his fastball command has been singled out as a long-term worry. Last season he held opponents to a .179 batting average and just three homers in 549 plate appearances, while reaching Double-A as a 21-year-old. All of that, along with struggling to keep a walk rate under 4.0 at every level, usually comes attached to a fire-baller’s profile, but Gonsalves’ fastball resides in the low-90s. He’s a good prospect—arguably the best the Twins have remaining in the high minors—but an uncommon stuff/stats mix makes him tough to project with confidence.
2016 Midseason promotions are important, especially for pitching prospects. Developmental momentum is real, and progression doesn't always line up with the progress of the earth around the sun. When Gonsalves proved his long levers and advanced changeup were too much for Midwest League hitters, the Twins made the right call by promoting him to their High-A affiliate. Alas, even correct decisions are often fraught with risk, and pitching prospects are always, always fraught with risk. Gonsalves hit a serious speed bump in Fort Myers. His stuff didn't back up, and he didn't lose his command; he just found himself a weapon short. Until he finds consistency with a breaking ball, it will stay that way. The good news is that by the end of the season, a sharp curveball was starting to take shape, and he had a few very strong outings.
2015 He doesn't get as much press as the more high-profile arms in the Minnesota system, but don't sleep on Gonsalves. The Twins nabbed the California prep product when he slipped to the fourth round of the 2013 draft and have been rewarded with steady progress and the promise of better things to come. Long and lean, Gonsalves is growing into his frame and posted a 4:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio last year as a teenager in the Midwest League. His breaking ball is still on back order, but his fastball can reach the low-90s and his changeup flashes plus, which helped him hold righty batters to a .220/.284/.292 line. The Twins will stretch him out in the low minors this year, and if Gonsalves continues to progress he'll take a big leap up the prospect charts.
2014 Minnesota looked past his marijuana-related high school suspension and inconsistent production and took Stephen Gonsalves in the fourth round of last summer’s draft; the young lefty rewarded their faith with a dominant debut in rookie ball, and, with good lefty velocity and a starter’s frame, he could become a mid-rotation workhorse if his secondary stuff and command develop.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Stephen Gonsalves

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)once adrian beltre shows he is healthy for a few weeks would he be able to top 101 type prospect like Stephen Gonsalves?
(a.j. from las vegas)
So, the way I'm reading this is that you're asking if Beltre could return a Top 101-type player in a pre-deadline trade once the Rangers decide to start stripping the team down? Honestly, I kind of doubt it. Most of the teams that I'd guess will be in contention for playoff spots will be well-positioned at the hot corner, not to mention the fact that Manny Machado is likely to be on the trade market as well. Combine that with Beltre's injury woes recently and the fact that he's a really important part of Texas' clubhouse, and I'm not certain he'd pull back enough value to make Texas willing to deal him. (And that's even without Joey Gallo's reticence to return to third base.)

The one team where *maybe* I could see a fit would be Cleveland, and I'm not sure they'd give up a player of Shane Bieber's caliber in that rental dea. (Bryan Grosnick)
2017-08-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Stephen Gonsalves and Jack Flaherty continue to tear it up in the minors. Do you see either receiving a September call up and making an impact at the major league level?
(Tap Dancer from There)
Gonsalves just got to Rochester, so I wouldn't expect his call up to be imminent unless he continues to dominate. It looks like he's well below his innings output from last season, so if they keep hanging around the WC race, he could be an interesting option.

I'd be more surprised if Flaherty gets a call this year, with their rotation looking a little more crowded and Luke Weaver likely being the next in line at the Triple-A level. (Mark Barry)
2016-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you see as the floor/ceiling for Stephen Gonsalves. The numbers seem to just keep getting better.
(RDBL2014 from Concord, CA)
I think he can be a third starter, and I think the floor is backend guy. He was a guy I liked in high school that slipped for various reasons, and some of those reasons had nothing to do with pitching. I think both the fastball and change end up plus, and there are two other usable pitches here. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Chris. Was hoping to get your thoughts on some Low Minor Pitchers off to strong starts: Stephen Gonsalves & Mitch Keller? Should there strong start adjust our perspectives on them or too early?
(Jerry from Earth)
Both are people you should be paying attention to, in particular Keller. He showed filthy stuff as a prep in Iowa, and flashes of brilliance (and a lot of not so brilliant) as a pro. It really seems to be coming together, and it gives the Pirates ANOTHER potential stud in their rotation. They're getting good at this. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-04-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Completely different players, but what do you see as the likely outcome/ceiling for Trey Mancini and Stephen Gonsalves?
(Jeremy from NYC)
I appreciate the attempt here to abjure what is likely a fantasy baseball question, because, yes, they are close to as different a prospect couplet as you could pen. Gonsalves feels pretty close to "peak Twins pitcher" as a prospect, but I am not a big fan of that type of profile. Sure, he could turn into a strikethrowing 4 if the curve gets a bit better, but he's a long way away and feels more like a generic swingman type. Mancini is closer to the majors, and, you know, a first baseman, but he also probably has a role 5 type OFP. It is easier to wring major league value out of the 6'5 lefty arm than the first baseman though if both don't quite get there. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mr. Karaman. Any chance you can shed some light on Michael Kopech, Triston McKenzie & Stephen Gonsalves. Or are these pitching prospects not worth the time.
(David from Atlantis)
Yep. Kopech's got the nastiest front to his arsenal:

Kopech: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=28502
McKenzie: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=28224
Gonsalves didn't make our Twins list (that system is deeeep), but he's a guy that could emerge quickly if he can develop a breaking ball. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mr. Crawford. Any chance you can hit us with some knowledge on Michael Kopech, Triston McKenzie & Michael Gonsalves. Or was it stupid to even bother you with.
(David from Atlantis)
It's only stupid to bother me if I haven't eaten and/or am sleepy. I'm only one of the two right now so that's okay.

Kopech is fun; plus-plus fastball, plus slider, feel for missing bats. If the change can be more than a third pitch/he can throw enough strikes, he could be a No. 2. Nonzero chance he ends up in the bullpen, however.

McKenzie is almost entirely projection, but projection is fun. A chance for three above-average pitches, learning to repeat the delivery. I just don't know if he'll be durable enough to pitch in a rotation.

I assume you mean Stephen Gonsalves here, and he's also fun. Gets downhill with the fastball, plus change. Just needs to show more consistency with the breaking ball and he's a mid-rotation guy, too. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's the word on Stephen Gonsalves? Seems to be having a breakout year...ceiling of a 2nd or 3rd starter?
(Mike from Detroit)
Haven't seen him, haven't asked around about him. That does appear to be his ceiling though. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-05-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you know about Stephen Gonsalves? Stuff to match the numbers?
(SG from Phila)
He is just outside their top 10 for me. I think he could be a little something but not what the numbers indicate. Kind of like a Ben Lively situation last year. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think has the bigger upside between Casey Meisner and Stephen Gonsalves?
(RDBL2014 from Concord, CA)
I think Meisner has more upside but I would still rather have Gonsalves. Meisner's done good work on his command early and if he can get his body under control he's going to jump up lists. That said I think Gonsalves has shown a lot in his own right so far in 2015 and he has three pitches that can be major league quality. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Stephen Gonsalves...prospect or suspect? Why?
(myonkosk from Norfolk)
Our internal discussions were pretty interesting along those lines! I haven't seen him, so not a whole lot to add, but plenty of people seem to think he's turned a corner/figured something out. (Al Skorupa)
2013-07-12 19:30:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Nick. Do you think Stephen Gonsalves will be a nice steal pick for Twins?
(Byron from Taiwan)
I think he got more money than his profile deserved, so I wouldn't label his signing a steal. That said, he's an arm that looked like a potential Day 1 talent during the summer scouting circuit, so even with the uneven spring it's nice to bring in the talent as a 4th rounder. I will say that, at least with respect to the evaluators I spoke with about Gonsalves, he's a highly divisive profile. More my money, I would have let him go to school. But the Twins weren't alone in thinking he was work some jingle -- especially in this class. (Nick Faleris on Draft Signing Day)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Stephen Gonsalves has thrown 1,221 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2018 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Cutter (84mph), also mixing in a Curve (75mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (81mph).