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September 8, 2016
Eyewitness Accounts
September 8, 2016
by BP Prospect Staff
Thomas Eshelman
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Born: 06/20/1994 (Age: 22) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 3" |
Weight: 210 |
Arm Action: Short, abbreviated arm action, above-average arm speed, extended at release
Delivery: Moderate body tilt, average leg kick, slight coil, high three-quarter release, low effort
Body: Lean, lanky build; long, broad torso, sloped shoulders, long levers, sturdy lower half
|
Adam Hayes |
08/21/2016 |
Reading Fightin Phils (AA, Phillies) |
7/26/16 |
45/Low |
40: Long Reliever |
2017 |
Yes |
FB |
50 |
50 |
90-91 |
92 |
Will show cut and run, though manipulations are slight, mild downhill plane; control over command, uses to all parts of zone, misses are usually to arm-ide; maintains velocity from stretch, tendency to flatten out in stretch |
CH |
45 |
50 |
82 |
83 |
Maintains arm speed, quality velocity separation, slight fade with drop; tendency to throw to glove-side |
CB |
40 |
45 |
76 |
77 |
12-6 shape; short vertical break, keeps it low in the zone
|
SL |
40 |
40 |
84 |
|
Slight tilt, mild sweeping action; tendency to work out of zone glove-side and low |
CONTROL |
70 |
70 |
|
|
Walk avoidance is exceptional, can struggle with tighter horizontal zones
COMMAND: 45/50
Deploys fastball to all parts of zone, tendency to work glove-side with off-speed offerings, displays feel for offerings, limited by raw stuff |
Drafted in the second round in 2015 and acquired from Houston in the Ken Giles trade, Eshelman is an advanced control right-hander with four fringe-to-average pitches. The fastball sits average, lacking plane but staying off barrels with subtle cut and run. The change is his best secondary offering, flashing average with slight fade and drop, while the benders both project as below-average offerings. He has feel for both pitches, though neither displays a ton of sharpness or ceiling. The standout tool is control, which borders on elite; he shows a preternatural ability to throw strikes, and his short arm action and high release point add deception. He may surface as a fifth-starter option, though he's likely best suited in a long-relief role.
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Albert Abreu
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Born: 09/26/1995 (Age: 20) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 175 |
Broad shoulders, tapered waist, plenty of room for projection, looks taller than listed height; true-three-quarters arm slot, plus arm speed, short arm circle in the back, hides the ball well; drop and drive delivery, drives hard with the lower half; athletic player, mechanics can get unbalanced and stiff at times to hurt command |
Mauricio Rubio Jr. |
08/27/2016 |
Quad Cities River Bandits (Low A, Astros) |
7/3/16 |
60/High |
60: No. 3 Starter |
2018 |
No |
FB |
60 |
70 |
90-95 |
96 |
Plus arm strength; plane with hard run, generates ground balls with offering; held velocity deep into game, projects to add some velo as he builds strength |
CB |
60 |
60 |
76-79 |
|
11-5 shape, sharp bite and depth; has natural feel for spin, stays on top of the offering and uses it effectively against lefties and righties alike; present average command, will miss bats at the highest level with consistency |
CH |
50 |
60 |
82-84 |
|
Plus fade and tumble; plus deception, potential to miss bats against both left- and right-handed hitters; command is inconsistent, still developing feel for the offering |
SL |
50 |
50 |
85-86 |
|
11-4 shape with short movement; only threw three in game, flashed average potential major-league utility |
FB Command: 40/50
Secondaries Command: 50/50
Abreu has a big arsenal with a wipeout curve and a change that also projects to plus. His inconsistent mechanics will keep him from becoming a true front-line starter, and the deficiency introduces a fair amount of risk to the profile. But it's a relatively straight path to his projection as a mid-rotation anchor who can pitch above that on days he reigns in his fastball command.
|
Eric Lauer
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Born: 06/03/1995 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 3" |
Weight: 205 |
Athletic, effortless delivery, repeatable; high leg lift, clean arm action, three-quarter slot; follows through with ease, can get slow to the plate out of the stretch, runners got good jumps on him; positive reports on makeup, mature player |
Grant Jones |
09/02/2016 |
Fort Wayne TinCaps (Low A, Padres) |
2x Spring, 9/1/16 |
55/Low |
55: No. 3/4 |
2018 |
Yes |
FB |
50 |
60 |
91-93 |
93 |
Easy out of the hand, arm-side run; hits his spots, worked the arm-side corner with frequency; solid mix of command, movement, and velocity generate plus projection |
CH |
40 |
50 |
83-84 |
|
Mild but inconsistent fade, some tumble, quality velocity separation; maintains arm speed, comfortable with the pitch; inconsistent action at present, feel to project average utility |
SL |
40 |
55 |
83-85 |
|
Pitch has tightened up since spring, 1-7 shape, shorter break with less sweep, above-average vertical action; inconsistent presently, gets into grooves and locates it well, flashes above-average, should get there |
The Padres' first-rounder this summer, Lauer has the size and strength to be a big-league starter, and presents as a polished, low-risk left-hander. He lacks a true out pitch, but demonstrates feel and confidence with his pitches. The fastball has a nice combination of velocity, movement, and command, and it projects to a plus offering. The change shows average potential; he demonstrates feel for the it, and it plays with quality velocity separation. His slider showed improvement from my two looks at him with Kent State in the spring, and shows the makings of an above-average pitch. He did not utilize a curve in this look, though it had previously looked fringy but serviceable as a fourth pitch. He projects as a reliable starter who will slot comfortably into the middle of a rotation, and can he can do so relatively quickly. A late 2017 debut would not out of the question if he hits the ground running next spring.
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Sean Newcomb
|
Born: 06/12/1993 (Age: 23) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 5" |
Weight: 255 |
Big, durable frame, body to eat 200 innings; easy, simple motion with good tempo, framework for repeatable delivery with adjustments; tends to alter three-quarters slot, upper and lower halves fall out of sync at times; stiff front side, firm strike; clean arm path, low-mileage arm |
David Lee |
09/02/2016 |
Mississippi Braves (AA, Braves) |
8/28/2016 |
70/High |
55: No. 3/4 starter |
2017 |
Yes |
FB |
50 |
65 |
90-95 |
96 |
Easy velocity, effective life down in zone, slight arm-side run, induces ground balls when kept down; shows confidence to work both sides, inconsistent life according to command, flattens and loses life up, catches too much plate at times, below-average command |
CB |
50 |
55 |
79-81 |
82 |
Enough bite and depth to project above-average, flashes plus; shape wanders between 1-7 and 2-8, flashes downward, two-plane break; above-average bite, depth when tight; inconsistent spin, can show early at times, fringe-average command |
CH |
40 |
50 |
85-87 |
88 |
Developing well; average sink when turned over, slightly firm from the hand, good arm action sells the pitch despite fringe movement; quickly developing feel for pitch, fringe-average command |
Newcomb's strengths and weaknesses are obvious from the beginning of a look. He has the strength and body to log 200 innings, and he consistently sits 92-94, touching 97 from an easy motion. Add the fact he's a left-hander, and the ceiling is high. But Newcomb struggles with control and command, and it's enough to side-track entire outings. A stiff lead side and rotational delivery can cause his delivery to fall out of sync at times, leading to missed spots, especially within the zone. An advantage for Newcomb is his low-mileage arm and relative inexperience with pro instruction; he requires extra patience despite his age. The potential outcome is that of a front-line starter, but there is significant variance here, as command inconsistencies are just as likely to limit him to a mid-rotation starter or a little less.
|
Eddy Martinez
|
Born: 01/18/1995 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 195 |
Primary Position: RF |
Secondary Position: CF |
Strong, compact, athletic body, projection remaining for additional strength |
Grant Jones |
08/24/2016 |
9x April-June |
South Bend Cubs (Low A, Cubs) |
2019 |
High |
55 |
50: Average Regular |
Yes |
Inconsistent approach, by multiple accounts a hard-worker; looked disinterested in the field at times earlier in the year, reinvigorated and engaged in most recent looks
|
Martinez struggled to settle in to his full-season assignment, but after a few rough viewings in April and May it became evident that he was beginning to make needed adjustments. He shows all five tools, with premium bat speed, plus raw power, present speed, and arm strength, and no below-average grades in the books. There's a natural feel for hitting, and he has demonstrated an ability to sit on pitches, though the approach is still exploitable at present. There is above-average regular potential on the strength of the natural talent, but there is a higher risk he doesn't continue to adapt and max out.
|
Will Smith
|
Born: 03/28/1995 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 0" |
Weight: 192 |
Primary Position: C |
Secondary Position: 3B |
Athlete; solid frame, lean muscle at present, room to grow into his chest and shoulders; spring in lower half, quick feet, ingredients of a durable backstop, athletic enough to handle some positional versatility |
Wilson Karaman |
09/02/2016 |
8/24-25, 8/31/16 |
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes (High A, Dodgers) |
2019 |
Moderate |
55 |
50: Major League Regular |
Yes |
Smart kid, can see the wheels turning at the plate, slow and steady in the field, controls tempo
|
Drafted in the first round (32nd overall) in 2016, Smith shows the ingredients of a solid big-league catcher. There are some raw elements to his receiving, but he possesses the physicality to develop into an above-average defender who controls the running game behind the plate. His athleticism is rare for a catcher, to where he boasts above-average present speed and offers the potential for some positional versatility that can lengthen a bench. He shows some aptitude for contact with a line drive-oriented stroke, and his advanced command of the zone, tracking ability, and willingness to work hit-by-pitches will drive an above-average on-base profile. If the bat maxes out he can develop into an above-average regular, with average regular a realistic outcome.
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