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March 17, 2016

Fantasy Draft Rankings

The Top 300

by Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

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This is a list of the Top 300 players as ranked by Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella. This list assumes standard 23 man rosters with two catchers, which is why the list is so catcher-heavy at the bottom. If you play in a league with one catcher, adjust accordingly.

ADP is from NFBC ADP, and is updated as of yesterday’s posted rankings on Stats Inc.’s website.

BP Rank	Player	Pos	ADP	Diff
1	Mike Trout	OF	1	0
2	Paul Goldschmidt	1B	2	0
3	Bryce Harper	OF	3	0
4	Clayton Kershaw	SP	4	0
5	Manny Machado	3B	7	2
6	Josh Donaldson	3B	5	-1
7	Jose Altuve	2B	11	4
8	Andrew McCutchen	OF	13	5
9	Giancarlo Stanton	OF	9	0
10	Carlos Correa	SS	6	-4
11	Miguel Cabrera	1B	14	3
12	Nolan Arenado	3B	8	-4
13	Kris Bryant	3B	12	-1
14	Max Scherzer	SP	15	1
15	A.J. Pollock	OF	16	1
16	Dee Gordon	2B	18	2
17	Mookie Betts	OF	17	0
18	Jose Abreu	1B	20	2
19	Anthony Rizzo	1B	10	-9
20	Jake Arrieta	SP	21	1
21	Jose Bautista	OF	27	6
22	Buster Posey	C/1B	19	-3
23	Starling Marte	OF	24	1
24	Edwin Encarnacion	1B	22	-2
25	Charlie Blackmon	OF	33	8
26	Chris Sale	SP	26	0
27	Joey Votto	1B	37	10
28	Chris Davis	1B/OF	23	-5
29	George Springer	OF	25	-4
30	Gerrit Cole	SP	34	4
31	David Price	SP	35	4
32	Lorenzo Cain	OF	52	20
33	J.D. Martinez	OF	36	3
34	Ryan Braun	OF	44	10
35	Jacob deGrom	SP	38	3
36	Zack Greinke	SP	32	-4
37	Madison Bumgarner	SP	28	-9
38	Matt Harvey	SP	31	-7
39	Robinson Cano	2B	50	11
40	Adam Jones	OF	58	18
41	Carlos Gomez	OF	54	13
42	Nelson Cruz	OF	45	3
43	Justin Upton	OF	47	4
44	Carlos Gonzalez	OF	56	12
45	Stephen Strasburg	SP	41	-4
46	Jose Fernandez	SP	29	-17
47	Kyle Schwarber	C/OF	30	-17
48	Corey Kluber	SP	39	-9
49	Yoenis Cespedes	OF	40	-9
50	Dallas Keuchel	SP	43	-7
51	Noah Syndergaard	SP	46	-5
52	Wade Davis	RP	62	10
53	Troy Tulowitzki	SS	51	-2
54	Felix Hernandez	SP	53	-1
55	Todd Frazier	3B	42	-13
56	Brian Dozier	2B	69	13
57	Kenley Jansen	RP	67	10
58	Xander Bogaerts	SS	57	-1
59	Matt Carpenter	3B	68	9
60	Jason Heyward	OF	63	3
61	Anthony Rendon	2B/3B	71	10
62	Chris Archer	SP	49	-13
63	Eric Hosmer	1B	65	2
64	Carlos Carrasco	SP	48	-16
65	Miguel Sano	DH	59	-6
66	Prince Fielder	DH	80	14
67	Adam Wainwright	SP	72	5
68	Kyle Seager	3B	73	5
69	Jon Lester	SP	60	-9
70	Jeurys Familia	RP	84	14
71	Craig Kimbrel	RP	70	-1
72	Sonny Gray	SP	64	-8
73	Cole Hamels	SP	75	2
74	Corey Seager	SS	55	-19
75	Matt Kemp	OF	81	6
76	Adrian Gonzalez	1B	66	-10
77	Yasiel Puig	OF	79	2
78	Gregory Polanco	OF	85	7
79	Johnny Cueto	SP	74	-5
80	Mark Melancon	RP	90	10
81	Freddie Freeman	1B	82	1
82	Jason Kipnis	2B	83	1
83	Ken Giles	RP	93	10
84	Francisco Lindor	SS	61	-23
85	Ian Kinsler	2B	89	4
86	Billy Hamilton	OF	78	-8
87	Trevor Rosenthal	RP	86	-1
88	Ian Desmond	SS	112	24
89	Jacoby Ellsbury	OF	100	11
90	Maikel Franco	3B	95	5
91	Adam Eaton	OF	103	12
92	Ben Revere	OF	104	12
93	Hunter Pence	OF	107	14
94	Zach Britton	RP	91	-3
95	Carlos Martinez	SP	106	11
96	Brian McCann	C	109	13
97	Danny Salazar	SP	76	-21
98	Jonathan Lucroy	C	98	0
99	David Robertson	RP	110	11
100	Albert Pujols	1B	87	-13
101	Christian Yelich	OF	101	0
102	Salvador Perez	C	97	-5
103	Aroldis Chapman	RP	77	-26
104	Adrian Beltre	3B	96	-8
105	Cody Allen	RP	102	-3
106	David Ortiz	DH	111	5
107	Shin-soo Choo	OF	130	23
108	Michael Wacha	SP	99	-9
109	A.J. Ramos	RP	144	35
110	Rougned Odor	2B	94	-16
111	Francisco Liriano	SP	118	7
112	Evan Longoria	3B	116	4
113	Tyson Ross	SP	88	-25
114	Hector Rondon	RP	123	9
115	Garrett Richards	SP	108	-7
116	Marcus Stroman	SP	92	-24
117	Hanley Ramirez	OF	122	5
118	James Shields	SP	125	7
119	Travis D'Arnaud	C	129	10
120	Russell Martin	C	119	-1
121	Steven Matz	SP	113	-8
122	Khris Davis	OF	137	15
123	Jordan Zimmermann	SP	121	-2
124	Michael Brantley	OF	105	-19
125	Brett Gardner	OF	133	8
126	Masahiro Tanaka	SP	117	-9
127	Lucas Duda	1B	138	11
128	Huston Street	RP	148	20
129	Justin Verlander	SP	135	6
130	Corey Dickerson	OF	120	-10
131	Elvis Andrus	SS	147	16
132	Kolten Wong	2B	131	-1
133	Addison Russell	SS/2B	126	-7
134	Kole Calhoun	OF	115	-19
135	Brandon Belt	1B	142	7
136	David Peralta	OF	114	-22
137	Francisco Rodriguez	RP	128	-9
138	Mike Moustakas	3B	134	-4
139	Yu Darvish	SP	124	-15
140	Hisashi Iwakuma	SP	136	-4
141	Dustin Pedroia	2B	166	25
142	Carlos Rodon	SP	132	-10
143	D.J. LeMahieu	2B	141	-2
144	Brad Boxberger	RP	149	5
145	Jonathan Papelbon	RP	145	0
146	Shawn Tolleson	RP	158	12
147	Curtis Granderson	OF	176	29
148	Gerardo Parra	OF	192	44
149	Billy Burns	OF	140	-9
150	Stephen Vogt	C/1B	157	7
151	Daniel Murphy	2B/3B	159	8
152	Byron Buxton	OF	172	20
153	Shelby Miller	SP	154	1
154	Mark Teixeira	1B	180	26
155	Jake Odorizzi	SP	150	-5
156	Kevin Pillar	OF	153	-3
157	Drew Smyly	SP	170	13
158	Santiago Casilla	RP	181	23
159	Alex Gordon	OF	188	29
160	Julio Teheran	SP	178	18
161	Matt Duffy	3B	139	-22
162	Glen Perkins	RP	187	25
163	Yasmani Grandal	C	186	23
164	Yan Gomes	C	173	9
165	Byung-Ho Park	1B	185	20
166	Jay Bruce	OF	184	18
167	Devin Mesoraco	C	151	-16
168	Jean Segura	SS	196	28
169	Randal Grichuk	OF	164	-5
170	Jeff Samardzija	SP	146	-24
171	Michael Conforto	OF	189	18
172	Raisel Iglesias	SP	143	-29
173	Jaime Garcia	SP	221	48
174	Carlos Santana	1B	193	19
175	Matt Wieters	C	152	-23
176	Jose Quintana	SP	161	-15
177	Mark Trumbo	1B/OF	171	-6
178	Taijuan Walker	SP	160	-18
179	Yordano Ventura	SP	174	-5
180	Ender Inciarte	OF	190	10
181	Lance McCullers	SP	127	-54
182	Stephen Piscotty	OF	199	17
183	Luis Severino	SP	155	-28
184	Kendrys Morales	DH	163	-21
185	Wil Myers	1B/OF	205	20
186	Blake Swihart	C	198	12
187	Brad Ziegler	RP	212	25
188	Kyle Hendricks	SP	218	30
189	Josh Reddick	OF	213	24
190	Michael Pineda	SP	162	-28
191	Sean Doolittle	RP	204	13
192	J.T. Realmuto	C	165	-27
193	Brett Lawrie	2B/3B	210	17
194	Collin McHugh	SP	182	-12
195	Drew Storen	RP	201	6
196	Jung-Ho Kang	SS/3B	169	-27
197	Joc Pederson	OF	167	-30
198	Patrick Corbin	SP	194	-4
199	Brandon Crawford	SS	177	-22
200	Delino DeShields	OF	179	-22
201	Brandon Phillips	2B	214	13
202	Neil Walker	2B	231	29
203	Aaron Nola	SP	235	30
204	Nick Hundley	C	225	21
205	Starlin Castro	SS/2B	191	-14
206	Ben Zobrist	2B/OF	197	-9
207	Dexter Fowler	OF	175	-32
208	Yasmany Tomas	3B/OF	211	3
209	Ryan Zimmerman	1B	227	18
210	Joe Ross	SP	216	6
211	Andrew Miller	RP	156	-55
212	John Lackey	SP	183	-29
213	Marcus Semien	SS	241	28
214	Jake McGee	RP	222	8
215	Wilson Ramos	C	232	17
216	Wei-Yin Chen	SP	207	-9
217	Gio Gonzalez	SP	195	-22
218	Andrew Heaney	SP	248	30
219	David Wright	3B	228	9
220	Denard Span	OF	251	31
221	Jason Hammel	SP	234	13
222	Welington Castillo	C	206	-16
223	Jonathan Schoop	2B	224	1
224	Dellin Betances	RP	220	-4
225	Evan Gattis	DH	230	5
226	Matt Holliday	OF	246	20
227	Kenta Maeda	SP	200	-27
228	Mike Fiers	SP	215	-13
229	Logan Forsythe	2B	209	-20
230	Steven Souza	OF	249	19
231	Brad Miller	SS/OF	264	33
232	Melky Cabrera	OF	272	40
233	Steve Cishek	RP	243	10
234	Rich Hill	SP	261	27
235	Kevin Kiermaier	OF	274	39
236	Pedro Alvarez	1B	306	70
237	Austin Jackson	OF	373	136
238	Mike Leake	SP	265	27
239	Ben Paulsen	1B	311	72
240	Jose Reyes	SS	168	-72
241	Josh Harrison	2B/3B	202	-39
242	Arodys Vizcaino	RP	237	-5
243	Marcell Ozuna	OF	223	-20
244	Mitch Moreland	1B	229	-15
245	Kevin Gausman	SP	233	-12
246	Justin Bour	1B	238	-8
247	Roberto Osuna	RP	219	-28
248	Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	271	23
249	Odubell Herrera	OF	245	-4
250	Derek Norris	C	226	-24
251	Fernando Rodney	RP	343	92
252	Nick Castellanos	3B	247	-5
253	Clay Buchholz	SP	281	28
254	Howie Kendrick	2B	253	-1
255	Adam Lind	1B	257	2
256	Trevor Bauer	SP	286	30
257	Andrew Cashner	SP	263	6
258	Justin Turner	3B	259	1
259	Alexei Ramirez	SS	266	8
260	Alex Rodriguez	DH	267	7
261	Alcides Escobar	SS	273	12
262	Ian Kennedy	SP	244	-18
263	Trevor Plouffe	3B	279	16
264	Miguel Montero	C	239	-25
265	Francisco Cervelli	C	236	-29
266	Anthony DeSclafani	SP	256	-10
267	Jimmy Nelson	SP	280	13
268	Anibal Sanchez	SP	296	28
269	Domingo Santana	OF	297	28
270	Will Smith	RP	254	-16
271	Erasmo Ramirez	SP	302	31
272	Andrew Bailey	RP	607	335
273	Ervin Santana	SP	303	30
274	Chris Carter	1B	314	40
275	Yadier Molina	C	250	-25
276	Marco Estrada	SP	258	-18
277	Edinson Volquez	SP	305	28
278	Jose Berrios	SP	255	-23
279	Ketel Marte	SS	217	-62
280	Joe Panik	2B	270	-10
281	Matt Moore	SP	262	-19
282	C.J. Cron	1B	277	-5
283	Pablo Sandoval	3B	294	11
284	James McCann	C	269	-15
285	Hector Olivera	3B	316	31
286	Erick Aybar	SS	338	52
287	Danny Valencia	3B	240	-47
288	Rusney Castillo	OF	260	-28
289	Victor Martinez	DH	268	-21
290	Jarrod Dyson	OF	289	-1
291	Jerad Eickhoff	SP	324	33
292	Hyeon-Soo Kim	OF	294	2
293	J.J. Hoover	RP	287	-6
294	Joaquin Benoit	RP	330	36
295	Rick Porcello	SP	327	32
296	Robinson Chirinos	C	313	17
297	Jason Castro	C	323	26
298	A.J. Pierzynski	C	327	29
299	Cameron Rupp	C	389	90
300	Dioner Navarro	C	367	67

Mike Gianella is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @MikeGianella
Click here to see Mike's other articles. You can contact Mike by clicking here
Bret Sayre is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @BretSayreBP
Click here to see Bret's other articles. You can contact Bret by clicking here

Related Content: Fantasy, Draft Rankings, ADP

13 comments have been left for this article.

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jfranco77

(64578)

This is awesome. Perfect timing too... I'm at pick 262 in my NFBC draft and all the guys are blurring together.

Jose Reyes at 240, and Trevor Story unranked. What are you projecting the Rockies to do at SS this year?

Mar 17, 2016 05:24 AM

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rating: 0

Mike Gianella

BP staff

(55608)

I have no idea. I'm not clear if Story starts as the SS or Adames. Story will move into these rankings if the Rockies are a little more forthright and/or news about Reyes breaks before next week.

Mar 17, 2016 06:14 AM

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wilymo

(27432)

i'm not saying the ranking is wrong but i wouldn't poke reyes with a sharp 10-foot stick right now. just feels like he's going to miss the entire season more likely than not. and why risk it when he hasn't even been that great lately anyway.

personally i'd rather have jonathan villar and a peaceful morning cup of coffee

Mar 17, 2016 10:11 AM

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rating: 0

Mike Gianella

BP staff

(55608)

People were reacting too far in one direction with Aroldis Chapman; they're reacting too far in the other direction now with Jose Reyes.

Easy to foresee a 50-60 game suspension. Hard to see how the Rockies can simply decide to sit him for an entire year without facing a grievance. Even harder to see the Rockies eating $48MM.

The rank reflects what I agree is a considerable risk but also reflects that fact that he was the 6th best SS in 15-team mixed leagues last year.

Mar 17, 2016 12:36 PM

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wilymo

(27432)

see i feel like the suspension could be worse than that. i'm not talking about the rockies sitting him, or the rockies doing anything really.

hard to be sure though, we're off the map a bit on this one obviously. as i say, not really challenging the ranking, just stating a personal "do not want" take. we'll find out if i'm reacting too far in the other direction when it finally comes through

Mar 17, 2016 18:09 PM

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rating: 0

Mike Gianella

BP staff

(55608)

It could be. But I suspect past a certain number of games the union is going to push back hard.

Mar 17, 2016 18:16 PM

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labrat21

(72123)

Notable omissions
+-------------------+------+-------+
| player | dp | grade |
+-------------------+------+-------+
| Jhonny Peralta | 9999 | C |
| Cameron Maybin | 9999 | D |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | 9999 | D |
| Scott Kazmir | 9999 | D |
| Wade Miley | 9999 | D |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 9999 | D |
| Javier Baez | 9999 | D |
| Alex Wood | 9999 | D |
| Yangervis Solarte | 9999 | D |
| Jorge Soler | 9999 | C |
| Jake Lamb | 9999 | D |
| Cory Spangenberg | 9999 | D |
| Devon Travis | 9999 | D |
| Eddie Rosario | 9999 | D |
+-------------------+------+-------+
(D = 2 star, C = 3 star) from the tiers

Notable additions
| Jarrod Dyson | 290 | F |
| Austin Jackson | 237 | F |
| Jose Berrios | 278 | X |
(F = NO star, X = prospect, but no star)

I could have some errors in recording the tiers, since they're no longer in the PFM for easy retrieval.

Mar 17, 2016 19:19 PM

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rating: 0

Mike Gianella

BP staff

(55608)

Hi labrat. Thanks for commenting. A few things to keep in mind.

1) The Top 150 are a composite of the rankings that Bret Sayre and I used for LABR. The next 150 are my rankings. The tiered rankings are finalized by each writer but with staff input. I did some of the rankings. There were cases where I did not necessarily agree with the staff but moved a player up or down if multiple opinions were in a different direction.

2) Many of the players who were omitted were impacted by negative news in terms of their playing time or injury. Peralta, Maybin, Cabrera, and Ryu all had injuries or setbacks since the tiered articles came out. Kazmir's dip in velocity led to his drop. Soler is likely the biggest loser in playing time after the Dexter Fowler acquisition.

3) Nearly all of these players are right on the cusp. In the 15-team mixed bid limits (released today) Peralta, Maybin, Cabrera, Solarte, Lamb, Spangenberg, and Travis all have $1-2 bids. They're right on the cusp.

Mar 18, 2016 07:59 AM

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labrat21

(72123)

I knew Jhonny Peralta was injured and certainly did not mean to second guess your list. My league has 16 teams, but with slightly different rules. I needed to highlight players whose valuations had changed significantly and figured it was worth sharing the lists.

Mar 18, 2016 19:45 PM

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rating: 0

Cdub2k

(39807)

Mike,

Kazmir's dip in velocity is an every spring occurrence he picks up velocity as the spring and season goes on. Last clocked he was in the 92 MPH range.

Can you tell me where would you slot him in now that his velocity has returned.

Mar 29, 2016 01:34 AM

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rating: 0

Dirk99Pitt

(83847)

Mike - Great list. I sorted by difference just to get a feel for who you like vs ADP. I'm in a 12 teamer picking 12th and I'd love to get Miggy/Nolan/Kris/Max there.

I think its a timely post to check if there is anyone I left out since I have a job and all.

Question on the up side: Votto - that is pretty bullish. I like him. Love watching him hit and he's been slipping in drafts I've seen. OBP he's up there no question, but ahead of Chris Davis and Springer? That Red's machine could be running on one cylinder this year.

Not a big deal, I think the value is in the later round picks.

Mar 17, 2016 21:59 PM

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rating: 0

Mike Gianella

BP staff

(55608)

Some of this is a product of 1) my belief that batting average is undervalued in fantasy and 2) the idea that RBI/runs - while important - are often overemphasized in fantasy in terms of the loss of value on a poor team. Votto will lose a little bit in those categories, but what he is lacking there he will more than make up for in BA/HR.

Mar 18, 2016 08:01 AM

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DrDonkey

(86863)

Thanks for the list. Im fading Boxberger pretty hard right now, are you thinking he comes back and picks up where he left off last year? Seems like too much of a risk for me realtive to some of the guys you have below him.

Also Matt Kemp vs Matt Holliday - think I would much rather have Holliday @ 226 than Kemp @ 75, feel very similar to me, what am I missing?

Thanks

Mar 21, 2016 11:06 AM

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rating: 0

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