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August 6, 2015
Eyewitness Accounts
August 6, 2015
by Jeff Moore, Wilson Karaman and Brendan Gawlowski
Ryan Borucki
 |
Born: 03/31/1994 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 4" |
Weight: 175 |
Tall and stringy build; fluid delivery; three-quarters arm slot; clean arm action; repeats delivery out of windup and in stretch; keeps head still; excellent posture; hides ball effectively; short stride; straight stride; gets flustered easily. |
Brendan Gawlowski |
08/03/2015 |
Vancouver Canadians (Short Season, Blue Jays) |
07-14-2015 |
50/High |
40; backend starter |
2019 |
No |
FB |
45 |
50 |
86-89 |
92 |
Velocity: 45/50
Movement: 55/55
Command: 50/60
T92; downhill plane; moderate wiggle both directions; above-average control to all quadrants but he'll nibble; fringe-average command at present but should improve with repetition; excellent feel for pitching; adds and subtracts velocity. |
CH |
45 |
55 |
80-81 |
82 |
Movement: 55/55
Command: 50/60
Inconsistent arm speed; moderate fading action with some tumble; solid average command; swing-and-miss pitch; likes to vary velocity but arm speed reduction is apparent at times.
|
CB |
45 |
55 |
67-70 |
72 |
Movement: 55/55
Command: 45/50
Intentionally adds and subtracts depth; sharpest curves flashed above-average depth; 12-6 action; slower curves were loopy; bounced a couple. |
Borucki has missed time with various arm ailments since he was drafted in 2012; the outing I saw was just his 20th appearance as a Blue Jays farmhand. Despite the extended layoffs, Borucki is advanced for a pitcher in short season ball. He lives around the edges of the plate with all three pitches, and while he can sometimes err towards the side of caution when attacking hitters, he rarely makes a mistake in the zone. He can throw his fastball and both secondaries for strikes, and he showed advanced pitchability: you just don't see too many starters who can add and subtract velocity on their fastball or depth on their curve at this level.
If Borucki can stay healthy, the Jays could have a mid-rotation starter on their hands, although it looks like the organization will be taking it slowly with him. He’s still building up arm strength — he didn’t make it out of the third inning and his average fastball velocity was quite a bit lower than his highest readings — but both his slight build and injury history suggest that he’s unlikely to develop into a workhorse. He could have three average or better pitches at full maturity though and he knows how to pitch, so there’s plenty of upside if it all clicks, even if he proves best in doses.
|
Jarlin Garcia
 |
Born: 01/18/1993 (Age: 22) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 170 |
Plus arm speed with a clean arm action; some effort in delivery. |
Jeff Moore |
08/03/2015 |
Jupiter Hammerheads (High A, Marlins) |
4/15/15, 7/12/15 |
55/Moderate |
50, Set-up man |
Late 2016 |
No |
FB |
60 |
65 |
91-94 |
95 |
Plus velocity; throws a lot of strikes, average command within strike zone; straight, not a deceiving pitch, effective because of velocity; must improve in-zone command, works down but can improve throwing to all four quadrants. |
SLD |
50 |
60 |
81-83 |
|
More vertical movement than horizontal, but not straight down; good ones have bigger break but remain sharp; when he overthrows it remains sharp but break is shorter; should be a highly effective pitch vs. LH batters; will need to reach peak to miss right-handed bats. |
CHG |
40 |
45 |
84-87 |
|
Inconsistent offering, keeps it low consistently but limited movement; some arm-side fade but below-average movement; has a tendency to get too firm with pitch, loses movement and becomes very hittable. |
Garcia's success is due to his fastball/slider combination which makes for one of the better two-pitch arsenals from the left side in the minors. The slider is already a highly effective pitch against lefties and could eventually be a weapon against righties as well. There is some effort to his delivery, which could lead to a relief role, but it wouldn't be an issue if he had a more well-rounded arsenal.
His changeup is below-average and doesn't show a ton of potential for growth. That leaves him with a two-pitch arsenal that will make it tough to remain a starter. Additionally, his slender build puts extra strain on his arm to create his velocity, especially later in outings when his legs tire.
He has a chance to remain a starter if he adds strength in the lower half and can get his change-up to league-average, but those are two major questions for a player who is already 22. He's a very talented pitcher, however, and should be a highly effective reliever, and potentially one who can pitch in high-leverage situations.
|
Jacob Nottingham
 |
Born: 04/03/1995 (Age: 20) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 3" |
Weight: 230 |
Primary Position: C |
Secondary Position: |
Impressive physique, football history evident; strong kid, well-proportioned and filled-out; above-average athleticism, movements can get measured and slow down. |
Wilson Karaman |
07/30/2015 |
6 games, July 2015 |
Stockton Ports (High A, Athletics) |
2017 |
Moderate |
60 |
55/Bat-first starting catcher |
Yes |
Hard-worker, engages his pitchers well; some immaturity, will take bad calls at the plate with him into the next pitch and give away at-bats; extremely competitive, curses loudly when he misses his pitch.
|
Nottingham boasts an impressive blend of physicality and acumen, with an athletic, strong frame and realized skills that have taken a significant step forward this year. On offense he features a leveraged swing with strong bat-to-ball skills and the raw strength and approach to take balls out of the yard to the opposite field. While there's some swing-and-miss in his game he shows strong contact skills and the ability to bring a good majority of his power into games.
The bat will play, and while it still requires ample projection the raw ingredients of an average-or-better defender behind the plate are present. His athleticism is apparent in his lateral movement, and his receiving has taken a step forward this year. The total package of a bat-first profile with average defensive chops can play to a Role 6 ceiling if it all comes together, and there's plenty here to suggest an above-average backstop when all is said and done.
|
Derek Fisher
 |
Born: 08/21/1993 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 1" |
Weight: 207 |
Primary Position: LF |
Secondary Position: CF |
Athletic frame, high waist, thick quads, strong legs; narrow shoulders with some slope, room to fill out top half. |
Wilson Karaman |
08/04/2015 |
9 games June-July 2015 |
Lancaster JetHawks (High A, Astros) |
Low key, gives the appearance of gliding through games at times.
|
Fisher's athleticism stands out on the field, though it doesn't fully translate on the defensive side. He lacks the kind of nose for the ball that a true center fielder needs, and coupled with a below-average arm he will likely be limited to left. He's shown enough improvement in his routes to suggest a competent ceiling in that corner as long as his speed holds up.
There's a lot of interesting raw material in his offensive game. He can be a legitimate weapon on the basepaths, with outstanding speed and quickness, and the instincts to make the tool play. He brings surprising pop into the box but lacks consistency in his execution at present. The first half of his swing has a lot of moving parts. He'll lose his bat control and get out of synch regularly. And while he shows command of the zone around the black he'll frequently expand up and down to take himself out of at-bats.
If the offensive profile comes together and he gets on base enough, there's potential for an above-average regular in left. His speed and power combination should be enough to get him into a Major League lineup for a period of time even if the hit tool never quite gets there.
|
Miguel Andujar
 |
Born: 03/02/1995 (Age: 20) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 0" |
Weight: 175 |
Primary Position: 3B |
Secondary Position: |
Strong frame, some physical development has already taken place but has room for more strength; long limbs and high waist. |
Jeff Moore |
08/04/2015 |
5/11/15, 6/20/15, 7/28/15 |
Tampa Yankees (High A, Yankees) |
2018 |
Moderate |
55 |
45, second-division regular |
No |
Andujar is tremendously talented but with some major flaws that could keep him from reaching his ceiling. He's a good athlete, already strong and well-developed for his age. He has three legitimate plus tools in raw power, speed and arm strength. He's presently a below-average defender at third base, though he has the athleticism to be an average player there. If not, he could handle a move to right field, which would put more pressure on his bat but not as much as if he would have to move to first base.
The hit tool will determine how the entire package comes together, however. He has the tools to be a good major league hitter, with plenty of bat speed and a developing idea of how to use the whole field. But he currently struggles with identifying some breaking balls and implementing his plan at the plate. His swing can get long and he swings through too many off-speed pitches.
The hit tool may never be better than average, but even that will allow the power to play. If it remains below average, his power production will be affected and thus lower his overall profile.
|
Wilson Karaman is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
Click here to see Wilson's other articles.
You can contact Wilson by clicking here
Brendan Gawlowski is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
Click here to see Brendan's other articles.
You can contact Brendan by clicking here
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