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July 2, 2015
Eyewitness Accounts
July 2, 2015
by BP Prospect Staff
Brian Johnson
 |
Born: 12/07/1990 (Age: 24) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 4" |
Weight: 235 |
High 3/4 left-hander; average arm speed; easy arm action with full extension. Full windup; clean hand break letters high; medium pace; repeats delivery very well but not very athletic. Tough pick up; deceptive front side with high glove arm and hides ball. Mature, durable frame with no projection left; good size and pitches with downward plane. Works exceptionally fast between pitches; throws strikes; keeps hitters off balance. |
Al Skorupa |
06/22/2015 |
Pawtucket Red Sox (AAA, Red Sox) |
04-27-2015; 05-14-2015; 06-08-2015 |
50/Very Low |
50; #4 Starter |
Late 2015 |
No |
Fastball |
50 |
55 |
86-91 |
92 |
Above average life; sink and tail; good plane; induces weak contact as well as missing bats low; flattens out when thrown up and very hittable. Excellent command; spots fastball both sides of the plate; regularly works in and out with fastball; plus feel for setting up hitters. |
Curveball |
50 |
55 |
69-75 |
|
1/7 downer; somewhat soft with inconsistent spin; average movement. Plus-plus command; plays with depth; locates as strike, chase, back door and back up; comfortable throwing to left-handers and right-handers in any count. Misses bats, but more a product of pitchability than raw stuff. |
Slider |
40 |
45 |
77-82 |
|
2/8 shallow slurve; varies in depth and sometimes acts more as a cutter; not a swing and miss offering. Throws for strikes, but doesn’t locate as well as CB. |
Changeup |
45 |
50 |
79-84 |
|
Sink and fade; above average life. Good feel for pitch; thrown with same arm speed as FB. Induces groundballs and weak contact. |
50; #4 Starter. Johnson pitches with below average velocity, only solid average stuff and no real plus offering, but his feel for pitching and FB command causes both his individual pitches and whole profile to play up. Johnson could have a long career as a command and control back end starter, but without a big fastball or an out-pitch, Johnson’s margin for error is small on any given day.
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Luiz Gohara
 |
Born: 07/31/1996 (Age: ) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 3" |
Weight: 210 |
Huge frame, listed at 210 but looks closer to 250; future weight gain could put undue pressure on legs; high leg kick; 3/4 arm slot; upper body often out of sync with legs; head stays balanced; splays front leg between stride and foot strike; plus arm speed; loose arm; release point varies; hides the ball well; stays on top of the ball; falls downhill; spine tilt; does not field position well. |
Brendan Gawlowski |
06/30/2015 |
Everett AquaSox (Short Season, Mariners) |
6/18/15 |
60/High |
50; backend starter or setup reliever |
2019 |
No |
FB |
60 |
70 |
92-95 |
97 |
Sat 92-94, but regularly mixed in 95 and 96; easy velocity; downhill plane; stays on top of the ball; two-seamer features plenty of tail; poor command of the pitch, particularly from the stretch; showed ability to consistently throw fastball for strikes out of the windup; induced several whiffs in the zone; maintained velocity throughout six inning start. |
CH |
40 |
50 |
84-85 |
88 |
11-5 break; shallow depth; high velocity did not permit significant break; flashed average with more depth when thrown a bit slower; maintains arm speed well; can throw the curve for strikes. |
CB |
30 |
40 |
82-84 |
84 |
Best ones showed depth and tumbled out of the zone; inconsistent execution, as most of them were straight and elevated in the zone; arm speed consistent with the fastball; can throw change for strikes. |
There's a tremendous gap between where Gohara is now, and where he could be if he learns to harness his potent offerings. He'll dominate short-season competition with just the fastball, but will need to work on his curve and changeup, both of which were generally flat and featured limited movement. Consistent arm speed gives him a good foundation to develop both pitches, but each will require considerable repetition to become average offerings. More importantly, he's shown a very limited ability to hit his spots, and will need to substantially improve his command if he's going to turn over a big league lineup multiple times. At 18-years-old he's young enough to improve in both facets, and I'm encouraged that he looked substantially better in my viewing this year than when I saw him last season.
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Sean Manaea
 |
Born: 02/01/1992 (Age: 23) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 5" |
Weight: 235 |
Build: Tall and big frame; sturdy with efficient weight distribution; power bottom; physically maxed.
Mechanics: 3/4 arm slot; plus arm speed; slight stab; slight spine tilt; loose and easy arm; moderate drive; easy effort; clean landing; tempo issues; top and bottom half will get out of sync and cause command to waver; pickoff move is a weapon; delivery times ~1.40 - 1.50.
|
Tucker Blair |
06/30/2015 |
Wilmington Blue Rocks (High A, Royals) |
6/29/2015 |
60/Moderate |
55; No. 3/No. 4 SP |
2016 |
No |
FB |
55 |
60 |
91-94 |
94 |
Velocity: 60/60
Movement: 60/60
Command: 40/50
Consistent velo; downhill plane; boring action; deception; below-average command; works agressively in all four quadrants; loses command when he loses tempo and begins to open up and alter arm slot. |
SL |
55 |
60 |
82-85 |
86 |
Movement: 60/60
Command: 45/50
Replicates arm speed; sharp bite with tilt; deception; swing-and-miss chase pitch; release points currently inconsistent. |
CH |
45 |
50 |
83-84 |
84 |
Movement: 50/50
Command: 40/50
Replicates arm speed; moderate arm-side run; moderate tumble; feel and deception; uses against LHH and RHH; inconsistent release points and command; continued repetition and consistency in mechanics will help boost this offering. |
Manaea has three average or better offerings and an easy delivery. He has a loose arm and hides the ball well out of his hand. He is an advanced arm and would be close to the majors if not for the shoulder injury that sidelined him earlier this season. The only issue is the command, which coincides with his ability to maintain tempo and hit the checkpoints in his delivery
Round Drafted: 1st round (34th overall), 2013. Signed for $3.55 million
Why: Seasoned arm with three potential average or better pitches; quick moving SP.
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A.J. Reed
 |
Born: 05/10/1993 (Age: 22) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 4" |
Weight: 240 |
Primary Position: 1B |
Secondary Position: DH |
Behemoth; physically maxed-out 6-foot-4, 240 pounds; barrel-chested with broad, thick shoulders, wide base; Ruthian gait; sneaky coordination and athleticism despite limited mobility and dexterity. |
Wilson Karaman |
06/09/2015 |
4/9, 4/11, 4/23, 4/25, 6/4, 6/5 |
Lancaster JetHawks (High A, Astros) |
2017 |
High |
55 |
45/second-division 1B/DH, power bat off the bench |
No |
Reed is exactly the kind of advanced power bat that has little to prove in the California League. His raw strength and collegiate polish are a recipe for the kind of Herculean numbers he's produced thus far, and we're not going to be able to draw too many conclusions about his power utility until he gets challenged by better sequencing and fastball location at higher levels.
It's a three-true-outcome profile, and there will be ample swing-and-miss in his game thanks to an inconsistent load paired with modest bat speed. But Reed's approach is among the more advanced I've seen in the league and he shows a rare ability among hitters with his kind of raw power to get to it in games. He demonstrates patience, working counts well and attacking with a selective aggression. He's not passive and shows a willingness to both jump on early fastballs and take strikes on pitches he can't do damage on.
Though his large frame presents some limitations, Reed's intelligence in the box couples with his top-shelf strength to produce light-tower power. I'm bullish he can continue to bring a sizeable chunk of the power into games against advanced pitching and produce value despite a fringy defensive profile. The production will get discounted for the time being on account of both league and ballpark context, but Reed has legitimate impact offensive potential and projects as a potential middle-of-the-order bat in a good lineup.
|
Josh Hart
 |
Born: 10/02/1994 (Age: 20) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 1" |
Weight: 180 |
Primary Position: CF |
Secondary Position: |
Smaller frame; athletic build with quick-twitch muscles; looks smaller than listed height; very slight projection. |
Tucker Blair |
06/30/2015 |
8 Games April - June 2015 |
Frederick Keys (High A, Orioles) |
2017 |
High |
50 |
40; 4th OF/Below-Average Regular |
No |
Hart has a natural feel for hitting, and his barrel skills have been on display during my viewings. He is going to hit, but the lack of in-game power is a concern and will hinder his overall value. At the very least, Hart is going to provide value as a depth or bench option solely on the defense alone. There is still a wide gap between Hart's current and future hit tool.
Round Drafted: 1st round (37th overall), 2013. Signed for $1.45 million.
Why: Feel for hitting with the potential to hit for average and provide plus defense in CF.
|
Chance Sisco
 |
Born: 02/24/1995 (Age: 20) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 193 |
Primary Position: C |
Secondary Position: |
Athletic build; slender frame with room for mild muscle growth. |
Tucker Blair |
06/30/2015 |
6 Games April - June 2015 |
Frederick Keys (High A, Orioles) |
2017 |
High |
50 |
40; Bench Player/Below-Average Regular |
No |
Looks lazy at times but plays the game loose and easy. Does not work well with the Frederick pitching staff.
|
Sisco can't catch. After multiple viewings in consecutive seasons, I see no progression and little evidence that he will be able to handle a long-term role behind the plate in the majors. The bat has been the carrying tool, with a strong approach and contact ability. He's athletic enough to play 2nd, 3rd, or corner OF, where the bat will need to hit its potential for there to be value as a regular. The risk is still high with Sisco and he is a volatile prospect due to the defensive concerns.
Round Drafted: 2nd round (61st overall), 2013. Signed for $785,000
Why: Feel for hitting; potentially athletic enough to play C; chance for average or higher hit tool and power.
|
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FYI - on Gohara, either the Pitch Types or the descriptions are reversed for his off-speed pitches (the one labeled CH describes his curve, and the one labeled CB describes his changeup...)