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May 26, 2015
BP Daily Podcast
Effectively Wild Episode 683: The Almost Inexplicable Stephen Strasburg
by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
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Ben and Sam banter about Dan Jennings, then attempt to explain Stephen Strasburg's perplexing season.
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Ben Lindbergh is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
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Sam Miller is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
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<< Previous Article
BP Bronx (05/25)
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<< Previous Column
BP Daily Podcast: Effe... (05/22)
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Next Column >>
BP Daily Podcast: Effe... (05/27)
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Next Article >>
Transaction Analysis: ... (05/26)
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Has Strasburg's release point gone up? Haven't checked Brooks but it sounds like he's gone full Brewer, throwing straight over the top and missing up and down instead of side to side. Calling Doug Thorburn!
I've also wondered about release points (if he's not comfortable with his motion maybe he's having a hard time repeating it). There has to be some explanation why his SwingingStrike% dropped from 11% to 7%, maybe he's tipping his pitches? I was hoping for something more obvious, but the only things I found were:
1. The difference in vertical and horizontal release points between pitches is consistent with past performance (as far as I can tell, I'm no scientist).
2. At the end of 2014 his horizontal release point changes drastically
3. His horizontal release point has been sporadic this year on a game to game basis
4. His vertical release point is also sporadic, but only slightly more so than historically.
I don't look at release points that often so maybe points 2-4 is common and/or this is just a tool calibration issue or different stadiums being calibrated slightly offset from one another.
No smoking gun though. Maybe that shoulder injury back in early May is a thing that's causing a problem still?