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February 12, 2015 Fantasy Three-Year ProjectionsOutfielders (41-90)
No sense in wasting time on an introduction, as you're here to see the ranks. This is the second half of the Three-Year Outfield Ranks that Jeff Quinton introduced yesterday: 41. Kole Calhoun There are a lot of intriguing names here that fit the power/speed profile, even if they are on the lower end of those respective spectrums (respectrums?). Most of these guys are either currently or have a future as across-the-board contributors, with Span and Tomas being the notable exceptions. Span hits atop one of the best lineups in the National League and while he is a free agent following the 2015 season, he is going to be an impact player in runs and stolen bases, and likely to help in average. Tomas is on the other end of things with a good possibility of being an impact player in home runs and RBI. 50. Ben Revere You could argue that Revere and Jennings belong in the tier above, but Jennings lacks any additional ceiling at this point and is an extremely mild option. As for Revere, I’ll admit to not knowing what to do with him. Speed only guys are difficult for me because they accrue objective value, but at some point there’s a diminishing return (especially in head-to-head leagues). Anyway, he helps in average and potentially runs (though the Philly lineup is brutal). Souza, Martin, and Beltran are the other interesting names here, with Souza being a potential 15/15 type, Martin having the ability to swipe be a Span-style player, and Beltran being a potential impact player but carrying age and health concerns. 61. Marlon Byrd This is a big tier, but we’re getting deep into the list. Byrd would be higher on this list for 2015 purposes, but at his age we have to dock him in a three-year ranking. It’s really hard to be any higher on Hamilton given that his wife is going to be on one of the Real Housewives franchises, which has to be a bad decision for Josh’s sobriety, right? Can’t imagine that goes well at all. Taylor isn’t likely to get much time this year, except possibly while Werth heals up to open the season, but could be a factor in stolen bases from 2016 on. There are a bunch of bounce-back candidates throughout, and while it’s likely only one or two will make something of themselves, it’s hard to pinpoint which one it’ll be. 75. Jake Marisnick At least there are some everyday players? Pearce is receiving a lot of love coming off his dynamic part-time season, but he’s likely to be exposed given additional playing time, and isn’t a lock to receive OF eligibility over the next few years. The rest of the group is comprised of low-level full-time players, part-timers with some upside, or prospects who aren’t likely to make an impact until 2016 at the earliest.
Craig Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @cdgoldstein
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Whither Josh Bell?
I don't see room for him in the outfield, so I don't expect him to accrue value there.
If he were on OF, who would he be ranked near? I didn't see him in the 1B rankings either. Is he just not good enough to be ranked?
if I thought he'd accrue his value as an outfielder he'd likely be ranked. He's being ranked as an outfielder (as our Get To Know series indicated), but for these three year rankings, we reflect our thoughts on where the value will be overall, and the likelihood seems to be that Bell's comes at first base which is a slide down the defensive spectrum and this raises the bar for his offensive output in terms of contributing over others. Hence his lack of ranking here.