CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Premium Article 2015 Prospects: Baltim... (12/10)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/10)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/11)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/11)

December 11, 2014

Transaction Analysis

League-Worst Bullpen No More

by R.J. Anderson

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

HOUSTON ASTROS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Reportedly signed RHP Luke Gregerson to a three-year deal worth $18.5 million and RHP Pat Neshek to a two-year deal worth $12.5 million. [12/10]

The Astros, regarded by some as the "EXTREME MONEYBALL" franchise, have approached the offseason just as that moniker would lead you to expect: by throwing money at every high-priced reliever on the market. Andrew Miller passed, opting for less money and a razor, and both Zach Duke and David Robertson said no thanks on their way to Chicago. But Jeff Luhnow persisted, and on Wednesday he found a couple of late-inning arms willing to take his money.

Gregerson earns the nod for being the iron man of the pair, having tossed more than 400 innings over the past six seasons. He made two trips to the disabled list during that span, including once in 2009 due to shoulder inflammation, so durability wouldn't appear to be a concern. And maybe it shouldn't be, except Gregerson is the rare bird whose primary pitch is a slider—a predilection that raises eyebrows and, depending on your beliefs, red flags. Astros fans should rest well knowing Gregerson does throw other pitches—mostly a high-80s sinker, though he'll toss the occasional upper-70s changeup—and that he's a legitimate late-inning reliever until his body says otherwise, be it due to wear or tear.

Neshek, meanwhile, has dealt with enough injuries and personal traumas for the both of them. He topped 50 big-league innings in a season last year for the first time since 2007, and celebrated the occasion by being dominant. Although Neshek used to pitch off his slider like Gregerson, he threw more sinkers than sliders last season, and has continued to use his low-70s changeup more often than in the past. Neshek is perhaps best known for his deceptive mechanics, as it appears as though he's going to drop down and throw submarine before coming to the plate from a side-arm slot. Health provided, he too should pitch near the end of games.

It's worth noting that both Gregerson and Neshek have been roughly platoon neutral over the past three seasons. As a result, they should be interchangeable with Chad Qualls as late-inning choices. Gregerson, whose contract includes closer-related incentives, could be the favorite for the ninth-inning job, but don't be surprised if Neshek picks up a few saves next season as well. However A.J. Hinch sorts things out, the Astros should have an improved bullpen, and given that they've ranked last in the majors in ERA in each of the past two seasons, you can excuse Astros fans who feel relieved.

R.J. Anderson is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see R.J.'s other articles. You can contact R.J. by clicking here

Related Content:  Houston Astros,  Hot Stove

1 comment has been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article 2015 Prospects: Baltim... (12/10)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/10)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/11)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (12/11)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Playoff Prospectus: Come Undone
BP En Espanol: Previa de la NLCS: Cubs vs. D...
Playoff Prospectus: How Did This Team Get Ma...
Playoff Prospectus: Too Slow, Too Late
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALCS Gam...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLCS Gam...
Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview: Cubs vs. D...

MORE FROM DECEMBER 11, 2014
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Night the Dodgers ...
Premium Article Before They Were Pros
Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Yoenis Cespedes Is Always Goo...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Cubs Finally Land ...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Jose Quintana, Forever Un...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Antonio Bastardo T...

MORE BY R.J. ANDERSON
2014-12-12 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds ...
2014-12-12 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Turn Down For Rut
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Antonio Bastardo T...
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: League-Worst Bullpen N...
2014-12-10 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Cubs Get Montero, Brav...
2014-12-09 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Moss Gathered
2014-12-08 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Brian Cashman's High-L...
More...

MORE TRANSACTION ANALYSIS
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Night the Dodgers ...
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Cubs Finally Land ...
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Antonio Bastardo T...
2014-12-11 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: League-Worst Bullpen N...
2014-12-10 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Pittsburgh Pounce
2014-12-10 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: What's Plan A?
2014-12-10 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Cubs Get Montero, Brav...
More...