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July 23, 2014
Eyewitness Accounts
July 23, 2014
by Chris Mellen
Tyler Duffey
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Born: 12/27/1990 (Age: 23) |
Bats: Right |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 3" |
Weight: 230 |
3/4 arm slot; a bit of crossfire to the delivery; strong body; uses size to stay on top of ball; some funk in the back-end of arm action; longer with his release; leads to some overthrow; not overly loose, but makes it work; varies pace of delivery out of the stretch; 1.31-1.52 |
Chris Mellen |
07/02/2014 |
New Britain Rock Cats (AA, Twins) |
6/27 |
45/Low |
40; up-and-down arm |
2015 |
No |
Fastball |
60 |
60 |
90-92 |
93 |
Displays average arm-side run, with downward movement; sinking action--offering on the heavy side; bears in on right-hand hitters' hands; type of fastball that is more effective in the lower tier of strike zone, but the pitcher can reach in the right situation to elevate; best served up and away from righties when doing so; solid-average command--shows ability to spot in all four quadrants of zone consistently; will get lifted from thighs and up; shows understanding of what he is doing with the pitch and how to set batters up. |
Curveball |
50 |
55 |
75-77 |
78 |
Tends to drop arm slot a bit when throwing; generates average snap with wrist; rolls out of hand at times due to way body opens; has trouble throwing glove side consistently; one shape to pitch; can throw for a strike with frequency; flashes solid-average look; lack of deep break limits bat missing ability; can induce weak contact and pick up strikes against good hitters. |
Changeup |
40 |
40 |
80-82 |
83 |
Lacked finish and quality action; floated within the strike zone; tipped pitch with slower arm speed and some telegraphing; displays drop as opposed to fade; show-me pitch. |
Two pitch pitcher who I see better suited for the bullpen where stuff has a chance to play up; tick up in fastball velocity while maintaining movement can make pitch effective in short bursts in the majors; curveball has enough to keep hitters at bay in a one inning role; the mentality and knowledge of craft leads me to believe the arm can pitch in some early leverage situations; see a middle reliever--first arm out of chute when starter leaves game earlier in a jam or bridge some outs until turning over to the late inning guys.
|
Daniel Norris
|
Born: 04/25/1993 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 180 |
3/4 arm slot; easy, loose delivery; not much restriction--repeatable; balanced; a bit short with arm action; fast arm; uses body to stay on top of ball; steps toward first base prior to landing; inconsistent with front foot at times; 1.39-1.52 out of stretch. |
Chris Mellen |
07/20/2014 |
New Hampshire Fisher Cats (AA, Blue Jays) |
7/19 |
65/Moderate |
55; no.4 starter |
2015 |
No |
Fastball |
60 |
60 |
92-93 |
95 |
Displays arm-side run, with late finish; ability to throw to both sides of the plate; solid-average present command; potential to induce a lot of weak contact; excellent life in the lower tier of strike zone; capable of beating both right-handed and left-handed batters inside; can be thrown past hitters elevated selectively. |
Slider |
55 |
60 |
83-85 |
87 |
Short, tight break; guise between fastball as thrown from the same arm slot; loose with wrist when delivering pitch; can get around offering and spin to plate; throws for strikes; will change shape to create chase pitch or back-door to right-handed batters; bat-missing potential; displays confidence to use pitch at any point in the count; out pitch. |
Curevball |
45 |
50 |
72-74 |
75 |
Flashes deep, two-plane break; on the soft side--lacks power; hitters able to wait on offering to square up; inconsistent creating good snap; pitch rolls to plate more often due to wrist wrap; can drop in for a strike; don't see pitch getting many chases without increased power; presently a "show me" offering; potential to tighten up further, but don't believe pitch will be more than 3rd/4th option in arsenal. |
Chanegup |
45 |
55 |
83-85 |
86 |
On the firm side; looks more like a fastball pitcher is taking something off of; tends to float in middle of strike zone and lack finish; flashes feel for offering; smooth with arm-speed when delivering; needs more trust in grip to create better action; ability to turnover and bottom out; feel there is potential for pitch to take a step forward as shows characteristics to do so with more repetition and pitcher displays commitment to working on it. |
Good looking stuff--feel for all four pitches; potential to be very nasty on opposing hitters; level of polish needs to take a step forward to reach potential; see some bumps in the road during next season or so while pitcher finds the identity of third offering to complement fastball and slider; competitor on mound--wants the ball; future long-term big-leaguer; high potential to stick as starter for me; believe arm can round into solid mid-rotational starter, with potential to have a season or two above that.
|
Henry Owens
|
Born: 07/21/1992 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Left |
Height: 6' 6" |
Weight: 205 |
3/4 arm slot; loose, low energy expending delivery; lot of body to control; frame to create a lot of leverage and downward plane; soft, consistent front foot landing; body to handle the rigors of the game; works from the first base side of the rubber - creates angle on hitters; 1.39-1.52 out of stretch |
Chris Mellen |
07/20/2014 |
Portland Sea Dogs (AA, Red Sox) |
7/19 |
60/Low |
55; no.4 starter |
2014 |
No |
Fastball |
50 |
55 |
89-91 |
92 |
Displays some downward movement, with occasional arm-side tail; lacks explosiveness, but jumps on hitters because of deception created with angle and pitch sequencing; throws for strikes; needs some improvement keeping the ball out of the middle of the plate and elevated--presently gets away with mistakes; average command; don't see high quality hitters missing as frequently; weak-contact-inducing offering; will reach for peak velocity when in a jam. |
Changeup |
65 |
70 |
78-79 |
80 |
Generates excellent arm-speed when delivering; seamless look to that of the fastball; big separation; will turn-over to glove side; ability to miss bats; quality, deep action; will throw at any point in the count; high confidence in pitch; plays his fastball off of pitch; does get away with mistakes up in zone at level; solid-average command; needs some cleanup to tighten spotting to corners and lower in the zone at next level and beyond; should continue to be go-to out-pitch. |
Curveball |
45 |
50 |
71-73 |
74 |
Deep shape when pitcher stays on top; slow break; allows hitters to wait back; likes to drop pitch in for a strike; don't see chase potential unless power improves; uses as a change of pace; reluctant to use when in trouble; can be more effective if worked into sequences more frequently. |
Heavily leans on fastball and changeup; presently more of a two-pitch pitcher; flashes pitchability, with understanding of how to execute plan; highly deceptive due to long arms and angle; will often pitch backwards in sequences; fastball jumps due to changeup; do have concerns about future command profile--presently mistakes up in zone get masked; feel emergence of consistent third option would help mitigate pressure on fastball/changeup and lead to reaching full potential; see no.3/4 starter peak.
|
Michael Papi
|
Born: 09/19/1992 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Left |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 2" |
Weight: 190 |
Primary Position: LF |
Secondary Position: 1B |
Moderate frame; lean, wiry muscle; proportionately filled out; room to put on a little more weight; average athlete--not going to wow in this department; body to handle the grind. |
Chris Mellen |
07/16/2014 |
7/12-7/14 |
Mahoning Valley Scrappers (Short Season, Indians) |
2017 |
Moderate |
55 |
45; bench bat/part-time player |
No |
Plays with some intensity; carries himself like a seasoned professional; focused during practice sessions--looking to work; engaged in game when not actively involved.
|
Intriguing hitter--flashed natural hitting ability; bat-first player; pressure on offense to produce at high levels year in and year out to maintain status as regular; liked what I saw with the swing and ability to barrel consistently; believe bat translates against good velocity due to hands and efficiency of swing; feel some home run power will show in mid-to-late 20s; can end up as high as 2-hole hitter or hit 6th/7th in a deep lineup; .290s with 15 home run peak season potential.
|
Blake Swihart
|
Born: 04/03/1992 (Age: 22) |
Bats: Switch |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 1" |
Weight: 175 |
Primary Position: C |
Secondary Position: |
Medium frame, with a little bit more room to fill into; lean muscle; well-defined forearms; athletic; takes care of himself; a bit small in the legs for position; needs to continue to focus on training to limit nagging injuries; demands of position will take toll on body and athleticism. |
Chris Mellen |
07/20/2014 |
4/10, 5/8, 5/24, 5/26, 7/19 |
Portland Sea Dogs (AA, Red Sox) |
2015 |
Low |
60 |
55; major-league regular |
No |
Elite; driven to succeed; constantly working when on the field; engages with teammates well; plays the game with passion; shows ability to adjust; takes the highs with the lows--has a good perspective on the game.
|
Definition of a baseball player; does a bit of everything well; high chance to maximize every ounce of talent due to makeup; see a first-division regular here; can hit as high as the two-hole in a deep lineup; type of bat control and contact ability to approach .300 in the majors; see .280-.295, with 35-40 doubles and 15-17 home runs as peak season potential; add in defense at a premium position, and this is a core contributor on a contender.
|
Dalton Pompey
|
Born: 12/11/1992 (Age: 21) |
Bats: Switch |
Throws: Right |
Height: 6' 1" |
Weight: 170 |
Primary Position: CF |
Secondary Position: LF |
Athletic; proportionate frame; room to fill out more; wiry muscle; should grow into more strength; agile and smooth with actions; body to withstand rigors of the grind with continued physically maturity. |
Chris Mellen |
07/20/2014 |
6/27 (Doubleheader), 7/19 |
New Hampshire Fisher Cats (AA, Blue Jays) |
2016 |
Moderate |
55 |
45; fourth outfielder |
No |
Brings energy to the field; focused on the task at hand; needs to learn to manage the ups and downs--a bit overemotional when a call or play isn't to his liking; need a read on ability to adjust.
|
Excellent athlete; overall game is still on the raw side; type of player who can take a big step forward as experience against quality competition builds; swing left me a little flat in this look; have some questions as to whether ability to adjust swing is there; strong defensive skills--can add value to roster if bat falls short; potential to hold down a regular job if everything comes together, but see this player as a fourth outfielder over the long run.
|
Chris Mellen is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
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I'm thinking the July 19th New Hampshire/Portland game was a scout haven.
It was. Lot of talent on display in the series, and that night's pitching matchup couldn't have lined up better to get two good fresh reports on the two.