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January 5, 2014 BP Hall of Fame VotingThe 2014 ResultsAs the BBWAA announces its newest class of Hall of Fame inductees, we asked our staff to fill out their own ballots using the list of players eligible for enshrinement in Cooperstown. Forty-one ballots were submitted, so players needed to garner at least 31 votes to earn a Baseball Prospectus nod to the Hall, and to notch at least two votes to remain in consideration next year. Under BBWAA rules—namely, the 10-player voting limit—our 2014 Hall of Fame class features seven players. (The number of ballots on which each player appeared and the percentage that number represents are in parentheses.)
Among the players scrapped from consideration next year were Mark McGwire (1, 2.44%) and Sammy Sosa (no votes), as well as Jack Morris, who did not earn a single Baseball Prospectus vote amid his last chance to persuade the BBWAA. To see just how restrictive the 10-player limit is in a year in which the list of eligible players is teeming with potentially worthy names, we gave each of our voters the option to tack additional players onto their ballots. The impact was significant: It made all the difference for two down-ballot hopefuls and kept four of the endangered alive. Without the 10-player restriction, Mike Piazza (30, 73.17%), who came closest to induction without meeting the 75 percent benchmark, earned his plaque with three additional votes that brought his percentage up to 80.49. Craig Biggio (25, 60.98%) surged up nine votes to 34 and 82.93% of the ballots cast. Edgar Martinez (15, 36.59%) nearly doubled his vote total, but it was not enough for him to squeak past the threshold (73.17%). Meanwhile, Kent, McGwire, Sosa, and Larry Walker—who got only one vote with the limit, but soared to 11, or 26.83% of the ballots submitted, without it—gained enough support to be considered again in 2015. Finally, Maddux, who was already well clear of the cutoff point for induction, picked up his 41st vote to become a unanimous selection. You can view each staff member's ballot, and the full results, in the spreadsheet embedded below. " width="700"> 46 comments have been left for this article.
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Wojo, why didn't Maddox make your Top Ten? Here in Atlanta, we're mad that he's already been left off one announced ballot. What's your story?
Because I'm up and Jason isn't, I'll attempt to answer for him for now: Jason included Maddux on his expanded ballot, but left him off his top 10 because he supported 16 players and wanted to give the vote to someone he thought would receive less support (Alan Trammell, for instance). It's not a knock on Maddux, just a strategic approach to voting with a 10-player limit.
Whew.
Yep. And I do realize there are those who think this approach is invalid in some way -- not in the spirit of the vote, say -- and all I can say to that is that I disagree.
The tougher issue is that if nobody voted for Maddux because everyone else was going to, where would we be? For now, though, it appears empirically to be a safe tactic, whether in the BBWAA or BP. (It's also only an issue on a clogged ballot -- if BP voters tracked the real vote, there wouldn't be any such thing.)
Why not just have a preliminary survey to identify who, say, 90% of the voters consider a no-doubt HoFer, induct those players, and then have an actual ballot for the rest? It seems silly to take a vote for a player like Maddux when it's overwhelmingly obvious that he's getting in.
Maddox simply isn't HoF-worthy. Sure, he was one of the greatest defensive center fielders ever, but his career OPS+ was only 101, and he was pretty much below-average once he turned 30.
And with more career interceptions than touchdowns he's really not even worthy of consideration.
If only his XFL stats were considered...