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February 9, 2013 BP Fantasy PodcastLatest NFBC Mock Draft DataThis data is courtesy of our friends at STATS LLC who run the National Fantasy Baseball Championships. They tell us that since Ryan Braun was named in the Biogenesis report, he's going no higher than 4th in any of the mock drafts that have been run after going first overall in four of the previous six drafts. The data below is from the 37 most recent mock drafts that the NFBC members have run in February. If the embedded google worksheet does not work for you, click here for a direct link to the worksheet.
Jason Collette is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
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Any guesses as to the logic of not taking Ryan Braun higher than 4th anymore? Surely, the belief was that he was under so much strutiny last year that his stats were of 'clean' ability...what changes with his name on the list? He doesn't appear to be at serious risk of suspension...
It doesn't make sense to me. If he was going to miss any time (say 25 games), he is rather unlikely to earn top 5 value.
My guess is that people can now assume that he was, in fact, cheating last year, and that he is marginally less likely to cheat this year.