BP Comment Quick Links
![]() | |
July 26, 2002 6-4-3Kenny Williams, A's FanOK, I can understand a GM's perspective when the team's chances for the season are completely shot, and the goals change from "winning the division with our young power arms" to "Please, God, we can't finish behind the Royals!" At that point, it's time to cut costs where you can, and start thinking about next season, or better yet, several seasons down the road. Larry Andersen for Jeff Bagwell. Doyle Alexander for John Smoltz. But Ray Durham for Jon Adkins? The ESPN.com version of the wire story has the headline "White Sox send Durham to Athletics for prospect, cash." Um, no. Jon Adkins is 24, and had a career minor-league ERA of 4.13 coming into this season, during which he's been lit up in Sacramento, with an ERA that would fit neatly above the median for the Texas Rangers and peripheral numbers that do not hold much promise. Maybe Adkins will be the one guy in a thousand who breaks the mold and turns into a legitimate quality major leaguer. It's not likely, but you have to root for the guy. Durham is eligible for free agency after this season, and with the Collective Bargaining Agreement being bounced across the table between Rob Manfred and Don Fehr, it's possible that clubs will no longer receive draft-choice compensation for players lost to free agency. But even if there's a chance that compensation will still be had, and even with the costs associated with signing a first-round pick, don't you have to take that chance instead of settling for a guy who just doesn't look that promising? How did the conversation go? You know Beane's been working on Durham for a bit, so the closing call might have gone something like this.... Billy Beane: "Morning, Kenny. How are you?"
Gary Huckabay is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
|
I'm re-reading "Moneyball" today and simply had to check out this article. Adkins pitched 3 innings for the Reds last year.....