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June 16, 2010
Future Shock Blog
Minor League Update: Games of June 15
by Kevin Goldstein
Brandon Belt, 1B, Giants(High-A San Jose): 4-for-5, 2 HR (8), 3 R, 6 RBI, BB
In his last 13 games, Belt is hitting .500 (23-for-46), with an on-base percentage over .600 and a slugging percentage pushing four-digits thanks to last night's game in High Desert. And yet, he's still in High-A. In case you are wondering if he's blocked, the first baseman at Double-A Richmond is Michael Ambort, a 25-year-old 2006 draftee who has a .280 on-base percentage. I don't know what part of a .394/.509/.633 battling line doesn't say, "I'm completely wasting my time at this level."
Dellin Betances, RHP, Yankees(High-A Tampa): 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 7 K
He's in his fifth professional season, yet last night's outing was only the 51st of his career. Still, he's just 22 years old, and he's still a six-foot-eight righty with a big ceiling. Whatever magic the Yankee coaching staff has pulled with Andrew Brackman of late, it seems to have work off on Betances as well, as he's throwing strikes and dominating, allowing five hits in 12 innings while striking out 13 and, most surprising, walking just one while consistently getting into the mid-90s with his fastball.
Jordan Lyles, RHP, Astros(Double-A Corpus Christi): 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 11 K
The fact the Lyles is merely pitching well in the Texas League as a 19-year-old is impressive enough, but on Tuesday he proved that he can dominate in this league as well at times with his best outing of the year. While he doesn't have one massive offering, his fastball, curve and changeup all rate as above-average, and that alone make him extremely rare for a player so young.
Edinson Rincon, 3B, Padres(Low-A Fort Wayne): 3-for-5, R, RBI
After a strong showing in the Northwest League last year, Rincon's full-season debut was among the most anticipated in the system, but the first two months were a bit of a bust, as going into June he was hitting a lowly .220/.288/.325. The 19-year-old Dominican remains a disaster at third base, committing 23 errors in 57 games, but he's made some adjustments at the plate and his hitting skills are finally showing up. 21-for-52 in August (.404), Rincon has one of the better swings in the Midwest Leagues, and it's finally showing up on the stat sheet.
Others Of Note:
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Jonathan Albaladejo, RHP, Yankees (Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre): SV, 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K. 1.14 ERA in 28 games overall, but nearly untouchable in June (7 IP, 1 H, 2 BB, 13 K).
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J.P. Arencibia, C, Blue Jays (Triple-A Las Vegas): 3-for-5, 2B, 2 K. Twelve hits in last six games, including four home runs, have pushed season number up to .280/.327/.551.
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Joe Benson, OF, Twins (High-A Fort Myers): 4-for-4, 3 2B, 3 R. I talk to scouts, so I know I'm not even close to the only person who likes this guy, I just wonder if anyone with the Twins feels the same way.
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Chris Carter, 1B, Athletics (Triple-A Sacramento): 2-for-3, 2B, HR (15), R 2 RBI. More hot than cold this year, but hitting .302/.360/.674 in June.
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Drew Cumberland, SS, Padres (High-A Lake Elsinore): 3-for-4, 2 2B, R, 2 RBI, BB, K, SB, CS. Hit .357 in April, .381 in May and now .403 in June. At .381/.418/.563 overall in 56 games, this is one of the biggest breakouts of the year.
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Grant Green, SS, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 4-for-6, 2B, 4 R, K. Hitting .319/.382/.553 in June; defensive reports haven't been kind.
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Aaron Hicks, OF, Twins (Low-A Beloit): 3-for-5, 2 2B, 2 R. Hot-and-cold hitter is hot again, going 8-for-16 in last four games with six doubles. .257/.374/.401 line shows overall progress.
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Shooter Hunt, RHP, Twins (High-A Fort Myers): 0.2 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 2 BB, 2 K. Uh-oh.
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Jiwan James, OF, Phillies (Low-A Lakewood): 3-for-5, CS. 26-for-66 (.394) in last 15 games; if tools are really clicking he has monstrous potential.
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Mycal Jones, SS, Braves (High-A Myrtle Beach): 2-for-6, HR (1), R, 2 RBI, 2 K, CS. 12-for-25 since promotion; tons of tools but a bit behind on the age curve.
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Matt Moore, LHP, Rays (High-A Charlotte): 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 9 K. When he throws strikes, he has the kind of stuff to dominate; he's just not throwing strikes enough.
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Logan Morrison, 1B, Marlins (Triple-A New Orleans): 3-for-5, 2B, R, RBI, 2 K. Batting .404 in last 12 games and .331/.423/.554 overall; just one Gaby Sanchez slump away from the call?
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Jeff Samardzija, RHP, Cubs (Triple-A Iowa): 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 6 K. Nine innings without allowing an earned run in two starts with 11 strikeouts; could get another look with desperate Cubs team.
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Oscar Tejada, 2B, Red Sox (High-A Salem): 3-for-4, 2 R, RBI, BB. 17-for-39 (.436) in last ten games and .333/.354/.519 overall; the nitpicker would point out that he's not walking will missing all the average and surprising power.
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Travis Wood, LHP, Reds (Triple-A Louisville): 7 IP, 4 H, 2 R (1 ER), 2 BB, 10 K. Coming on strong in last six starts with 41 IP, 23 H, 8 BB, 40 K; if the Reds have a need, he should be next to get the call.
Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Click here to see Kevin's other articles.
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17 comments have been left for this article.
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Is it possible that the SF Giants are allowing Belt to waste time at San Jose to allow them to clinch the meaningless first half California League championship, possibly making a couple of extra dollars in the process? It isn't much of a reason, but it is a reason. It's even more surprising as Luke Anders is hitting well enough at Augusta that he should probably move up as well.
It could also be that they've seen the entire 2009 San Jose roster get slaughtered in AA this season. Maybe they are a little gun shy about moving Belt until they're 100% sure he's ready for the Eastern League and, no, I don't know what else they would need to see to make that determination.
Yeah, I'm wondering if seeing Neal / Keishneck (sp?) / Gillespe struggle in AA this year is part of this issue; they promoted Crawford at mid-season last year and he's struggled as well. Still, Belt is clearly wasting his time in A ball at this point, and you might as well give him the chance to sink or swim.
Thomas Neal has started to come around hitting 471/526/706 in his last 10 games which brings him up to 284/345/404 for the season. In the Eastern league, that's actually not a bad stat line. Gillaspie, Crawford, and Kieshnick have disappointed.
Crawford was the first guy who popped into my mind as well. He had a BABIP-inflated stat line at High A, so the Giants moved him to AA pretty early in the year, where he crashed and burned pretty spectacularly. He's doing better there this year, but still not looking great.
The plate discipline and walk rate is a big difference between Belt and Crawford however; this gives me some hope that Belt can hold his own better once he's promoted.
Presumably a guy that is primarily a line drive hitter doesn't have his stats affected as much by park effects.