Notice: Trying to get property 'display_name' of non-object in /var/www/html/wp-content/plugins/wordpress-seo/src/generators/schema/article.php on line 52
keyboard_arrow_uptop

Primer

Notes
The outfield is pretty fun, as it has a thick variety and the bottom doesn’t completely open up and reveal a black void that sucks happiness and joy—looking at you, catchers. For example, check out the big graph on Steven Souza!

This is probably a good time to discuss variability as it pertains to PECOTA because I imagine you are probably wondering why Souza is so low here. Certain players are “preferred” by PECOTA for various reasons. In Souza’s case, his strong minor-league track record has us predicting a 20-20 season with borderline-elite counting stats. We the fantasy team would be shocked if he pulled this off, however and I personally believe his PECOTA projection is 90th percentile for him. You’re also probably going to ask about Yasmany Tomas, here’s his graph:

We just don’t have a PECOTA projection for him. It’s an issue with Cuban players specifically. There’s no Bid Graph here; it’ll get rolled in with the Starting Pitchers next week.

Here are the graphs:

You can see the category breakdown in the table below:

Thank you for reading

This is a free article. If you enjoyed it, consider subscribing to Baseball Prospectus. Subscriptions support ongoing public baseball research and analysis in an increasingly proprietary environment.

Subscribe now
You need to be logged in to comment. Login or Subscribe
jfranco77
2/11
Love the Tomas graphic. Can we at least agree that his chart isn't likely to feature a lot of steals?
MRubio52
2/12
Haha yes we can agree there. He's an interesting player, maybe is a mini Justin Upton?
jfranco77
2/12
Careful there.... maybe a mini "who Justin Upton really is" but you don't want people thinking he's a mini "who we still think Justin Upton is."

You should put steals at the top of the infographic so that when a player's chart looks like Rusney Castillo's chart it's because their shape matches their chart.

lipitorkid
2/11
Mauricio. Love the numbers at the bottom explaining the different category thresholds. Any change of getting those dropped in the other visual rankings? Is always nice having those average/deviation numbers.
MRubio52
2/12
Absolutely, likely doing a recap at the end of it all.
lipitorkid
2/11
Also is Jayson Werth the closest we have to owning a perfect home plate shape visual, and does that bode well for his upcoming season?
huztlers
2/11
Not the author... but yes, you are interpreting these graphs correctly. The shape is the most important part, secondly is the color.
MRubio52
2/12
Yep, this.
sam19041
2/11
Mau, there is only one "Mookie" (Wilson, obviously). This other guy is nice and all, but he is "Betts" until further notice.
MRubio52
2/12
He's the only Mookie in my heart.
LucasDad
2/14
Heyward, Yelich, Gordon, and Choo are essentially the exact same guys?
MRubio52
2/14
For fantasy purposes yeah, it makes sense given their 5x5 skill sets.