Second base is the first position we’ve covered that features variability in individual skill sets. There are some hitters who can hit 20-25 home runs, some players who can steal 30-plus bases, and some players who can provide a substantial amount of everything in standard 5×5 leagues. It creates for a variety of different shapes. Take these for example:
Notes
There was a recent comment about how these are harder to read now, referencing these as globs. The commenter did add that he will get used to looking at them, but let’s take a step back and think about the information being conveyed here. The charts attempt to visualize where each individual player projects to provide value. After a quick glance, the hope is that you’ll be able to pick up where a player can help and hurt you relative to the position. Radar charts tend to convey that quickly because you can see where the shape is fuller and where it is lacking. Hopefully that explanation illuminates the aim a bit better.
Now, let’s talk about Jurickson Profar who has a tiny graph. His small output is due to PECOTA not liking his playing-time projections in 2015. We still like him moderately, as you’ll see in the bid chart below.
Dee Gordon and Brian Dozier are interesting to me as polar opposites in the four-star category, and for that reason I like their charts the most.
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$10 or more from his bid at least. In contrast a guy like Utley probably has a much more modest range (ie high floor low ceiling). Maybe radar charts aren't the answer for that. But the bottom chart (don't know what it's called) could easily have a confidence interval around the bid or forecast.
I like having the lines there to show where you're at on the scale as a plot grows or shrinks, so I guess at the high level of "big shape = more value" the plots are useful.
BTW- this is great and unique work